Realized P&L
+$767
Unrealized P&L
+$133
Hit rate
61.6%
Resolved
691
Trades
2,279
lifetime
Volume
$27.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$564
28 positions
First seen
2026-04-10
last 10-27 00:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 99 days
Categories
Other
48% 53% +$428
Politics
38% 51% +$53
Crypto
11% 55% +$331
Sports
2% 17% -$45
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +230 $106 90¢ $208 +$101 09-10 18:53
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes +85 $87 77¢ $65 -$22 10-01 19:03
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes +63 $18 72¢ $46 +$27 10-21 09:44
will byd be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230559 No +46 $31 84¢ $39 +$8 08-18 01:15
will baidu be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230558 No +44 $25 84¢ $37 +$12 08-17 15:49
tyler robinson convicted of homicide Yes +230 $78 10¢ $22 -$56 06-27 01:07
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +40 $21 46¢ $19 -$2 09-14 17:24
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +59 $16 32¢ $19 +$2 09-30 18:06
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +38 $11 39¢ $15 +$4 09-23 14:02
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +32 -$59 44¢ $14 +$73 09-15 04:29
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +14 $10 80¢ $11 +$1 07-14 21:39
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +55 $14 18¢ $10 -$4 09-17 07:11
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +10 $5 82¢ $8 +$2 09-03 23:52
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +31 $10 24¢ $7 -$3 08-15 14:56
skin cancer vaccine bla submitted by june 30 2027 Yes +9 $7 76¢ $7 +$1 08-19 19:37
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? No +25 $14 28¢ $7 -$7 07-15 20:12
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +65 $6 8¢ $6 $0 09-15 20:24
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? Yes +7 $3 64¢ $5 +$1 09-28 23:19
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? Yes +26 $11 13¢ $3 -$7 10-21 09:38
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +282 $6 1¢ $3 -$2 08-26 01:52
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +10 $4 32¢ $3 -$1 08-26 01:53
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $4 32¢ $3 -$1 08-26 01:53
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +357 $13 1¢ $3 -$10 06-21 14:23
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +9 $3 28¢ $3 $0 08-26 01:52
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $3 34¢ $2 -$1 08-02 19:32
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5 $1 18¢ $1 $0 06-13 16:15
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes +0 $2 46¢ $0 -$2 09-17 19:23
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +0 -$20 26¢ $0 +$20 10-06 23:28