Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
open
Total volume
$186
Trades
32
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$3,084
Latest YES mid
19¢
Latest NO mid
81¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-18 09:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $16 | $5 | +$11 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 11 | $53 | $15 | +$38 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $7 | $5 | +$2 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $2 | $5 | $3 |
| Median | 3 | — | $4 | $4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| unranked | 9 | $53 | $12 | +$41 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliptical-Archaeology 0xac50…c04a | Yes | +83 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-29 13:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +31 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-15 20:34 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +26 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-17 19:15 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +17 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-15 20:34 |
| Lopsided-Vendor 0xf2a3…8a8d | Yes | +14 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-30 18:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +10 | $2 | $6 | 4 | 06-15 20:32 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-18 09:55 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-28 10:30 |
| Trim-Forgery 0xc3ac…dcee | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-08 04:03 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-09 09:00 |
| Sarcastic-Few 0x3544…9ddf | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-18 09:55 |
| Sweet-Sector 0xb072…5f3b | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-17 03:16 |
| Twin-Platelet 0x20a5…72ac | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-15 03:37 |
| Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 04:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 09:55:20 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x7675ab… |
| 06-18 09:55:20 | Sarcastic-Few 0x3544…9ddf | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x7675ab… |
| 06-17 19:15:55 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 16¢ | $4 | 0xaab488… |
| 06-17 19:15:55 | Unhappy-Populist 0x7dbd…97e6 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 16¢ | $4 | 0xaab488… |
| 06-17 03:16:22 | Sweet-Sector 0xb072…5f3b | No | BUY | 4 | 85¢ | $3 | 0x11e464… |
| 06-17 03:16:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x11e464… |
| 06-15 20:34:40 | (anonymous) 0xb1e8…b7b3 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 19¢ | $8 | 0x3f2d75… |
| 06-15 20:34:40 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 18¢ | $3 | 0x3f2d75… |
| 06-15 20:34:40 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0x3f2d75… |
| 06-15 20:32:27 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x5947d8… |
| 06-15 20:32:27 | (anonymous) 0xb1e8…b7b3 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 23¢ | $10 | 0x5947d8… |
| 06-15 20:32:27 | Relieved-Motivation 0x8c08…e7b6 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 23¢ | $12 | 0x5947d8… |
| 06-15 03:37:55 | Twin-Platelet 0x20a5…72ac | No | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $2 | 0x35eca7… |
| 06-15 03:37:55 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x35eca7… |
| 06-09 09:00:40 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x800666… |
| 06-09 09:00:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x800666… |
| 06-08 04:03:45 | Trim-Forgery 0xc3ac…dcee | No | BUY | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0x9f8f10… |
| 06-08 04:03:45 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x9f8f10… |
| 06-07 07:55:09 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 16 | 84¢ | $13 | 0x2c3957… |
| 06-07 07:55:09 | Bewitched-Auditorium 0x721a…9295 | No | SELL | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x2c3957… |
| 06-07 07:55:09 | Humming-Redhead 0xa88f…790f | Yes | SELL | 27 | 17¢ | $5 | 0x2c3957… |
| 06-07 07:55:09 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x2c3957… |
| 06-02 17:51:51 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x69bea9… |
| 06-02 17:51:51 | Bewitched-Auditorium 0x721a…9295 | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x69bea9… |
| 05-31 04:40:21 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xbf9121… |
| 05-31 04:40:21 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xbf9121… |
| 05-30 18:22:09 | Lopsided-Vendor 0xf2a3…8a8d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xb1a223… |
| 05-30 18:22:09 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 7 | 70¢ | $5 | 0xb1a223… |
| 05-29 13:36:38 | Elliptical-Archaeology 0xac50…c04a | Yes | BUY | 83 | 42¢ | $35 | 0xfdd626… |
| 05-29 13:36:38 | (anonymous) 0x7cdc…5759 | Yes | SELL | 83 | 42¢ | $35 | 0xfdd626… |
| 05-28 10:30:44 | Lopsided-Vendor 0xf2a3…8a8d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x205d75… |
| 05-28 10:30:44 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 7 | 73¢ | $5 | 0x205d75… |