Realized P&L
-$9
Unrealized P&L
-$23
Hit rate
37.5%
Resolved
8
Trades
177
lifetime
Volume
$1.23K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$107
16 positions
First seen
2026-04-16
last 07-21 16:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
53% 43% $-4
Politics
40%
Tech
4%
Pop-Culture
3% 0% $-5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +27 $12 99¢ $27 +$14 06-26 17:40
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? No +25 $12 50¢ $12 $-0 06-26 17:44
Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +232 $12 $11 $-2 06-26 17:24
Will TMZ be granted a White House Press Badge? No +17 $12 53¢ $9 $-4 06-12 00:30
Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +34 $12 24¢ $8 $-4 06-26 17:32
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +8 $5 88¢ $7 +$2 07-06 12:38
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +8 $5 60¢ $5 +$0 07-02 13:45
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No +10 $5 50¢ $5 $-0 06-26 18:01
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +7 $5 62¢ $5 $-0 07-02 13:59
Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03? No +304 $12 $5 $-8 06-26 17:23
Will Dave Bronson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +7 $5 64¢ $4 $-1 07-02 15:17
Zoe Kravitz and Harry Styles engaged by August 31? No +10 $6 26¢ $3 $-4 06-04 05:19
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +8 $5 32¢ $2 $-2 07-02 13:44
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03? No +55 $5 $2 $-3 07-06 09:59
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? No -25 $-1 $-1 $-0 07-17 11:46
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +24 $12 $1 $-12 06-26 17:39