Realized P&L
-$4.44K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.56K
Hit rate
42.1%
Resolved
223
Trades
571
lifetime
Volume
$17.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$1.21K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 11-11 11:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 86 days
Categories
Sports
52% 27% -$1,090
Politics
29% 18% -$2,232
Other
17% 25% -$843
Crypto
2% 0% -$273
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +6,855 $750 7¢ $480 -$270 11-11 11:31
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,724 $321 11¢ $181 -$140 08-27 09:50
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? Yes +5,291 $594 2¢ $132 -$462 10-21 11:50
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? Yes +3,082 $257 4¢ $109 -$148 09-23 15:47
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,298 $50 4¢ $92 +$42 10-21 11:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? Yes +2,150 $300 4¢ $83 -$217 09-23 15:40
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -1,358 -$98 3¢ $-35 +$62 10-28 12:25
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +1,829 $310 2¢ $29 -$281 08-26 20:34
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 Yes +278 $50 7¢ $19 -$31 08-20 18:56
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes -599 -$17 3¢ $-17 +$0 10-25 19:56
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by June 30, 2027? Yes +78 $20 11¢ $9 -$11 10-27 14:36
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? Yes +443 $40 2¢ $8 -$32 10-29 12:33
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes +196 $48 4¢ $7 -$41 06-01 21:42
Will an F1 race be held in the United Arab Emirates in 2026? No +20 $10 15¢ $3 -$7 10-28 09:22
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +73 $0 3¢ $2 +$2 10-21 11:58
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? Yes -71 $17 3¢ $-2 -$19 10-25 19:56
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes +348 $6 0¢ $1 -$5 06-15 10:27