Realized P&L
+$121
Unrealized P&L
-$39
Hit rate
59.7%
Resolved
48
Trades
66
lifetime
Volume
$616
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$118
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 11-03 15:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
74% 10% +$73
Politics
19% 0% -$2
Sports
6% 43% +$55
Crypto
1% 0% -$5
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +417 $100 15¢ $63 -$37 11-03 15:10
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +102 $6 15¢ $16 +$10 09-11 11:36
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes +20 $7 48¢ $10 +$3 10-23 18:31
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +38 $5 18¢ $7 +$2 09-29 18:25
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? Yes +62 $16 11¢ $7 -$9 09-25 14:59
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? Yes +31 $5 20¢ $6 +$1 10-23 18:31
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +231 $3 2¢ $4 +$1 08-02 20:40
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +182 $4 2¢ $3 -$1 08-02 20:40
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +20 $4 8¢ $2 -$2 09-30 10:50
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? Yes +33 $3 3¢ $1 -$2 09-29 17:39
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? Yes +31 $5 1¢ $0 -$5 09-29 17:41