Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$136
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
50
lifetime
Volume
$3.40K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$68
Open exposure
$552
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 06-15 16:18
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
67%
Other
33%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +416 $187 36¢ $152 $-35 06-15 16:18
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -205 $-135 72¢ $-148 $-13 06-12 10:50
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -123 $-114 96¢ $-118 $-4 06-11 18:09
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30? Yes -749 $-40 $-64 $-24 06-11 12:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -616 $10 10¢ $-58 $-68 06-15 16:17
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes -473 $-38 $-6 +$32 06-11 13:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +101 $70 $4 $-66 06-11 17:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -209 $-46 $-3 +$43 06-11 19:55