Tidy-Octopus-Escape — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.5%

Resolved

Trades

198

lifetime

Volume

$1.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 08-10 17:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

55% 43% $-4

Politics

39% — —

Tech

4% — —

Pop-Culture

2% 0% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?	2	$110	125	125	+0	open	—	05-17 13:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$40	27	27	+0	open	—	08-02 13:08
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	08-02 13:10
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	2	$25	66	66	+0	open	—	07-02 13:40
Trump out as President before GTA VI?	2	$25	25	24	+0	open	—	07-02 13:54
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	2	$25	26	26	+0	open	—	07-02 13:55
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?	1	$19	0	20	-20	open	—	07-02 13:37
will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	2	$19	17	17	+0	open	—	08-02 13:09
will grard larcher be reelected as president of the french senate	2	$19	71	71	+0	open	—	08-02 13:09
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	2	$18	14	14	+0	open	—	08-02 13:08
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	2	$16	19	19	+1	open	—	05-17 13:07
will john williams advance from the ak al primary election	2	$16	19	19	+0	open	—	07-18 04:11
iran successfully targets shipping by august 31 20260629202434614	2	$14	36	36	+0	open	—	07-02 13:37
Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?	2	$14	11	11	+0	open	—	05-17 13:07
will ariana grandes monthly listeners figure hit 105m by august 31 20260804004427307	1	$13	25	0	+25	open	—	08-04 13:25
Will TMZ be granted a White House Press Badge?	2	$13	17	17	+0	open	—	08-06 04:22
iran successfully targets shipping by july 15 20260629202434612	2	$13	11	11	+0	open	—	07-02 13:51
iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260629202434613	2	$13	15	15	+0	open	—	07-02 13:51
will nick begich iii advance from the ak al primary election	2	$13	145	145	+0	open	—	08-05 13:58
will bill hill advance from the ak al primary election	2	$13	54	54	+0	open	—	08-05 13:58
will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 31 20260622183223872 984	2	$13	180	180	+0	open	—	07-17 11:37
will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by august 31 20260728191134998	1	$13	24	0	+24	open	—	08-04 15:45
another pandemic before gta vi	1	$12	25	0	+25	open	—	06-26 17:46
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	1	$12	25	0	+25	open	—	06-26 17:44
israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	1	$12	39	0	+39	open	—	06-26 17:31
trump signs housing bill by end of july 20260624145217694	1	$12	26	0	+26	open	—	06-26 17:37
iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260625215135372	1	$12	59	0	+59	open	—	06-26 17:26
Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	1	$12	34	0	+34	open	—	06-26 17:32
another critical cloudflare incident by august 31 2026 12	1	$12	34	0	+34	open	—	06-26 17:33
will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by july 31 20260623155722752	1	$12	47	0	+47	open	—	06-26 17:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 17:29:33	will a tropical cyclone make landfall on honshu in august 2026 1786370408878	No	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0xce4b66…
08-06 20:17:32	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0x642915…
08-06 04:22:15	Will TMZ be granted a White House Press Badge?	No	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x81bc02…
08-05 13:58:42	will nick begich iii advance from the ak al primary election	No	SELL	145	0¢	$0	0x9b2a98…
08-05 13:58:29	will bill hill advance from the ak al primary election	No	SELL	54	1¢	$0	0x9a629e…
08-05 00:08:27	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	No	BUY	22	47¢	$11	0xe1f45d…
08-05 00:06:47	Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	117	10¢	$12	0xef05b3…
08-05 00:05:47	Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	117	10¢	$12	0xbd5db8…
08-05 00:04:47	Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	124	10¢	$12	0xa2cfdd…
08-04 15:45:41	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by august 31 20260728191134998	No	BUY	24	53¢	$13	0x82ebf2…
08-04 13:25:57	will ariana grandes monthly listeners figure hit 105m by august 31 20260804004427307	No	BUY	25	54¢	$13	0x59bd8a…
08-03 01:02:24	will ukraine re enter kamianske by september 30	No	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0xa7a97a…
08-02 13:11:39	icelandic european union membership negotiations referendum passes 20260609135241589	No	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0xda60be…
08-02 13:10:09	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x809922…
08-02 13:09:42	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	No	SELL	17	84¢	$14	0xad8418…
08-02 13:09:33	will grard larcher be reelected as president of the french senate	No	SELL	71	19¢	$14	0x5c1f59…
08-02 13:08:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xb0e911…
08-02 13:08:18	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	SELL	14	100¢	$13	0xb51528…
08-02 05:03:27	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by october 31	No	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0xb882b9…
07-30 10:07:27	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x5247d4…
07-28 16:22:29	will paw patrol the dino movie score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260709174855592	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x128c60…
07-21 16:11:15	chatgpt full outage by august 31 20260715010037673	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xed174a…
07-21 16:10:37	will russia capture stavky by september 30	No	SELL	7	79¢	$5	0x497a83…
07-20 16:04:12	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260718195951624	No	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x729843…
07-20 16:02:15	will the us senate pass at least 20 billion in supplemental war funding by september 30 20260626210022880	No	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0x08495d…
07-20 06:45:09	will the us senate pass at least 20 billion in supplemental war funding by september 30 20260626210022880	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xf0fc8c…
07-20 06:44:01	will russia capture dovha balka by september 30	No	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0xb5491f…
07-18 04:11:13	will john williams advance from the ak al primary election	No	SELL	19	16¢	$3	0xea4fc8…
07-17 11:50:06	will a trailer for marvels wolverine premiere at sdcc 2026 20260713164810625	No	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x277f68…
07-17 11:49:03	will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145717	No	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0xdec59b…
07-17 11:47:15	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x086cdb…
07-17 11:46:07	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	No	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0x5ad236…
07-17 11:41:04	will a trailer for blade runner 2099 premiere at sdcc 2026 20260713164810627	No	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x6ae6a7…
07-17 11:40:04	will a trailer for avengers doomsday premiere at sdcc 2026 20260713164810623	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xb30cd3…
07-17 11:40:03	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x1b0933…
07-17 11:38:58	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	No	SELL	87	4¢	$4	0xce73fa…
07-17 11:38:16	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694	No	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0xc499f0…
07-17 11:37:22	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 31 20260622183223872 984	No	SELL	180	0¢	$0	0xdcebaf…
07-17 07:43:04	will a trailer for marvel tokon fighting souls premiere at sdcc 2026 20260713164810630	No	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x7b0c31…
07-17 07:42:04	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	No	BUY	87	6¢	$5	0xd77b06…
07-14 06:08:58	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa98553…
07-13 21:15:44	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	SELL	21	16¢	$3	0xcc77ef…
07-13 17:19:59	us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x22d29a…
07-12 23:52:59	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xc15bba…
07-12 11:33:55	will matt boehnke advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014632	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x3c67d0…
07-12 04:24:02	will zac rossi advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014642	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xc51ffa…
07-12 00:41:55	will john duresky advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014633	No	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x890d06…
07-12 00:40:55	will amanda mckinney advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014634	No	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xf511f4…
07-12 00:39:55	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x83692a…
07-12 00:38:55	will the us house pass the ndaa by july 31 20260701152621873	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x2a37e3…
07-12 00:37:55	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf76e0b…
07-12 00:36:55	will the odyssey score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x9821e0…
07-12 00:35:55	moscow air traffic suspended by july 31 20260708134955088	No	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x112004…
07-06 12:38:05	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x4863a9…
07-06 09:59:07	Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?	No	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0x47fd59…
07-03 22:47:11	moscow air traffic suspended by july 15 20260702184246098	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xcbc23f…
07-03 04:19:10	will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145717	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x61e728…
07-02 15:45:50	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 100 mph 20260626193609216	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xff4776…
07-02 15:17:46	Will Dave Bronson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xa2dac2…
07-02 14:18:47	will matthew bronco williams advance from the ak al primary election	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x877375…
07-02 14:16:23	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	8	56¢	$5	0x0acd15…
07-02 14:16:14	will russia capture rai oleksandrivka by september 30	No	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x38ebd0…
07-02 14:16:02	Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0xed5601…
07-02 14:03:50	Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x691b92…
07-02 14:02:50	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xd74f11…
07-02 14:01:50	italy senate approves nuclear power bill by august 31	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xcc2f6f…
07-02 14:00:50	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 95 mph 20260626193609215	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xe19d85…
07-02 13:59:50	Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xc698eb…
07-02 13:58:53	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x8ab56a…
07-02 13:57:53	will russia capture dovha balka by september 30	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x100a5b…
07-02 13:56:53	will russia enter stavky by september 30	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x7f0086…
07-02 13:55:53	will russia capture rai oleksandrivka by september 30	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xb22e20…
07-02 13:55:50	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	26	48¢	$12	0x1b84cd…
07-02 13:54:53	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x674cc2…
07-02 13:54:19	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	No	SELL	24	50¢	$12	0x97f5a7…
07-02 13:53:53	romanian pm bolojan out by july 31 20260623152813387	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x29f337…
07-02 13:52:53	will fisa section 702 be reauthorized by july 31 20260612193737259	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xfff0ab…
07-02 13:51:40	iran successfully targets shipping by july 15 20260629202434612	No	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0x5622e9…
07-02 13:51:11	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260629202434613	No	SELL	15	53¢	$8	0x7aee10…
07-02 13:45:55	Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x560ace…
07-02 13:44:53	Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x04e67f…
07-02 13:43:55	will russia capture stavky by september 30	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x8156f3…
07-02 13:42:53	icelandic european union membership negotiations referendum passes 20260609135241589	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x052eb9…
07-02 13:41:55	will vox get a cabinet seat in the next andalusian government 20260609180715367	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x3de71c…
07-02 13:40:53	will ukraine re enter kamianske by september 30	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xee295a…
07-02 13:40:13	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	No	SELL	66	19¢	$13	0xe3fd00…
07-02 13:39:53	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x43a1f2…
07-02 13:38:53	will russia enter shevchenko by september 30	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xef9a0c…
07-02 13:37:49	iran successfully targets shipping by august 31 20260629202434614	No	SELL	36	26¢	$9	0x783755…
07-02 13:37:13	Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x3e863e…
07-02 01:05:53	will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145716	No	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x80f1ac…
07-01 14:23:40	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 10 2026 20260630182730888	No	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0xa04b55…
07-01 14:22:40	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 3 2026 20260630182730881	No	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x2fb0b5…
07-01 08:48:40	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 12 2026 20260630182730890	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe4fd13…
07-01 07:43:37	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 21 2026 20260630182730899	No	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x208f9c…
07-01 07:42:37	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 4 2026 20260630182730882	No	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xd9568a…
07-01 06:52:38	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 24 2026 20260630182730902	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x847362…
07-01 06:51:38	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	No	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x7256da…
07-01 06:46:37	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 19 2026 20260630182730897	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x182239…
07-01 06:12:37	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	No	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x58c9b3…