Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
open
Total volume
$8,430
Trades
520
Unique wallets
104
Liquidity
$3,729
Latest YES mid
55¢
Latest NO mid
45¢
End date
2026-11-03
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-29 21:15
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-50.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $88
vs crowd: 50% YES on $6.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 15 | $1.4K | $610 | +$773 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 23 | $1.0K | $512 | +$505 |
| 🐟 Fish | 30 | $237 | $1.1K | $816 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 36 | $388 | $837 | $448 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $88 | $88 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $38 | $228 | $190 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $87 | $81 | +$6 |
| Median | 8 | $26 | $114 | $89 |
| Below median | 14 | $346 | $478 | $132 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $152 | $179 | $27 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 14 | $369 | $734 | $365 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $1.8K | $293 | +$1.5K |
| unranked | 41 | $242 | $816 | $574 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Near-Familiar 0x6139…6b7a | Yes | +1,784 | $1,061 | $1,061 | 7 | 06-04 20:49 |
| Daring-Pirate 0x5446…18f6 | No | +701 | $249 | $693 | 8 | 07-09 17:41 |
| Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | +594 | $300 | $300 | 2 | 07-26 22:00 |
| Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | +460 | $236 | $236 | 12 | 06-23 01:55 |
| Impassioned-Chef-Steward 0x4c99…6efb | No | +433 | $204 | $204 | 8 | 07-27 16:22 |
| Fluid-Clan 0xbbae…13f8 | No | +363 | $170 | $170 | 1 | 07-25 16:22 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | +308 | $130 | $130 | 9 | 06-18 11:16 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +228 | $83 | $94 | 7 | 06-01 10:26 |
| theginth 0xbd62…6a7e | No | +202 | $99 | $99 | 2 | 06-17 15:00 |
| Noxious-Newsletter 0xb902…31e2 | No | +187 | $135 | $135 | 6 | 06-22 23:31 |
| Noxious-Newsletter 0xb902…31e2 | Yes | +187 | $100 | $100 | 10 | 06-05 08:06 |
| Sane-Area 0x01da…915b | No | +185 | $68 | $230 | 4 | 07-19 10:49 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +173 | $70 | $143 | 6 | 07-19 10:49 |
| Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | +130 | $52 | $52 | 3 | 07-27 04:40 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | +128 | $92 | $212 | 8 | 06-06 16:14 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | +128 | $55 | $129 | 3 | 06-04 05:20 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +111 | $51 | $51 | 6 | 07-02 18:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x93a9…0b88 | Yes | +108 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 06-05 07:24 |
| Personal-Councilman 0x6358…cc23 | No | +104 | $37 | $37 | 18 | 05-30 22:07 |
| Worst-Pretzel 0xfd02…fb6a | Yes | +104 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 07-23 15:44 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +87 | $55 | $239 | 8 | 07-21 19:48 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | +70 | $38 | $49 | 4 | 06-18 14:24 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | +70 | $40 | $110 | 3 | 06-18 14:24 |
| Functional-Heartthrob 0x1c14…0869 | Yes | +50 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 07-08 11:32 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | +50 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 07-08 16:10 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | +50 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 07-08 11:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xb8a6…c13f | No | +43 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-14 13:00 |
| Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | No | +41 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 07-26 22:10 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +40 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 07-26 13:12 |
| Rubbery-Curio 0xc54a…5a08 | No | +39 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 07-05 19:58 |
| Immaculate-Hassock 0x84f8…0ff2 | Yes | +34 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 07-06 20:30 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | +33 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 07-09 01:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | +30 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 07-23 15:45 |
| Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | +22 | $-13 | $368 | 19 | 07-14 13:00 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +20 | $12 | $28 | 8 | 07-22 06:17 |
| Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | Yes | +19 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-08 11:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +16 | $8 | $8 | 4 | 07-29 21:15 |
| Required-Pasta 0xe751…5a2a | No | +15 | $1 | $31 | 3 | 06-08 00:12 |
| Personal-Councilman 0x6358…cc23 | Yes | +10 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 07-22 06:17 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +8 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-05 07:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +8 | $4 | $5 | 3 | 06-12 22:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 06:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | +8 | $2 | $101 | 3 | 07-27 13:37 |
| Darling-Jazz 0x9dc5…89a3 | No | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-24 09:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | +6 | $3 | $10 | 2 | 07-25 16:30 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 16:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x6706…2341 | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-08 11:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | +6 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-26 22:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +5 | $2 | $6 | 3 | 06-08 00:12 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-29 23:29 |
| Modern-Supervisor 0x7ab8…eb56 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-14 01:15 |
| Sore-Deathwatch 0xfbae…ea25 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 01:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x0fb4…c6d7 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-08 11:32 |
| Traumatic-Info 0x2799…d796 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-04 09:53 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 21:15:15 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 54¢ | $4 | 0xc5825e… |
| 07-29 21:15:15 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | SELL | 9 | 46¢ | $4 | 0xc5825e… |
| 07-29 21:15:15 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 1 | 45¢ | $0 | 0xc5825e… |
| 07-27 16:22:52 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 10 | 44¢ | $4 | 0x3deb7f… |
| 07-27 16:22:52 | Impassioned-Chef-Steward 0x4c99…6efb | No | BUY | 10 | 44¢ | $4 | 0x3deb7f… |
| 07-27 15:58:54 | Overcooked-Plowman 0x3373…3716 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 54¢ | $6 | 0x247092… |
| 07-27 15:58:54 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 10 | 46¢ | $5 | 0x247092… |
| 07-27 15:45:36 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 56¢ | $4 | 0xfc5051… |
| 07-27 15:45:36 | Impassioned-Chef-Steward 0x4c99…6efb | No | BUY | 21 | 44¢ | $9 | 0xfc5051… |
| 07-27 15:45:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 13 | 44¢ | $6 | 0xfc5051… |
| 07-27 13:37:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 8 | 43¢ | $3 | 0xc7a2aa… |
| 07-27 13:37:12 | (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | BUY | 8 | 43¢ | $3 | 0xc7a2aa… |
| 07-27 13:24:51 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | BUY | 9 | 43¢ | $4 | 0xd79121… |
| 07-27 13:24:51 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 9 | 43¢ | $4 | 0xd79121… |
| 07-27 10:40:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 43¢ | $13 | 0xbc340e… |
| 07-27 10:40:43 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 30 | 57¢ | $17 | 0xbc340e… |
| 07-27 04:40:40 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | BUY | 50 | 40¢ | $20 | 0xd40e69… |
| 07-27 04:40:40 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | No | SELL | 50 | 40¢ | $20 | 0xd40e69… |
| 07-27 00:42:06 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | BUY | 40 | 40¢ | $16 | 0x6a0c9d… |
| 07-27 00:42:06 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | SELL | 40 | 40¢ | $16 | 0x6a0c9d… |
| 07-27 00:14:45 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | BUY | 40 | 40¢ | $16 | 0x60fca3… |
| 07-27 00:14:45 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 40 | 40¢ | $16 | 0x60fca3… |
| 07-26 22:10:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 8 | 42¢ | $3 | 0xf675c8… |
| 07-26 22:10:33 | Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | No | BUY | 25 | 41¢ | $10 | 0xf675c8… |
| 07-26 22:10:33 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | No | SELL | 40 | 41¢ | $17 | 0xf675c8… |
| 07-26 22:10:25 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 57¢ | $5 | 0x32e341… |
| 07-26 22:10:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 8 | 42¢ | $3 | 0x32e341… |
| 07-26 22:10:25 | Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | No | BUY | 14 | 41¢ | $6 | 0x32e341… |
| 07-26 22:10:25 | (anonymous) 0x6cb1…0f6e | No | SELL | 30 | 42¢ | $13 | 0x32e341… |
| 07-26 22:10:19 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 57¢ | $5 | 0xb6dbaf… |
| 07-26 22:10:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 22 | 42¢ | $9 | 0xb6dbaf… |
| 07-26 22:10:19 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 30 | 42¢ | $13 | 0xb6dbaf… |
| 07-26 22:10:13 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 30 | 42¢ | $13 | 0x4eb971… |
| 07-26 22:10:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 42¢ | $0 | 0x4eb971… |
| 07-26 22:10:13 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 9 | 58¢ | $5 | 0x4eb971… |
| 07-26 22:10:13 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 20 | 42¢ | $8 | 0x4eb971… |
| 07-26 22:10:06 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 9 | 57¢ | $5 | 0x756cec… |
| 07-26 22:10:06 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 14 | 43¢ | $6 | 0x756cec… |
| 07-26 22:10:06 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 57¢ | $9 | 0x756cec… |
| 07-26 22:10:06 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 40 | 43¢ | $17 | 0x756cec… |
| 07-26 22:09:51 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x132587… |
| 07-26 22:09:51 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | SELL | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x132587… |
| 07-26 22:00:48 | Overcooked-Plowman 0x3373…3716 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 57¢ | $6 | 0x0b53d8… |
| 07-26 22:00:48 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 57¢ | $6 | 0x0b53d8… |
| 07-26 22:00:46 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 30 | 50¢ | $15 | 0xe9b5a7… |
| 07-26 22:00:46 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | No | BUY | 40 | 50¢ | $20 | 0xe9b5a7… |
| 07-26 22:00:46 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 40 | 50¢ | $20 | 0xe9b5a7… |
| 07-26 22:00:46 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xe9b5a7… |
| 07-26 22:00:46 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 117 | 50¢ | $59 | 0xe9b5a7… |
| 07-26 22:00:46 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xe9b5a7… |
| 07-26 22:00:46 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | BUY | 40 | 50¢ | $20 | 0xe9b5a7… |
| 07-26 22:00:46 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 11 | 49¢ | $5 | 0xe9b5a7… |
| 07-26 22:00:46 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 30 | 50¢ | $15 | 0xe9b5a7… |
| 07-26 22:00:46 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | BUY | 494 | 50¢ | $246 | 0xe9b5a7… |
| 07-26 22:00:46 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 40 | 50¢ | $20 | 0xe9b5a7… |
| 07-26 22:00:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xe9b5a7… |
| 07-26 22:00:46 | (anonymous) 0x6cb1…0f6e | No | BUY | 30 | 50¢ | $15 | 0xe9b5a7… |
| 07-26 22:00:46 | Rare-Netball 0x03e1…e180 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 49¢ | $24 | 0xe9b5a7… |
| 07-26 22:00:46 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | No | BUY | 50 | 50¢ | $25 | 0xe9b5a7… |
| 07-26 22:00:46 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xe9b5a7… |
| 07-26 13:12:34 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 19 | 52¢ | $10 | 0xb8a24a… |
| 07-26 13:12:34 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 48¢ | $9 | 0xb8a24a… |
| 07-25 18:25:03 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 49¢ | $4 | 0x533cfe… |
| 07-25 18:25:03 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0x533cfe… |
| 07-25 18:25:03 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 11 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x533cfe… |
| 07-25 16:30:13 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 45¢ | $18 | 0x08feca… |
| 07-25 16:30:13 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 12 | 45¢ | $5 | 0x08feca… |
| 07-25 16:30:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 45¢ | $5 | 0x08feca… |
| 07-25 16:30:13 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 45¢ | $8 | 0x08feca… |
| 07-25 16:30:06 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | SELL | 6 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xff4dd1… |
| 07-25 16:30:06 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 46¢ | $14 | 0xff4dd1… |
| 07-25 16:30:06 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 45¢ | $6 | 0xff4dd1… |
| 07-25 16:30:06 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 11 | 46¢ | $5 | 0xff4dd1… |
| 07-25 16:22:34 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 10 | 53¢ | $5 | 0xb37816… |
| 07-25 16:22:34 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 53¢ | $5 | 0xb37816… |
| 07-25 16:22:25 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 25 | 46¢ | $12 | 0xfaf0e5… |
| 07-25 16:22:25 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 30 | 54¢ | $16 | 0xfaf0e5… |
| 07-25 16:22:25 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | BUY | 100 | 54¢ | $54 | 0xfaf0e5… |
| 07-25 16:22:25 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 117 | 52¢ | $61 | 0xfaf0e5… |
| 07-25 16:22:25 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 10 | 53¢ | $5 | 0xfaf0e5… |
| 07-25 16:22:25 | Fluid-Clan 0xbbae…13f8 | No | BUY | 363 | 47¢ | $170 | 0xfaf0e5… |
| 07-25 16:22:25 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 53¢ | $21 | 0xfaf0e5… |
| 07-25 16:22:25 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 53¢ | $21 | 0xfaf0e5… |
| 07-24 16:05:57 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 0 | 43¢ | $0 | 0xa50c95… |
| 07-24 16:05:57 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 0 | 43¢ | $0 | 0xa50c95… |
| 07-24 09:18:43 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 0 | 43¢ | $0 | 0xda4e8d… |
| 07-24 09:18:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 7 | 43¢ | $3 | 0xda4e8d… |
| 07-24 09:18:43 | Darling-Jazz 0x9dc5…89a3 | No | BUY | 7 | 43¢ | $3 | 0xda4e8d… |
| 07-24 02:49:34 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 57¢ | $1 | 0xdc7269… |
| 07-24 02:49:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0xdc7269… |
| 07-24 01:32:21 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 57¢ | $5 | 0x3c190c… |
| 07-24 01:32:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 8 | 43¢ | $3 | 0x3c190c… |
| 07-23 15:50:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 10 | 43¢ | $4 | 0xfa4339… |
| 07-23 15:50:34 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | Yes | SELL | 10 | 57¢ | $6 | 0xfa4339… |
| 07-23 15:50:19 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x4e7fe7… |
| 07-23 15:50:19 | Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | No | BUY | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x4e7fe7… |
| 07-23 15:50:13 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 28 | 42¢ | $12 | 0x867120… |
| 07-23 15:50:13 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x867120… |
| 07-23 15:50:13 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 30 | 42¢ | $13 | 0x867120… |
| 07-23 15:45:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 27 | 42¢ | $11 | 0xdee850… |