Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,874
Trades
220
Unique wallets
50
Liquidity
$779
Latest YES mid
25¢
Latest NO mid
75¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-06-01
last 07-31 14:30
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $96 | $200 | $104 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $111 | $284 | $173 |
| 🐟 Fish | 23 | $86 | $74 | +$13 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $132 | $127 | +$5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $162 | $408 | $245 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $25 | $53 | $28 |
| Median | 8 | $10 | $48 | $37 |
| Below median | 9 | $23 | $5 | +$18 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $47 | — | +$47 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $19 | $24 | $5 |
| unranked | 16 | $138 | $148 | $9 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xfcde…9bd9 | Yes | +243 | $67 | $67 | 9 | 07-27 16:45 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +199 | $152 | $152 | 9 | 07-28 06:19 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +179 | $62 | $90 | 11 | 07-31 14:30 |
| Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | +146 | $105 | $243 | 19 | 07-31 14:30 |
| Thorough-Fault 0x7f33…914e | Yes | +111 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-26 01:34 |
| Thorough-Fault 0x7f33…914e | No | +110 | $81 | $81 | 1 | 07-27 15:24 |
| Favorable-Conduct-Leverage 0xd331…733c | Yes | +82 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 07-05 11:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xbab3…e741 | No | +72 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 06-26 11:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x9176…7f57 | Yes | +40 | $11 | $46 | 3 | 07-27 16:45 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +40 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-19 22:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x06dc…32b7 | No | +40 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 07-19 22:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…64a1 | No | +31 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-17 07:31 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $7 | $12 | 5 | 07-29 10:23 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 07-07 20:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | +15 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 06-16 22:31 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +10 | $8 | $40 | 2 | 07-26 09:14 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-30 19:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xd990…749e | Yes | +5 | $1 | $4 | 2 | 06-15 21:48 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $17 | 3 | 06-30 08:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 14:30:15 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x4dba2a… |
| 07-31 14:30:15 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x4dba2a… |
| 07-29 11:00:39 | Pointed-Pronunciation 0x82cd…d7d8 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 23¢ | $9 | 0x680de2… |
| 07-29 11:00:39 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 23¢ | $9 | 0x680de2… |
| 07-29 10:23:35 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 17 | 23¢ | $4 | 0x693b40… |
| 07-29 10:23:35 | Pointed-Pronunciation 0x82cd…d7d8 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 23¢ | $9 | 0x693b40… |
| 07-29 10:23:35 | Jaded-Conflict 0x7ff2…2be4 | Yes | SELL | 117 | 23¢ | $27 | 0x693b40… |
| 07-29 10:23:35 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | SELL | 40 | 77¢ | $31 | 0x693b40… |
| 07-29 10:23:35 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | SELL | 22 | 77¢ | $17 | 0x693b40… |
| 07-28 06:19:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0xce8ca7… |
| 07-28 06:19:49 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | SELL | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0xce8ca7… |
| 07-28 05:40:43 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | SELL | 25 | 77¢ | $20 | 0x1b4cb9… |
| 07-28 05:40:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 25 | 77¢ | $20 | 0x1b4cb9… |
| 07-27 21:56:13 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 17 | 75¢ | $13 | 0xcbaef3… |
| 07-27 21:56:13 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | SELL | 17 | 75¢ | $13 | 0xcbaef3… |
| 07-27 17:20:03 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | BUY | 6 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xdade56… |
| 07-27 17:20:03 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 6 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xdade56… |
| 07-27 16:45:31 | (anonymous) 0x9176…7f57 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 25¢ | $9 | 0xdbef66… |
| 07-27 16:45:31 | (anonymous) 0xfcde…9bd9 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 25¢ | $9 | 0xdbef66… |
| 07-27 16:35:01 | (anonymous) 0xfcde…9bd9 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 25¢ | $9 | 0xd2ccb2… |
| 07-27 16:35:01 | (anonymous) 0x9176…7f57 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 25¢ | $9 | 0xd2ccb2… |
| 07-27 16:17:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x656e35… |
| 07-27 16:17:09 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 6 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x656e35… |
| 07-27 15:24:00 | (anonymous) 0x9176…7f57 | Yes | BUY | 110 | 26¢ | $29 | 0x4e8878… |
| 07-27 15:24:00 | Thorough-Fault 0x7f33…914e | No | BUY | 110 | 74¢ | $81 | 0x4e8878… |
| 07-26 09:20:24 | (anonymous) 0xfcde…9bd9 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 29¢ | $6 | 0x6d4eb9… |
| 07-26 09:20:24 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | BUY | 19 | 71¢ | $14 | 0x6d4eb9… |
| 07-26 09:14:33 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 22 | 72¢ | $16 | 0x8a7f1e… |
| 07-26 09:14:33 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 22 | 72¢ | $16 | 0x8a7f1e… |
| 07-26 09:09:48 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | BUY | 14 | 72¢ | $10 | 0x862191… |
| 07-26 09:09:48 | (anonymous) 0xfcde…9bd9 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 28¢ | $4 | 0x862191… |
| 07-26 08:59:18 | (anonymous) 0xfcde…9bd9 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 29¢ | $9 | 0x43bb0f… |
| 07-26 08:59:18 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | BUY | 30 | 71¢ | $21 | 0x43bb0f… |
| 07-26 08:48:36 | (anonymous) 0xfcde…9bd9 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xca5e80… |
| 07-26 08:48:36 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | BUY | 18 | 73¢ | $13 | 0xca5e80… |
| 07-26 08:37:58 | (anonymous) 0xfcde…9bd9 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 27¢ | $9 | 0x34e5b8… |
| 07-26 08:37:58 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 32 | 73¢ | $24 | 0x34e5b8… |
| 07-26 01:16:48 | (anonymous) 0xfcde…9bd9 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 30¢ | $9 | 0xf9ae92… |
| 07-26 01:16:48 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | BUY | 30 | 70¢ | $21 | 0xf9ae92… |
| 07-26 00:45:18 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | BUY | 30 | 70¢ | $21 | 0xe3e3c7… |
| 07-26 00:45:18 | (anonymous) 0xfcde…9bd9 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 30¢ | $9 | 0xe3e3c7… |
| 07-20 18:07:01 | (anonymous) 0xc537…88a2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x9b6033… |
| 07-20 18:07:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x9b6033… |
| 07-20 01:38:01 | (anonymous) 0xc537…88a2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xd2df73… |
| 07-20 01:38:01 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xd2df73… |
| 07-19 22:20:42 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 28¢ | $11 | 0x21714f… |
| 07-19 22:20:42 | (anonymous) 0x06dc…32b7 | No | BUY | 40 | 72¢ | $29 | 0x21714f… |
| 07-12 02:54:50 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | SELL | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x21dc40… |
| 07-12 02:54:50 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | BUY | 4 | 76¢ | $3 | 0x21dc40… |
| 07-12 02:54:50 | (anonymous) 0x254f…7cc0 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 24¢ | $0 | 0x21dc40… |
| 07-12 02:53:52 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x93a6c2… |
| 07-12 02:53:52 | (anonymous) 0x254f…7cc0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x93a6c2… |
| 07-12 02:53:31 | (anonymous) 0x254f…7cc0 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x18ae9d… |
| 07-12 02:53:31 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 6 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x18ae9d… |
| 07-11 13:00:23 | (anonymous) 0x254f…7cc0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xe72c8c… |
| 07-11 13:00:23 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xe72c8c… |
| 07-10 22:02:31 | (anonymous) 0x254f…7cc0 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 23¢ | $4 | 0xc8ebaf… |
| 07-10 22:02:31 | (anonymous) 0xdb2d…1dc7 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 23¢ | $4 | 0xc8ebaf… |
| 07-09 21:27:10 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 6 | 76¢ | $4 | 0xc4c495… |
| 07-09 21:27:10 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 6 | 76¢ | $4 | 0xc4c495… |
| 07-08 22:19:38 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xa2c2b0… |
| 07-08 22:19:38 | Profitable-Punishment 0x5739…b180 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xa2c2b0… |
| 07-08 21:05:53 | (anonymous) 0x254f…7cc0 | No | SELL | 13 | 75¢ | $10 | 0x131df1… |
| 07-08 21:05:53 | Profitable-Punishment 0x5739…b180 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 25¢ | $3 | 0x131df1… |
| 07-08 20:21:17 | (anonymous) 0x254f…7cc0 | No | SELL | 30 | 76¢ | $23 | 0x12de54… |
| 07-08 20:21:17 | Profitable-Punishment 0x5739…b180 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 24¢ | $7 | 0x12de54… |
| 07-08 19:42:40 | (anonymous) 0x254f…7cc0 | No | BUY | 43 | 79¢ | $34 | 0xa515d6… |
| 07-08 19:42:40 | Daring-Pirate 0x5446…18f6 | No | SELL | 120 | 79¢ | $95 | 0xa515d6… |
| 07-08 19:42:40 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xa515d6… |
| 07-08 19:42:40 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | Yes | SELL | 19 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xa515d6… |
| 07-08 19:42:40 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 21¢ | $5 | 0xa515d6… |
| 07-08 18:34:34 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 0 | 82¢ | $0 | 0x0d309b… |
| 07-08 18:34:34 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x0d309b… |
| 07-08 18:34:34 | (anonymous) 0x07c4…42f6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x0d309b… |
| 07-08 17:15:01 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xe6e8dd… |
| 07-08 17:15:01 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xe6e8dd… |
| 07-08 13:42:47 | (anonymous) 0x07c4…42f6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x715477… |
| 07-08 13:42:47 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x715477… |
| 07-08 01:03:56 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | Yes | SELL | 6 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xb71c28… |
| 07-08 01:03:56 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0xb71c28… |
| 07-07 22:36:04 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0x6595c5… |
| 07-07 22:36:04 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | SELL | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0x6595c5… |
| 07-07 20:09:25 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xcca382… |
| 07-07 20:09:25 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xcca382… |
| 07-07 20:03:01 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0xf181ab… |
| 07-07 20:03:01 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xf181ab… |
| 07-07 20:03:01 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xf181ab… |
| 07-07 20:03:01 | Profitable-Punishment 0x5739…b180 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 19¢ | $10 | 0xf181ab… |
| 07-07 20:03:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 81¢ | $24 | 0xf181ab… |
| 07-07 20:03:01 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xf181ab… |
| 07-06 22:32:37 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | Yes | BUY | 30 | 21¢ | $6 | 0x84cfd5… |
| 07-06 22:32:37 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | BUY | 30 | 79¢ | $24 | 0x84cfd5… |
| 07-06 04:29:37 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 21¢ | $5 | 0xacab3e… |
| 07-06 04:29:37 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 21¢ | $5 | 0xa79415… |
| 07-06 04:29:37 | (anonymous) 0x254f…7cc0 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 21¢ | $5 | 0xa79415… |
| 07-06 04:29:37 | (anonymous) 0x254f…7cc0 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 21¢ | $5 | 0xacab3e… |
| 07-06 03:09:05 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | BUY | 11 | 75¢ | $9 | 0xf1be13… |
| 07-06 03:09:05 | (anonymous) 0x6f90…3f1e | No | SELL | 11 | 75¢ | $9 | 0xf1be13… |
| 07-06 03:05:32 | (anonymous) 0x6f90…3f1e | No | SELL | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0xbe7df7… |
| 07-06 03:05:32 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xbe7df7… |