Favorable-Conduct-Leverage 0xd3316c…7e733c
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$3.36K
Unrealized P&L
-$301
Hit rate
56.6%
Resolved
153
Trades
2,356
lifetime
Volume
$592.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$252
Open exposure
$10.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-01
last 06-09 22:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
69% 57% $-7,224
Sports
30% 47% +$3,861
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
1% — —
Politics
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 173 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +4,021 $3,025 75¢ $3.0K $-10 06-08 11:40
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +3,433 $1,864 46¢ $1.6K $-267 06-09 03:38
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +1,547 $1,109 70¢ $1.1K $-18 06-07 12:21
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +840 $630 77¢ $647 +$17 06-07 13:43
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +2,418 $627 23¢ $556 $-71 06-10 01:15
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +504 $477 94¢ $476 $-1 06-04 17:50
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 No +522 $403 81¢ $423 +$20 06-07 13:00
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,610 $438 15¢ $379 $-59 06-09 15:26
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026? No +303 $292 97¢ $293 +$1 06-08 08:14
Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +264 $243 94¢ $247 +$4 06-08 15:46
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +334 $254 74¢ $245 $-8 05-28 16:21
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? No +665 $232 36¢ $239 +$7 06-05 04:24
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +397 $158 40¢ $157 $-1 06-02 13:51
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026? No +100 $96 97¢ $97 +$1 06-09 03:32
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +100 $86 90¢ $90 +$4 06-04 08:55
Hyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +1,203 $32 7¢ $89 +$57 06-09 08:34
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? Yes +173 $102 45¢ $79 $-23 06-04 00:55
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +101 $44 50¢ $50 +$6 06-04 14:28
Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +589 $8 8¢ $48 +$40 06-08 12:25
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +100 $43 48¢ $48 +$5 06-06 16:47
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +74 $33 56¢ $42 +$9 05-29 17:04
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +42 $34 86¢ $36 +$2 05-30 19:24
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +100 $32 26¢ $26 $-6 06-09 07:28
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +53 $27 48¢ $25 $-2 06-07 02:44
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +39 $12 26¢ $10 $-2 06-07 00:43
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +43 $11 23¢ $10 $-1 06-04 17:30
Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +100 $5 7¢ $7 +$2 06-06 07:07
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No +8 $6 70¢ $6 +$0 05-29 05:38
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +203 $7 3¢ $5 $-1 06-07 10:00
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026? Yes +134 $9 3¢ $4 $-5 06-03 09:08