Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
65
lifetime
Volume
$590
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$132
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 06-15 03:44
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
56%
Other
28%
Crypto
13%
Sports
2%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +55 $50 96¢ $52 +$2 06-15 03:29
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +22 $20 94¢ $21 +$1 06-15 03:30
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +22 $20 90¢ $20 $-0 06-15 03:32
Trump out as President before 2027? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 06-15 03:44
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 06-15 03:31
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-15 03:38
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-15 03:35
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-15 03:32
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +4 $3 78¢ $3 $-0 06-15 03:36
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No +2 $2 93¢ $2 +$0 06-15 03:38
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 02:55
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 06-15 03:27
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? No +2 $2 42¢ $1 $-1 06-15 03:37