US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$41,650
$5 in 24h
Trades
2,004
Unique wallets
244
Liquidity
$17,184
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-01 04:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.4¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $12.3K
vs crowd: 1% YES on $29.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $16 | $12.9K | $12.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 20 | $27 | $3.1K | $3.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 59 | $10 | $4.9K | $4.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 153 | $105 | $8.5K | $8.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $16 | $12.3K | $12.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 11 | $25 | $67 | $42 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $5 | $297 | $292 |
| Median | 39 | $15 | $1.6K | $1.6K |
| Below median | 27 | $9 | $349 | $340 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $20 | $10 | +$10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $3 | $31 | $28 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $498 | $498 |
| unranked | 139 | $65 | $14.2K | $14.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +12,366 | $12,323 | $12,323 | 97 | 06-28 12:10 |
| Dependent-Sausage 0x904f…50c6 | Yes | +8,403 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-27 08:03 |
| Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | +5,100 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-21 16:06 |
| Conventional-Sesame 0x184e…cf96 | No | +2,581 | $2,547 | $2,547 | 11 | 06-04 11:04 |
| Ripe-Thongs 0x950a…b380 | Yes | +1,066 | $6 | $10 | 9 | 06-27 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x340c…1007 | Yes | +985 | $-1 | $8 | 31 | 06-27 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a3c…62af | Yes | +926 | $1 | $1 | 31 | 06-27 00:21 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +800 | $2 | $2 | 11 | 06-24 16:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xf2e8…e187 | Yes | +500 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-30 10:16 |
| Virtual-Execution 0x3d14…ee01 | No | +500 | $498 | $498 | 2 | 06-23 17:44 |
| Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | +451 | $-1 | $5 | 38 | 06-30 22:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xd537…0c6c | No | +420 | $420 | $420 | 1 | 06-27 00:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b58…ea4e | No | +312 | $312 | $312 | 1 | 06-27 00:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xcfff…d3e9 | No | +302 | $302 | $302 | 1 | 06-27 00:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x735c…f0d3 | Yes | +300 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-21 16:06 |
| Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | +300 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 06-26 14:21 |
| Darling-Sediment 0xe9b6…5187 | No | +290 | $290 | $290 | 1 | 06-27 00:51 |
| Weepy-Spike 0x5cb1…8c3e | No | +282 | $282 | $282 | 1 | 06-27 00:51 |
| Grotesque-Silver 0xf56a…f519 | No | +264 | $264 | $264 | 1 | 06-26 13:25 |
| Haunting-Mare 0x5d70…df31 | No | +237 | $237 | $237 | 1 | 06-26 13:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xde08…7bcd | No | +208 | $207 | $207 | 2 | 06-26 04:18 |
| Mean-Somewhere 0x4a3b…3149 | Yes | +200 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-21 16:06 |
| Brown-Grease 0x7367…2fc9 | No | +196 | $196 | $196 | 1 | 06-27 00:51 |
| Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | +181 | $179 | $199 | 4 | 06-11 01:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x0a1e…6f42 | No | +178 | $178 | $178 | 1 | 06-29 02:38 |
| Late-Pike 0x7457…5ef1 | No | +177 | $177 | $177 | 1 | 06-26 13:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x2eb2…f230 | No | +169 | $167 | $167 | 1 | 06-03 05:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xd56d…8108 | Yes | +158 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-15 19:52 |
| Sympathetic-Document 0xe5f6…374a | No | +154 | $154 | $154 | 1 | 06-29 02:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xd76f…d982 | No | +151 | $151 | $151 | 1 | 06-29 02:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bc2…f01b | No | +143 | $143 | $143 | 1 | 06-29 02:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x7139…86bc | No | +139 | $139 | $139 | 1 | 06-26 04:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xebae…58e8 | No | +139 | $139 | $139 | 1 | 06-26 03:57 |
| Trustworthy-Interviewer 0xc063…ce06 | No | +138 | $138 | $138 | 1 | 06-26 13:26 |
| Spectacular-Owl 0xccdc…eee2 | No | +133 | $133 | $133 | 1 | 06-26 13:26 |
| Intent-Colonial 0x69ab…56ba | No | +132 | $132 | $132 | 1 | 06-25 12:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x6cee…0017 | No | +126 | $126 | $126 | 1 | 06-29 02:38 |
| Qualified-Porthole 0xa69b…3794 | No | +123 | $123 | $123 | 1 | 06-26 04:16 |
| Monstrous-Trolley 0x58d8…f6fd | No | +120 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 06-26 03:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x24ee…de4d | No | +120 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 06-26 03:50 |
| Remarkable-Skull 0xeedf…56c7 | No | +114 | $114 | $114 | 1 | 06-26 13:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x6be5…1d7d | Yes | +111 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-13 16:32 |
| Sunny-Herb 0x7884…ae1d | No | +108 | $107 | $107 | 1 | 06-26 03:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x18db…21bf | Yes | +81 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 06-27 00:21 |
| Squiggly-Princess 0x2e73…c4c2 | Yes | +55 | $0 | $0 | 11 | 06-15 18:27 |
| Cheap-Halibut 0x0a57…dc32 | Yes | +49 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 06-07 09:56 |
| Charming-Connotation 0xff1f…a6bf | Yes | +24 | $3 | $57 | 11 | 06-03 03:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 04:58:29 | Teeming-Technician 0x52e5…920a | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x5715eb… |
| 07-01 04:58:29 | Muffled-Description 0x56b1…2087 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x5715eb… |
| 06-30 22:27:34 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe84825… |
| 06-30 22:27:34 | (anonymous) 0xa996…34b5 | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0xe84825… |
| 06-30 20:41:32 | Muffled-Description 0x56b1…2087 | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xe85f6f… |
| 06-30 20:41:32 | (anonymous) 0x4485…215c | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xe85f6f… |
| 06-30 11:55:43 | (anonymous) 0x3844…11b4 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x22e2fd… |
| 06-30 11:55:43 | Recent-Witchhunt 0x0e32…535b | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x22e2fd… |
| 06-30 11:55:40 | (anonymous) 0x4881…7d9e | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x22c618… |
| 06-30 11:55:40 | Recent-Witchhunt 0x0e32…535b | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x22c618… |
| 06-30 11:30:17 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 91 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3955fb… |
| 06-30 11:30:17 | Recent-Witchhunt 0x0e32…535b | No | SELL | 91 | 100¢ | $91 | 0x3955fb… |
| 06-30 10:55:20 | Muffled-Description 0x56b1…2087 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x8bb2b0… |
| 06-30 10:55:20 | Recent-Witchhunt 0x0e32…535b | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x8bb2b0… |
| 06-30 10:16:32 | (anonymous) 0xf2e8…e187 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x481b57… |
| 06-30 10:16:32 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | SELL | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x481b57… |
| 06-30 09:05:19 | Recent-Witchhunt 0x0e32…535b | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x781ce7… |
| 06-30 09:05:19 | Muffled-Description 0x56b1…2087 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x781ce7… |
| 06-30 08:43:10 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd2ac02… |
| 06-30 08:43:10 | Grounded-Chart 0x77b4…9476 | No | SELL | 58 | 100¢ | $58 | 0xd2ac02… |
| 06-30 08:43:10 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd2ac02… |
| 06-30 08:20:59 | Recent-Witchhunt 0x0e32…535b | No | SELL | 58 | 100¢ | $58 | 0xd4e74c… |
| 06-30 08:20:59 | Grounded-Chart 0x77b4…9476 | No | BUY | 58 | 100¢ | $58 | 0xd4e74c… |
| 06-30 07:18:43 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 120 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x53385a… |
| 06-30 07:18:43 | (anonymous) 0xc681…37c9 | No | SELL | 120 | 100¢ | $120 | 0x53385a… |
| 06-30 07:13:40 | Recent-Witchhunt 0x0e32…535b | No | SELL | 120 | 100¢ | $120 | 0x4eaace… |
| 06-30 07:13:40 | (anonymous) 0xc681…37c9 | No | BUY | 120 | 100¢ | $120 | 0x4eaace… |
| 06-29 06:21:25 | (anonymous) 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x9e9864… |
| 06-29 06:21:25 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9e9864… |
| 06-29 04:11:02 | Slight-Guinea 0xd39c…8d35 | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x815012… |
| 06-29 04:11:02 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x815012… |
| 06-29 03:45:04 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf85806… |
| 06-29 03:45:04 | (anonymous) 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0xf85806… |
| 06-29 03:32:29 | Detailed-Vascular 0x79e4…d497 | No | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xbae6ff… |
| 06-29 03:32:29 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbae6ff… |
| 06-29 03:04:35 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x363da8… |
| 06-29 03:04:35 | (anonymous) 0x38ab…ab66 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x363da8… |
| 06-29 02:38:37 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3d5d45… |
| 06-29 02:38:37 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3d5d45… |
| 06-29 02:38:37 | (anonymous) 0x123e…4a87 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x3d5d45… |
| 06-29 02:38:31 | (anonymous) 0x0a1e…6f42 | No | BUY | 178 | 100¢ | $178 | 0xc1642a… |
| 06-29 02:38:31 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 84 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc1642a… |
| 06-29 02:38:31 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 94 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc1642a… |
| 06-29 02:38:28 | Sympathetic-Document 0xe5f6…374a | No | BUY | 154 | 100¢ | $154 | 0x4a2901… |
| 06-29 02:38:28 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 154 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4a2901… |
| 06-29 02:38:25 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 151 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaed59a… |
| 06-29 02:38:25 | (anonymous) 0xd76f…d982 | No | BUY | 151 | 100¢ | $151 | 0xaed59a… |
| 06-29 02:38:22 | (anonymous) 0x4bc2…f01b | No | BUY | 143 | 100¢ | $143 | 0xb8d7b8… |
| 06-29 02:38:22 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 143 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb8d7b8… |
| 06-29 02:38:20 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 126 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeb2b95… |
| 06-29 02:38:20 | (anonymous) 0x6cee…0017 | No | BUY | 126 | 100¢ | $126 | 0xeb2b95… |
| 06-29 02:36:29 | Shadowy-Archer 0x322a…c2c3 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xc723fc… |
| 06-29 02:36:29 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc723fc… |
| 06-29 02:36:29 | Superficial-Price 0x34fa…da3e | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xaad9bf… |
| 06-29 02:36:29 | Defiant-Limb 0xd0af…cc5a | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x59135d… |
| 06-29 02:36:29 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x59135d… |
| 06-29 02:36:29 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaad9bf… |
| 06-29 02:36:26 | Wet-Cockpit 0x0ce0…1c53 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xe06f02… |
| 06-29 02:36:26 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe06f02… |
| 06-29 02:36:25 | Gripping-Group 0x24ef…4433 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x1813b7… |
| 06-29 02:36:25 | Petty-Scout 0x2228…4fc6 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xab4477… |
| 06-29 02:36:25 | Limp-Frock 0xb2b1…b9f8 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xd2508c… |
| 06-29 02:36:25 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd2508c… |
| 06-29 02:36:25 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xab4477… |
| 06-29 02:36:25 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1813b7… |
| 06-29 02:36:23 | Educated-Melon 0x65a3…27aa | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x409d02… |
| 06-29 02:36:23 | Fancy-Fire 0xc780…250b | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x53b915… |
| 06-29 02:36:23 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x53b915… |
| 06-29 02:36:23 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x409d02… |
| 06-29 02:36:22 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeae153… |
| 06-29 02:36:22 | Fond-Protection 0xe2da…0683 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xeae153… |
| 06-29 02:36:22 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x36555c… |
| 06-29 02:36:22 | Serene-Shallot 0xcf26…bb2b | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x36555c… |
| 06-29 02:36:19 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x14eef9… |
| 06-29 02:36:19 | Untimely-Departure 0x7f3c…75c9 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x5baf0e… |
| 06-29 02:36:19 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5baf0e… |
| 06-29 02:36:19 | Impressive-Stopsign 0x2c45…e50b | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x14eef9… |
| 06-29 02:36:17 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xebbf05… |
| 06-29 02:36:17 | Imperturbable-Urge 0xc08e…0764 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xebbf05… |
| 06-29 02:14:29 | Detailed-Vascular 0x79e4…d497 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x1b30e1… |
| 06-29 02:14:29 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1b30e1… |
| 06-29 02:09:10 | Slight-Guinea 0xd39c…8d35 | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0xd4f22c… |
| 06-29 02:09:10 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd4f22c… |
| 06-29 01:45:41 | (anonymous) 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x4043f6… |
| 06-29 01:45:41 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4043f6… |
| 06-29 01:37:16 | (anonymous) 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x75a277… |
| 06-29 01:37:16 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x75a277… |
| 06-29 01:35:59 | (anonymous) 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x20f050… |
| 06-29 01:35:59 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x20f050… |
| 06-29 01:35:53 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd919cd… |
| 06-29 01:35:53 | (anonymous) 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xd919cd… |
| 06-29 01:35:02 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3d36a9… |
| 06-29 01:35:02 | (anonymous) 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x3d36a9… |
| 06-29 01:33:28 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x67d5bc… |
| 06-29 01:33:28 | (anonymous) 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x67d5bc… |
| 06-29 01:32:26 | (anonymous) 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x2545fb… |
| 06-29 01:32:26 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2545fb… |
| 06-29 01:20:05 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x424c1f… |
| 06-29 01:20:05 | (anonymous) 0x38ab…ab66 | No | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x424c1f… |
| 06-29 01:18:44 | (anonymous) 0x38ab…ab66 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x57949d… |