Realized P&L
+$10
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
63.6%
Resolved
3
Trades
208
lifetime
Volume
$2.47K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$36
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 07-19 13:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
53% 33% +$10
Other
37%
Tech
8%
Sports
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +26 $20 68¢ $18 $-2 07-18 04:42
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +22 $10 34¢ $7 $-3 06-06 03:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $10 36¢ $7 $-3 06-06 03:06
Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +16 $5 23¢ $4 $-1 07-18 04:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +19 $10 $0 $-10 06-20 12:56