Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$10,466
$16 in 24h
Trades
469
Unique wallets
133
Liquidity
$16,915
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-09 12:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 11 | $19 | $1.9K | $1.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $46 | $725 | $678 |
| 🐟 Fish | 30 | $207 | $2.0K | $1.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 83 | $46 | $1.2K | $1.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $40 | $92 | $53 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $175 | $56 | +$119 |
| Median | 43 | $11 | $206 | $195 |
| Below median | 21 | $1 | $816 | $814 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 9 | $4 | $485 | $481 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $37 | $929 | $892 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 10 | $24 | $2.5K | $2.5K |
| unranked | 25 | $28 | $694 | $666 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finished-Wind 0xd44e…67e2 | No | +1,337 | $1,298 | $2,016 | 7 | 06-20 12:12 |
| Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | +1,237 | $67 | $271 | 99 | 07-05 12:23 |
| Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | +800 | $723 | $726 | 12 | 07-09 12:28 |
| Smart-Average 0x161a…b515 | No | +417 | $400 | $400 | 2 | 07-04 08:02 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +327 | $4 | $60 | 31 | 07-01 20:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x0d95…d4be | Yes | +300 | $24 | $24 | 5 | 06-06 16:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | +194 | $181 | $454 | 8 | 07-02 05:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe84…e34e | No | +184 | $167 | $167 | 1 | 06-13 11:46 |
| Lasting-Material 0x86b3…5bfa | Yes | +170 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-05 12:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x03ad…72bb | No | +154 | $142 | $142 | 1 | 05-31 11:06 |
| Aged-Drum 0xdc70…cc56 | No | +154 | $150 | $182 | 3 | 06-20 12:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xd11c…0d06 | No | +130 | $119 | $120 | 5 | 06-13 11:46 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +106 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-06 14:26 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +100 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-19 16:36 |
| Appropriate-Cathedral 0x70ad…f1df | No | +100 | $93 | $93 | 1 | 06-30 04:34 |
| Lighthearted-Sick 0x5c5b…1a6d | No | +86 | $83 | $85 | 8 | 06-20 12:12 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | +80 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-30 14:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x7600…787e | Yes | +79 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-26 05:39 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +73 | $70 | $70 | 3 | 07-09 12:28 |
| Academic-Forecast 0x0314…2f6d | Yes | +68 | $3 | $4 | 6 | 07-08 08:34 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +42 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-19 16:36 |
| Slim-Cash-Contrary 0x8f97…ef9e | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-19 16:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b13…28df | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-31 06:08 |
| Unsteady-Girdle 0xdad6…b754 | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 07-01 22:22 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +27 | $26 | $26 | 4 | 07-05 12:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $1 | $5 | 11 | 06-30 13:04 |
| Far-Flung-Weird 0x0309…22d1 | Yes | +22 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 06-19 09:18 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +21 | $-5 | $13 | 15 | 06-20 12:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xafa7…6e67 | No | +21 | $21 | $30 | 2 | 06-20 12:12 |
| Flickering-Viscose 0x3b78…5ce6 | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-20 12:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x0e7a…8274 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-26 05:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x26fe…77c3 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-13 20:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x5ef9…5724 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 18:35 |
| Complete-Anchovy 0xad42…5d73 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-20 12:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xd66d…b64a | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 22:22 |
| Interesting-Marker 0x9fe7…846b | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-20 12:12 |
| Novel-Strap 0x4822…3481 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-20 12:12 |
| Excitable-Historian 0x5d3a…187d | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-20 12:12 |
| Skeletal-Subsection 0x3d20…5dfd | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-20 12:12 |
| Spicy-Cinder 0x0d46…8a13 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-20 12:12 |
| Solid-Granola 0x49e6…7fe2 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-20 12:12 |
| Brief-Tailbud 0xe9ae…9dda | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-20 12:12 |
| Roasted-Blush 0x63e7…4c14 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-20 12:12 |
| Flippant-Scam 0x1eda…c952 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-20 12:12 |
| Raw-Hair 0xf2ee…e267 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-20 12:12 |
| Harmless-Destroyer 0xdaa2…901e | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-20 12:12 |
| Grown-Dead 0xc9fe…e64f | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-20 12:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 12:28:05 | Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xc13a5e… |
| 07-09 12:28:05 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xc13a5e… |
| 07-08 08:34:11 | (anonymous) 0x7a83…a220 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe36c65… |
| 07-08 08:34:11 | Academic-Forecast 0x0314…2f6d | Yes | BUY | 13 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe36c65… |
| 07-07 11:34:58 | Rewarding-Alto 0xd3ba…33b9 | No | SELL | 35 | 96¢ | $33 | 0xe963ee… |
| 07-07 11:34:58 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 35 | 96¢ | $33 | 0xe963ee… |
| 07-06 14:26:19 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | BUY | 106 | 4¢ | $5 | 0xdbcc9d… |
| 07-06 14:26:19 | Soulful-Leather 0xe913…4b84 | Yes | SELL | 69 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xdbcc9d… |
| 07-06 14:26:19 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 37 | 96¢ | $35 | 0xdbcc9d… |
| 07-06 07:37:31 | Soulful-Leather 0xe913…4b84 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf11828… |
| 07-06 07:37:31 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xf11828… |
| 07-05 12:23:40 | Lasting-Material 0x86b3…5bfa | Yes | BUY | 170 | 6¢ | $10 | 0xd6d33f… |
| 07-05 12:23:40 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 12 | 96¢ | $11 | 0xd6d33f… |
| 07-05 12:23:40 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 159 | 6¢ | $10 | 0xd6d33f… |
| 07-04 08:02:01 | Unknown-Integer 0x8947…f4b4 | No | SELL | 12 | 97¢ | $12 | 0xd1c664… |
| 07-04 08:02:01 | Smart-Average 0x161a…b515 | No | BUY | 312 | 96¢ | $300 | 0xd1c664… |
| 07-04 08:02:01 | Academic-Forecast 0x0314…2f6d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd1c664… |
| 07-04 08:02:01 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 245 | 4¢ | $10 | 0xd1c664… |
| 07-03 19:32:02 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 17 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x2b7e88… |
| 07-03 19:32:02 | Academic-Forecast 0x0314…2f6d | Yes | SELL | 17 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x2b7e88… |
| 07-02 05:48:38 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x9da945… |
| 07-02 05:48:38 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x9da945… |
| 07-02 03:14:52 | Academic-Forecast 0x0314…2f6d | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xf68340… |
| 07-02 03:14:52 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xf68340… |
| 07-01 22:22:16 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 26 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x03d9c8… |
| 07-01 22:22:16 | Unsteady-Girdle 0xdad6…b754 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x03d9c8… |
| 07-01 22:22:16 | (anonymous) 0xd66d…b64a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x03d9c8… |
| 07-01 22:22:16 | Unknown-Integer 0x8947…f4b4 | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x03d9c8… |
| 07-01 22:22:16 | Smart-Average 0x161a…b515 | No | BUY | 104 | 96¢ | $100 | 0x03d9c8… |
| 07-01 20:11:01 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x6cb41e… |
| 07-01 20:11:01 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x6cb41e… |
| 07-01 14:15:26 | Spherical-Casement-Violence 0xbd0d…1fb4 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xc4799e… |
| 07-01 14:15:26 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xc4799e… |
| 07-01 03:35:55 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x726eba… |
| 07-01 03:35:55 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x726eba… |
| 07-01 03:23:43 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xa09ae2… |
| 07-01 03:23:43 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xa09ae2… |
| 07-01 03:11:05 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x9ee232… |
| 07-01 03:11:05 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x9ee232… |
| 07-01 02:57:49 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x385cf6… |
| 07-01 02:57:49 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x385cf6… |
| 07-01 02:45:31 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x48bc6f… |
| 07-01 02:45:31 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x48bc6f… |
| 07-01 02:32:31 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x276204… |
| 07-01 02:32:31 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x276204… |
| 07-01 02:20:10 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xcc142b… |
| 07-01 02:20:10 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xcc142b… |
| 07-01 02:06:17 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xe704d4… |
| 07-01 02:06:17 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xe704d4… |
| 07-01 01:53:31 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xb09d69… |
| 07-01 01:53:31 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xb09d69… |
| 07-01 01:41:13 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x78b369… |
| 07-01 01:41:13 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x78b369… |
| 07-01 01:28:22 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xc7b57f… |
| 07-01 01:28:22 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xc7b57f… |
| 07-01 01:15:49 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x6fc33a… |
| 07-01 01:15:49 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x6fc33a… |
| 07-01 00:49:20 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x867f36… |
| 07-01 00:49:20 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x867f36… |
| 07-01 00:36:08 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x7c9ba8… |
| 07-01 00:36:08 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x7c9ba8… |
| 07-01 00:22:25 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x19a67a… |
| 07-01 00:22:25 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x19a67a… |
| 07-01 00:09:20 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x496ece… |
| 07-01 00:09:20 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x496ece… |
| 06-30 23:55:37 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x7117a5… |
| 06-30 23:55:37 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x7117a5… |
| 06-30 23:42:25 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x225ef7… |
| 06-30 23:42:25 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x225ef7… |
| 06-30 22:15:28 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x1963e0… |
| 06-30 22:15:28 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x1963e0… |
| 06-30 21:58:29 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x1d1db8… |
| 06-30 21:58:29 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x1d1db8… |
| 06-30 20:46:59 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x84d38f… |
| 06-30 20:46:59 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x84d38f… |
| 06-30 20:21:19 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x70d2b8… |
| 06-30 20:21:19 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x70d2b8… |
| 06-30 20:21:19 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x70d2b8… |
| 06-30 18:59:14 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x251c97… |
| 06-30 18:59:14 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 12 | 94¢ | $11 | 0x251c97… |
| 06-30 17:10:40 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 12 | 94¢ | $11 | 0xf180f8… |
| 06-30 17:10:40 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xf180f8… |
| 06-30 15:47:41 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xde3258… |
| 06-30 15:47:41 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 12 | 94¢ | $11 | 0xde3258… |
| 06-30 14:16:11 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xc2b976… |
| 06-30 14:16:11 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 12 | 94¢ | $11 | 0xc2b976… |
| 06-30 13:24:58 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xb4f75c… |
| 06-30 13:24:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 12 | 94¢ | $11 | 0xb4f75c… |
| 06-30 13:04:01 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 12 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x3f69bb… |
| 06-30 13:04:01 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x3f69bb… |
| 06-30 13:04:01 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0x3f69bb… |
| 06-30 12:56:43 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 37 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xb99ed0… |
| 06-30 12:56:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 13 | 93¢ | $12 | 0xb99ed0… |
| 06-30 12:56:43 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xb99ed0… |
| 06-30 05:46:47 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 13 | 92¢ | $12 | 0x31ead1… |
| 06-30 05:46:47 | (anonymous) 0x7a83…a220 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x31ead1… |
| 06-30 04:34:53 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 80 | 92¢ | $74 | 0x379547… |
| 06-30 04:34:53 | Appropriate-Cathedral 0x70ad…f1df | No | BUY | 100 | 93¢ | $93 | 0x379547… |
| 06-30 04:34:53 | Pretty-Bend 0x72bb…ef39 | No | SELL | 542 | 93¢ | $504 | 0x379547… |
| 06-30 04:34:53 | Unknown-Integer 0x8947…f4b4 | No | BUY | 45 | 92¢ | $42 | 0x379547… |