Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$246
Trades
30
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$3,469
Latest YES mid
23¢
Latest NO mid
77¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-01 13:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-46.7¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $72
vs crowd: 47% YES on $178)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $31 | — | +$31 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $26 | $87 | $61 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $26 | $8 | +$19 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $72 | $72 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $14 | — | +$14 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 2 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| Below median | 3 | $4 | $23 | $18 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $18 | — | +$18 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $23 | — | +$23 |
| unranked | 3 | $13 | — | +$13 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Misty-Boudoir 0x26cf…c612 | No | +101 | $72 | $72 | 2 | 05-31 13:55 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +44 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-31 13:55 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +40 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-30 16:32 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +35 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 07-01 13:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x1da1…7565 | Yes | +21 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-04 11:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xced9…4e81 | Yes | +11 | $3 | $7 | 2 | 06-21 16:31 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +10 | $8 | $23 | 3 | 06-30 11:26 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-21 16:31 |
| Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 06-21 16:30 |
| Hidden-Sport 0x838b…46ed | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-19 16:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 13:49:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x680c92… |
| 07-01 13:49:26 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x680c92… |
| 06-30 11:26:17 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 23¢ | $6 | 0xc2a470… |
| 06-30 11:26:17 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 23¢ | $6 | 0xc2a470… |
| 06-30 11:26:10 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 23¢ | $6 | 0x2e3e45… |
| 06-30 11:26:10 | Hidden-Diarist 0x95ba…089f | Yes | SELL | 45 | 24¢ | $11 | 0x2e3e45… |
| 06-30 11:26:10 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 24¢ | $3 | 0x2e3e45… |
| 06-30 11:26:10 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 10 | 75¢ | $7 | 0x2e3e45… |
| 06-21 16:31:26 | (anonymous) 0xced9…4e81 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x110287… |
| 06-21 16:31:26 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x110287… |
| 06-21 16:30:31 | (anonymous) 0xced9…4e81 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xa037bc… |
| 06-21 16:30:31 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 19 | 76¢ | $15 | 0xa037bc… |
| 06-21 16:30:31 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 2 | 76¢ | $1 | 0xa037bc… |
| 06-19 16:05:17 | Hidden-Sport 0x838b…46ed | Yes | BUY | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xc09127… |
| 06-19 16:05:17 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 8 | 76¢ | $6 | 0xc09127… |
| 06-04 11:06:54 | (anonymous) 0x1da1…7565 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x950a52… |
| 06-04 11:06:54 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | SELL | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x950a52… |
| 06-04 11:06:54 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x950a52… |
| 05-31 13:55:56 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 26¢ | $11 | 0x9beed6… |
| 05-31 13:55:56 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 26¢ | $11 | 0x9beed6… |
| 05-31 13:55:07 | Misty-Boudoir 0x26cf…c612 | No | BUY | 44 | 72¢ | $32 | 0xdbb3b1… |
| 05-31 13:55:07 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 28¢ | $12 | 0xdbb3b1… |
| 05-30 16:32:36 | Creepy-Pin 0x82fb…bed6 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 28¢ | $11 | 0xc49639… |
| 05-30 16:32:36 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 40 | 28¢ | $11 | 0xc49639… |
| 05-30 16:32:33 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | BUY | 17 | 29¢ | $5 | 0xfc5e01… |
| 05-30 16:32:33 | Creepy-Pin 0x82fb…bed6 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 29¢ | $12 | 0xfc5e01… |
| 05-30 16:32:33 | Misty-Boudoir 0x26cf…c612 | No | BUY | 57 | 71¢ | $40 | 0xfc5e01… |
| 05-29 15:34:03 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | BUY | 3 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x42c754… |
| 05-29 15:34:03 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 12 | 71¢ | $8 | 0x42c754… |
| 05-29 15:34:03 | Definite-Cenotaph 0x8ced…15f9 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 29¢ | $4 | 0x42c754… |