Daring-Pirate 0x5446fe…2218f6
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$607
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
382
lifetime
Volume
$23.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$63
Open exposure
$5.12K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 07-21 20:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
55% 0% $-122
Politics
33% 0% $-485
Sports
5% — —
Tech
5% — —
Pop-Culture
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? No +843 $688 92¢ $777 +$90 07-12 07:48
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? No +591 $463 78¢ $461 $-2 07-11 18:11
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? No -469 $-436 92¢ $-429 +$7 06-03 21:46
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? No +701 $249 50¢ $350 +$102 07-09 17:41
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +474 $384 66¢ $313 $-71 06-15 21:55
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No -440 $-185 60¢ $-266 $-82 06-11 16:47
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? Yes -283 $-244 84¢ $-238 +$6 07-21 08:52
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +1,006 $633 20¢ $196 $-437 06-11 02:40
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -235 $-186 78¢ $-182 +$4 07-08 19:42
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -660 $-319 26¢ $-168 +$150 06-03 03:04
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? Yes -268 $-148 62¢ $-166 $-19 07-10 04:34
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +166 $146 96¢ $159 +$12 06-06 23:04
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan? No -199 $-141 72¢ $-142 $-1 07-17 04:59
Weed rescheduled by December 31? Yes -527 $-150 26¢ $-136 +$14 06-09 02:35
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? Yes +735 $76 16¢ $121 +$46 07-10 00:08
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027? No -130 $-117 87¢ $-113 +$4 06-09 16:27
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +124 $111 91¢ $113 +$2 06-06 05:49
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -128 $-132 66¢ $-85 +$47 06-30 17:34
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +235 $140 34¢ $79 $-62 06-11 16:46
Tom Holland as Spider-Man? No -207 $-88 34¢ $-71 +$16 07-10 01:01
Will the US federal government take a stake in Freeport-McMoRan Inc.? No +77 $55 92¢ $70 +$15 06-20 03:33
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? Yes -730 $-95 9¢ $-66 +$29 07-01 19:58
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau? No +154 $26 36¢ $56 +$29 06-02 15:46
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? Yes -435 $-105 12¢ $-54 +$50 06-12 16:50
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes -155 $-64 35¢ $-54 +$10 06-25 00:47
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +400 $48 13¢ $52 +$4 05-29 19:35
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau? Yes -80 $-64 64¢ $-51 +$13 05-28 16:39
Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez? Yes -98 $-61 52¢ $-50 +$10 07-11 02:12
Vanta IPO before 2027? No +55 $39 90¢ $50 +$11 06-17 06:18
Will JUUL relaunch Crème Brûlée flavor by 2027? No +75 $50 64¢ $48 $-2 05-30 22:08