Realized P&L
+$2.65K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.21K
Hit rate
74.4%
Resolved
266
Trades
1,900
lifetime
Volume
$217.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$114
Open exposure
$24.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-18
last 10-27 18:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 91 days
Categories
Politics
53% 80% +$7,937
Other
35% 77% +$909
Sports
11% 67% -$6,312
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$5
Crypto
0% 100% +$40
Tech
0% 100% +$70
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,780 $3,254 74¢ $3.6K +$307 10-27 19:05
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2,500 $2,158 94¢ $2.3K +$179 10-21 17:40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +2,400 $2,004 86¢ $2.1K +$48 10-21 20:09
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +2,100 $1,934 92¢ $1.9K +$8 10-01 19:15
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,800 $1,785 68¢ $1.9K +$105 10-27 18:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1,500 $1,172 94¢ $1.4K +$230 10-11 13:39
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +1,643 $1,154 82¢ $1.3K +$185 10-22 10:48
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +1,600 $1,419 80¢ $1.3K -$145 10-01 00:25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +1,000 $820 95¢ $950 +$130 10-05 14:50
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,307 $1,064 72¢ $935 -$130 10-12 09:24
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,100 $696 68¢ $754 +$58 10-27 07:40
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1,000 $725 68¢ $675 -$50 10-27 15:35
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,000 $702 68¢ $675 -$27 10-27 06:56
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +500 $420 92¢ $458 +$38 07-13 14:51
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +500 $440 92¢ $458 +$18 09-05 12:52
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +450 $385 92¢ $414 +$28 10-04 04:03
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +400 $300 90¢ $362 +$62 10-10 21:13
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +360 $251 78¢ $279 +$28 10-04 13:47
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +300 $260 86¢ $256 -$4 10-05 20:10
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +400 $244 64¢ $254 +$10 10-24 15:46
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +248 $176 90¢ $225 +$48 09-05 11:19
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $177 68¢ $206 +$29 08-14 18:32
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +300 $195 66¢ $196 +$2 10-05 23:02
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +200 $175 94¢ $187 +$12 07-28 11:37
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $174 86¢ $171 -$3 10-05 20:10
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +203 $132 81¢ $164 +$32 10-05 09:29
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +200 $142 74¢ $149 +$7 09-28 19:33
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +400 $133 34¢ $136 +$3 10-27 03:33
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? No +370 $177 36¢ $135 -$41 10-06 14:15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +200 $86 64¢ $128 +$42 09-26 15:54