Realized P&L
-$26
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
31.1%
Resolved
10
Trades
104
lifetime
Volume
$492
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$18
6 positions
First seen
2026-03-24
last 07-23 06:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
67% 0% $-20
Other
30% 20% $-10
Sports
3% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +70 $11 11¢ $8 $-3 07-23 05:44
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +22 $3 20¢ $5 +$2 07-21 06:06
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +8 $2 26¢ $2 +$0 07-01 06:16
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +22 $2 $2 $-0 07-01 06:09
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? No +2 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 07-23 06:07
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +13 $1 $1 $-0 07-08 06:08