Babyish-Model — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

Trades

222

lifetime

Volume

$2.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 08-09 14:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

54% 33% +$10

Other

37% — —

Tech

8% — —

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	2	$218	209	209	+0	open	—	02-07 13:18
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$210	221	0	+221	open	—	04-19 08:00
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	03-01 11:34
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	2	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	07-19 13:07
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?	2	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	02-15 05:37
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	1	$50	128	0	+128	open	—	02-01 09:59
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	05-10 07:11
will unitree robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 spring festival gala	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	02-10 13:18
will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	2	$41	31	31	+0	open	—	02-07 13:18
will stranger things season 5 be the top us netflix show this week january 6 2026	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	01-04 03:12
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	2	$31	61	0	+61	open	—	08-09 14:34
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	1	$30	36	0	+36	open	—	04-10 12:08
us x china tariff agreement by december 31	1	$30	35	0	+35	open	—	07-18 04:41
iran military action against a gulf state on july 18 20260708212322943	1	$30	33	0	+33	open	—	07-18 04:39
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	2	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	02-08 10:38
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	2	$30	35	0	+35	open	—	02-08 10:39
maduro mugshot released by monday	1	$25	41	0	+41	open	—	01-04 03:08
us x iran meeting by february 13 2026 452	2	$25	198	0	+198	open	—	02-12 13:45
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	2	$25	33	0	+33	open	—	08-09 14:30
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	3	$25	37	0	+37	open	—	03-22 05:24
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	3	$21	19	8	+11	open	—	02-15 05:39
will there be 5 or fewer us strikes on somalia in february 2026	2	$20	877	0	+877	open	—	02-12 13:39
will trump visit china by march 31	1	$20	35	0	+35	open	—	03-07 09:34
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	04-10 12:07
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	02-10 13:17
president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	07-19 13:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	04-10 12:09
european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	08-09 14:33
starmer out by october 31 2026 896 929	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	06-20 12:56
will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	02-23 06:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 14:34:33	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x90b253…
08-09 14:34:24	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x5e8532…
08-09 14:33:57	european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xeb890d…
08-09 14:32:01	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x0e5000…
08-09 14:31:34	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xe23335…
08-09 14:31:09	Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xf6a3e1…
08-09 14:30:51	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x6a70a0…
08-09 14:29:49	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507	Yes	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xe831b1…
08-09 14:29:33	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	24¢	$15	0xbaa982…
08-09 14:28:42	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xbb5b50…
08-09 14:28:24	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xf11c51…
08-09 14:28:09	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x8d0da9…
08-09 14:26:24	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xfd330a…
08-09 14:25:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x2c4470…
07-19 13:07:39	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xa75f3d…
07-19 13:07:22	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2ad23c…
07-19 13:07:07	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xf1774d…
07-19 13:06:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0xe3d8cc…
07-18 04:43:18	Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xac35e5…
07-18 04:42:36	china ballistic missile launch by december 31 20260706145934670	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xddd11e…
07-18 04:42:03	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x5b2aa3…
07-18 04:41:46	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0xc6bea8…
07-18 04:40:45	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xc9c6e2…
07-18 04:40:18	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xf50e95…
07-18 04:39:46	iran military action against a gulf state on july 18 20260708212322943	Yes	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x96c4fa…
06-23 13:27:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	19	100¢	$18	0x831998…
06-20 12:57:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xad9fe7…
06-20 12:56:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xc4131a…
06-20 12:56:22	starmer out by october 31 2026 896 929	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x911a81…
06-20 12:55:23	trump meets with putin by december 31	Yes	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xc939be…
06-20 12:54:38	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xdf745f…
06-06 03:08:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x361b7c…
06-06 03:08:31	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x28918a…
06-06 03:08:15	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x355ae1…
06-06 03:07:31	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x991062…
06-06 03:07:13	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x7be1ab…
06-06 03:06:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa9c444…
06-06 03:06:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xce58e4…
06-06 03:06:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x7b38ca…
06-06 03:05:45	us x china tariff agreement by june 30	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xff1b34…
05-10 07:12:02	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xd5dc29…
05-10 07:11:49	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	52	95¢	$50	0xd0193e…
05-10 07:07:25	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" this week?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x2fc94c…
05-10 07:07:18	Will Trump say "Boeing" this week?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x340653…
05-10 07:07:06	Will Trump say "Shipbuilding" this week?	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xadeef2…
05-10 07:06:55	Will Trump say "NVIDIA" this week?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x077cf8…
05-10 07:06:40	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x81da4d…
05-10 07:06:20	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x3d0b11…
05-10 07:06:10	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x4d0eda…
05-10 07:04:30	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xc11d24…
04-19 08:00:48	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0x23e2a8…
04-10 12:11:25	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xea6772…
04-10 12:10:25	Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x73c1ff…
04-10 12:09:31	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x4294e8…
04-10 12:09:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x30ccd9…
04-10 12:08:49	will fidesz kdnp win 40 44 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x2bcbc5…
04-10 12:08:23	will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x0de073…
04-10 12:07:41	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0xfef95d…
04-10 12:07:25	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x7dfa96…
03-22 05:24:39	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xf7ee44…
03-22 05:24:17	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x5ca2cd…
03-22 05:24:11	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x7d358a…
03-15 04:28:51	will trump post ayatollah or khamenei on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x26b615…
03-15 04:28:43	will trump post hormuz on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xabea45…
03-15 04:27:41	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xe09d39…
03-15 04:27:27	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xe4c4c8…
03-15 04:27:17	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x0a1532…
03-14 02:34:09	Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?	Leadership Change	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x17160d…
03-14 02:33:39	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x83a150…
03-14 02:32:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x541a15…
03-14 02:32:29	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x787d87…
03-14 02:32:13	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x8d0c6d…
03-14 02:32:09	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xbb00e4…
03-14 02:31:53	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x50c3ff…
03-08 13:52:03	will israel strike greater beirut on march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xd15522…
03-08 13:50:01	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x3e1e41…
03-07 09:36:19	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xa40fd7…
03-07 09:35:45	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x2773f6…
03-07 09:34:07	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	35	56¢	$20	0xc41cdd…
03-01 12:41:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x01217a…
03-01 11:34:27	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xedd053…
03-01 09:35:43	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xe717ca…
02-28 04:01:11	will trump say european union or eu during meetings with chancellor merz	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x37846a…
02-28 04:01:03	will trump say nato during meetings with chancellor merz	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x1728c5…
02-28 04:00:51	will trump say tariff 6 times during meetings with chancellor merz	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x96cbc4…
02-28 04:00:47	will trump say percent 7 times during meetings with chancellor merz	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x398811…
02-28 03:59:23	us x iran meeting by march 15 2026	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x67bf9c…
02-28 03:58:45	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x16df98…
02-28 03:58:03	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x65aa8b…
02-25 12:50:30	us forces seize another oil tanker by march 7	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xd84098…
02-25 12:50:04	more eu sanctions on russia by march 31	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x47126d…
02-25 12:49:14	will bridgerton season 4 be the top global netflix show this week 686	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x33e1de…
02-25 12:48:46	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x77d84d…
02-25 12:48:34	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xf3abc9…
02-25 12:48:18	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x57f46a…
02-24 12:44:22	will donald trumps tie be red	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x16363d…
02-23 06:17:14	will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x134bb6…
02-23 06:16:48	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd2dd79…
02-23 06:16:46	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xbab3c8…
02-21 07:07:40	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xb14f27…