Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
open
Total volume
$4,341
Trades
219
Unique wallets
49
Liquidity
$3,729
Latest YES mid
56¢
Latest NO mid
44¢
End date
2026-11-03
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-15 15:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-54.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $88
vs crowd: 54% YES on $3.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 11 | $1.2K | $327 | +$902 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $346 | $150 | +$196 |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $15 | $722 | $707 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $304 | $400 | $96 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $88 | $88 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $5 | $107 | $102 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $37 | $40 | $3 |
| Median | 2 | — | $50 | $50 |
| Below median | 9 | $211 | $221 | $9 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $80 | $80 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $331 | $701 | $371 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $1.3K | $147 | +$1.1K |
| unranked | 13 | $38 | $165 | $127 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Near-Familiar 0x6139…6b7a | Yes | +1,784 | $1,061 | $1,061 | 7 | 06-04 20:49 |
| Daring-Pirate 0x5446…18f6 | No | +1,139 | $468 | $473 | 6 | 06-04 21:50 |
| Sane-Area 0x01da…915b | No | +370 | $149 | $149 | 3 | 05-29 17:34 |
| Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | +350 | $181 | $181 | 7 | 06-15 00:37 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +228 | $83 | $94 | 7 | 06-01 10:26 |
| theginth 0xbd62…6a7e | No | +200 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 06-10 21:14 |
| Noxious-Newsletter 0xb902…31e2 | No | +188 | $135 | $135 | 5 | 06-05 07:24 |
| Noxious-Newsletter 0xb902…31e2 | Yes | +187 | $100 | $100 | 10 | 06-05 08:06 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | +128 | $92 | $212 | 8 | 06-06 16:14 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | +128 | $55 | $129 | 3 | 06-04 05:20 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +127 | $75 | $195 | 3 | 05-29 17:34 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +111 | $44 | $116 | 4 | 06-04 21:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x93a9…0b88 | Yes | +108 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 06-05 07:24 |
| Personal-Councilman 0x6358…cc23 | No | +104 | $37 | $37 | 18 | 05-30 22:07 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | +70 | $23 | $23 | 3 | 06-04 18:06 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +41 | $26 | $29 | 10 | 06-01 01:43 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +36 | $19 | $19 | 4 | 06-05 08:06 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +31 | $11 | $31 | 4 | 06-15 00:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +25 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 06-15 15:33 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +15 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 06-05 07:46 |
| Required-Pasta 0xe751…5a2a | No | +15 | $1 | $31 | 3 | 06-08 00:12 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +8 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-05 07:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +8 | $4 | $5 | 3 | 06-12 22:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 06:32 |
| Exhausted-Patina-Disability 0x1206…1362 | No | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-29 20:38 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 16:14 |
| Bare-Patch-Airbag 0xc9af…91e5 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-10 21:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +5 | $2 | $6 | 3 | 06-08 00:12 |
| Modern-Supervisor 0x7ab8…eb56 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-14 01:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x710d…6f1c | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-14 01:15 |
| Sore-Deathwatch 0xfbae…ea25 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 01:43 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-29 20:03 |
| Traumatic-Info 0x2799…d796 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-04 09:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | No | +1 | $1 | $6 | 2 | 06-06 06:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 15:35:06 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | SELL | 3 | 46¢ | $1 | 0xb58779… |
| 06-15 15:35:06 | (anonymous) 0xd78c…1327 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 54¢ | $1 | 0xb58779… |
| 06-15 15:33:15 | (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | BUY | 3 | 44¢ | $1 | 0x24821f… |
| 06-15 15:33:15 | (anonymous) 0xd78c…1327 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 56¢ | $1 | 0x24821f… |
| 06-15 00:37:21 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 55¢ | $29 | 0xd912fb… |
| 06-15 00:37:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 45¢ | $14 | 0xd912fb… |
| 06-15 00:37:21 | (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | BUY | 22 | 45¢ | $10 | 0xd912fb… |
| 06-14 01:15:00 | (anonymous) 0x710d…6f1c | No | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x7c2757… |
| 06-14 01:15:00 | Modern-Supervisor 0x7ab8…eb56 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x7c2757… |
| 06-12 22:54:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 44¢ | $0 | 0x880712… |
| 06-12 22:54:07 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | SELL | 1 | 44¢ | $0 | 0x880712… |
| 06-11 13:18:07 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 56¢ | $7 | 0x77f72b… |
| 06-11 13:18:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | BUY | 12 | 44¢ | $5 | 0x77f72b… |
| 06-11 09:06:55 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 52¢ | $10 | 0xe1cad4… |
| 06-11 09:06:55 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | Yes | SELL | 50 | 53¢ | $26 | 0xe1cad4… |
| 06-10 21:14:01 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 205 | 51¢ | $105 | 0x8685b1… |
| 06-10 21:14:01 | Bare-Patch-Airbag 0xc9af…91e5 | No | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x8685b1… |
| 06-10 21:14:01 | theginth 0xbd62…6a7e | No | BUY | 200 | 49¢ | $98 | 0x8685b1… |
| 06-10 11:34:51 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | SELL | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x5d0498… |
| 06-10 11:34:51 | Quaint-Straw 0x8972…2283 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0x5d0498… |
| 06-09 15:42:31 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 94 | 51¢ | $48 | 0x09e658… |
| 06-09 15:42:31 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | No | SELL | 94 | 49¢ | $46 | 0x09e658… |
| 06-09 15:41:39 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | SELL | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xab6f69… |
| 06-09 15:41:39 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xab6f69… |
| 06-09 09:34:24 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | No | BUY | 94 | 50¢ | $47 | 0xbd1002… |
| 06-09 09:34:24 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 94 | 50¢ | $47 | 0xbd1002… |
| 06-09 09:11:18 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | No | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x2abe12… |
| 06-09 09:11:18 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x2abe12… |
| 06-09 09:11:00 | Quaint-Straw 0x8972…2283 | No | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xb1f0a0… |
| 06-09 09:11:00 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | No | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xb1f0a0… |
| 06-08 00:12:10 | Required-Pasta 0xe751…5a2a | No | BUY | 15 | 54¢ | $8 | 0xceb9b9… |
| 06-08 00:12:10 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 46¢ | $1 | 0xceb9b9… |
| 06-08 00:12:10 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 12 | 54¢ | $6 | 0xceb9b9… |
| 06-06 23:51:10 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0xe24e27… |
| 06-06 23:51:10 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0xe24e27… |
| 06-06 23:51:10 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0xe24e27… |
| 06-06 23:49:27 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0x7a2002… |
| 06-06 23:49:27 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x7a2002… |
| 06-06 23:49:27 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x7a2002… |
| 06-06 21:38:00 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | BUY | 31 | 37¢ | $11 | 0x496aef… |
| 06-06 21:38:00 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 37¢ | $6 | 0x496aef… |
| 06-06 21:38:00 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x496aef… |
| 06-06 21:38:00 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x496aef… |
| 06-06 16:14:25 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xafe364… |
| 06-06 16:14:25 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 39¢ | $7 | 0xafe364… |
| 06-06 16:14:25 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 31¢ | $3 | 0xafe364… |
| 06-06 16:14:25 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | SELL | 64 | 35¢ | $22 | 0xafe364… |
| 06-06 16:14:25 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | SELL | 8 | 65¢ | $5 | 0xafe364… |
| 06-06 06:32:37 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 58¢ | $5 | 0xb8ffe3… |
| 06-06 06:32:37 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 58¢ | $5 | 0xea0438… |
| 06-06 06:32:37 | Rural-Twist 0x2654…b45f | No | SELL | 8 | 42¢ | $3 | 0xb8ffe3… |
| 06-06 06:32:37 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 58¢ | $5 | 0xea0438… |
| 06-06 06:30:27 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | No | SELL | 6 | 42¢ | $3 | 0x020cab… |
| 06-06 06:30:27 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 58¢ | $4 | 0x020cab… |
| 06-06 06:07:06 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | No | BUY | 8 | 47¢ | $4 | 0x036d71… |
| 06-06 06:07:06 | Hairy-Absence 0x0435…cf1d | No | SELL | 51 | 41¢ | $21 | 0x036d71… |
| 06-06 06:07:06 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 60¢ | $12 | 0x036d71… |
| 06-06 06:07:06 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | BUY | 10 | 40¢ | $4 | 0x036d71… |
| 06-05 08:06:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 6 | 49¢ | $3 | 0xe66190… |
| 06-05 08:06:34 | Noxious-Newsletter 0xb902…31e2 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xe66190… |
| 06-05 08:01:34 | Noxious-Newsletter 0xb902…31e2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 47¢ | $5 | 0x3f78ac… |
| 06-05 08:01:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 53¢ | $5 | 0x3f78ac… |
| 06-05 07:56:34 | Noxious-Newsletter 0xb902…31e2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x48dd7c… |
| 06-05 07:56:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x48dd7c… |
| 06-05 07:51:34 | Noxious-Newsletter 0xb902…31e2 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 51¢ | $5 | 0x0ce39f… |
| 06-05 07:51:34 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | BUY | 9 | 49¢ | $4 | 0x0ce39f… |
| 06-05 07:46:33 | Noxious-Newsletter 0xb902…31e2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 48¢ | $5 | 0xa888c3… |
| 06-05 07:46:33 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xa888c3… |
| 06-05 07:46:33 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 8 | 52¢ | $4 | 0xa888c3… |
| 06-05 07:41:34 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x015ae6… |
| 06-05 07:41:34 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 1 | 48¢ | $0 | 0x015ae6… |
| 06-05 07:41:34 | Noxious-Newsletter 0xb902…31e2 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 48¢ | $5 | 0x015ae6… |
| 06-05 07:36:33 | Noxious-Newsletter 0xb902…31e2 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 42¢ | $5 | 0x2462fc… |
| 06-05 07:36:33 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 3 | 57¢ | $2 | 0x2462fc… |
| 06-05 07:36:33 | Rural-Twist 0x2654…b45f | No | BUY | 8 | 58¢ | $5 | 0x2462fc… |
| 06-05 07:31:34 | Noxious-Newsletter 0xb902…31e2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 46¢ | $5 | 0x60bd0d… |
| 06-05 07:31:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 54¢ | $5 | 0x60bd0d… |
| 06-05 07:26:34 | Noxious-Newsletter 0xb902…31e2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 48¢ | $5 | 0x933627… |
| 06-05 07:26:34 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xf20736… |
| 06-05 07:26:34 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | SELL | 10 | 48¢ | $5 | 0x933627… |
| 06-05 07:26:34 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 3 | 77¢ | $2 | 0xf20736… |
| 06-05 07:24:39 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 8 | 74¢ | $6 | 0x1a8d6f… |
| 06-05 07:24:39 | (anonymous) 0x93a9…0b88 | Yes | BUY | 108 | 27¢ | $29 | 0x1a8d6f… |
| 06-05 07:24:39 | Noxious-Newsletter 0xb902…31e2 | No | BUY | 100 | 73¢ | $73 | 0x1a8d6f… |
| 06-05 06:44:43 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | Yes | BUY | 50 | 29¢ | $14 | 0x062803… |
| 06-05 06:44:43 | Noxious-Newsletter 0xb902…31e2 | No | BUY | 50 | 71¢ | $36 | 0x062803… |
| 06-05 06:44:30 | Required-Pasta 0xe751…5a2a | No | SELL | 21 | 72¢ | $15 | 0x06fddd… |
| 06-05 06:44:30 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x06fddd… |
| 06-05 06:44:30 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x06fddd… |
| 06-05 06:44:30 | Noxious-Newsletter 0xb902…31e2 | No | BUY | 9 | 71¢ | $6 | 0x06fddd… |
| 06-05 06:41:40 | Noxious-Newsletter 0xb902…31e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0xb4d263… |
| 06-05 06:41:40 | Quaint-Straw 0x8972…2283 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xb4d263… |
| 06-05 06:41:37 | Noxious-Newsletter 0xb902…31e2 | No | BUY | 24 | 71¢ | $17 | 0xdd00ca… |
| 06-05 06:41:37 | Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | No | SELL | 24 | 71¢ | $17 | 0xdd00ca… |
| 06-05 00:00:16 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 52¢ | $12 | 0xfefd9f… |
| 06-05 00:00:16 | (anonymous) 0xe633…c0fe | No | SELL | 24 | 48¢ | $11 | 0xfefd9f… |
| 06-04 21:50:03 | Daring-Pirate 0x5446…18f6 | No | BUY | 300 | 42¢ | $125 | 0xdefa1a… |
| 06-04 21:50:03 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | BUY | 130 | 58¢ | $75 | 0xdefa1a… |
| 06-04 21:50:03 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 57 | 41¢ | $23 | 0xdefa1a… |
| 06-04 21:50:03 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | BUY | 13 | 58¢ | $8 | 0xdefa1a… |