Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,031
Trades
149
Unique wallets
41
Liquidity
$779
Latest YES mid
19¢
Latest NO mid
81¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-06-01
last 07-08 18:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $77 | $113 | $36 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $111 | $56 | +$55 |
| 🐟 Fish | 13 | $55 | $53 | +$3 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $42 | $81 | $39 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $140 | $121 | +$19 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $18 | $48 | $30 |
| Median | 4 | $10 | $24 | $14 |
| Below median | 6 | $13 | $5 | +$8 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $47 | — | +$47 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $19 | — | +$19 |
| unranked | 16 | $39 | $105 | $66 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +130 | $51 | $78 | 8 | 07-06 04:29 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +115 | $89 | $89 | 5 | 06-11 19:31 |
| Thorough-Fault 0x7f33…914e | Yes | +111 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-26 01:34 |
| Favorable-Conduct-Leverage 0xd331…733c | Yes | +82 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 07-05 11:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xbab3…e741 | No | +72 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 06-26 11:47 |
| Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | +35 | $27 | $37 | 3 | 07-07 22:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…64a1 | No | +31 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-17 07:31 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 07-07 20:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | Yes | +19 | $4 | $9 | 3 | 07-08 13:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | +15 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 06-16 22:31 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-30 19:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $12 | 3 | 07-06 04:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 07-08 18:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xd990…749e | Yes | +5 | $1 | $4 | 2 | 06-15 21:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-07 20:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-07 20:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-05 11:28 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $17 | 3 | 06-30 08:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 18:34:34 | (anonymous) 0x07c4…42f6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x0d309b… |
| 07-08 18:34:34 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x0d309b… |
| 07-08 18:34:34 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 0 | 82¢ | $0 | 0x0d309b… |
| 07-08 17:15:01 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xe6e8dd… |
| 07-08 17:15:01 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xe6e8dd… |
| 07-08 13:42:47 | (anonymous) 0x07c4…42f6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x715477… |
| 07-08 13:42:47 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x715477… |
| 07-08 01:03:56 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0xb71c28… |
| 07-08 01:03:56 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | Yes | SELL | 6 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xb71c28… |
| 07-07 22:36:04 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | SELL | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0x6595c5… |
| 07-07 22:36:04 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0x6595c5… |
| 07-07 20:09:25 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xcca382… |
| 07-07 20:09:25 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xcca382… |
| 07-07 20:03:01 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xf181ab… |
| 07-07 20:03:01 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xf181ab… |
| 07-07 20:03:01 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xf181ab… |
| 07-07 20:03:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 81¢ | $24 | 0xf181ab… |
| 07-07 20:03:01 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0xf181ab… |
| 07-07 20:03:01 | Profitable-Punishment 0x5739…b180 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 19¢ | $10 | 0xf181ab… |
| 07-06 22:32:37 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | BUY | 30 | 79¢ | $24 | 0x84cfd5… |
| 07-06 22:32:37 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | Yes | BUY | 30 | 21¢ | $6 | 0x84cfd5… |
| 07-06 04:29:37 | (anonymous) 0x254f…7cc0 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 21¢ | $5 | 0xacab3e… |
| 07-06 04:29:37 | (anonymous) 0x254f…7cc0 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 21¢ | $5 | 0xa79415… |
| 07-06 04:29:37 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 21¢ | $5 | 0xa79415… |
| 07-06 04:29:37 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 21¢ | $5 | 0xacab3e… |
| 07-06 03:09:05 | (anonymous) 0x6f90…3f1e | No | SELL | 11 | 75¢ | $9 | 0xf1be13… |
| 07-06 03:09:05 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | BUY | 11 | 75¢ | $9 | 0xf1be13… |
| 07-06 03:05:32 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xbe7df7… |
| 07-06 03:05:32 | (anonymous) 0x6f90…3f1e | No | SELL | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0xbe7df7… |
| 07-06 00:50:32 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 24¢ | $12 | 0xcd7157… |
| 07-06 00:50:32 | (anonymous) 0x254f…7cc0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 24¢ | $12 | 0xcd7157… |
| 07-05 11:28:41 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x27e163… |
| 07-05 11:28:41 | Simple-Goddess 0xda37…f8cc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x27e163… |
| 07-05 11:28:41 | Favorable-Conduct-Leverage 0xd331…733c | Yes | BUY | 62 | 21¢ | $13 | 0x27e163… |
| 07-05 11:28:22 | Favorable-Conduct-Leverage 0xd331…733c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x1f8392… |
| 07-05 11:28:22 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x1f8392… |
| 06-30 19:07:31 | Colossal-Pirate 0x848f…612f | Yes | SELL | 40 | 20¢ | $8 | 0xdc1eb4… |
| 06-30 19:07:31 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xdc1eb4… |
| 06-30 19:07:31 | Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | SELL | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0xdc1eb4… |
| 06-30 08:06:22 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x3b55fa… |
| 06-30 08:06:22 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x3b55fa… |
| 06-29 17:30:52 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 22¢ | $3 | 0xcd664a… |
| 06-29 17:30:52 | Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | BUY | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0xcd664a… |
| 06-29 17:30:52 | Simple-Goddess 0xda37…f8cc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xcd664a… |
| 06-29 17:30:52 | Daring-Pirate 0x5446…18f6 | No | SELL | 115 | 79¢ | $91 | 0xcd664a… |
| 06-28 17:58:10 | Favorable-Conduct-Leverage 0xd331…733c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 18¢ | $3 | 0x608fd1… |
| 06-28 17:58:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 15 | 18¢ | $3 | 0x608fd1… |
| 06-27 18:08:26 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x4e1868… |
| 06-27 18:08:26 | Profitable-Punishment 0x5739…b180 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x4e1868… |
| 06-27 17:47:02 | Profitable-Punishment 0x5739…b180 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xaa9e5e… |
| 06-27 17:47:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xaa9e5e… |
| 06-27 10:32:59 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x9c4577… |
| 06-27 10:32:59 | Profitable-Punishment 0x5739…b180 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x9c4577… |
| 06-27 10:32:56 | Profitable-Punishment 0x5739…b180 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 18¢ | $3 | 0x931670… |
| 06-27 10:32:56 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 18¢ | $3 | 0x931670… |
| 06-26 11:47:01 | Simple-Goddess 0xda37…f8cc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xc2683e… |
| 06-26 11:47:01 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xc2683e… |
| 06-26 11:47:01 | (anonymous) 0xbab3…e741 | No | BUY | 72 | 82¢ | $59 | 0xc2683e… |
| 06-26 01:34:38 | Thorough-Fault 0x7f33…914e | Yes | BUY | 111 | 19¢ | $22 | 0xa7c6d1… |
| 06-26 01:34:38 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xa7c6d1… |
| 06-26 01:34:38 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 19¢ | $4 | 0xa7c6d1… |
| 06-26 01:34:38 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0xa7c6d1… |
| 06-25 22:38:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 19¢ | $10 | 0x2d10f0… |
| 06-25 22:38:14 | Profitable-Punishment 0x5739…b180 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 19¢ | $10 | 0x2d10f0… |
| 06-25 16:23:10 | Simple-Goddess 0xda37…f8cc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x1624f1… |
| 06-25 16:23:10 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x1624f1… |
| 06-25 16:20:52 | Colossal-Pirate 0x848f…612f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xc1174f… |
| 06-25 16:20:52 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xc1174f… |
| 06-25 15:27:56 | (anonymous) 0x023d…3431 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x1d0da8… |
| 06-25 15:27:56 | Colossal-Pirate 0x848f…612f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x1d0da8… |
| 06-25 15:00:55 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 8 | 76¢ | $6 | 0xe09df3… |
| 06-25 15:00:55 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xe09df3… |
| 06-25 14:59:26 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 8 | 75¢ | $6 | 0x690e8c… |
| 06-25 14:59:26 | Simple-Goddess 0xda37…f8cc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x690e8c… |
| 06-25 14:59:26 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 25¢ | $3 | 0x690e8c… |
| 06-23 19:43:14 | (anonymous) 0x023d…3431 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0x7a38fb… |
| 06-23 19:43:14 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0x7a38fb… |
| 06-17 07:31:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 41¢ | $13 | 0x505a4d… |
| 06-17 07:31:04 | (anonymous) 0x764f…64a1 | No | BUY | 31 | 59¢ | $18 | 0x505a4d… |
| 06-16 22:31:04 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x21f8bd… |
| 06-16 22:31:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x21f8bd… |
| 06-16 22:31:04 | Profitable-Punishment 0x5739…b180 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 32¢ | $5 | 0x21f8bd… |
| 06-15 21:48:01 | (anonymous) 0xd990…749e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x664aca… |
| 06-15 21:48:01 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | No | SELL | 5 | 70¢ | $3 | 0x664aca… |
| 06-15 17:18:48 | Profitable-Punishment 0x5739…b180 | Yes | SELL | 56 | 32¢ | $18 | 0xaf0d4e… |
| 06-15 17:18:48 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 32¢ | $18 | 0xaf0d4e… |
| 06-15 17:18:24 | Profitable-Punishment 0x5739…b180 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x952c36… |
| 06-15 17:18:24 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x952c36… |
| 06-15 17:18:09 | Profitable-Punishment 0x5739…b180 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 31¢ | $9 | 0xe4b275… |
| 06-15 17:18:09 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 31¢ | $9 | 0xe4b275… |
| 06-15 16:09:55 | (anonymous) 0x99bc…4f35 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x050aa7… |
| 06-15 16:09:55 | (anonymous) 0x5147…f078 | No | SELL | 41 | 68¢ | $28 | 0x050aa7… |
| 06-15 16:09:55 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | BUY | 15 | 70¢ | $10 | 0x050aa7… |
| 06-15 16:09:55 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | No | BUY | 5 | 52¢ | $2 | 0x050aa7… |
| 06-13 14:41:31 | (anonymous) 0x99bc…4f35 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 44¢ | $4 | 0x00a03b… |
| 06-13 14:41:31 | (anonymous) 0xf365…f5e3 | No | SELL | 9 | 56¢ | $5 | 0x00a03b… |
| 06-11 19:31:25 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xb2d213… |
| 06-11 19:31:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 18 | 78¢ | $14 | 0xb2d213… |
| 06-11 19:31:21 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0xf3375f… |
| 06-11 19:31:21 | (anonymous) 0xd990…749e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xf3375f… |