Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,098
Trades
157
Unique wallets
60
Liquidity
$692
Latest YES mid
24¢
Latest NO mid
76¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-10 03:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+70.9¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $2
vs crowd: 29% YES on $730)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $77 | $69 | +$9 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $53 | $5 | +$48 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $11 | $157 | $146 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 37 | $71 | $287 | $215 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $43 | $145 | $102 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $7 | $51 | $44 |
| Median | 9 | $66 | $8 | +$57 |
| Below median | 8 | $1 | $41 | $41 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $5 | $23 | $18 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $24 | — | +$24 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| unranked | 24 | $56 | $249 | $193 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +157 | $42 | $42 | 11 | 08-10 03:36 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +102 | $69 | $69 | 7 | 08-03 05:17 |
| bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | +90 | $58 | $95 | 10 | 07-18 16:26 |
| Loathsome-Ox 0x9cdd…3e97 | Yes | +79 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 07-09 22:15 |
| Intent-Attitude 0xc97f…b64e | No | +63 | $45 | $45 | 4 | 08-06 06:48 |
| Ambitious-Optimist 0x9f60…3a16 | Yes | +54 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-07 07:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x28c8…a343 | No | +36 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-06 23:27 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +35 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-11 18:09 |
| Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | +32 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 08-10 03:36 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 08-07 05:51 |
| Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 08-07 05:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xdda5…c82a | No | +18 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 08-10 02:17 |
| Babyish-Model 0x1e44…8d50 | Yes | +16 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-18 04:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x20c7…91d2 | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-01 12:34 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +9 | $2 | $3 | 3 | 07-17 13:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xcb95…611e | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 07-18 07:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $24 | 13 | 08-10 03:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x6fd4…5cfc | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-30 20:31 |
| Jumpy-Coat 0x37a0…ec34 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-02 18:50 |
| Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 11:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-01 14:40 |
| Tough-Mask 0xad52…11ac | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-18 16:26 |
| Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 08-05 17:33 |
| Velvety-Digger 0xabaf…63c6 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-06 07:21 |
| Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-09 07:11 |
| Nimble-Essay 0x81de…20d4 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $2 | 2 | 07-21 14:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 03:36:09 | Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | BUY | 32 | 82¢ | $27 | 0xeda49d… |
| 08-10 03:36:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 18¢ | $7 | 0xeda49d… |
| 08-10 03:36:09 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xeda49d… |
| 08-10 02:18:15 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x441231… |
| 08-10 02:18:15 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x441231… |
| 08-10 02:17:39 | (anonymous) 0xdda5…c82a | No | BUY | 8 | 77¢ | $6 | 0xa58f75… |
| 08-10 02:17:39 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xa58f75… |
| 08-09 23:26:51 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x6bf181… |
| 08-09 23:26:51 | (anonymous) 0xdda5…c82a | No | BUY | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0x6bf181… |
| 08-07 05:51:06 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x713ab1… |
| 08-07 05:51:06 | Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0x713ab1… |
| 08-06 07:21:39 | (anonymous) 0x97a3…3f4f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x88731a… |
| 08-06 07:21:39 | Velvety-Digger 0xabaf…63c6 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x88731a… |
| 08-06 06:48:59 | Intent-Attitude 0xc97f…b64e | No | BUY | 3 | 70¢ | $2 | 0x592cfd… |
| 08-06 06:48:59 | (anonymous) 0x97a3…3f4f | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x592cfd… |
| 08-05 17:33:35 | Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x5115a3… |
| 08-05 17:33:35 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 25¢ | $3 | 0x5115a3… |
| 08-05 17:33:35 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x5115a3… |
| 08-03 05:17:18 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | SELL | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x137ffd… |
| 08-03 05:17:18 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x137ffd… |
| 07-21 14:41:54 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x14a4a8… |
| 07-21 14:41:54 | Nimble-Essay 0x81de…20d4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x14a4a8… |
| 07-21 05:31:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x54f2a8… |
| 07-21 05:31:19 | Bulky-Suit 0x30df…beef | No | SELL | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x54f2a8… |
| 07-20 15:17:09 | Simple-Exercise 0xa032…679e | No | SELL | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0x350c0f… |
| 07-20 15:17:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0x350c0f… |
| 07-20 02:24:10 | Bulky-Suit 0x30df…beef | No | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0xb0928b… |
| 07-20 02:24:10 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 19¢ | $0 | 0xb0928b… |
| 07-18 16:26:07 | Tough-Mask 0xad52…11ac | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xd60d0b… |
| 07-18 16:26:07 | bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xd60d0b… |
| 07-18 07:00:34 | (anonymous) 0xcb95…611e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x4c3c74… |
| 07-18 07:00:34 | bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | BUY | 3 | 70¢ | $2 | 0x4c3c74… |
| 07-18 04:51:24 | bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | BUY | 3 | 70¢ | $2 | 0x550802… |
| 07-18 04:51:24 | (anonymous) 0xcb95…611e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x550802… |
| 07-18 04:43:18 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0xac35e5… |
| 07-18 04:43:18 | bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0xac35e5… |
| 07-18 04:43:18 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 32¢ | $3 | 0xac35e5… |
| 07-18 04:43:18 | Babyish-Model 0x1e44…8d50 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 32¢ | $5 | 0xac35e5… |
| 07-17 13:48:27 | (anonymous) 0xcb95…611e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x443e2e… |
| 07-17 13:48:27 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x443e2e… |
| 07-17 13:48:27 | Simple-Exercise 0xa032…679e | No | BUY | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x443e2e… |
| 07-13 18:45:28 | Milky-Ashram 0x1b7c…20a6 | No | SELL | 32 | 70¢ | $23 | 0xf2174c… |
| 07-13 18:45:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 32 | 70¢ | $23 | 0xf2174c… |
| 07-10 02:33:41 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xf0a9d7… |
| 07-10 02:33:41 | Scientific-Crazy 0x53f9…80b7 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xf0a9d7… |
| 07-09 23:57:58 | Scientific-Crazy 0x53f9…80b7 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 70¢ | $5 | 0x4ef6dd… |
| 07-09 23:57:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x4ef6dd… |
| 07-09 22:15:25 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x756558… |
| 07-09 22:15:25 | Intent-Attitude 0xc97f…b64e | No | BUY | 30 | 70¢ | $21 | 0x756558… |
| 07-09 22:15:25 | Loathsome-Ox 0x9cdd…3e97 | Yes | BUY | 79 | 30¢ | $24 | 0x756558… |
| 07-09 22:15:25 | bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | BUY | 19 | 69¢ | $13 | 0x756558… |
| 07-07 07:53:08 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xbfcd30… |
| 07-07 07:53:08 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xbfcd30… |
| 07-07 07:53:08 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 19¢ | $5 | 0xbfcd30… |
| 07-07 07:53:08 | Ambitious-Optimist 0x9f60…3a16 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 18¢ | $10 | 0xbfcd30… |
| 07-06 23:27:28 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 17¢ | $4 | 0x74c743… |
| 07-06 23:27:28 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x74c743… |
| 07-06 23:27:28 | (anonymous) 0x28c8…a343 | No | BUY | 36 | 83¢ | $30 | 0x74c743… |
| 07-04 08:55:07 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x3c6b65… |
| 07-04 08:55:07 | Nimble-Essay 0x81de…20d4 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x3c6b65… |
| 07-02 09:45:01 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xe7c80b… |
| 07-02 09:45:01 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xe7c80b… |
| 07-01 14:40:14 | (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x8b4e7c… |
| 07-01 14:40:14 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x8b4e7c… |
| 07-01 14:40:14 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 27¢ | $0 | 0x8b4e7c… |
| 07-01 12:34:32 | (anonymous) 0x20c7…91d2 | No | BUY | 13 | 79¢ | $10 | 0x0fd23c… |
| 07-01 12:34:32 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 21¢ | $3 | 0x0fd23c… |
| 06-30 20:31:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x0a5caf… |
| 06-30 20:31:10 | (anonymous) 0x6fd4…5cfc | No | BUY | 8 | 81¢ | $6 | 0x0a5caf… |
| 06-30 20:31:10 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x0a5caf… |
| 06-30 20:13:49 | Intent-Attitude 0xc97f…b64e | No | BUY | 10 | 74¢ | $7 | 0x0b39a9… |
| 06-30 20:13:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 26¢ | $0 | 0x0b39a9… |
| 06-30 20:13:49 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x0b39a9… |
| 06-26 00:37:34 | (anonymous) 0xb999…8446 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xfb63a4… |
| 06-26 00:37:34 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xfb63a4… |
| 06-20 14:18:59 | bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | BUY | 11 | 69¢ | $7 | 0xe0c6c4… |
| 06-20 14:18:59 | (anonymous) 0xc6b2…3caa | No | SELL | 22 | 70¢ | $15 | 0xe0c6c4… |
| 06-20 14:18:59 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 30¢ | $3 | 0xe0c6c4… |
| 06-13 18:32:12 | Subdued-Mrna 0xacbf…be73 | No | SELL | 1 | 68¢ | $1 | 0x63cb26… |
| 06-13 18:32:12 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 32¢ | $0 | 0x63cb26… |
| 06-11 22:31:03 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 35¢ | $18 | 0x607923… |
| 06-11 22:31:03 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 34¢ | $3 | 0x607923… |
| 06-11 22:31:03 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x607923… |
| 06-11 22:31:03 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | Yes | SELL | 96 | 30¢ | $29 | 0x607923… |
| 06-11 22:31:03 | bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | SELL | 21 | 84¢ | $18 | 0x607923… |
| 06-11 22:31:03 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 35¢ | $5 | 0x607923… |
| 06-11 18:50:30 | (anonymous) 0x935c…19e7 | No | SELL | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0xba4c3c… |
| 06-11 18:50:30 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 55¢ | $8 | 0xba4c3c… |
| 06-11 18:50:30 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0xba4c3c… |
| 06-11 18:50:21 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0xfaeabd… |
| 06-11 18:50:21 | (anonymous) 0x2a30…9726 | No | SELL | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xfaeabd… |
| 06-11 18:10:06 | (anonymous) 0x2a30…9726 | No | SELL | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0xc011fc… |
| 06-11 18:10:06 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xc011fc… |
| 06-11 18:10:06 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xc011fc… |
| 06-11 18:09:31 | (anonymous) 0x2ea5…a6e2 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0x11e602… |
| 06-11 18:09:31 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x11e602… |
| 06-11 18:09:31 | (anonymous) 0x158a…47a7 | No | SELL | 15 | 83¢ | $12 | 0x11e602… |
| 06-11 18:09:24 | (anonymous) 0x7c4f…96da | Yes | SELL | 15 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x560c31… |
| 06-11 18:09:24 | (anonymous) 0x4f0b…e9d9 | No | SELL | 15 | 83¢ | $12 | 0x560c31… |
| 06-11 18:09:21 | (anonymous) 0x7c4f…96da | Yes | SELL | 15 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xd169e8… |