US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$14,032
$5 in 24h
Trades
932
Unique wallets
117
Liquidity
$17,184
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-21 11:20
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+98.7¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $16
vs crowd: 1% YES on $6.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | — | $87 | $87 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 15 | $18 | $3.0K | $2.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 17 | $0 | $190 | $190 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 78 | $64 | $3.2K | $3.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $16 | — | +$16 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $2 | $67 | $64 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $0 | $287 | $287 |
| Median | 16 | $8 | $227 | $219 |
| Below median | 21 | $8 | $306 | $298 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $1 | $21 | $20 |
| unranked | 57 | $48 | $5.5K | $5.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conventional-Sesame 0x184e…cf96 | No | +2,581 | $2,547 | $2,547 | 11 | 06-04 11:04 |
| Ripe-Thongs 0x950a…b380 | Yes | +400 | $4 | $4 | 5 | 06-04 21:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x435b…bbf7 | Yes | +244 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-13 07:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x4b4d…34e7 | Yes | +220 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-15 05:15 |
| Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | +181 | $179 | $199 | 4 | 06-11 01:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x2eb2…f230 | No | +169 | $167 | $167 | 1 | 06-03 05:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xd56d…8108 | Yes | +158 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-15 19:52 |
| Diligent-Scenario 0xdf27…e6e4 | No | +115 | $114 | $322 | 125 | 06-18 16:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x6be5…1d7d | Yes | +111 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-13 16:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | +90 | $-0 | $3 | 200 | 06-21 11:20 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +67 | $67 | $67 | 1 | 06-07 17:21 |
| Squiggly-Princess 0x2e73…c4c2 | Yes | +55 | $0 | $0 | 11 | 06-15 18:27 |
| Cheap-Halibut 0x0a57…dc32 | Yes | +49 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 06-07 09:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x3641…0ff8 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-29 13:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x88ea…0512 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-16 08:36 |
| Charming-Connotation 0xff1f…a6bf | Yes | +24 | $3 | $57 | 11 | 06-03 03:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x34bd…f43e | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 4 | 06-05 05:52 |
| Tepid-Standard 0xcbe5…b69f | No | +21 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-13 23:01 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +21 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 06-01 22:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x911d…4bca | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-07 13:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x3664…2c7b | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-10 23:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x01d2…c603 | No | +2 | $2 | $16 | 11 | 06-18 23:50 |
| Altruistic-Mochi 0x397e…fd1d | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 06-13 13:00 |
| Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-28 16:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x6a07…2952 | No | +2 | $2 | $43 | 29 | 06-20 13:18 |
| Unwilling-Burden 0x7be5…a53b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-17 17:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x8e80…57c2 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 08:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x41c7…1514 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 11:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xa85a…b05b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-20 19:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | +1 | $1 | $35 | 30 | 06-20 19:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b4b…591c | No | +1 | $1 | $10 | 8 | 06-20 05:52 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 11:20:26 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x537835… |
| 06-21 11:20:26 | (anonymous) 0x3317…76b4 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x537835… |
| 06-21 11:20:17 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe62e2f… |
| 06-21 11:20:17 | (anonymous) 0x3317…76b4 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xe62e2f… |
| 06-21 09:53:31 | (anonymous) 0x3317…76b4 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x7d0b61… |
| 06-21 09:53:31 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7d0b61… |
| 06-21 09:31:53 | (anonymous) 0x3317…76b4 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x46f412… |
| 06-21 09:31:53 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x46f412… |
| 06-21 09:06:55 | Keen-Former 0xba63…972d | No | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x8247e2… |
| 06-21 09:06:55 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8247e2… |
| 06-21 08:55:17 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa8abcb… |
| 06-21 08:55:17 | (anonymous) 0x7449…c05e | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xa8abcb… |
| 06-21 08:16:43 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe5c1c9… |
| 06-21 08:16:43 | (anonymous) 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xe5c1c9… |
| 06-21 06:15:55 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4282ef… |
| 06-21 06:15:55 | (anonymous) 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x4282ef… |
| 06-21 06:15:31 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc6eb00… |
| 06-21 06:15:31 | (anonymous) 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xc6eb00… |
| 06-21 06:00:35 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa12fec… |
| 06-21 06:00:35 | Slight-Guinea 0xd39c…8d35 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xa12fec… |
| 06-21 05:33:19 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5ec84c… |
| 06-21 05:33:19 | Slight-Guinea 0xd39c…8d35 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x5ec84c… |
| 06-21 03:51:23 | (anonymous) 0x7449…c05e | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x5c359b… |
| 06-21 03:51:23 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5c359b… |
| 06-21 03:16:52 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1ed282… |
| 06-21 03:16:52 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x1ed282… |
| 06-21 03:15:38 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xfae5c5… |
| 06-21 03:15:38 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfae5c5… |
| 06-21 03:05:55 | (anonymous) 0x97c6…6587 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x9e7095… |
| 06-21 03:05:55 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9e7095… |
| 06-21 02:23:32 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5710be… |
| 06-21 02:23:32 | (anonymous) 0x3317…76b4 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x5710be… |
| 06-21 02:23:16 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd17ad5… |
| 06-21 02:23:16 | (anonymous) 0x3317…76b4 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xd17ad5… |
| 06-21 01:53:55 | (anonymous) 0x3317…76b4 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xcdf3a2… |
| 06-21 01:53:55 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcdf3a2… |
| 06-21 01:28:50 | (anonymous) 0x97c6…6587 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x7a5269… |
| 06-21 01:28:50 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7a5269… |
| 06-21 01:00:19 | (anonymous) 0x97c6…6587 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x131574… |
| 06-21 01:00:19 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x131574… |
| 06-21 00:53:59 | (anonymous) 0x3317…76b4 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x4eb4e6… |
| 06-21 00:53:59 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4eb4e6… |
| 06-21 00:43:40 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x6c54b2… |
| 06-21 00:43:40 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6c54b2… |
| 06-21 00:43:32 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xfb9c02… |
| 06-21 00:43:32 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfb9c02… |
| 06-20 23:26:28 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfabcc1… |
| 06-20 23:26:28 | (anonymous) 0x3317…76b4 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xfabcc1… |
| 06-20 23:26:25 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x961f31… |
| 06-20 23:26:25 | (anonymous) 0x3317…76b4 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x961f31… |
| 06-20 23:26:22 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4ca411… |
| 06-20 23:26:22 | (anonymous) 0x3317…76b4 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x4ca411… |
| 06-20 23:26:13 | (anonymous) 0x3317…76b4 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xd6c5a8… |
| 06-20 23:26:13 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd6c5a8… |
| 06-20 23:07:26 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7f4963… |
| 06-20 23:07:26 | (anonymous) 0x38ab…ab66 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x7f4963… |
| 06-20 22:27:50 | (anonymous) 0x3317…76b4 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x141798… |
| 06-20 22:27:50 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x141798… |
| 06-20 21:34:02 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x06eb7f… |
| 06-20 21:34:02 | (anonymous) 0x97c6…6587 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x06eb7f… |
| 06-20 21:06:46 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xee4581… |
| 06-20 21:06:46 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xee4581… |
| 06-20 21:02:38 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x99efda… |
| 06-20 21:02:38 | (anonymous) 0x97c6…6587 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x99efda… |
| 06-20 21:02:10 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0c5357… |
| 06-20 21:02:10 | (anonymous) 0x97c6…6587 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x0c5357… |
| 06-20 20:15:38 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x939624… |
| 06-20 20:15:38 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x939624… |
| 06-20 19:46:31 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa66041… |
| 06-20 19:46:31 | (anonymous) 0xa85a…b05b | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xa66041… |
| 06-20 19:40:13 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbdb50e… |
| 06-20 19:40:13 | (anonymous) 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xbdb50e… |
| 06-20 19:09:40 | (anonymous) 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x61d722… |
| 06-20 19:09:40 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x61d722… |
| 06-20 18:52:02 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8f417a… |
| 06-20 18:52:02 | (anonymous) 0xc0bf…f42e | No | SELL | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x8f417a… |
| 06-20 18:40:01 | (anonymous) 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xdaf0f0… |
| 06-20 18:40:01 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdaf0f0… |
| 06-20 18:32:38 | (anonymous) 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x30e1cd… |
| 06-20 18:32:38 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x30e1cd… |
| 06-20 18:10:32 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5f9ba4… |
| 06-20 18:10:32 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x5f9ba4… |
| 06-20 18:10:08 | (anonymous) 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x5a7daa… |
| 06-20 18:10:08 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5a7daa… |
| 06-20 18:08:58 | (anonymous) 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x903b30… |
| 06-20 18:08:58 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x903b30… |
| 06-20 18:05:43 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8d8dff… |
| 06-20 18:05:43 | (anonymous) 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x8d8dff… |
| 06-20 17:42:01 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcf2dba… |
| 06-20 17:42:01 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xcf2dba… |
| 06-20 15:26:13 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9b8d98… |
| 06-20 15:26:13 | (anonymous) 0x1e63…7267 | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x9b8d98… |
| 06-20 15:25:52 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xad17dc… |
| 06-20 15:25:52 | (anonymous) 0x1e63…7267 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xad17dc… |
| 06-20 15:11:58 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x70b69c… |
| 06-20 15:11:58 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x70b69c… |
| 06-20 15:10:52 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xe74c9e… |
| 06-20 15:10:52 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe74c9e… |
| 06-20 15:07:23 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x6df2b6… |
| 06-20 15:07:23 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6df2b6… |