Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$3,687
$16 in 24h
Trades
157
Unique wallets
54
Liquidity
$16,915
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-18 15:45
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $6 | $725 | $719 |
| 🐟 Fish | 20 | $79 | $548 | $469 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $29 | $471 | $442 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $30 | $30 | $0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $56 | $10 | +$46 |
| Median | 9 | $11 | $5 | +$6 |
| Below median | 5 | — | $119 | $119 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $336 | $336 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $8 | $725 | $717 |
| unranked | 15 | $17 | $520 | $503 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | +802 | $725 | $725 | 11 | 06-15 22:01 |
| Bland-Caviar 0xa9ec…57d5 | No | +369 | $336 | $336 | 5 | 06-17 15:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x0d95…d4be | Yes | +300 | $24 | $24 | 5 | 06-06 16:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe84…e34e | No | +184 | $167 | $167 | 1 | 06-13 11:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | +170 | $157 | $172 | 3 | 06-15 12:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x03ad…72bb | No | +154 | $142 | $142 | 1 | 05-31 11:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xd11c…0d06 | No | +130 | $119 | $120 | 5 | 06-13 11:46 |
| Ragged-Proctor 0xba8f…ad42 | Yes | +100 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-06 23:34 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | +80 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-30 14:08 |
| Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | +69 | $-1 | $110 | 40 | 06-18 15:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b13…28df | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-31 06:08 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +21 | $2 | $9 | 2 | 06-17 07:02 |
| Far-Flung-Weird 0x0309…22d1 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-06 16:13 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-17 07:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x26fe…77c3 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-13 20:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x5ef9…5724 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 18:35 |
| Purple-Son 0x3a59…6c6f | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-15 01:29 |
| Soulful-Leather 0xe913…4b84 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 11:04 |
| Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-11 06:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 15:45:55 | Spherical-Casement-Violence 0xbd0d…1fb4 | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x1dbcee… |
| 06-18 15:45:55 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x1dbcee… |
| 06-18 06:17:46 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xc8b939… |
| 06-18 06:17:46 | (anonymous) 0x4296…19de | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xc8b939… |
| 06-18 03:16:20 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x5a3e1e… |
| 06-18 03:16:20 | (anonymous) 0x4296…19de | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x5a3e1e… |
| 06-17 23:11:32 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x279f3a… |
| 06-17 23:11:32 | (anonymous) 0x0e60…f190 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x279f3a… |
| 06-17 15:13:20 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 8 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x1f6a3d… |
| 06-17 15:13:20 | Bland-Caviar 0xa9ec…57d5 | No | BUY | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0x1f6a3d… |
| 06-17 07:03:10 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xd3cbc1… |
| 06-17 07:03:10 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xd3cbc1… |
| 06-17 07:02:13 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 262 | 10¢ | $26 | 0x852827… |
| 06-17 07:02:13 | (anonymous) 0xe8ea…ef6e | Yes | SELL | 338 | 10¢ | $34 | 0x852827… |
| 06-17 07:02:13 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x852827… |
| 06-17 07:02:13 | (anonymous) 0xf49a…7770 | No | SELL | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0x852827… |
| 06-17 07:02:13 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 56 | 10¢ | $6 | 0x852827… |
| 06-16 23:15:46 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0xd836ac… |
| 06-16 23:15:46 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xd836ac… |
| 06-16 14:28:41 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xeaeb0d… |
| 06-16 14:28:41 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0xeaeb0d… |
| 06-16 14:27:35 | (anonymous) 0x9675…e252 | No | SELL | 242 | 89¢ | $215 | 0x425f2a… |
| 06-16 14:27:35 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 35 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x425f2a… |
| 06-16 14:27:35 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x425f2a… |
| 06-16 14:27:35 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 175 | 11¢ | $19 | 0x425f2a… |
| 06-16 06:26:37 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 19 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xcac289… |
| 06-16 06:26:37 | Rare-Clipper 0xe135…be52 | No | SELL | 19 | 89¢ | $17 | 0xcac289… |
| 06-16 04:53:49 | Lighthearted-Sick 0x5c5b…1a6d | No | SELL | 0 | 89¢ | $0 | 0x89ca53… |
| 06-16 04:53:49 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 0 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x89ca53… |
| 06-16 04:53:28 | (anonymous) 0xafa7…6e67 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xb70883… |
| 06-16 04:53:28 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xb70883… |
| 06-16 04:53:27 | Delightful-Crisis 0x39e8…7656 | No | SELL | 0 | 89¢ | $0 | 0x1887aa… |
| 06-16 04:53:27 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 0 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x1887aa… |
| 06-16 04:53:25 | Lavish-Sibling 0x9008…09f0 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x87297c… |
| 06-16 04:53:25 | Finished-Wind 0xd44e…67e2 | No | SELL | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0x87297c… |
| 06-15 22:02:22 | Lighthearted-Sick 0x5c5b…1a6d | No | SELL | 0 | 89¢ | $0 | 0x047a70… |
| 06-15 22:02:22 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 0 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x047a70… |
| 06-15 22:01:58 | Finished-Wind 0xd44e…67e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x7d74fe… |
| 06-15 22:01:58 | (anonymous) 0xf24b…fded | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x7d74fe… |
| 06-15 22:01:51 | Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x2197bd… |
| 06-15 22:01:51 | (anonymous) 0xf24b…fded | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x2197bd… |
| 06-15 15:06:18 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xd763e2… |
| 06-15 15:06:18 | Careful-Hint 0x81c5…6355 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xd763e2… |
| 06-15 12:41:00 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xc24816… |
| 06-15 12:41:00 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | SELL | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0xc24816… |
| 06-15 07:34:06 | Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | BUY | 197 | 90¢ | $177 | 0x0697c3… |
| 06-15 07:34:06 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x0697c3… |
| 06-15 07:34:06 | Indelible-Vitamin 0x2bc7…e411 | No | SELL | 177 | 90¢ | $159 | 0x0697c3… |
| 06-15 06:33:48 | Hideous-Toughguy 0x9af0…5816 | No | SELL | 55 | 89¢ | $49 | 0xef66eb… |
| 06-15 06:33:48 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 55 | 11¢ | $6 | 0xef66eb… |
| 06-15 01:29:01 | Purple-Son 0x3a59…6c6f | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x2464a2… |
| 06-15 01:29:01 | Indelible-Vitamin 0x2bc7…e411 | No | SELL | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x2464a2… |
| 06-14 16:33:58 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 293 | 90¢ | $264 | 0x3475bd… |
| 06-14 16:33:58 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x3475bd… |
| 06-14 16:33:58 | Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | BUY | 263 | 90¢ | $236 | 0x3475bd… |
| 06-13 20:05:46 | Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | BUY | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x91f67a… |
| 06-13 20:05:46 | Lighthearted-Sick 0x5c5b…1a6d | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x91f67a… |
| 06-13 20:02:55 | Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x4e84c3… |
| 06-13 20:02:55 | (anonymous) 0x26fe…77c3 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x4e84c3… |
| 06-13 11:46:49 | Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | BUY | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x9380c9… |
| 06-13 11:46:49 | Lighthearted-Sick 0x5c5b…1a6d | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x9380c9… |
| 06-13 11:46:46 | Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x642ea0… |
| 06-13 11:46:46 | Aged-Drum 0xdc70…cc56 | No | SELL | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x642ea0… |
| 06-13 11:46:36 | (anonymous) 0xd11c…0d06 | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xf7d68c… |
| 06-13 11:46:36 | Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | BUY | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xf7d68c… |
| 06-13 11:46:18 | Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | BUY | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0x15feb4… |
| 06-13 11:46:18 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 4 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xe0d75f… |
| 06-13 11:46:18 | Hideous-Toughguy 0x9af0…5816 | No | SELL | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0xe0d75f… |
| 06-13 11:46:18 | Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | BUY | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0xe0d75f… |
| 06-13 11:46:18 | (anonymous) 0x9675…e252 | No | SELL | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0x15feb4… |
| 06-13 11:46:15 | (anonymous) 0xbe84…e34e | No | BUY | 184 | 91¢ | $167 | 0xec2f76… |
| 06-13 11:46:15 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 0 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x78ac0e… |
| 06-13 11:46:15 | Delightful-Crisis 0x39e8…7656 | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x78ac0e… |
| 06-13 11:46:15 | Finished-Wind 0xd44e…67e2 | No | SELL | 184 | 91¢ | $167 | 0xec2f76… |
| 06-13 11:06:04 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x55015e… |
| 06-13 11:06:04 | All-Pirate 0x3a4b…9395 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x55015e… |
| 06-13 07:07:33 | Aged-Drum 0xdc70…cc56 | No | SELL | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0xcb6968… |
| 06-13 07:07:33 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xcb6968… |
| 06-13 07:07:22 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 0 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xe01261… |
| 06-13 07:07:22 | Lighthearted-Sick 0x5c5b…1a6d | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xe01261… |
| 06-13 07:07:21 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 0 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x10537d… |
| 06-13 07:07:21 | (anonymous) 0xd11c…0d06 | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x10537d… |
| 06-13 07:07:01 | Delightful-Crisis 0x39e8…7656 | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xda70f4… |
| 06-13 07:07:01 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 0 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xda70f4… |
| 06-13 07:07:00 | (anonymous) 0x7ecb…e5da | Yes | SELL | 140 | 9¢ | $13 | 0x9ade12… |
| 06-13 07:07:00 | Finished-Wind 0xd44e…67e2 | No | SELL | 140 | 91¢ | $128 | 0x9ade12… |
| 06-12 22:01:13 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xd8d01b… |
| 06-12 22:01:13 | Everlasting-Premeditation 0xb538…413e | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xd8d01b… |
| 06-12 18:35:43 | Lighthearted-Sick 0x5c5b…1a6d | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x3988d9… |
| 06-12 18:35:43 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 0 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x3988d9… |
| 06-12 18:35:24 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 0 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xb334d5… |
| 06-12 18:35:24 | Rare-Clipper 0xe135…be52 | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xb334d5… |
| 06-12 18:35:21 | (anonymous) 0x5ef9…5724 | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x465815… |
| 06-12 18:35:21 | Finished-Wind 0xd44e…67e2 | No | SELL | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x465815… |
| 06-12 13:34:37 | Lighthearted-Sick 0x5c5b…1a6d | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x3e2876… |
| 06-12 13:34:37 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 0 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x3e2876… |
| 06-12 13:34:21 | Finished-Wind 0xd44e…67e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x9c37ca… |
| 06-12 13:34:21 | Bountiful-Azimuth 0x2015…7c47 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x9c37ca… |
| 06-11 07:55:19 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 26 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xb32e32… |
| 06-11 07:55:19 | Vigilant-Clove 0x51bf…59d3 | No | SELL | 26 | 90¢ | $23 | 0xb32e32… |