Realized P&L
-$5.90K
Unrealized P&L
+$87
Hit rate
63.7%
Resolved
3,017
Trades
21,263
lifetime
Volume
$299.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$491
17 positions
First seen
2026-02-07
last 10-28 09:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 240 days
Categories
Other
65% 61% -$3,576
Sports
26% 58% -$1,789
Politics
9% 48% -$18
Tech
1% 40% -$296
Crypto
0% 38% -$220
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 392 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,250 $100 15¢ $186 +$86 10-02 18:21
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +109 $75 80¢ $88 +$13 09-20 00:50
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +471 $100 18¢ $83 -$18 10-27 17:30
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +47 $30 78¢ $37 +$7 09-30 08:23
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -37 -$41 86¢ $-32 +$10 07-17 22:27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +41 $23 37¢ $15 -$8 09-08 15:38
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -18 -$12 64¢ $-12 +$1 10-06 05:48
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +47 $22 22¢ $10 -$12 10-20 06:02
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +226 $10 4¢ $10 -$1 10-23 09:59
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No — +8 $9 91¢ $7 -$1 09-24 06:29
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +5 $1 97¢ $5 +$4 10-20 06:02
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +6 $4 74¢ $4 +$1 10-07 07:32
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +6 $4 26¢ $2 -$2 10-19 10:53
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +32 -$18 4¢ $1 +$19 10-25 13:23
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes — +8 $1 9¢ $1 $0 09-23 14:36
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +5 $2 3¢ $0 -$1 10-12 10:22
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Opp. +8 $9 1¢ $0 -$9 10-27 20:56