Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
open
Total volume
$14,166
Trades
838
Unique wallets
139
Liquidity
$3,729
Latest YES mid
55¢
Latest NO mid
45¢
End date
2026-11-03
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-18 16:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-44.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $795
vs crowd: 44% YES on $9.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 18 | $2.1K | $1.2K | +$883 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 35 | $1.3K | $1.8K | $455 |
| 🐟 Fish | 40 | $289 | $1.4K | $1.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 46 | $443 | $867 | $424 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $795 | $795 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $75 | $254 | $179 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $101 | $70 | +$31 |
| Median | 10 | $50 | $167 | $117 |
| Below median | 18 | $360 | $604 | $244 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $21 | $86 | $65 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 19 | $910 | $1.2K | $273 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $2.2K | $657 | +$1.5K |
| unranked | 63 | $418 | $1.4K | $947 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Near-Familiar 0x6139…6b7a | Yes | +2,399 | $1,341 | $1,341 | 10 | 08-13 07:42 |
| Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | No | +1,072 | $496 | $917 | 40 | 08-16 12:07 |
| Daring-Pirate 0x5446…18f6 | No | +701 | $249 | $693 | 8 | 07-09 17:41 |
| Impassioned-Chef-Steward 0x4c99…6efb | No | +492 | $230 | $230 | 12 | 08-06 17:07 |
| Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | +460 | $236 | $236 | 12 | 06-23 01:55 |
| Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | +389 | $175 | $175 | 3 | 08-13 02:55 |
| Fluid-Clan 0xbbae…13f8 | No | +363 | $170 | $170 | 1 | 07-25 16:22 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | +308 | $130 | $130 | 9 | 06-18 11:16 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +228 | $83 | $94 | 7 | 06-01 10:26 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +222 | $97 | $302 | 19 | 08-16 12:07 |
| theginth 0xbd62…6a7e | No | +202 | $99 | $99 | 2 | 06-17 15:00 |
| Noxious-Newsletter 0xb902…31e2 | No | +187 | $135 | $135 | 6 | 06-22 23:31 |
| Noxious-Newsletter 0xb902…31e2 | Yes | +187 | $100 | $100 | 10 | 06-05 08:06 |
| Sane-Area 0x01da…915b | No | +185 | $68 | $230 | 4 | 07-19 10:49 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +178 | $104 | $327 | 15 | 08-18 16:36 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | +157 | $71 | $71 | 1 | 08-06 17:22 |
| Personal-Councilman 0x6358…cc23 | No | +156 | $61 | $61 | 27 | 08-06 18:14 |
| Worst-Pretzel 0xfd02…fb6a | Yes | +130 | $71 | $71 | 2 | 08-18 16:36 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | +128 | $92 | $212 | 8 | 06-06 16:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | +128 | $68 | $68 | 1 | 08-06 17:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +128 | $61 | $61 | 1 | 08-06 17:06 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | +128 | $55 | $129 | 3 | 06-04 05:20 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +116 | $53 | $53 | 7 | 07-31 23:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x93a9…0b88 | Yes | +108 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 06-05 07:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +91 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 08-06 17:06 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | +87 | $45 | $45 | 4 | 08-06 18:46 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | +87 | $41 | $41 | 3 | 08-06 17:06 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +80 | $42 | $42 | 3 | 08-07 14:08 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | +70 | $38 | $49 | 4 | 06-18 14:24 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | +70 | $40 | $110 | 3 | 06-18 14:24 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | +59 | $35 | $458 | 23 | 08-17 20:55 |
| Functional-Heartthrob 0x1c14…0869 | Yes | +50 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 07-08 11:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xc24f…220b | No | +49 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 08-16 12:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xb8a6…c13f | No | +43 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-14 13:00 |
| Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | No | +41 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 07-26 22:10 |
| Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | No | +40 | $10 | $235 | 33 | 08-17 20:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | +40 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 08-06 18:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | +40 | $22 | $22 | 3 | 08-13 07:42 |
| Rubbery-Curio 0xc54a…5a08 | No | +39 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 07-05 19:58 |
| Immaculate-Hassock 0x84f8…0ff2 | Yes | +34 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 07-06 20:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | +30 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 07-23 15:45 |
| Tidy-Octopus-Escape 0x9c11…847b | No | +22 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 08-05 00:08 |
| Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | +22 | $-13 | $368 | 19 | 07-14 13:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xf453…a674 | No | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-16 12:07 |
| Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | Yes | +19 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-08 11:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xedc4…be57 | No | +18 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-07 02:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x12a7…0e77 | Yes | +18 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 08-12 04:45 |
| Traumatic-Dragon 0xa0cf…3a3a | Yes | +16 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 08-07 09:40 |
| Personal-Councilman 0x6358…cc23 | Yes | +10 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 07-22 06:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 06:32 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 16:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x6706…2341 | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-08 11:32 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $24 | 3 | 08-05 13:37 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-29 23:29 |
| Modern-Supervisor 0x7ab8…eb56 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-14 01:15 |
| Sore-Deathwatch 0xfbae…ea25 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 01:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x0fb4…c6d7 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-08 11:32 |
| Traumatic-Info 0x2799…d796 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-04 09:53 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 16:36:21 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 49¢ | $3 | 0x3fcc2d… |
| 08-18 16:36:21 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x3fcc2d… |
| 08-18 16:36:21 | Worst-Pretzel 0xfd02…fb6a | Yes | BUY | 26 | 49¢ | $13 | 0x3fcc2d… |
| 08-17 20:55:48 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 48¢ | $10 | 0x6cea05… |
| 08-17 20:55:48 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | SELL | 20 | 52¢ | $10 | 0x6cea05… |
| 08-17 20:55:13 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xf7d5d8… |
| 08-17 20:55:13 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | No | BUY | 40 | 51¢ | $20 | 0xf7d5d8… |
| 08-17 20:55:13 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0xf7d5d8… |
| 08-17 20:55:13 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0xf7d5d8… |
| 08-17 20:55:13 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xf7d5d8… |
| 08-16 14:59:33 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $3 | 0xe5622f… |
| 08-16 14:59:33 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $3 | 0xe5622f… |
| 08-16 12:07:18 | (anonymous) 0xf453…a674 | No | BUY | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0xbc39f0… |
| 08-16 12:07:18 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0xbc39f0… |
| 08-16 12:07:18 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 49¢ | $7 | 0x11044d… |
| 08-16 12:07:18 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 3 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x19daa7… |
| 08-16 12:07:18 | (anonymous) 0xec17…0af9 | No | BUY | 14 | 51¢ | $7 | 0x11044d… |
| 08-16 12:07:18 | (anonymous) 0x7157…e799 | No | BUY | 14 | 51¢ | $7 | 0x19daa7… |
| 08-16 12:07:18 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 49¢ | $6 | 0x19daa7… |
| 08-16 12:07:16 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x86d587… |
| 08-16 12:07:16 | Sophisticated-Matchmaker 0x0eec…e587 | No | BUY | 8 | 50¢ | $4 | 0x6584e1… |
| 08-16 12:07:16 | Live-Numismatist 0xdf3b…880a | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x86d587… |
| 08-16 12:07:16 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 8 | 50¢ | $4 | 0x6584e1… |
| 08-16 12:07:15 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | No | BUY | 160 | 49¢ | $78 | 0xf20994… |
| 08-16 12:07:15 | (anonymous) 0xc24f…220b | No | BUY | 8 | 50¢ | $4 | 0x2bd513… |
| 08-16 12:07:15 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 8 | 50¢ | $4 | 0x2bd513… |
| 08-16 12:07:15 | Whirlwind-Exploration 0xe5b1…30b2 | No | SELL | 160 | 49¢ | $78 | 0xf20994… |
| 08-16 11:52:15 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x1130ac… |
| 08-16 11:52:15 | Whirlwind-Exploration 0xe5b1…30b2 | No | SELL | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x1130ac… |
| 08-16 11:52:15 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x1130ac… |
| 08-16 11:52:15 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x1130ac… |
| 08-15 23:31:39 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | SELL | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x142d30… |
| 08-15 23:31:39 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 48¢ | $3 | 0x142d30… |
| 08-15 17:59:00 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x6fb095… |
| 08-15 17:59:00 | Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | No | SELL | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x6fb095… |
| 08-15 14:13:01 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | SELL | 21 | 52¢ | $11 | 0x35693e… |
| 08-15 14:13:01 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 48¢ | $10 | 0x35693e… |
| 08-14 20:18:03 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 48¢ | $3 | 0x38daed… |
| 08-14 20:18:03 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | SELL | 6 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x38daed… |
| 08-14 18:58:31 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | SELL | 37 | 52¢ | $19 | 0x955b2b… |
| 08-14 18:58:31 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | Yes | SELL | 37 | 48¢ | $18 | 0x955b2b… |
| 08-14 17:48:24 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 9 | 51¢ | $5 | 0x6f0bbf… |
| 08-14 17:48:24 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x6f0bbf… |
| 08-14 15:08:10 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | Yes | SELL | 37 | 48¢ | $18 | 0x44371c… |
| 08-14 15:08:10 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | SELL | 37 | 52¢ | $19 | 0x44371c… |
| 08-14 11:03:58 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 48¢ | $19 | 0xbeab4c… |
| 08-14 11:03:58 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | SELL | 40 | 52¢ | $21 | 0xbeab4c… |
| 08-14 11:02:07 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | Yes | SELL | 10 | 48¢ | $5 | 0xaffe5b… |
| 08-14 11:02:07 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | SELL | 10 | 52¢ | $5 | 0xaffe5b… |
| 08-14 11:01:31 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 48¢ | $19 | 0x76a029… |
| 08-14 11:01:31 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | SELL | 40 | 52¢ | $21 | 0x76a029… |
| 08-13 23:42:30 | Whirlwind-Exploration 0xe5b1…30b2 | No | BUY | 40 | 50¢ | $20 | 0x550ba9… |
| 08-13 23:42:30 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 50¢ | $20 | 0x550ba9… |
| 08-13 21:47:42 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xb997d1… |
| 08-13 21:47:42 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xb997d1… |
| 08-13 21:47:40 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x8ca2de… |
| 08-13 21:47:40 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x8ca2de… |
| 08-13 21:47:40 | Whirlwind-Exploration 0xe5b1…30b2 | No | BUY | 30 | 52¢ | $16 | 0x8ca2de… |
| 08-13 21:47:40 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 48¢ | $19 | 0x8ca2de… |
| 08-13 16:41:34 | (anonymous) 0x7157…e799 | No | SELL | 13 | 52¢ | $7 | 0xc1fd04… |
| 08-13 16:41:34 | (anonymous) 0xec17…0af9 | No | SELL | 13 | 52¢ | $7 | 0x0352e3… |
| 08-13 16:41:34 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | No | BUY | 13 | 52¢ | $7 | 0xc1fd04… |
| 08-13 16:41:34 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | No | BUY | 13 | 52¢ | $7 | 0x0352e3… |
| 08-13 16:41:33 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | No | SELL | 13 | 54¢ | $7 | 0xda3013… |
| 08-13 16:41:33 | (anonymous) 0xec17…0af9 | No | BUY | 13 | 54¢ | $7 | 0xda3013… |
| 08-13 16:41:31 | (anonymous) 0x7157…e799 | No | BUY | 13 | 54¢ | $7 | 0x5258b2… |
| 08-13 16:41:31 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | No | SELL | 13 | 54¢ | $7 | 0x5258b2… |
| 08-13 16:41:30 | Sophisticated-Matchmaker 0x0eec…e587 | No | SELL | 4 | 52¢ | $2 | 0x356441… |
| 08-13 16:41:30 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | No | BUY | 4 | 52¢ | $2 | 0x356441… |
| 08-13 16:41:28 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | No | BUY | 0 | 52¢ | $0 | 0xc52923… |
| 08-13 16:41:28 | Sophisticated-Matchmaker 0x0eec…e587 | No | SELL | 0 | 52¢ | $0 | 0xc52923… |
| 08-13 16:26:01 | (anonymous) 0x7157…e799 | No | SELL | 13 | 53¢ | $7 | 0x96a329… |
| 08-13 16:26:01 | (anonymous) 0xec17…0af9 | No | SELL | 13 | 53¢ | $7 | 0x095967… |
| 08-13 16:26:01 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 13 | 53¢ | $7 | 0x96a329… |
| 08-13 16:26:01 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 13 | 53¢ | $7 | 0x095967… |
| 08-13 16:25:58 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | No | SELL | 70 | 54¢ | $38 | 0x2e9955… |
| 08-13 16:25:58 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | No | SELL | 10 | 54¢ | $5 | 0xc1cd51… |
| 08-13 16:25:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 46¢ | $5 | 0xc1cd51… |
| 08-13 16:25:58 | Whirlwind-Exploration 0xe5b1…30b2 | No | BUY | 70 | 54¢ | $38 | 0x2e9955… |
| 08-13 07:42:55 | Near-Familiar 0x6139…6b7a | Yes | BUY | 13 | 45¢ | $6 | 0xe8a414… |
| 08-13 07:42:55 | Near-Familiar 0x6139…6b7a | Yes | BUY | 13 | 45¢ | $6 | 0x48cf61… |
| 08-13 07:42:55 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | No | SELL | 20 | 54¢ | $11 | 0x7786d6… |
| 08-13 07:42:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 46¢ | $9 | 0x7786d6… |
| 08-13 07:42:55 | (anonymous) 0xec17…0af9 | No | BUY | 13 | 55¢ | $7 | 0xe8a414… |
| 08-13 07:42:55 | (anonymous) 0x7157…e799 | No | BUY | 13 | 55¢ | $7 | 0x48cf61… |
| 08-13 07:42:52 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | BUY | 241 | 54¢ | $130 | 0x2e5e98… |
| 08-13 07:42:52 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | No | BUY | 18 | 54¢ | $10 | 0x2e5e98… |
| 08-13 07:42:52 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | No | BUY | 20 | 55¢ | $11 | 0x2e5e98… |
| 08-13 07:42:52 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 47 | 54¢ | $26 | 0x2e5e98… |
| 08-13 07:42:52 | Near-Familiar 0x6139…6b7a | Yes | BUY | 589 | 46¢ | $268 | 0x2e5e98… |
| 08-13 07:42:52 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 12 | 45¢ | $5 | 0x2e5e98… |
| 08-13 07:42:52 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | BUY | 14 | 55¢ | $8 | 0x2e5e98… |
| 08-13 07:42:52 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | SELL | 216 | 45¢ | $97 | 0x2e5e98… |
| 08-13 07:42:52 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 46¢ | $9 | 0x2e5e98… |
| 08-13 02:55:15 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 45¢ | $6 | 0x25f21d… |
| 08-13 02:55:15 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | SELL | 14 | 45¢ | $6 | 0x25f21d… |
| 08-13 02:55:01 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | SELL | 40 | 45¢ | $18 | 0x38382d… |
| 08-13 02:55:01 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 45¢ | $18 | 0x38382d… |
| 08-13 02:51:01 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 45¢ | $4 | 0x439b21… |
| 08-13 02:51:01 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 45¢ | $4 | 0x439b21… |