Daring-Pirate 0x5446fe…2218f6
hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.35K
Unrealized P&L
-$254
Hit rate
73.9%
Resolved
202
Trades
1,466
lifetime
Volume
$97.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$66
Open exposure
$3.03K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 10-27 06:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 82 days
Categories
Other
60% 61% +$405
Politics
28% 51% +$281
Sports
7% 47% +$371
Pop-Culture
2% 75% +$324
Tech
2% 0% -$32
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? No +474 $361 96¢ $456 +$96 09-10 20:42
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat? Yes +242 $218 97¢ $235 +$17 05-17 17:05
US recession by end of 2026? No +249 $209 92¢ $230 +$21 09-15 21:54
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North? No +221 $166 74¢ $165 -$1 09-28 22:06
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +166 $153 97¢ $161 +$8 06-06 23:04
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +200 $160 80¢ $159 -$1 10-24 18:37
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +200 $158 78¢ $157 -$1 10-22 21:03
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +180 $125 78¢ $141 +$16 07-22 22:33
Anduril IPO before 2027? No +132 $106 98¢ $130 +$24 05-13 16:12
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +133 $69 93¢ $124 +$55 10-19 19:51
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No +122 -$226 94¢ $115 +$341 10-25 06:26
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +251 $73 36¢ $90 +$17 06-10 17:15
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +532 $256 16¢ $85 -$171 06-03 03:04
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? No +84 $29 97¢ $82 +$53 10-05 00:41
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No -705 -$472 12¢ $-81 +$391 05-20 23:47
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? No +70 $58 97¢ $68 +$10 07-23 21:13
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +510 $65 12¢ $64 -$1 05-29 19:35
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +782 $131 8¢ $59 -$72 06-17 06:23
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes -198 -$93 26¢ $-50 +$42 07-09 17:39
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +335 $287 15¢ $50 -$237 10-07 14:59
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +150 $36 27¢ $40 +$4 09-27 15:57
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +384 $55 10¢ $40 -$15 10-21 00:45
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +38 $30 94¢ $36 +$5 08-06 23:16
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Yes +134 $63 26¢ $35 -$28 08-01 21:25
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +237 $152 14¢ $32 -$120 09-17 17:37
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +1,006 $633 3¢ $30 -$603 06-11 02:40
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +218 $58 14¢ $29 -$29 08-28 01:43
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +441 $127 6¢ $29 -$99 08-12 17:37
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No -100 -$46 26¢ $-26 +$20 07-09 17:39
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? No +30 $24 86¢ $26 +$2 09-04 03:40