Favorable-Conduct-Leverage 0xd3316c…7e733c
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$128.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$9.71K
Hit rate
54.2%
Resolved
3,728
Trades
10,821
lifetime
Volume
$1.74M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$161
Open exposure
$52.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-01
last 08-20 15:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 126 days
Categories
Other
74% 46% -$105,480
Sports
23% 50% -$25,679
Crypto
2% 71% +$1,037
Politics
1% 75% +$1,788
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 189 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +9,780 $4,152 96¢ $9.3K +$5,188 07-31 20:30
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +8,609 $5,852 100¢ $8.6K +$2,719 08-03 00:24
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +5,533 $4,008 82¢ $4.6K +$556 08-16 05:06
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +3,360 $3,087 97¢ $3.3K +$170 06-30 03:29
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +3,127 $2,489 96¢ $3.0K +$498 07-19 16:33
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +2,958 $2,194 97¢ $2.9K +$672 08-10 14:23
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +3,475 $2,605 82¢ $2.8K +$245 08-14 09:05
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +3,401 $1,919 72¢ $2.5K +$547 08-11 08:17
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +5,004 $2,726 32¢ $1.6K -$1,100 08-07 00:28
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +1,518 $1,433 96¢ $1.5K +$20 07-07 09:42
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +1,636 $857 88¢ $1.4K +$591 07-19 13:09
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +1,393 $1,133 96¢ $1.3K +$203 06-24 12:43
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 No +1,004 $808 98¢ $979 +$171 07-08 09:59
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? No +1,183 $458 82¢ $970 +$511 07-29 07:04
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +840 $712 94¢ $785 +$73 08-06 15:28
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +851 $622 86¢ $728 +$106 07-17 07:44
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +3,452 $902 18¢ $621 -$281 08-10 18:46
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +689 $507 88¢ $610 +$102 07-29 16:03
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +572 $556 100¢ $571 +$15 07-29 06:55
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +504 $477 98¢ $492 +$15 06-04 17:50
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +634 $336 77¢ $488 +$152 07-27 07:52
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +510 $411 94¢ $477 +$66 07-21 21:37
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +1,666 $714 26¢ $441 -$272 07-30 10:35
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +443 $414 94¢ $415 +$1 06-30 03:10
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +894 $670 44¢ $398 -$272 07-24 15:44
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +8,422 $1,486 4¢ $345 -$1,141 07-12 02:43
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +334 $254 94¢ $312 +$58 05-28 16:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +297 $270 96¢ $285 +$15 06-11 22:49
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +314 $221 89¢ $279 +$59 07-08 17:59
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No +225 $200 96¢ $216 +$15 08-15 09:56