Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
open
Total volume
$6,013
Trades
359
Unique wallets
78
Liquidity
$3,729
Latest YES mid
50¢
Latest NO mid
50¢
End date
2026-11-03
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-09 01:13
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-53.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $88
vs crowd: 53% YES on $4.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $1.3K | $493 | +$789 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $608 | $277 | +$331 |
| 🐟 Fish | 18 | $201 | $878 | $677 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 34 | $328 | $478 | $151 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $88 | $88 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $12 | $139 | $127 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $63 | $45 | +$18 |
| Median | 4 | $26 | $74 | $48 |
| Below median | 9 | $303 | $366 | $63 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $1 | $80 | $79 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $494 | $730 | $236 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $1.4K | $271 | +$1.1K |
| unranked | 32 | $161 | $333 | $173 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Near-Familiar 0x6139…6b7a | Yes | +1,784 | $1,061 | $1,061 | 7 | 06-04 20:49 |
| Daring-Pirate 0x5446…18f6 | No | +979 | $385 | $557 | 7 | 07-02 18:36 |
| Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | +460 | $236 | $236 | 12 | 06-23 01:55 |
| Sane-Area 0x01da…915b | No | +370 | $149 | $149 | 3 | 05-29 17:34 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | +308 | $130 | $130 | 9 | 06-18 11:16 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +228 | $83 | $94 | 7 | 06-01 10:26 |
| theginth 0xbd62…6a7e | No | +202 | $99 | $99 | 2 | 06-17 15:00 |
| Noxious-Newsletter 0xb902…31e2 | No | +187 | $135 | $135 | 6 | 06-22 23:31 |
| Noxious-Newsletter 0xb902…31e2 | Yes | +187 | $100 | $100 | 10 | 06-05 08:06 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +129 | $76 | $218 | 7 | 07-02 18:36 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | +128 | $92 | $212 | 8 | 06-06 16:14 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | +128 | $55 | $129 | 3 | 06-04 05:20 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +113 | $45 | $117 | 5 | 06-17 15:00 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +111 | $51 | $51 | 6 | 07-02 18:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x93a9…0b88 | Yes | +108 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 06-05 07:24 |
| Personal-Councilman 0x6358…cc23 | No | +104 | $37 | $37 | 18 | 05-30 22:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | +100 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 07-06 18:21 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | +70 | $38 | $49 | 4 | 06-18 14:24 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | +70 | $40 | $110 | 3 | 06-18 14:24 |
| Impassioned-Chef-Steward 0x4c99…6efb | No | +60 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 07-08 16:10 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | +50 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 07-08 16:10 |
| Functional-Heartthrob 0x1c14…0869 | Yes | +50 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 07-08 11:32 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | +50 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 07-08 11:32 |
| Rubbery-Curio 0xc54a…5a08 | No | +39 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 07-05 19:58 |
| Immaculate-Hassock 0x84f8…0ff2 | Yes | +34 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 07-06 20:30 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | +33 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 07-09 01:13 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +22 | $19 | $67 | 15 | 07-05 19:58 |
| Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | Yes | +19 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-08 11:32 |
| Required-Pasta 0xe751…5a2a | No | +15 | $1 | $31 | 3 | 06-08 00:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +10 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 07-09 01:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +9 | $4 | $10 | 3 | 07-08 16:10 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +8 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-05 07:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +8 | $4 | $5 | 3 | 06-12 22:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 06:32 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 16:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x6706…2341 | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-08 11:32 |
| Bare-Patch-Airbag 0xc9af…91e5 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-18 09:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +5 | $2 | $6 | 3 | 06-08 00:12 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +4 | $7 | $98 | 7 | 07-06 18:21 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-29 23:29 |
| Cultured-Artery-Inhabitant 0xc805…0bc4 | No | +4 | $2 | $8 | 2 | 06-29 23:38 |
| Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | No | +4 | $-5 | $29 | 4 | 06-22 09:53 |
| Modern-Supervisor 0x7ab8…eb56 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-14 01:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x710d…6f1c | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-14 01:15 |
| Sore-Deathwatch 0xfbae…ea25 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 01:43 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-29 20:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x0fb4…c6d7 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-08 11:32 |
| Traumatic-Info 0x2799…d796 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-04 09:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | No | +1 | $1 | $6 | 2 | 06-06 06:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 01:13:32 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | No | SELL | 38 | 50¢ | $19 | 0xf7244c… |
| 07-09 01:13:32 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xf7244c… |
| 07-09 01:13:32 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | BUY | 33 | 50¢ | $17 | 0xf7244c… |
| 07-08 16:10:17 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0x03e37f… |
| 07-08 16:10:17 | Impassioned-Chef-Steward 0x4c99…6efb | No | BUY | 60 | 49¢ | $29 | 0x03e37f… |
| 07-08 16:10:17 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | BUY | 50 | 51¢ | $26 | 0x03e37f… |
| 07-08 11:32:40 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xc98369… |
| 07-08 11:32:40 | (anonymous) 0x6706…2341 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xc98369… |
| 07-08 11:32:38 | (anonymous) 0x0fb4…c6d7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x1b081a… |
| 07-08 11:32:38 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x1b081a… |
| 07-08 11:32:35 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 13 | 54¢ | $7 | 0xc59af9… |
| 07-08 11:32:35 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 6 | 53¢ | $3 | 0xc59af9… |
| 07-08 11:32:35 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | BUY | 50 | 48¢ | $24 | 0xa11e6c… |
| 07-08 11:32:35 | Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | Yes | BUY | 19 | 54¢ | $10 | 0xc59af9… |
| 07-08 11:32:35 | Functional-Heartthrob 0x1c14…0869 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 52¢ | $26 | 0xa11e6c… |
| 07-07 20:56:17 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0x7a9027… |
| 07-07 20:56:17 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0x7a9027… |
| 07-06 22:41:17 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x151dbe… |
| 07-06 22:41:17 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | No | BUY | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0x151dbe… |
| 07-06 20:30:53 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 42¢ | $14 | 0x7073a3… |
| 07-06 20:30:53 | Immaculate-Hassock 0x84f8…0ff2 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 42¢ | $14 | 0x7073a3… |
| 07-06 18:22:10 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | No | BUY | 0 | 54¢ | $0 | 0x1fd26f… |
| 07-06 18:22:10 | Beloved-Laryngitis-Hunger 0xb2d5…ff8b | No | SELL | 0 | 54¢ | $0 | 0x1fd26f… |
| 07-06 18:21:59 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 3 | 54¢ | $2 | 0x2cba8a… |
| 07-06 18:21:59 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | No | BUY | 8 | 54¢ | $4 | 0x2cba8a… |
| 07-06 18:21:59 | Beloved-Laryngitis-Hunger 0xb2d5…ff8b | No | SELL | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x2cba8a… |
| 07-06 18:21:40 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 52¢ | $18 | 0x5eef7e… |
| 07-06 18:21:40 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 66 | 48¢ | $32 | 0x5eef7e… |
| 07-06 18:21:40 | (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | BUY | 100 | 48¢ | $48 | 0x5eef7e… |
| 07-06 16:58:49 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | No | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0xcd349a… |
| 07-06 16:58:49 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0xcd349a… |
| 07-06 13:00:16 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | No | BUY | 10 | 48¢ | $5 | 0x9034cf… |
| 07-06 13:00:16 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 10 | 48¢ | $5 | 0x9034cf… |
| 07-05 19:58:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 53¢ | $5 | 0x6c1a7e… |
| 07-05 19:58:28 | Rubbery-Curio 0xc54a…5a08 | No | BUY | 9 | 47¢ | $4 | 0x6c1a7e… |
| 07-05 19:42:32 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 53¢ | $11 | 0x3c603a… |
| 07-05 19:42:32 | Rubbery-Curio 0xc54a…5a08 | No | BUY | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0x3c603a… |
| 07-05 19:07:13 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 10 | 48¢ | $5 | 0xe79ced… |
| 07-05 19:07:13 | Rubbery-Curio 0xc54a…5a08 | No | BUY | 10 | 48¢ | $5 | 0xe79ced… |
| 07-05 19:06:52 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0xf048d0… |
| 07-05 19:06:52 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | No | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0xf048d0… |
| 07-05 19:06:40 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | No | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0xa0d109… |
| 07-05 19:06:40 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0xa0d109… |
| 07-04 17:39:13 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0xdec71d… |
| 07-04 17:39:13 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 0 | 43¢ | $0 | 0xdec71d… |
| 07-04 17:39:13 | (anonymous) 0xf1ca…2a33 | No | SELL | 6 | 43¢ | $2 | 0xdec71d… |
| 07-02 18:36:32 | (anonymous) 0xe02d…bcff | No | SELL | 45 | 43¢ | $19 | 0x8c9202… |
| 07-02 18:36:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 45 | 43¢ | $19 | 0x8c9202… |
| 07-02 18:36:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 30 | 43¢ | $13 | 0xeb18f9… |
| 07-02 18:36:25 | (anonymous) 0xeb58…c62e | No | SELL | 35 | 43¢ | $15 | 0xeb18f9… |
| 07-02 18:36:25 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0xeb18f9… |
| 07-02 18:36:20 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x125818… |
| 07-02 18:36:20 | (anonymous) 0xe02d…bcff | No | SELL | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x125818… |
| 07-02 18:36:19 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x7f2388… |
| 07-02 18:36:19 | (anonymous) 0xeb58…c62e | No | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x7f2388… |
| 07-02 18:36:10 | Beloved-Laryngitis-Hunger 0xb2d5…ff8b | No | BUY | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0xbb3779… |
| 07-02 18:36:10 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 48¢ | $7 | 0xbb3779… |
| 07-02 18:36:10 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 50 | 52¢ | $26 | 0xbb3779… |
| 07-02 18:36:10 | Daring-Pirate 0x5446…18f6 | No | SELL | 160 | 52¢ | $83 | 0xbb3779… |
| 07-02 18:36:10 | (anonymous) 0xeb58…c62e | No | BUY | 40 | 52¢ | $21 | 0xbb3779… |
| 07-02 18:36:10 | (anonymous) 0xe02d…bcff | No | BUY | 50 | 52¢ | $26 | 0xbb3779… |
| 06-29 23:38:44 | Cultured-Artery-Inhabitant 0xc805…0bc4 | No | SELL | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x5dde8a… |
| 06-29 23:38:44 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x5dde8a… |
| 06-29 23:29:19 | Cultured-Artery-Inhabitant 0xc805…0bc4 | No | BUY | 9 | 53¢ | $5 | 0xe67488… |
| 06-29 23:29:19 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 47¢ | $2 | 0xe67488… |
| 06-29 23:29:19 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0xe67488… |
| 06-28 09:39:13 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | SELL | 100 | 53¢ | $53 | 0xdd6947… |
| 06-28 09:39:13 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 50 | 53¢ | $26 | 0xdd6947… |
| 06-28 09:39:13 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 47¢ | $2 | 0xdd6947… |
| 06-28 09:39:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 26 | 47¢ | $12 | 0xdd6947… |
| 06-28 09:39:13 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 47¢ | $10 | 0xdd6947… |
| 06-26 17:08:59 | (anonymous) 0x18f0…3101 | No | SELL | 15 | 53¢ | $8 | 0xf97113… |
| 06-26 17:08:59 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 15 | 47¢ | $7 | 0xf97113… |
| 06-25 14:22:05 | Exhausted-Patina-Disability 0x1206…1362 | No | SELL | 7 | 53¢ | $4 | 0x11af01… |
| 06-25 14:22:05 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 47¢ | $3 | 0x11af01… |
| 06-24 22:46:38 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 12 | 54¢ | $6 | 0x183c0f… |
| 06-24 22:46:38 | Original-Snowflake 0xfd47…c395 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 46¢ | $46 | 0x183c0f… |
| 06-24 22:46:38 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | BUY | 88 | 46¢ | $41 | 0x183c0f… |
| 06-24 16:22:02 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | BUY | 35 | 46¢ | $16 | 0x6db0e6… |
| 06-24 16:22:02 | (anonymous) 0x3362…3ac6 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 46¢ | $16 | 0x6db0e6… |
| 06-23 01:55:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 47¢ | $12 | 0x794755… |
| 06-23 01:55:46 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0x794755… |
| 06-23 01:55:46 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 47¢ | $14 | 0x794755… |
| 06-23 01:55:44 | (anonymous) 0x3362…3ac6 | Yes | SELL | 65 | 50¢ | $32 | 0x5257a9… |
| 06-23 01:55:44 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x5257a9… |
| 06-23 01:55:44 | (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | SELL | 50 | 50¢ | $25 | 0x5257a9… |
| 06-23 01:55:44 | Bare-Patch-Airbag 0xc9af…91e5 | No | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x5257a9… |
| 06-22 23:31:01 | (anonymous) 0x3362…3ac6 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 51¢ | $0 | 0x849c79… |
| 06-22 23:31:01 | Noxious-Newsletter 0xb902…31e2 | No | SELL | 0 | 49¢ | $0 | 0x849c79… |
| 06-22 09:53:29 | (anonymous) 0x3362…3ac6 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 51¢ | $46 | 0xdfbe2a… |
| 06-22 09:53:29 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 90 | 51¢ | $46 | 0xdfbe2a… |
| 06-22 09:53:28 | (anonymous) 0x3362…3ac6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0x6f46b7… |
| 06-22 09:53:28 | Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | No | BUY | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x6f46b7… |
| 06-21 03:43:05 | (anonymous) 0x18f0…3101 | No | BUY | 15 | 50¢ | $8 | 0xb2d27b… |
| 06-21 03:43:05 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 50¢ | $8 | 0xb2d27b… |
| 06-20 16:17:05 | (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | BUY | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0xe72899… |
| 06-20 16:17:05 | Naive-Waterwheel 0x10b2…4ceb | No | SELL | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0xe72899… |
| 06-19 19:16:08 | Luminous-Kebab 0x14bc…3904 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $3 | 0x66badc… |
| 06-19 19:16:08 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $3 | 0x66badc… |
| 06-19 19:11:07 | Luminous-Kebab 0x14bc…3904 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x3b94c4… |