Serene-Shallot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.9%

Resolved

115

Trades

249

lifetime

Volume

$1.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 06-29 16:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

99% 54% +$8

Politics

1% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-20 01:36
Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-21 17:03
Will Verlina Reynolds-Jackson be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	06-03 02:03
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?	2	$29	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	06-15 13:45
Will MrBeast's video get between 60 and 62 million views on day 3?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$1	05-04 18:55
will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	2	$28	14	14	+0	Yes	+$0	06-08 21:06
Will Adele be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	2	$27	14	14	+0	No	+$1	05-05 02:10
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	06-26 15:59
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	2	$25	13	13	+0	Yes	+$1	06-24 04:53
Will Belgium come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	05-16 23:26
israel closes its airspace by june 12	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	06-12 12:53
will trust me the false prophet be the top global netflix show this week 453	2	$22	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	04-21 22:08
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	06-29 02:36
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on May 29?	5	$20	40	0	+40	No	$0	05-29 12:35
Les Wexner charged by June 30?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-25 12:45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 30?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-29 14:46
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 14?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-14 08:00
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 6?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 05:54
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 13?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	06-12 16:17
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or higher on June 20?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	06-19 15:06
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 5?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-05 06:02
highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 22c	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-24 04:53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 5?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-04 17:23
highest temperature in taipei on april 22 2026 28c	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-22 00:31
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on June 16?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-16 14:52
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 5?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-05 01:57
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 16?	3	$14	42	0	+42	No	$0	05-16 15:51
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on April 27?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	04-26 16:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 3?	5	$14	28	0	+28	No	$0	05-03 03:39
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 2?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-02 06:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 16:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x794199…
06-29 12:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 30?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xc37f6d…
06-29 02:36:22	US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x36555c…
06-28 23:49:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x36165f…
06-28 23:46:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 29?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfee273…
06-28 08:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x3cc629…
06-28 05:38:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 28?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xc1dbee…
06-27 11:13:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x670312…
06-27 11:12:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 27?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x59bf70…
06-26 15:59:37	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xfd5f60…
06-26 08:45:01	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x9fcf6e…
06-25 12:45:34	Les Wexner charged by June 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x23ca9d…
06-25 04:44:50	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x3bca86…
06-25 04:43:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 25?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xb39148…
06-24 12:12:47	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x50748a…
06-24 12:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3a85e1…
06-24 04:53:56	Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x48f5eb…
06-23 06:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xbd1450…
06-23 06:46:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 23?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x877ea2…
06-22 03:28:07	Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	Yes	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0xf078a5…
06-21 01:52:04	Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xd46cda…
06-20 17:44:04	Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on June 21?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x79ce07…
06-20 17:34:11	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on June 21?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x0e490f…
06-20 01:36:20	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x664359…
06-19 15:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or higher on June 20?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x766524…
06-19 12:04:59	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or higher on June 20?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x56356f…
06-17 12:48:05	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?	No	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xa82bc0…
06-17 09:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xed71a8…
06-17 08:40:19	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 17?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xb4d3c9…
06-17 08:35:53	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x150a8c…
06-16 14:52:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xbc9700…
06-15 18:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on June 16?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x7bed94…
06-15 13:45:18	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xf4d1cd…
06-14 12:03:57	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?	Yes	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x336857…
06-13 22:30:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xf4400c…
06-13 20:08:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 14?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xabd50f…
06-12 16:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x6b8b5d…
06-12 16:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x62d09e…
06-12 13:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 13?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1529f3…
06-12 12:53:21	israel closes its airspace by june 12	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xc656c4…
06-12 07:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 12?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x71519d…
06-12 07:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 12?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xc7d1d8…
06-12 07:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 12?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x91a46a…
06-11 19:23:03	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 12?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x624401…
06-11 06:04:07	israel closes its airspace by june 12	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x246c44…
06-09 09:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xc0fb12…
06-09 09:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 9?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x97fc2d…
06-08 21:06:21	will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xf67cd9…
06-08 15:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x13206c…
06-08 15:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8f61ad…
06-08 13:29:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x4fc15e…
06-08 13:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x03f06a…
06-08 12:39:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 9?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xdd2a0b…
06-07 18:16:03	will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xb8bcbe…
06-07 06:48:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on June 7?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x927ef6…
06-07 06:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on June 7?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x8a3624…
06-06 16:34:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xc59187…
06-06 16:32:15	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x03808b…
06-06 16:17:31	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xc968d0…
06-06 16:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xc76a3b…
06-06 12:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 7?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xb6a294…
06-05 16:34:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xe9cca4…
06-05 16:17:19	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xe56ad7…
06-05 14:10:00	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on June 6?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x48e8ed…
06-04 17:23:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x667245…
06-04 17:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd0aae7…
06-04 17:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x7492b4…
06-04 17:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x6a1429…
06-04 17:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 5?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x878b8f…
06-03 14:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x524ba2…
06-03 12:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 4?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x67317e…
06-03 02:03:55	Will Verlina Reynolds-Jackson be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x483865…
06-02 22:51:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc2f484…
06-02 22:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x2c3115…
06-02 12:14:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 3?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x0e0176…
06-02 07:26:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xee00b1…
06-02 03:37:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 2?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xdb0e77…
06-01 14:33:17	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xc95942…
06-01 14:17:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 2?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xace390…
06-01 00:06:41	Will Verlina Reynolds-Jackson be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x0a2be5…
05-31 19:05:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x8b4ab2…
05-31 12:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 1?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x697847…
05-31 06:03:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x022009…
05-31 00:45:17	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xefd9f2…
05-30 14:58:08	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xf1657d…
05-30 12:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on May 31?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x175e49…
05-30 01:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xb60e1e…
05-30 01:19:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x59a1db…
05-29 12:35:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x0e4565…
05-29 12:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xe7b704…
05-29 11:55:32	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xbc531d…
05-29 11:43:03	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xfdd286…
05-29 11:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on May 29?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc51b6a…
05-28 20:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x19303b…
05-28 20:33:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xf1c5c8…
05-28 19:55:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x18d932…
05-28 19:49:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x3b53dc…
05-28 18:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 29?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xea64e5…
05-28 12:07:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 29?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9aed08…
05-28 07:40:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 28?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x0bef2e…