Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
58.7%
Resolved
4
Trades
126
lifetime
Volume
$328
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$42
27 positions
First seen
2026-03-27
last 07-21 08:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
44% 67% $-4
Sports
24%
Politics
22% 100% +$0
Crypto
9%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? No -10 $-9 89¢ $-9 +$0 07-08 16:47
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B? No -7 $-6 92¢ $-6 $-1 07-08 21:25
MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch? Yes +8 $7 58¢ $5 $-2 07-17 00:27
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B? No -5 $-4 86¢ $-4 $-1 07-14 20:18
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -4 $-2 64¢ $-2 $-0 07-14 20:18
Remote IPO before 2027? Yes -9 $-1 17¢ $-2 $-0 07-21 05:48
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? Yes +13 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 07-21 01:40
Will Tuyo launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +6 $1 24¢ $1 $-0 07-08 15:46
Will Puffpaw launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +17 $1 $1 $-0 07-08 15:41
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -11 $-1 11¢ $-1 $-0 07-21 05:48
Will Frank Ocean release a new song in 2026? Yes -3 $-1 33¢ $-1 $-0 07-21 05:48
Celonis IPO before 2027? Yes -8 $-1 12¢ $-1 $-0 07-21 05:48
Rippling IPO before 2027? Yes -7 $-1 14¢ $-1 $-0 07-21 05:48
Ramp IPO before 2027? Yes -10 $-1 $-1 $-0 07-21 05:48
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? Yes -6 $-1 10¢ $-1 $-0 07-21 05:48
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B? Yes -7 $-0 $-1 $-0 07-21 05:48
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes -4 $-1 15¢ $-1 $-0 07-21 05:48
Glean IPO before 2027? Yes -5 $-0 10¢ $-0 $-0 07-21 05:48
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? Yes -7 $-0 $-0 $-0 07-21 05:48
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 $-0 07-21 05:48
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -3 $-0 13¢ $-0 $-0 07-21 05:48
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? Yes -2 $-0 15¢ $-0 $-0 07-21 05:48
Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -15 $-0 $-0 $-0 07-21 05:48
Deel IPO before 2027? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 $-0 07-21 05:48
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? Yes -9 $-0 $-0 $-0 07-21 05:48
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027? Yes -7 $-0 $-0 $-0 07-21 05:48
Brex IPO before 2027? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 $-0 07-21 05:48