Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$436
Trades
67
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$779
Latest YES mid
38¢
Latest NO mid
62¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-06-01
last 06-15 21:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $52 | $89 | $37 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $50 | $15 | +$35 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $27 | — | +$27 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $11 | $8 | +$3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $80 | $89 | $8 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $16 | $15 | +$0 |
| Median | 3 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| Below median | 5 | $13 | $5 | +$8 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $16 | — | +$16 |
| unranked | 4 | $5 | $2 | +$3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +136 | $44 | $44 | 3 | 06-15 17:18 |
| Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | +133 | $29 | $44 | 15 | 06-11 19:31 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +115 | $89 | $89 | 5 | 06-11 19:31 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +30 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-15 17:18 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-15 16:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-15 17:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-05 17:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xd990…749e | Yes | +5 | $1 | $4 | 2 | 06-15 21:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 21:48:01 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | No | SELL | 5 | 70¢ | $3 | 0x664aca… |
| 06-15 21:48:01 | (anonymous) 0xd990…749e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x664aca… |
| 06-15 17:18:48 | Profitable-Punishment 0x5739…b180 | Yes | SELL | 56 | 32¢ | $18 | 0xaf0d4e… |
| 06-15 17:18:48 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 32¢ | $18 | 0xaf0d4e… |
| 06-15 17:18:24 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x952c36… |
| 06-15 17:18:24 | Profitable-Punishment 0x5739…b180 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x952c36… |
| 06-15 17:18:09 | Profitable-Punishment 0x5739…b180 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 31¢ | $9 | 0xe4b275… |
| 06-15 17:18:09 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 31¢ | $9 | 0xe4b275… |
| 06-15 16:09:55 | (anonymous) 0x5147…f078 | No | SELL | 41 | 68¢ | $28 | 0x050aa7… |
| 06-15 16:09:55 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | No | BUY | 5 | 52¢ | $2 | 0x050aa7… |
| 06-15 16:09:55 | (anonymous) 0x99bc…4f35 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x050aa7… |
| 06-15 16:09:55 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | BUY | 15 | 70¢ | $10 | 0x050aa7… |
| 06-13 14:41:31 | (anonymous) 0x99bc…4f35 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 44¢ | $4 | 0x00a03b… |
| 06-13 14:41:31 | (anonymous) 0xf365…f5e3 | No | SELL | 9 | 56¢ | $5 | 0x00a03b… |
| 06-11 19:31:25 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xb2d213… |
| 06-11 19:31:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 18 | 78¢ | $14 | 0xb2d213… |
| 06-11 19:31:21 | (anonymous) 0xd990…749e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xf3375f… |
| 06-11 19:31:21 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0xf3375f… |
| 06-11 19:27:04 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 22¢ | $8 | 0xb5eea2… |
| 06-11 19:27:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 35 | 78¢ | $27 | 0xb5eea2… |
| 06-11 15:55:27 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 25¢ | $0 | 0x0a5425… |
| 06-11 15:55:27 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 6 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x0a5425… |
| 06-11 15:55:27 | Worst-Veneer 0xde45…8f1d | Yes | SELL | 7 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x0a5425… |
| 06-11 14:33:22 | (anonymous) 0x99bc…4f35 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xc8c646… |
| 06-11 14:33:22 | Worst-Veneer 0xde45…8f1d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xc8c646… |
| 06-11 10:16:39 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x7e882e… |
| 06-11 10:16:39 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x7e882e… |
| 06-11 10:16:19 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 23¢ | $4 | 0xbdbb93… |
| 06-11 10:16:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 16 | 77¢ | $12 | 0xbdbb93… |
| 06-11 10:01:34 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 24¢ | $9 | 0x669991… |
| 06-11 10:01:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 37 | 76¢ | $28 | 0x669991… |
| 06-11 05:02:03 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 32¢ | $1 | 0xb57e7b… |
| 06-11 05:02:03 | All-Snakebite 0x5571…bdcf | No | SELL | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0xb57e7b… |
| 06-10 19:36:31 | Worst-Veneer 0xde45…8f1d | Yes | SELL | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x5cdc46… |
| 06-10 19:36:31 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x5cdc46… |
| 06-10 19:35:28 | Worst-Veneer 0xde45…8f1d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xff6578… |
| 06-10 19:35:28 | All-Snakebite 0x5571…bdcf | No | BUY | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0xff6578… |
| 06-07 02:57:39 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xa43056… |
| 06-07 02:57:39 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xa43056… |
| 06-05 17:03:16 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 29¢ | $4 | 0x6f2470… |
| 06-05 17:03:16 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x6f2470… |
| 06-05 17:03:16 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x6f2470… |
| 06-05 12:20:48 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 25¢ | $6 | 0x127dfa… |
| 06-05 12:20:48 | Profitable-Punishment 0x5739…b180 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 25¢ | $6 | 0x127dfa… |
| 06-05 04:53:03 | (anonymous) 0x99bc…4f35 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 31¢ | $8 | 0xae4d06… |
| 06-05 04:53:03 | Profitable-Punishment 0x5739…b180 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 31¢ | $8 | 0xae4d06… |
| 06-05 04:51:46 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 31¢ | $7 | 0xdc4e36… |
| 06-05 04:51:46 | Profitable-Punishment 0x5739…b180 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 31¢ | $7 | 0xdc4e36… |
| 06-02 20:46:24 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xc069ea… |
| 06-02 20:46:24 | Glaring-Lanai 0x0a14…cab1 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xc069ea… |
| 06-02 20:45:46 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x2de8b0… |
| 06-02 20:45:46 | Black-University 0x0044…cb2c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x2de8b0… |
| 06-02 19:55:20 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xa86785… |
| 06-02 19:55:20 | Amazing-Counseling 0xa639…f5e8 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xa86785… |
| 06-02 19:06:18 | Amazing-Counseling 0xa639…f5e8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0xfb4c14… |
| 06-02 19:06:18 | Glaring-Lanai 0x0a14…cab1 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0xfb4c14… |
| 06-02 19:01:52 | Black-University 0x0044…cb2c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x4bc784… |
| 06-02 19:01:52 | Profitable-Punishment 0x5739…b180 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 32¢ | $7 | 0x4bc784… |
| 06-02 19:01:52 | Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | No | SELL | 13 | 68¢ | $9 | 0x4bc784… |
| 06-02 18:55:43 | Glaring-Lanai 0x0a14…cab1 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 32¢ | $8 | 0xc35178… |
| 06-02 18:55:43 | Profitable-Punishment 0x5739…b180 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 32¢ | $8 | 0xc35178… |
| 06-02 18:53:18 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 32¢ | $13 | 0xfde2d3… |
| 06-02 18:53:18 | Profitable-Punishment 0x5739…b180 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 32¢ | $13 | 0xfde2d3… |
| 06-02 18:53:00 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 32¢ | $13 | 0x9f8387… |
| 06-02 18:53:00 | Profitable-Punishment 0x5739…b180 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 32¢ | $13 | 0x9f8387… |
| 06-01 11:13:58 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x24032f… |
| 06-01 11:13:58 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x24032f… |