Daring-Pirate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$607

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

431

lifetime

Volume

$26.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 08-11 18:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

59% 0% $-122

Politics

30% 0% $-485

Sports

5% — —

Tech

4% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	27	$1.5K	3,109	2,464	+645	open	—	05-10 17:58
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	18	$1.4K	2,033	1,492	+542	open	—	04-27 14:46
israeli parliament dissolved by june 15	6	$1.1K	607	600	+7	open	—	06-12 20:12
Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	6	$829	888	658	+230	open	—	07-11 00:44
will future feature playboi carti on the real me 20260624160542259	4	$804	806	188	+618	open	—	07-10 04:38
Will Eric Swalwell drop out before California primary?	2	$727	391	391	+0	open	—	04-13 02:32
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	8	$693	1,146	445	+701	open	—	07-09 17:41
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	6	$688	843	0	+843	open	—	07-12 07:48
Will Richarlison be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	10	$642	355	355	+0	open	—	05-24 20:48
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	6	$640	330	765	-435	open	—	07-06 15:45
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	10	$633	1,006	0	+1,006	open	—	06-11 02:40
will future feature young thug on the real me 20260624160542254	5	$584	795	0	+795	open	—	07-10 04:22
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	2	$526	346	346	+0	open	—	07-01 19:59
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	4	$516	300	428	-128	open	—	06-30 17:34
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?	3	$463	591	0	+591	open	—	07-11 18:11
Will Donald Trump visit Alaska in 2026?	21	$456	3,387	100	+3,287	Yes	$-414	05-13 01:30
will future feature jpt cole on the real me 20260624160542261	1	$447	500	0	+500	open	—	07-10 04:31
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?	1	$436	0	469	-469	open	—	06-03 21:46
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	12	$384	474	0	+474	open	—	06-15 21:55
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	3	$350	532	0	+532	open	—	07-23 21:41
will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	3	$341	511	0	+511	open	—	04-29 20:02
israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	6	$337	986	0	+986	open	—	07-03 20:03
will the fda reclassify bpc 157 to category 1 of the bulk drug substances list by december 31 2026 20260622202336522	7	$327	341	341	+0	open	—	07-20 05:18
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?	3	$319	0	660	-660	open	—	06-03 03:04
will future feature metro boomin on the real me 20260624160542262	2	$287	376	0	+376	open	—	07-10 04:22
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	3	$285	420	0	+420	open	—	08-07 23:33
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	2	$285	388	31	+357	open	—	04-20 16:56
us treasury transactions on blockchain by december 31 20260629152656715	1	$281	330	0	+330	open	—	07-09 22:39
Will Drake feature Kendrick Lamar on ICEMAN?	2	$280	149	149	+1	open	—	04-27 14:53
will metas q1 headcount be above 78000	6	$273	445	32	+413	open	—	04-29 20:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 02:23:58	Discord IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	165	27¢	$45	0x16e474…
08-12 01:52:34	will belgium participate in eurovision 2027	Yes	SELL	50	53¢	$27	0x2b227b…
08-12 01:09:04	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	94	27¢	$25	0x1214e9…
08-11 18:18:39	will texas be ranked 1 during the 2026 27 cfb season 20260803152822084	Yes	BUY	99	37¢	$37	0x19cd36…
08-11 04:47:33	will georgia be ranked 1 during the 2026 27 cfb season 20260803152822086	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x01c357…
08-11 04:35:22	will ohio stpt make college football playoff semifinals 20260803204732767	No	BUY	88	51¢	$45	0x18a910…
08-11 04:34:12	Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	221	54¢	$119	0x392912…
08-10 21:55:15	will notre dame be ranked 1 during the 2026 27 cfb season 20260803152822083	Yes	BUY	102	26¢	$27	0x4671d3…
08-10 21:53:15	will georgia be ranked 1 during the 2026 27 cfb season 20260803152822086	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xf2e5e0…
08-10 21:35:16	will oregon be ranked 1 during the 2026 27 cfb season 20260803152822085	No	BUY	101	50¢	$50	0xcfab22…
08-10 21:34:43	will oregon be ranked 1 during the 2026 27 cfb season 20260803152822085	No	BUY	105	50¢	$52	0xcf281c…
08-10 18:09:21	will canada participate in eurovision 2027	No	BUY	155	9¢	$14	0x21c8ea…
08-10 08:36:16	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	239	31¢	$74	0xdb042a…
08-09 19:19:19	will any ai model reach a chatbot arena score of at least 1530 by december 31	Yes	BUY	144	30¢	$43	0x3e3991…
08-09 00:20:07	will any ai model reach a chatbot arena score of at least 1540 by december 31	Yes	BUY	99	20¢	$20	0x1c943c…
08-08 23:57:33	will lsu make college football playoff semifinals 20260803204732757	Yes	BUY	180	6¢	$11	0x3dea46…
08-08 09:43:01	will any ai model reach a chatbot arena score of at least 1520 by december 31	Yes	BUY	199	50¢	$99	0x72f5b3…
08-08 02:54:31	Alix Earle on Call Her Daddy by December 31?	No	BUY	66	73¢	$48	0x0259a6…
08-07 23:33:43	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	70¢	$64	0x96f683…
08-07 22:52:34	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	224	68¢	$152	0x68f0ae…
08-07 22:40:12	will any ai model reach a chatbot arena score of at least 1530 by december 31	Yes	BUY	65	30¢	$20	0xf94c52…
08-07 21:10:10	next mythos class model released by september 30 2026 695	No	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0xc62c1b…
08-07 21:08:28	next mythos class model released by september 30 2026 695	No	BUY	199	27¢	$54	0xa49986…
08-07 19:58:36	will israel participate in eurovision 2027	No	SELL	80	36¢	$28	0x24569b…
08-07 19:42:09	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	66¢	$69	0xc7fc42…
08-07 18:06:31	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	73	94¢	$68	0x6198a0…
08-07 17:52:57	will mitch mcconnell vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821977	Yes	SELL	184	3¢	$5	0xa5e9d8…
08-07 06:34:21	Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?	No	BUY	25	73¢	$18	0xd93e87…
08-07 06:34:07	Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?	No	BUY	106	72¢	$76	0x5bfcfa…
08-07 06:15:04	Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?	No	BUY	170	69¢	$117	0xac81de…
08-07 06:13:10	Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?	Yes	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0xfa32ca…
08-07 04:08:45	Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	72¢	$29	0x54b5c9…
08-06 23:44:23	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	SELL	124	91¢	$113	0xbe9c3b…
08-06 23:16:15	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0xe7e725…
08-06 19:59:20	will kazakhstan participate in eurovision 2027	Yes	BUY	101	10¢	$10	0x01de88…
08-06 19:13:24	Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	26	25¢	$6	0xdadf1a…
08-06 06:51:51	will israel participate in eurovision 2027	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x78f804…
08-06 06:51:09	will kazakhstan participate in eurovision 2027	Yes	BUY	99	10¢	$10	0x7cf6eb…
08-04 18:20:29	Tom Holland as Spider-Man?	No	SELL	172	59¢	$102	0x7a60e8…
08-03 08:25:03	will rwanda have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	107	70¢	$75	0x3de019…
08-02 20:35:17	will belgium participate in eurovision 2027	Yes	BUY	93	25¢	$23	0xa9b604…
08-02 20:19:36	will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	251	77¢	$193	0x64e7f5…
07-26 02:37:33	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	Yes	BUY	284	53¢	$151	0xf955ef…
07-25 07:04:37	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	No	BUY	243	79¢	$191	0xc16f1b…
07-24 07:49:46	will mitch mcconnell vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821977	Yes	BUY	140	37¢	$52	0x05506d…
07-24 07:32:24	will mitch mcconnell vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821977	Yes	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0xff9205…
07-24 07:30:37	will mitch mcconnell vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821977	Yes	BUY	33	33¢	$11	0x0c428e…
07-24 03:58:22	Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?	No	SELL	240	12¢	$29	0xd34376…
07-23 21:41:27	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	201	79¢	$159	0xd71226…
07-23 21:13:30	Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	70	83¢	$58	0x0a81b1…
07-23 20:44:15	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	201	79¢	$159	0x82fa1b…
07-23 18:12:24	will lisa murkowski vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821975	Yes	BUY	55	54¢	$30	0x37462e…
07-21 20:35:58	Will NewJeans release a song in 2026?	No	BUY	109	30¢	$33	0x7a2081…
07-21 08:52:21	Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?	Yes	SELL	87	84¢	$73	0x8688a6…
07-20 05:18:42	will the fda reclassify bpc 157 to category 1 of the bulk drug substances list by december 31 2026 20260622202336522	No	SELL	66	41¢	$27	0x5b34c7…
07-20 05:18:24	will the fda reclassify bpc 157 to category 1 of the bulk drug substances list by december 31 2026 20260622202336522	No	SELL	100	44¢	$44	0x35d771…
07-18 17:22:46	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 assists declan rice gte1	Yes	BUY	271	8¢	$20	0xa21879…
07-17 20:33:34	Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?	No	SELL	200	22¢	$44	0x68a79e…
07-17 05:27:15	will the fda reclassify bpc 157 to category 1 of the bulk drug substances list by december 31 2026 20260622202336522	No	SELL	55	72¢	$39	0x89df13…
07-17 04:59:51	Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?	No	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0x58fce2…
07-16 22:20:34	Benedict Wong as Wong?	No	SELL	35	27¢	$10	0x5e7744…
07-16 22:18:32	Benedict Wong as Wong?	No	SELL	55	27¢	$15	0x059637…
07-16 21:28:28	will shea langeliers hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210646866	No	BUY	130	74¢	$96	0x040ad1…
07-16 18:02:10	will james wood hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210646863	No	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x01aafc…
07-16 00:24:52	will the fda reclassify bpc 157 to category 1 of the bulk drug substances list by december 31 2026 20260622202336522	No	SELL	60	61¢	$37	0x2c678e…
07-15 02:54:14	will the fda reclassify bpc 157 to category 1 of the bulk drug substances list by december 31 2026 20260622202336522	No	SELL	60	66¢	$40	0x6c7d89…
07-13 00:22:05	Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?	No	SELL	99	71¢	$70	0x98221f…
07-12 22:37:02	Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts?	No	SELL	42	52¢	$22	0x7f861c…
07-12 07:48:16	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	317	86¢	$273	0xf9916f…
07-11 18:11:35	Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	201	79¢	$159	0x4f200c…
07-11 07:44:23	Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts?	No	BUY	42	39¢	$16	0x02c1ee…
07-11 02:12:26	Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez?	Yes	SELL	98	62¢	$61	0x6450cc…
07-11 00:44:28	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	658	86¢	$566	0xcf477a…
07-10 21:57:25	Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	201	79¢	$158	0xb50a3d…
07-10 04:42:17	will future feature ty dolla ign on the real me 20260624160542266	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0xbc0795…
07-10 04:38:10	will future feature playboi carti on the real me 20260624160542259	No	BUY	218	89¢	$193	0x1c00d4…
07-10 04:34:05	Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?	Yes	SELL	268	55¢	$148	0x5f83ca…
07-10 04:31:50	will future feature jpt cole on the real me 20260624160542261	No	BUY	500	89¢	$447	0xa4135d…
07-10 04:28:58	will future feature playboi carti on the real me 20260624160542259	No	BUY	400	85¢	$340	0x96f3d2…
07-10 04:27:02	will future feature travis scott on the real me 20260624160542257	No	BUY	89	90¢	$80	0xce4d0f…
07-10 04:22:55	will future feature giveon on the real me 20260624160542272	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x02360e…
07-10 04:22:44	will future feature lil durk on the real me 20260624160542271	No	BUY	52	78¢	$40	0x546731…
07-10 04:22:31	will future feature metro boomin on the real me 20260624160542262	No	BUY	261	90¢	$234	0xf00fcf…
07-10 04:22:13	will future feature young thug on the real me 20260624160542254	No	BUY	469	83¢	$391	0x82994d…
07-10 04:04:38	will future feature travis scott on the real me 20260624160542257	No	BUY	92	79¢	$73	0xb97794…
07-10 03:44:55	will future feature travis scott on the real me 20260624160542257	No	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0x046bf0…
07-10 01:01:16	Tom Holland as Spider-Man?	No	SELL	18	25¢	$4	0x58543b…
07-10 00:08:19	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	235	9¢	$21	0xc4ccdc…
07-09 22:39:02	us treasury transactions on blockchain by december 31 20260629152656715	No	BUY	330	85¢	$281	0x84623b…
07-09 17:41:44	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	No	SELL	278	49¢	$136	0xce8078…
07-09 17:28:43	Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	189	77¢	$146	0xa704be…
07-08 19:42:40	Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	120	79¢	$95	0xa515d6…
07-08 16:51:16	will future feature kendrick lamar on the real me 20260624160542267	Yes	BUY	341	7¢	$23	0x8ad818…
07-08 14:24:56	will any state enact a data center moratorium by december 31 20260707003733282	No	BUY	38	28¢	$11	0xcc84d2…
07-08 14:23:20	will any state enact a data center moratorium by december 31 20260707003733282	No	BUY	78	26¢	$20	0xa16fa7…
07-08 05:39:55	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	BUY	163	91¢	$148	0xedc810…
07-08 05:37:43	will future feature young thug on the real me 20260624160542254	No	BUY	95	69¢	$65	0x806e10…
07-07 17:18:22	Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	115	36¢	$41	0x47047c…
07-06 15:45:01	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	SELL	80	86¢	$69	0x77698d…
07-05 20:59:29	will future feature young thug on the real me 20260624160542254	No	BUY	33	57¢	$19	0x4e56d2…