China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
open
Total volume
$56,728
$168 in 24h
Trades
608
Unique wallets
204
Liquidity
$35,383
Latest YES mid
21¢
Latest NO mid
80¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-15 09:31
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+79.3¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $9.6K
vs crowd: 21% YES on $50.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $9.6K | $1.5K | +$8.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 18 | $159 | $15.4K | $15.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 37 | $535 | $10.3K | $9.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 139 | $215 | $12.9K | $12.7K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $9.6K | — | +$9.6K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 15 | $27 | $8.6K | $8.6K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | — | $231 | $231 |
| Median | 22 | $19 | $8.0K | $8.0K |
| Below median | 30 | $80 | $1.5K | $1.5K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $280 | $232 | +$48 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $54 | $7.1K | $7.1K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $231 | $7.7K | $7.5K |
| unranked | 104 | $145 | $6.6K | $6.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | +42,122 | $9,506 | $9,506 | 127 | 06-12 18:11 |
| Wee-Contractor-Alibi 0x61c7…5ddb | No | +9,211 | $7,000 | $7,000 | 1 | 05-29 21:47 |
| Simplistic-Jellyfish 0xcdf8…b8ea | No | +8,000 | $6,400 | $6,400 | 1 | 06-06 09:28 |
| Fat-Cupcake 0x4e42…49ed | No | +6,965 | $5,294 | $5,294 | 2 | 05-31 07:56 |
| Bony-Dependency 0x4cbe…100a | No | +3,318 | $2,661 | $2,839 | 12 | 06-15 09:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x86e5…c8eb | No | +2,975 | $2,380 | $2,380 | 3 | 06-08 07:38 |
| Attached-Procedure 0xc2ae…2b6a | No | +2,000 | $1,520 | $1,520 | 1 | 05-29 16:55 |
| Sneaky-Necessity 0x0ead…9572 | No | +1,820 | $1,438 | $1,438 | 10 | 06-13 11:45 |
| Absolute-Parachute 0xa74b…31b1 | No | +1,521 | $1,207 | $1,207 | 12 | 06-08 13:56 |
| Brilliant-Laparoscope 0x3ffe…e125 | No | +1,500 | $1,155 | $1,155 | 2 | 05-28 02:56 |
| Medium-Subsidence 0x6dc3…2a13 | No | +1,300 | $997 | $997 | 10 | 06-01 13:59 |
| Melodic-Nightlight 0xd03c…68cf | Yes | +1,180 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 06-08 10:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x45cc…1b7f | No | +1,000 | $760 | $760 | 1 | 05-28 19:37 |
| Lean-Attraction 0xbad2…5296 | No | +1,000 | $800 | $800 | 1 | 06-12 06:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x1fc2…d376 | No | +800 | $608 | $608 | 1 | 05-28 19:37 |
| Neglected-Ethics 0xa163…de8d | No | +760 | $582 | $582 | 3 | 05-29 15:28 |
| Self-Reliant-Apron 0xf49e…2137 | No | +601 | $462 | $462 | 3 | 06-02 00:16 |
| Rotating-Seabass 0xe238…d3fc | No | +557 | $421 | $534 | 6 | 06-14 02:48 |
| Unfinished-Cupboard 0x2d2b…b548 | No | +500 | $385 | $385 | 1 | 05-28 02:56 |
| Gentle-Ferry 0x6d8c…99f6 | No | +493 | $400 | $400 | 1 | 06-14 02:48 |
| Amusing-Good 0x8f0b…8be2 | No | +480 | $385 | $385 | 4 | 06-12 14:58 |
| Worst-Dolphin 0x9e75…89a5 | No | +400 | $308 | $308 | 2 | 06-01 13:59 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +330 | $68 | $215 | 38 | 06-14 18:21 |
| Ethical-Geometry 0x31d0…7f0f | No | +300 | $240 | $240 | 2 | 06-03 00:39 |
| Unique-Dentist 0xcf00…353f | Yes | +270 | $54 | $54 | 8 | 06-01 10:14 |
| Stunning-Palace 0x999f…addb | No | +238 | $181 | $181 | 4 | 05-28 19:37 |
| Breakable-Bottomline 0x51de…9e4a | Yes | +227 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 06-08 13:56 |
| Quarrelsome-Filth 0x38f5…6824 | No | +222 | $180 | $180 | 1 | 06-13 20:26 |
| Front-Curtain 0x924c…6db2 | No | +200 | $154 | $154 | 1 | 05-27 19:59 |
| Scarce-Footnote 0x714f…66d5 | No | +200 | $152 | $152 | 1 | 05-29 16:03 |
| Immediate-Geology 0x734c…1d86 | Yes | +190 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-09 12:51 |
| Measly-Scrim 0x0b15…07f3 | No | +132 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-30 14:49 |
| Wry-Lumberman 0x0359…a079 | No | +125 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-08 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xe91c…027c | No | +125 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-13 12:24 |
| Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | +120 | $87 | $703 | 6 | 06-14 02:48 |
| Sharp-Pannier 0xf3bc…b83e | Yes | +120 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-31 02:11 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +116 | $11 | $451 | 21 | 06-15 09:31 |
| Crowded-Millstone 0xf3ca…60ae | No | +100 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 05-28 19:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xdae6…7f4d | Yes | +71 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-09 14:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xf1a9…2ce7 | Yes | +60 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-29 08:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a63…b4ef | Yes | +50 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-31 07:56 |
| Frigid-Curd 0xe4c8…317d | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-08 00:29 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 09:31:27 | Bony-Dependency 0x4cbe…100a | No | SELL | 111 | 80¢ | $89 | 0x613749… |
| 06-15 09:31:27 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x613749… |
| 06-15 09:31:27 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0x613749… |
| 06-15 09:31:27 | (anonymous) 0xdbb8…c0e9 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 20¢ | $3 | 0x613749… |
| 06-15 09:31:27 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x613749… |
| 06-15 09:31:27 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x613749… |
| 06-15 03:31:09 | Twin-Platelet 0x20a5…72ac | No | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0xb0ae34… |
| 06-15 03:31:09 | Pushy-Slump 0xe7a1…7c9d | No | SELL | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0xb0ae34… |
| 06-15 01:28:48 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | SELL | 11 | 81¢ | $9 | 0x564e51… |
| 06-15 01:28:48 | Purple-Son 0x3a59…6c6f | No | BUY | 11 | 81¢ | $9 | 0x564e51… |
| 06-14 18:21:24 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x608faa… |
| 06-14 18:21:24 | Short-Sourwood 0xb9f7…290a | No | SELL | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x608faa… |
| 06-14 18:21:24 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 19 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x608faa… |
| 06-14 14:36:27 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 13 | 20¢ | $3 | 0xea9a22… |
| 06-14 14:36:27 | Scientific-Ethernet 0xafc5…2b1d | No | SELL | 13 | 80¢ | $10 | 0xea9a22… |
| 06-14 10:28:37 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0x499334… |
| 06-14 10:28:37 | (anonymous) 0x214d…e581 | No | SELL | 25 | 80¢ | $20 | 0x499334… |
| 06-14 02:48:40 | (anonymous) 0x7de7…6a29 | No | SELL | 2 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xadb0fa… |
| 06-14 02:48:40 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 20¢ | $0 | 0xadb0fa… |
| 06-14 02:48:39 | (anonymous) 0x267a…f31e | No | SELL | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0xf07697… |
| 06-14 02:48:39 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 321 | 81¢ | $260 | 0xf07697… |
| 06-14 02:48:39 | Total-Coin 0x9c5f…59b5 | No | SELL | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0xf07697… |
| 06-14 02:48:39 | Gentle-Ferry 0x6d8c…99f6 | No | BUY | 493 | 81¢ | $400 | 0xf07697… |
| 06-14 02:48:39 | Sunny-Dolphin 0x1669…bf28 | No | SELL | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0xf07697… |
| 06-14 02:48:39 | (anonymous) 0xccdf…b8a7 | No | SELL | 39 | 81¢ | $32 | 0xf07697… |
| 06-14 02:48:39 | (anonymous) 0xc17c…20ff | No | SELL | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0xf07697… |
| 06-14 02:48:39 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xf07697… |
| 06-14 02:48:39 | Rotating-Seabass 0xe238…d3fc | No | SELL | 69 | 82¢ | $57 | 0xf07697… |
| 06-14 02:48:39 | (anonymous) 0xd635…9f1c | No | SELL | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xf07697… |
| 06-14 02:48:39 | Needy-Recliner 0x3ed4…f876 | No | SELL | 7 | 82¢ | $6 | 0xf07697… |
| 06-14 02:48:39 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | SELL | 8 | 81¢ | $6 | 0xf07697… |
| 06-14 02:28:51 | (anonymous) 0x05ef…6bf8 | No | BUY | 4 | 81¢ | $3 | 0xe730d5… |
| 06-14 02:28:51 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 4 | 81¢ | $3 | 0xe730d5… |
| 06-14 02:28:51 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 0 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x0a1da6… |
| 06-14 02:28:51 | (anonymous) 0x7de7…6a29 | No | SELL | 0 | 80¢ | $0 | 0x0a1da6… |
| 06-13 20:26:28 | Fluid-Masonry 0x60a8…7d37 | No | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x025acd… |
| 06-13 20:26:28 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x025acd… |
| 06-13 20:26:28 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 20¢ | $0 | 0xb6f7e3… |
| 06-13 20:26:28 | (anonymous) 0x7de7…6a29 | No | SELL | 0 | 80¢ | $0 | 0xb6f7e3… |
| 06-13 20:26:15 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | No | BUY | 2 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x3f140b… |
| 06-13 20:26:15 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 2 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x3f140b… |
| 06-13 20:26:13 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 20¢ | $0 | 0xe1c872… |
| 06-13 20:26:13 | (anonymous) 0x7de7…6a29 | No | SELL | 0 | 80¢ | $0 | 0xe1c872… |
| 06-13 20:26:12 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 48 | 81¢ | $39 | 0x6af7e0… |
| 06-13 20:26:12 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 62 | 19¢ | $12 | 0x6af7e0… |
| 06-13 20:26:12 | Quarrelsome-Filth 0x38f5…6824 | No | BUY | 222 | 81¢ | $180 | 0x6af7e0… |
| 06-13 20:26:12 | (anonymous) 0x8351…5861 | No | SELL | 30 | 81¢ | $24 | 0x6af7e0… |
| 06-13 20:26:12 | Strong-Fail 0x5037…0307 | No | SELL | 40 | 81¢ | $32 | 0x6af7e0… |
| 06-13 20:26:12 | (anonymous) 0xcae6…a7b0 | No | SELL | 42 | 81¢ | $34 | 0x6af7e0… |
| 06-13 18:31:28 | (anonymous) 0xcae6…a7b0 | No | SELL | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x90f361… |
| 06-13 18:31:28 | Subdued-Mrna 0xacbf…be73 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x90f361… |
| 06-13 17:03:00 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x95c038… |
| 06-13 17:03:00 | (anonymous) 0xdbb8…c0e9 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 20¢ | $8 | 0x95c038… |
| 06-13 17:03:00 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 19 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x95c038… |
| 06-13 12:24:25 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0x076177… |
| 06-13 12:24:25 | (anonymous) 0xe91c…027c | No | BUY | 125 | 80¢ | $100 | 0x076177… |
| 06-13 12:24:25 | Yawning-Fingerling 0x19a9…4fe6 | No | SELL | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x076177… |
| 06-13 12:24:25 | (anonymous) 0xcae6…a7b0 | No | SELL | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x076177… |
| 06-13 12:24:25 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 61 | 20¢ | $12 | 0x076177… |
| 06-13 12:24:25 | (anonymous) 0x5d44…d2e2 | No | SELL | 18 | 80¢ | $14 | 0x076177… |
| 06-13 12:24:25 | Strong-Fail 0x5037…0307 | No | SELL | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x076177… |
| 06-13 12:24:25 | Personal-Hen 0x0844…db2d | No | SELL | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0x076177… |
| 06-13 11:45:52 | Sneaky-Necessity 0x0ead…9572 | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0xd4d6a5… |
| 06-13 11:45:52 | Homely-Freak 0x8773…4d79 | No | SELL | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0xd4d6a5… |
| 06-13 03:36:33 | Milky-Loading 0xbb7d…1d61 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x968665… |
| 06-13 03:36:33 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x968665… |
| 06-13 01:52:04 | (anonymous) 0xaf0d…533d | No | SELL | 13 | 79¢ | $10 | 0xc9e34e… |
| 06-13 01:52:04 | Sneaky-Necessity 0x0ead…9572 | No | BUY | 13 | 79¢ | $10 | 0xc9e34e… |
| 06-12 19:24:09 | Sneaky-Necessity 0x0ead…9572 | No | BUY | 1,310 | 79¢ | $1,035 | 0x743942… |
| 06-12 19:24:09 | Wise-Fiddle 0x728c…8c7d | No | SELL | 1,310 | 79¢ | $1,035 | 0x743942… |
| 06-12 18:11:04 | LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xea1bcb… |
| 06-12 18:11:04 | Second-Hand-Emergence-Pun 0x7147…0198 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xea1bcb… |
| 06-12 14:58:01 | Amusing-Good 0x8f0b…8be2 | No | BUY | 40 | 80¢ | $32 | 0xb98e9b… |
| 06-12 14:58:01 | LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | BUY | 40 | 20¢ | $8 | 0xb98e9b… |
| 06-12 11:40:54 | (anonymous) 0xa69e…8f44 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x8b1f12… |
| 06-12 11:40:54 | LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x8b1f12… |
| 06-12 11:23:12 | LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x66e395… |
| 06-12 11:23:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x66e395… |
| 06-12 11:21:40 | Sneaky-Necessity 0x0ead…9572 | No | BUY | 2 | 79¢ | $2 | 0x7bad5f… |
| 06-12 11:21:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 79¢ | $2 | 0x7bad5f… |
| 06-12 09:37:54 | (anonymous) 0xd90b…bdd3 | No | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0x8b60e6… |
| 06-12 09:37:54 | LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x8b60e6… |
| 06-12 09:34:34 | LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | BUY | 62 | 20¢ | $12 | 0x7a4a87… |
| 06-12 09:34:34 | (anonymous) 0x0e7e…153c | No | BUY | 62 | 80¢ | $50 | 0x7a4a87… |
| 06-12 09:17:55 | Cluttered-Offset 0x2093…04e7 | No | BUY | 12 | 80¢ | $10 | 0x398eda… |
| 06-12 09:17:55 | LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | BUY | 12 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x398eda… |
| 06-12 06:43:18 | LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 20¢ | $0 | 0xa2150b… |
| 06-12 06:43:18 | Vengeful-Rhythm 0x8a2e…d3ca | No | BUY | 2 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xa2150b… |
| 06-12 06:42:09 | Lean-Attraction 0xbad2…5296 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 80¢ | $800 | 0x02be2f… |
| 06-12 06:42:09 | LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 20¢ | $200 | 0x02be2f… |
| 06-11 18:31:19 | Nautical-Hair 0x5255…c8cf | No | BUY | 12 | 80¢ | $10 | 0xb8f46c… |
| 06-11 18:31:19 | LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | BUY | 12 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xb8f46c… |
| 06-11 15:17:55 | LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xfa81c6… |
| 06-11 15:17:55 | Murky-Entrance 0x61e9…425a | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xfa81c6… |
| 06-11 14:17:34 | Sneaky-Necessity 0x0ead…9572 | No | BUY | 66 | 79¢ | $52 | 0x7ad9a9… |
| 06-11 14:17:34 | Clever-Salt 0xe427…8266 | No | SELL | 66 | 79¢ | $52 | 0x7ad9a9… |
| 06-11 06:44:07 | Nautical-Hair 0x5255…c8cf | No | BUY | 12 | 80¢ | $10 | 0x4f1a07… |
| 06-11 06:44:07 | LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | BUY | 12 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x4f1a07… |
| 06-11 01:37:09 | LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | BUY | 13 | 20¢ | $3 | 0x78b218… |
| 06-11 01:37:09 | (anonymous) 0xaf0d…533d | No | BUY | 13 | 80¢ | $10 | 0x78b218… |