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Realized P&L (7d)
+$95
Unrealized P&L
+$14
Hit rate
44.2%
Resolved (7d)
60
Trades (7d)
67
21,336 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$817
$301.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$702
20 positions
First seen
2026-02-07
last 11-07 09:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 250 days
Categories
Other
64% 60% -$3,618
Sports
26% 58% -$1,789
Politics
9% 48% +$75
Tech
1% 38% -$302
Crypto
0% 38% -$220
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 392 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +513 $208 45¢ $231 +$23 11-05 09:43
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,250 $100 15¢ $186 +$86 10-02 18:21
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +109 $75 80¢ $86 +$11 09-20 00:50
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +47 $30 91¢ $43 +$13 09-30 08:23
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -37 -$41 92¢ $-34 +$7 07-17 22:27
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +258 $26 11¢ $28 +$2 11-07 09:27
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +266 $69 10¢ $25 -$44 10-30 19:01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +41 $23 37¢ $15 -$8 09-08 15:38
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -18 -$12 66¢ $-12 +$0 10-06 05:48
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +8 $9 90¢ $7 -$1 09-24 06:29
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +20 $12 34¢ $7 -$5 10-16 14:39
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6%? Yes +25 $4 22¢ $6 +$2 10-06 23:20
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? Yes +6 $1 89¢ $5 +$4 07-23 04:50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +6 $4 82¢ $5 +$1 10-07 07:32
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +47 $22 9¢ $4 -$18 10-20 06:02
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? Yes +5 $3 70¢ $4 +$1 09-01 11:11
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +99 $42 1¢ $1 -$41 11-07 08:51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +6 $4 18¢ $1 -$2 10-19 10:53
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $1 10¢ $1 +$0 09-23 14:36
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? No +6 $17 11¢ $1 -$16 08-21 04:39