Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
open
Total volume
$3,851
Trades
176
Unique wallets
71
Liquidity
$3,084
Latest YES mid
16¢
Latest NO mid
84¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-03 17:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+13.8¢
(top1%: 51% YES on $622
vs crowd: 38% YES on $2.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $436 | $342 | +$94 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $84 | $476 | $391 |
| 🐟 Fish | 14 | $46 | $47 | $1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 36 | $464 | $839 | $376 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $320 | $302 | +$19 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $64 | $115 | $51 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $17 | $111 | $93 |
| Median | 11 | $10 | $87 | $77 |
| Below median | 6 | $15 | $28 | $13 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $115 | $365 | $250 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| unranked | 28 | $480 | $694 | $214 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xe81c…33ae | Yes | +766 | $250 | $250 | 7 | 06-28 20:34 |
| Mundane-Hood 0x5e73…6697 | Yes | +631 | $258 | $274 | 2 | 07-16 01:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x9098…6dac | No | +545 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 07-23 13:13 |
| LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | +419 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 07-25 03:16 |
| Mundane-Hood 0x5e73…6697 | No | +362 | $217 | $217 | 1 | 07-23 13:13 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +203 | $146 | $146 | 5 | 06-28 20:34 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +183 | $79 | $79 | 3 | 07-23 13:13 |
| Long-Plugin 0xe129…6278 | No | +133 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 08-03 17:44 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +127 | $75 | $155 | 6 | 06-28 20:40 |
| Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | Yes | +112 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 07-27 16:10 |
| Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | +110 | $85 | $85 | 2 | 07-27 16:10 |
| Simplistic-Accessory 0xfe64…873e | Yes | +100 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 08-03 17:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d40…a874 | Yes | +100 | $69 | $69 | 1 | 07-03 11:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xda37…1d00 | No | +100 | $86 | $86 | 1 | 07-23 13:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d40…a874 | No | +100 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 07-03 11:44 |
| Elliptical-Archaeology 0xac50…c04a | Yes | +83 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-29 13:36 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +77 | $31 | $48 | 7 | 07-24 18:12 |
| Boiling-Institute 0x3f4b…f574 | Yes | +66 | $15 | $15 | 4 | 08-03 17:44 |
| Agreeable-Opportunist 0x7a16…518b | No | +34 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-17 10:08 |
| Irresponsible-Pupa 0xb8d1…40c3 | Yes | +30 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-26 18:40 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +29 | $3 | $7 | 2 | 07-27 16:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +26 | $11 | $11 | 6 | 07-23 13:13 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +26 | $11 | $24 | 4 | 07-23 13:13 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +25 | $10 | $10 | 5 | 07-23 13:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | +25 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 07-11 13:00 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +17 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-15 20:34 |
| Confused-Dragonfruit 0x013b…c3dd | Yes | +14 | $-4 | $11 | 3 | 07-25 04:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 07-25 03:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-24 08:40 |
| Trim-Forgery 0xc3ac…dcee | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-08 04:03 |
| Welcome-Generation 0xf968…b5b8 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-22 07:46 |
| Sarcastic-Few 0x3544…9ddf | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-18 09:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-25 21:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-24 14:37 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-24 08:40 |
| Sweet-Sector 0xb072…5f3b | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-17 03:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x7447…4657 | No | +3 | $-12 | $71 | 4 | 07-17 10:08 |
| Twin-Platelet 0x20a5…72ac | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-15 03:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x945e…f014 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-24 04:17 |
| Petty-Spacing 0x17cb…4088 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-23 06:07 |
| Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-24 04:17 |
| Unknown-Ischemia 0x7a8f…d9ee | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-30 20:50 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 17:44:03 | Boiling-Institute 0x3f4b…f574 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 25¢ | $8 | 0x32cef4… |
| 08-03 17:44:03 | Simplistic-Accessory 0xfe64…873e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 25¢ | $25 | 0x32cef4… |
| 08-03 17:44:03 | Long-Plugin 0xe129…6278 | No | BUY | 133 | 75¢ | $100 | 0x32cef4… |
| 07-30 20:50:09 | Boiling-Institute 0x3f4b…f574 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 24¢ | $0 | 0x5d320d… |
| 07-30 20:50:09 | Unknown-Ischemia 0x7a8f…d9ee | Yes | SELL | 1 | 24¢ | $0 | 0x5d320d… |
| 07-27 16:10:09 | Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | Yes | BUY | 112 | 23¢ | $26 | 0xc2c42d… |
| 07-27 16:10:09 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xc2c42d… |
| 07-27 16:10:09 | Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | BUY | 104 | 77¢ | $80 | 0xc2c42d… |
| 07-26 18:40:09 | Irresponsible-Pupa 0xb8d1…40c3 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 21¢ | $6 | 0x2204d4… |
| 07-26 18:40:09 | Sizzling-Catacomb 0x6e88…317b | Yes | SELL | 30 | 21¢ | $6 | 0x2204d4… |
| 07-25 21:42:25 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | BUY | 0 | 79¢ | $0 | 0x095ed5… |
| 07-25 21:42:25 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x095ed5… |
| 07-25 21:42:25 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 23 | 22¢ | $5 | 0x095ed5… |
| 07-25 21:42:25 | Java 0x3341…283e | No | SELL | 39 | 78¢ | $31 | 0x095ed5… |
| 07-25 21:42:25 | Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | BUY | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x095ed5… |
| 07-25 06:29:27 | Boiling-Institute 0x3f4b…f574 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xec6a70… |
| 07-25 06:29:27 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xec6a70… |
| 07-25 04:18:16 | Boiling-Institute 0x3f4b…f574 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 20¢ | $5 | 0xb21846… |
| 07-25 04:18:16 | Confused-Dragonfruit 0x013b…c3dd | Yes | SELL | 27 | 20¢ | $5 | 0xb21846… |
| 07-25 03:16:54 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x880bbd… |
| 07-25 03:16:54 | LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | BUY | 419 | 13¢ | $54 | 0x880bbd… |
| 07-25 03:16:54 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x880bbd… |
| 07-25 03:16:54 | (anonymous) 0xbefc…9408 | Yes | SELL | 462 | 13¢ | $60 | 0x880bbd… |
| 07-24 18:12:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x9222e7… |
| 07-24 18:12:19 | Confused-Dragonfruit 0x013b…c3dd | Yes | SELL | 14 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x9222e7… |
| 07-24 14:37:10 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x0f08be… |
| 07-24 14:37:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x0f08be… |
| 07-24 04:17:31 | (anonymous) 0x945e…f014 | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x68cda4… |
| 07-24 04:17:31 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x68cda4… |
| 07-24 04:17:03 | Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x0bbe3e… |
| 07-24 04:17:03 | (anonymous) 0x945e…f014 | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x0bbe3e… |
| 07-23 13:13:52 | Confused-Dragonfruit 0x013b…c3dd | Yes | BUY | 55 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xf3543f… |
| 07-23 13:13:52 | (anonymous) 0xbefc…9408 | Yes | BUY | 362 | 7¢ | $25 | 0xf3543f… |
| 07-23 13:13:52 | Faint-Accounting 0x027a…ea13 | No | SELL | 128 | 88¢ | $113 | 0xf3543f… |
| 07-23 13:13:52 | (anonymous) 0x9098…6dac | No | BUY | 545 | 92¢ | $500 | 0xf3543f… |
| 07-23 13:13:49 | (anonymous) 0xbefc…9408 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 14¢ | $14 | 0xce26f6… |
| 07-23 13:13:49 | (anonymous) 0xda37…1d00 | No | BUY | 100 | 86¢ | $86 | 0xce26f6… |
| 07-23 13:13:48 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xb7b422… |
| 07-23 13:13:48 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 29 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xb7b422… |
| 07-23 13:13:48 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 12 | 42¢ | $5 | 0xb7b422… |
| 07-23 13:13:48 | Mundane-Hood 0x5e73…6697 | No | BUY | 362 | 60¢ | $217 | 0xb7b422… |
| 07-23 13:13:48 | Faint-Accounting 0x027a…ea13 | No | SELL | 28 | 59¢ | $17 | 0xb7b422… |
| 07-23 13:13:48 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 28 | 55¢ | $16 | 0xb7b422… |
| 07-23 13:13:48 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 45¢ | $35 | 0xb7b422… |
| 07-23 13:13:48 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 3 | 46¢ | $1 | 0xb7b422… |
| 07-23 13:13:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 46¢ | $14 | 0xb7b422… |
| 07-23 13:13:48 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xb7b422… |
| 07-23 06:07:13 | Petty-Spacing 0x17cb…4088 | No | BUY | 2 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x5b4dbe… |
| 07-23 06:07:13 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 2 | 46¢ | $1 | 0x5b4dbe… |
| 07-22 06:20:07 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 46¢ | $5 | 0x058ac9… |
| 07-22 06:20:07 | (anonymous) 0x1def…a761 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0x058ac9… |
| 07-22 06:20:07 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x058ac9… |
| 07-17 10:08:21 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 55¢ | $5 | 0xa2a20a… |
| 07-17 10:08:21 | (anonymous) 0x7447…4657 | No | SELL | 9 | 45¢ | $4 | 0xa2a20a… |
| 07-17 10:08:18 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xa632e3… |
| 07-17 10:08:18 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 55¢ | $5 | 0xa632e3… |
| 07-17 10:08:18 | Agreeable-Opportunist 0x7a16…518b | No | BUY | 34 | 44¢ | $15 | 0xa632e3… |
| 07-17 10:08:18 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 10 | 44¢ | $4 | 0xa632e3… |
| 07-16 01:00:35 | Mundane-Hood 0x5e73…6697 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 59¢ | $8 | 0x5930df… |
| 07-16 01:00:35 | Java 0x3341…283e | No | SELL | 15 | 41¢ | $6 | 0x5930df… |
| 07-16 01:00:35 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0x5930df… |
| 07-15 16:58:43 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | SELL | 1 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x48d7ea… |
| 07-15 16:58:43 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 59¢ | $1 | 0x48d7ea… |
| 07-14 17:23:50 | Unknown-Ischemia 0x7a8f…d9ee | Yes | BUY | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0xfaf7f0… |
| 07-14 17:23:50 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0xfaf7f0… |
| 07-14 08:46:43 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 43¢ | $4 | 0x9dee16… |
| 07-14 08:46:43 | Past-Polish 0x3c30…d8ab | No | SELL | 10 | 43¢ | $4 | 0x9dee16… |
| 07-12 12:08:10 | (anonymous) 0x39d4…9bd3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xed9765… |
| 07-12 12:08:10 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xed9765… |
| 07-11 13:00:20 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x6da169… |
| 07-11 13:00:20 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x6da169… |
| 07-09 22:33:49 | Complex-Childhood 0x7a45…4eec | Yes | SELL | 150 | 52¢ | $78 | 0xe5db27… |
| 07-09 22:33:49 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | SELL | 90 | 48¢ | $43 | 0xe5db27… |
| 07-09 22:33:49 | (anonymous) 0x7447…4657 | No | SELL | 60 | 48¢ | $29 | 0xe5db27… |
| 07-09 14:01:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 15 | 47¢ | $7 | 0xc4d7ac… |
| 07-09 14:01:08 | Frilly-Difference 0x2e6a…7155 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 52¢ | $104 | 0xc4d7ac… |
| 07-09 14:01:08 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xc4d7ac… |
| 07-09 14:01:08 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | SELL | 160 | 48¢ | $77 | 0xc4d7ac… |
| 07-09 14:01:08 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 53¢ | $5 | 0xc4d7ac… |
| 07-08 17:45:38 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 15 | 40¢ | $6 | 0x92af84… |
| 07-08 17:45:38 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 15 | 40¢ | $6 | 0x92af84… |
| 07-06 20:28:31 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x284541… |
| 07-06 20:28:31 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x284541… |
| 07-05 17:27:23 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 40 | 35¢ | $14 | 0x86b4f9… |
| 07-05 17:27:23 | (anonymous) 0x0a90…2260 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 65¢ | $26 | 0x86b4f9… |
| 07-04 10:13:44 | (anonymous) 0x7447…4657 | No | SELL | 23 | 37¢ | $8 | 0x2e358f… |
| 07-04 10:13:44 | Lopsided-Vendor 0xf2a3…8a8d | Yes | SELL | 23 | 63¢ | $14 | 0x2e358f… |
| 07-04 00:35:37 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 54 | 63¢ | $34 | 0xf6fef9… |
| 07-04 00:35:37 | Java 0x3341…283e | No | BUY | 54 | 37¢ | $20 | 0xf6fef9… |
| 07-03 11:44:49 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x16f687… |
| 07-03 11:44:49 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | SELL | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x16f687… |
| 07-03 11:44:47 | (anonymous) 0x8d40…a874 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 69¢ | $69 | 0x90580a… |
| 07-03 11:44:47 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x90580a… |
| 07-03 11:44:47 | (anonymous) 0x7447…4657 | No | BUY | 95 | 31¢ | $29 | 0x90580a… |
| 07-03 11:44:41 | Daring-Whirlwind 0x4732…2f88 | Yes | SELL | 124 | 40¢ | $50 | 0xe71f5d… |
| 07-03 11:44:41 | (anonymous) 0x8d40…a874 | No | BUY | 100 | 60¢ | $60 | 0xe71f5d… |
| 07-03 11:44:41 | Mundane-Hood 0x5e73…6697 | Yes | BUY | 644 | 41¢ | $266 | 0xe71f5d… |
| 07-03 11:44:41 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0xe71f5d… |
| 07-03 11:44:41 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | BUY | 250 | 58¢ | $145 | 0xe71f5d… |
| 07-03 11:44:41 | Past-Polish 0x3c30…d8ab | No | BUY | 10 | 60¢ | $6 | 0xe71f5d… |