Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
open
Total volume
$2,270
Trades
107
Unique wallets
46
Liquidity
$3,084
Latest YES mid
53¢
Latest NO mid
47¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-11 13:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+49.0¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $266
vs crowd: 51% YES on $1.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $22 | $125 | $104 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $300 | $387 | $87 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $3 | $39 | $36 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $389 | $135 | +$254 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $266 | — | +$266 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $11 | $115 | $104 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $4 | $11 | $7 |
| Median | 5 | — | $30 | $30 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $27 | $27 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $34 | $365 | $330 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| unranked | 20 | $392 | $135 | +$256 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xe81c…33ae | Yes | +766 | $250 | $250 | 7 | 06-28 20:34 |
| Mundane-Hood 0x5e73…6697 | Yes | +644 | $266 | $266 | 1 | 07-03 11:44 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +203 | $146 | $146 | 5 | 06-28 20:34 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +127 | $75 | $155 | 6 | 06-28 20:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d40…a874 | Yes | +100 | $69 | $69 | 1 | 07-03 11:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d40…a874 | No | +100 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 07-03 11:44 |
| Elliptical-Archaeology 0xac50…c04a | Yes | +83 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-29 13:36 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +54 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 07-04 00:35 |
| Java 0x3341…283e | No | +54 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-04 00:35 |
| Faint-Accounting 0x027a…ea13 | No | +28 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-25 15:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | +25 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 07-11 13:00 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +17 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-15 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x7447…4657 | No | +12 | $-8 | $67 | 3 | 07-09 22:33 |
| Past-Polish 0x3c30…d8ab | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-03 11:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-24 08:40 |
| Trim-Forgery 0xc3ac…dcee | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-08 04:03 |
| Welcome-Generation 0xf968…b5b8 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-22 07:46 |
| Sarcastic-Few 0x3544…9ddf | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-18 09:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-06 20:28 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-24 08:40 |
| Sweet-Sector 0xb072…5f3b | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-17 03:16 |
| Twin-Platelet 0x20a5…72ac | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-15 03:37 |
| Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 04:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 13:00:20 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x6da169… |
| 07-11 13:00:20 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x6da169… |
| 07-09 22:33:49 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | SELL | 90 | 48¢ | $43 | 0xe5db27… |
| 07-09 22:33:49 | Complex-Childhood 0x7a45…4eec | Yes | SELL | 150 | 52¢ | $78 | 0xe5db27… |
| 07-09 22:33:49 | (anonymous) 0x7447…4657 | No | SELL | 60 | 48¢ | $29 | 0xe5db27… |
| 07-09 14:01:08 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xc4d7ac… |
| 07-09 14:01:08 | Frilly-Difference 0x2e6a…7155 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 52¢ | $104 | 0xc4d7ac… |
| 07-09 14:01:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 15 | 47¢ | $7 | 0xc4d7ac… |
| 07-09 14:01:08 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | SELL | 160 | 48¢ | $77 | 0xc4d7ac… |
| 07-09 14:01:08 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 53¢ | $5 | 0xc4d7ac… |
| 07-08 17:45:38 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 15 | 40¢ | $6 | 0x92af84… |
| 07-08 17:45:38 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 15 | 40¢ | $6 | 0x92af84… |
| 07-06 20:28:31 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x284541… |
| 07-06 20:28:31 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x284541… |
| 07-05 17:27:23 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 40 | 35¢ | $14 | 0x86b4f9… |
| 07-05 17:27:23 | (anonymous) 0x0a90…2260 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 65¢ | $26 | 0x86b4f9… |
| 07-04 10:13:44 | Lopsided-Vendor 0xf2a3…8a8d | Yes | SELL | 23 | 63¢ | $14 | 0x2e358f… |
| 07-04 10:13:44 | (anonymous) 0x7447…4657 | No | SELL | 23 | 37¢ | $8 | 0x2e358f… |
| 07-04 00:35:37 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 54 | 63¢ | $34 | 0xf6fef9… |
| 07-04 00:35:37 | Java 0x3341…283e | No | BUY | 54 | 37¢ | $20 | 0xf6fef9… |
| 07-03 11:44:49 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x16f687… |
| 07-03 11:44:49 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | SELL | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x16f687… |
| 07-03 11:44:47 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x90580a… |
| 07-03 11:44:47 | (anonymous) 0x7447…4657 | No | BUY | 95 | 31¢ | $29 | 0x90580a… |
| 07-03 11:44:47 | (anonymous) 0x8d40…a874 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 69¢ | $69 | 0x90580a… |
| 07-03 11:44:41 | Past-Polish 0x3c30…d8ab | No | BUY | 10 | 60¢ | $6 | 0xe71f5d… |
| 07-03 11:44:41 | Daring-Whirlwind 0x4732…2f88 | Yes | SELL | 124 | 40¢ | $50 | 0xe71f5d… |
| 07-03 11:44:41 | Mundane-Hood 0x5e73…6697 | Yes | BUY | 644 | 41¢ | $266 | 0xe71f5d… |
| 07-03 11:44:41 | (anonymous) 0x8d40…a874 | No | BUY | 100 | 60¢ | $60 | 0xe71f5d… |
| 07-03 11:44:41 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | BUY | 250 | 58¢ | $145 | 0xe71f5d… |
| 07-03 11:44:41 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0xe71f5d… |
| 07-03 11:44:41 | (anonymous) 0x7cdc…5759 | Yes | SELL | 155 | 42¢ | $65 | 0xe71f5d… |
| 07-02 17:23:56 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | No | SELL | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0xe42836… |
| 07-02 17:23:56 | Daring-Whirlwind 0x4732…2f88 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 40¢ | $8 | 0xe42836… |
| 06-28 20:40:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 100 | 61¢ | $61 | 0xbcf3c8… |
| 06-28 20:40:19 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | SELL | 100 | 61¢ | $61 | 0xbcf3c8… |
| 06-28 20:34:05 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 40 | 68¢ | $27 | 0x3b864c… |
| 06-28 20:34:05 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 11 | 39¢ | $4 | 0x3b864c… |
| 06-28 20:34:05 | (anonymous) 0xe81c…33ae | Yes | BUY | 293 | 34¢ | $100 | 0x3b864c… |
| 06-28 20:34:05 | Daring-Whirlwind 0x4732…2f88 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 40¢ | $17 | 0x3b864c… |
| 06-28 20:34:05 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | BUY | 100 | 67¢ | $67 | 0x3b864c… |
| 06-28 20:34:05 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 100 | 67¢ | $67 | 0x3b864c… |
| 06-28 15:03:17 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 26 | 69¢ | $18 | 0xb84916… |
| 06-28 15:03:17 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 31¢ | $8 | 0xb84916… |
| 06-28 11:30:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 21 | 31¢ | $6 | 0x4f5ec7… |
| 06-28 11:30:07 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 21 | 69¢ | $14 | 0x4f5ec7… |
| 06-26 18:05:37 | (anonymous) 0x87b5…df63 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x783020… |
| 06-26 18:05:37 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 11 | 70¢ | $7 | 0x783020… |
| 06-26 17:39:01 | (anonymous) 0x87b5…df63 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x056e49… |
| 06-26 17:39:01 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 11 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x056e49… |
| 06-26 09:06:19 | Feline-Resemblance 0xd6a8…58fd | Yes | SELL | 58 | 37¢ | $21 | 0x204a4d… |
| 06-26 09:06:19 | Daring-Whirlwind 0x4732…2f88 | Yes | SELL | 125 | 40¢ | $50 | 0x204a4d… |
| 06-26 09:06:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 77 | 63¢ | $49 | 0x204a4d… |
| 06-26 09:06:19 | (anonymous) 0xe81c…33ae | Yes | BUY | 260 | 38¢ | $100 | 0x204a4d… |
| 06-26 07:47:37 | (anonymous) 0xe81c…33ae | Yes | BUY | 36 | 28¢ | $10 | 0xac96a5… |
| 06-26 07:47:37 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xac96a5… |
| 06-26 07:47:37 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 28¢ | $9 | 0xac96a5… |
| 06-25 15:35:41 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 25 | 77¢ | $19 | 0x51d46a… |
| 06-25 15:35:41 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 24¢ | $4 | 0x51d46a… |
| 06-25 15:35:41 | (anonymous) 0xe81c…33ae | Yes | BUY | 43 | 23¢ | $10 | 0x51d46a… |
| 06-25 15:35:32 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 43 | 77¢ | $33 | 0x3af881… |
| 06-25 15:35:32 | (anonymous) 0xe81c…33ae | Yes | BUY | 43 | 23¢ | $10 | 0x3af881… |
| 06-25 15:35:11 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 31 | 77¢ | $24 | 0x3279ce… |
| 06-25 15:35:11 | (anonymous) 0xe81c…33ae | Yes | BUY | 44 | 23¢ | $10 | 0x3279ce… |
| 06-25 15:35:11 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 13 | 22¢ | $3 | 0x3279ce… |
| 06-25 15:34:55 | Faint-Accounting 0x027a…ea13 | No | BUY | 28 | 79¢ | $22 | 0xde1a69… |
| 06-25 15:34:55 | (anonymous) 0xe81c…33ae | Yes | BUY | 47 | 21¢ | $10 | 0xde1a69… |
| 06-25 15:34:55 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 19 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xde1a69… |
| 06-24 08:40:16 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x89b99f… |
| 06-24 08:40:16 | (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x89b99f… |
| 06-24 08:40:16 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 3 | 80¢ | $2 | 0x89b99f… |
| 06-23 13:12:13 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x373abc… |
| 06-23 13:12:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x373abc… |
| 06-22 07:46:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xb7d864… |
| 06-22 07:46:58 | Welcome-Generation 0xf968…b5b8 | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xb7d864… |
| 06-18 09:55:20 | Sarcastic-Few 0x3544…9ddf | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x7675ab… |
| 06-18 09:55:20 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x7675ab… |
| 06-17 19:15:55 | Unhappy-Populist 0x7dbd…97e6 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 16¢ | $4 | 0xaab488… |
| 06-17 19:15:55 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 16¢ | $4 | 0xaab488… |
| 06-17 03:16:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x11e464… |
| 06-17 03:16:22 | Sweet-Sector 0xb072…5f3b | No | BUY | 4 | 85¢ | $3 | 0x11e464… |
| 06-15 20:34:40 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0x3f2d75… |
| 06-15 20:34:40 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 18¢ | $3 | 0x3f2d75… |
| 06-15 20:34:40 | (anonymous) 0xb1e8…b7b3 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 19¢ | $8 | 0x3f2d75… |
| 06-15 20:32:27 | Relieved-Motivation 0x8c08…e7b6 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 23¢ | $12 | 0x5947d8… |
| 06-15 20:32:27 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x5947d8… |
| 06-15 20:32:27 | (anonymous) 0xb1e8…b7b3 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 23¢ | $10 | 0x5947d8… |
| 06-15 03:37:55 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x35eca7… |
| 06-15 03:37:55 | Twin-Platelet 0x20a5…72ac | No | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $2 | 0x35eca7… |
| 06-09 09:00:40 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x800666… |
| 06-09 09:00:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x800666… |
| 06-08 04:03:45 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x9f8f10… |
| 06-08 04:03:45 | Trim-Forgery 0xc3ac…dcee | No | BUY | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0x9f8f10… |
| 06-07 07:55:09 | Bewitched-Auditorium 0x721a…9295 | No | SELL | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x2c3957… |
| 06-07 07:55:09 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x2c3957… |
| 06-07 07:55:09 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 16 | 84¢ | $13 | 0x2c3957… |
| 06-07 07:55:09 | Humming-Redhead 0xa88f…790f | Yes | SELL | 27 | 17¢ | $5 | 0x2c3957… |
| 06-02 17:51:51 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x69bea9… |
| 06-02 17:51:51 | Bewitched-Auditorium 0x721a…9295 | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x69bea9… |
| 05-31 04:40:21 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xbf9121… |