Daring-Pirate 0x5446fe…2218f6
2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$607
Unrealized P&L
+$79
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
296
lifetime
Volume
$17.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$59
Open exposure
$4.47K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 07-01 21:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
43% 0% $-485
Other
42% 0% $-122
Sports
7% — —
Tech
6% — —
Pop-Culture
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? No +1,139 $468 52¢ $598 +$130 06-04 21:50
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? No +526 $415 84¢ $442 +$27 06-22 06:57
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? No -469 $-436 90¢ $-424 +$12 06-03 21:46
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +474 $384 76¢ $358 $-26 06-15 21:55
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +1,006 $633 25¢ $251 $-382 06-11 02:40
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -660 $-319 30¢ $-198 +$121 06-03 03:04
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? No +220 $157 86¢ $190 +$33 06-15 05:05
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? Yes -189 $-159 98¢ $-186 $-27 06-02 04:06
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No -440 $-185 42¢ $-185 $-0 06-11 16:47
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? Yes -196 $-171 84¢ $-166 +$5 06-19 17:21
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +166 $146 92¢ $153 +$7 06-06 23:04
Weed rescheduled by December 31? Yes -527 $-150 22¢ $-116 +$33 06-09 02:35
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027? No -130 $-117 88¢ $-114 +$3 06-09 16:27
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +124 $111 90¢ $113 +$2 06-06 05:49
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +235 $140 42¢ $99 $-42 06-11 16:46
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? Yes -730 $-95 13¢ $-95 +$0 07-01 19:58
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -115 $-91 80¢ $-91 $-0 06-29 17:30
Tom Holland as Spider-Man? No -189 $-83 45¢ $-86 $-3 06-10 16:27
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -128 $-132 66¢ $-85 +$47 06-30 17:34
Will the US federal government take a stake in Freeport-McMoRan Inc.? No +77 $55 89¢ $69 +$13 06-20 03:33
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +400 $48 16¢ $64 +$16 05-29 19:35
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau? Yes -80 $-64 74¢ $-59 +$5 05-28 16:39
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? Yes -435 $-105 14¢ $-59 +$46 06-12 16:50
Vanta IPO before 2027? No +55 $39 88¢ $49 +$9 06-17 06:18
Will JUUL relaunch Crème Brûlée flavor by 2027? No +75 $50 62¢ $47 $-3 05-30 22:08
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau? No +154 $26 26¢ $41 +$15 06-02 15:46
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes -155 $-64 26¢ $-40 +$24 06-25 00:47
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No +99 $11 40¢ $40 +$29 05-29 20:37
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +180 $34 18¢ $33 $-1 06-08 19:42
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +100 $37 24¢ $24 $-12 06-06 05:50