Realized P&L
-$129
Unrealized P&L
+$19
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
224
lifetime
Volume
$6.92K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$569
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 07-19 13:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Sports
45%
Politics
28% 0% $-125
Other
23% 0% $-4
Crypto
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,545 $271 19¢ $294 +$23 07-06 10:36
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes -552 $-50 12¢ $-63 $-14 07-18 13:56
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? Yes +605 $67 $54 $-13 06-15 18:23
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? Yes +634 $71 $51 $-21 07-06 10:40
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes -281 $-84 17¢ $-48 +$36 06-27 15:12
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes -204 $-52 18¢ $-36 +$16 06-01 21:42
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -179 $-27 10¢ $-17 +$10 06-04 17:45
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? Yes +263 $25 $7 $-18 06-04 17:48