Realized P&L (7d)
+$2.69K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.65K
Hit rate
85.6%
Resolved (7d)
84
Trades (7d)
348
2,267 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$39.2K
$263.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$116
Open exposure
$18.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-18
last 11-05 18:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 98 days
Categories
Politics
60% 82% +$9,997
Other
30% 77% +$1,118
Sports
9% 67% -$5,791
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$103
Crypto
0% 100% +$40
Tech
0% 100% +$70
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +4,000 $1,440 96¢ $3.9K +$2,418 11-03 06:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4,200 $3,472 88¢ $3.7K +$245 11-05 18:40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +2,400 $2,004 92¢ $2.2K +$204 10-21 20:09
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +1,600 $1,419 100¢ $1.6K +$176 10-01 00:25
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +1,643 $1,154 86¢ $1.4K +$267 10-22 10:48
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,307 $1,064 74¢ $961 -$103 10-12 09:24
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +1,026 $680 82¢ $836 +$155 11-04 11:51
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +500 $500 100¢ $499 $0 11-05 13:44
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? Yes +500 $430 96¢ $478 +$48 11-04 13:51
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +350 $314 96¢ $335 +$21 11-04 06:20
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +500 $362 66¢ $332 -$30 11-05 02:27
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +300 $239 96¢ $287 +$48 11-04 06:17
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31? No — +300 $257 94¢ $282 +$25 09-25 22:03
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +400 $133 60¢ $240 +$107 10-27 03:33
Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 1%? No — +235 $234 99¢ $234 -$1 11-05 02:47
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? No +370 $177 44¢ $165 -$12 10-06 14:15
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run by March 31, 2027? Yes — +400 $50 32¢ $126 +$76 11-05 14:33
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run by June 30, 2027? Yes — +200 $58 60¢ $121 +$63 11-05 14:33
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +100 $44 97¢ $97 +$53 09-30 09:02
Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election? No — +274 $88 26¢ $73 -$15 11-05 10:52
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +2,000 $42 3¢ $66 +$24 11-03 22:58
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +1,000 $60 6¢ $55 -$5 11-05 12:05
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes +100 $52 55¢ $55 +$3 11-01 00:41
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +100 $46 44¢ $44 -$2 11-05 00:41
carles puigdemont back in spain in 2026 20260625011546952 Yes — +50 $17 73¢ $36 +$19 08-03 04:22
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date Yes +200 $70 9¢ $18 -$52 08-04 13:31
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +350 $83 4¢ $15 -$69 11-04 09:40
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +15 -$3 92¢ $14 +$17 10-18 07:25
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? No — +50 $25 27¢ $14 -$12 09-15 21:14
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +100 $20 3¢ $3 -$17 08-20 13:28