China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
open
Total volume
$888,904
$168 in 24h
Trades
25,705
Unique wallets
6,999
Liquidity
$35,383
Latest YES mid
15¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-07 05:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+53.3¢
(top1%: 69% YES on $58.8K
vs crowd: 15% YES on $564.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 36 | $40.6K | $73.3K | $32.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 67 | $429 | $139.3K | $138.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 400 | $9.5K | $77.1K | $67.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6,496 | $36.7K | $187.7K | $150.9K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $40.4K | $18.3K | +$22.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 38 | $525 | $42.2K | $41.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 34 | $87 | $15.2K | $15.2K |
| Median | 947 | $7.5K | $70.6K | $63.1K |
| Below median | 661 | $5.4K | $40.8K | $35.4K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 20 | $370 | $2.5K | $2.1K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 27 | $263 | $11.3K | $11.1K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 16 | $468 | $21.8K | $21.3K |
| unranked | 5,248 | $32.2K | $254.5K | $222.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | +230,407 | $40,116 | $40,116 | 465 | 07-07 05:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x82fd…baba | No | +61,519 | $53,521 | $53,521 | 6 | 07-06 05:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d2b…cb8c | No | +31,484 | $25,122 | $25,122 | 5 | 06-20 11:37 |
| Wee-Contractor-Alibi 0x61c7…5ddb | No | +26,891 | $20,791 | $20,791 | 2 | 06-18 21:06 |
| 0xfffadf38a520cd5a0035ff52d7fceb436a08864b 0xfffa…864b | No | +12,250 | $10,413 | $10,413 | 1 | 06-21 13:24 |
| Smallpeepee 0x333e…369b | No | +12,000 | $10,440 | $10,440 | 1 | 07-06 11:31 |
| Angry-Evaluation 0x162f…798d | No | +12,000 | $10,440 | $10,440 | 1 | 07-04 02:29 |
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +11,066 | $9,456 | $9,456 | 71 | 07-07 04:45 |
| Blushing-Yin 0x6606…1338 | No | +10,000 | $8,600 | $8,600 | 2 | 07-07 04:45 |
| Offbeat-Menorah 0x79d9…baec | No | +9,000 | $7,560 | $7,560 | 4 | 06-22 12:51 |
| Playful-Circulation 0x92e5…efee | No | +8,097 | $6,721 | $6,721 | 15 | 06-22 22:44 |
| Simplistic-Jellyfish 0xcdf8…b8ea | No | +8,000 | $6,400 | $6,400 | 1 | 06-06 09:28 |
| Sneaky-Necessity 0x0ead…9572 | No | +6,820 | $5,338 | $5,338 | 11 | 06-19 04:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x86e5…c8eb | No | +5,274 | $4,380 | $4,380 | 4 | 06-30 02:06 |
| Agonizing-Incubation 0x6f6b…1ab6 | No | +5,000 | $4,300 | $4,300 | 1 | 07-05 04:59 |
| Harmful-Wrench 0x709a…7e39 | No | +3,750 | $3,237 | $3,237 | 51 | 07-05 04:59 |
| Small-Blowhole 0xb24c…eefe | No | +3,000 | $2,580 | $2,580 | 29 | 06-28 04:50 |
| Untidy-Buzz 0xa289…d95c | No | +2,924 | $2,371 | $3,307 | 37 | 07-07 03:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x212f…7fd2 | No | +2,918 | $2,549 | $3,725 | 5 | 07-03 08:03 |
| Bony-Dependency 0x4cbe…100a | No | +2,293 | $1,841 | $3,659 | 14 | 06-15 13:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xf422…3b18 | No | +2,106 | $1,705 | $1,705 | 1 | 06-15 17:19 |
| Attached-Procedure 0xc2ae…2b6a | No | +2,000 | $1,520 | $1,520 | 1 | 05-29 16:55 |
| Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | +1,747 | $1,502 | $1,502 | 12 | 06-25 16:05 |
| Brilliant-Laparoscope 0x3ffe…e125 | No | +1,700 | $1,309 | $1,309 | 9 | 06-20 04:33 |
| Amusing-Good 0x8f0b…8be2 | No | +1,584 | $1,339 | $1,339 | 10 | 07-02 02:01 |
| Absolute-Parachute 0xa74b…31b1 | No | +1,521 | $1,207 | $1,207 | 12 | 06-08 13:56 |
| Melodic-Nightlight 0xd03c…68cf | Yes | +1,180 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 06-08 10:22 |
| Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | No | +1,164 | $953 | $953 | 6 | 06-20 14:17 |
| Indolent-Dogwood 0x4ab7…5b3e | No | +1,130 | $983 | $983 | 2 | 07-03 20:36 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +1,021 | $154 | $154 | 45 | 06-23 23:55 |
| Lean-Attraction 0xbad2…5296 | No | +1,000 | $800 | $800 | 1 | 06-12 06:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xdda5…c82a | No | +1,000 | $790 | $790 | 1 | 06-20 11:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xf5ba…5b5e | No | +1,000 | $830 | $830 | 4 | 06-20 17:00 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +763 | $135 | $503 | 95 | 07-07 04:45 |
| Buzzing-Trophy 0xeb54…d452 | Yes | +753 | $165 | $165 | 34 | 06-20 11:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +712 | $156 | $156 | 79 | 06-20 11:39 |
| Great-Barbeque 0x07e0…1db9 | Yes | +300 | $45 | $45 | 3 | 06-23 12:16 |
| Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | Yes | +200 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-22 08:41 |
| Raw-Contributor 0xc624…ee24 | Yes | +198 | $35 | $35 | 2 | 06-22 04:04 |
| Immediate-Geology 0x734c…1d86 | Yes | +190 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-09 12:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 05:05:53 | LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | BUY | 12 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xb273ce… |
| 07-07 05:05:53 | (anonymous) 0x5f0e…2c88 | No | BUY | 12 | 86¢ | $11 | 0xb273ce… |
| 07-07 05:05:52 | LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x749146… |
| 07-07 05:05:52 | Private-Oven 0xad5a…e224 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x749146… |
| 07-07 04:49:44 | LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x4b96b7… |
| 07-07 04:49:44 | Accurate-Rocket 0xc732…5b3e | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x4b96b7… |
| 07-07 04:46:38 | LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | BUY | 9 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x1523f3… |
| 07-07 04:46:38 | Tender-Tradition 0xef4a…5eeb | No | BUY | 9 | 86¢ | $8 | 0x1523f3… |
| 07-07 04:45:44 | LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x0bdf17… |
| 07-07 04:45:44 | (anonymous) 0xce4b…9bea | No | BUY | 3 | 86¢ | $3 | 0x0bdf17… |
| 07-07 04:45:43 | LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x449a6d… |
| 07-07 04:45:43 | LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xb6bfb9… |
| 07-07 04:45:43 | (anonymous) 0xb7c2…5fbf | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x449a6d… |
| 07-07 04:45:43 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xb6bfb9… |
| 07-07 04:45:40 | Sore-Mambo 0xcba5…3e2e | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x10f402… |
| 07-07 04:45:40 | LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x38a3ee… |
| 07-07 04:45:40 | (anonymous) 0x7bcd…44d7 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xccf8df… |
| 07-07 04:45:40 | Blushing-Yin 0x6606…1338 | No | BUY | 5,000 | 86¢ | $4,300 | 0x10f402… |
| 07-07 04:45:40 | Unique-Dentist 0xcf00…353f | Yes | SELL | 299 | 14¢ | $42 | 0x10f402… |
| 07-07 04:45:40 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x10f402… |
| 07-07 04:45:40 | Tasty-Shower 0xea1d…aa25 | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x10f402… |
| 07-07 04:45:40 | (anonymous) 0x0891…9a97 | No | BUY | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0x10f402… |
| 07-07 04:45:40 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 150 | 86¢ | $129 | 0x10f402… |
| 07-07 04:45:40 | Private-Oven 0xad5a…e224 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x10f402… |
| 07-07 04:45:40 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 62 | 14¢ | $9 | 0x10f402… |
| 07-07 04:45:40 | LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xccf8df… |
| 07-07 04:45:40 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 2,485 | 86¢ | $2,137 | 0x10f402… |
| 07-07 04:45:40 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | Yes | SELL | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x10f402… |
| 07-07 04:45:40 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | BUY | 47 | 86¢ | $40 | 0x10f402… |
| 07-07 04:45:40 | (anonymous) 0x7821…7945 | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x38a3ee… |
| 07-07 04:45:40 | LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | BUY | 13,248 | 14¢ | $1,855 | 0x10f402… |
| 07-07 04:45:40 | Acidic-Plastic 0x8410…140a | No | BUY | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0x10f402… |
| 07-07 03:23:50 | (anonymous) 0x3dc5…ffea | No | BUY | 7 | 87¢ | $6 | 0xf9abc9… |
| 07-07 03:23:50 | Untidy-Buzz 0xa289…d95c | No | SELL | 7 | 87¢ | $6 | 0xf9abc9… |
| 07-07 03:20:05 | (anonymous) 0x914b…e5b6 | No | BUY | 3 | 87¢ | $3 | 0x84c309… |
| 07-07 03:20:05 | Untidy-Buzz 0xa289…d95c | No | SELL | 3 | 87¢ | $3 | 0x84c309… |
| 07-07 03:13:53 | Whopping-Opposition 0xbee5…f245 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xe38e73… |
| 07-07 03:13:53 | Untidy-Buzz 0xa289…d95c | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xe38e73… |
| 07-07 02:06:22 | Untidy-Buzz 0xa289…d95c | No | SELL | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x50fae5… |
| 07-07 02:06:22 | Tasty-Shower 0xea1d…aa25 | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x50fae5… |
| 07-07 01:52:58 | Untidy-Buzz 0xa289…d95c | No | SELL | 16 | 87¢ | $14 | 0x57316c… |
| 07-07 01:52:58 | Respectful-Nectar 0x003d…42c9 | No | BUY | 16 | 87¢ | $14 | 0x57316c… |
| 07-07 01:13:23 | Untidy-Buzz 0xa289…d95c | No | SELL | 96 | 87¢ | $83 | 0x532a4a… |
| 07-07 01:13:23 | (anonymous) 0x6098…bb40 | No | BUY | 96 | 87¢ | $83 | 0x532a4a… |
| 07-07 00:35:04 | Untidy-Buzz 0xa289…d95c | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xc275bc… |
| 07-07 00:35:04 | Mundane-Sherry 0xfe90…5286 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xc275bc… |
| 07-06 21:07:35 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 19 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x265046… |
| 07-06 21:07:35 | Untidy-Buzz 0xa289…d95c | No | SELL | 19 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x265046… |
| 07-06 15:46:16 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | BUY | 200 | 87¢ | $174 | 0x1bfc88… |
| 07-06 15:46:16 | Untidy-Buzz 0xa289…d95c | No | SELL | 200 | 87¢ | $174 | 0x1bfc88… |
| 07-06 14:50:32 | Tender-Tradition 0xef4a…5eeb | No | BUY | 9 | 87¢ | $8 | 0x08f31e… |
| 07-06 14:50:32 | Untidy-Buzz 0xa289…d95c | No | SELL | 9 | 87¢ | $8 | 0x08f31e… |
| 07-06 14:50:01 | Untidy-Buzz 0xa289…d95c | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xa973ca… |
| 07-06 14:50:01 | Untidy-Buzz 0xa289…d95c | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xa6307c… |
| 07-06 14:50:01 | Untidy-Buzz 0xa289…d95c | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xb1f2d4… |
| 07-06 14:50:01 | (anonymous) 0xb7c2…5fbf | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xa6307c… |
| 07-06 14:50:01 | (anonymous) 0x76a5…555c | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xa973ca… |
| 07-06 14:50:01 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xb1f2d4… |
| 07-06 14:49:59 | Quintessential-Sculpture 0xbcfa…6d24 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xe1b4a4… |
| 07-06 14:49:59 | Untidy-Buzz 0xa289…d95c | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x580aeb… |
| 07-06 14:49:59 | (anonymous) 0x7821…7945 | No | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xb63a7c… |
| 07-06 14:49:59 | Dim-Thanks 0x1821…ef2d | No | BUY | 4 | 87¢ | $3 | 0x43fb44… |
| 07-06 14:49:59 | Untidy-Buzz 0xa289…d95c | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xe1b4a4… |
| 07-06 14:49:59 | Untidy-Buzz 0xa289…d95c | No | SELL | 4 | 87¢ | $3 | 0x43fb44… |
| 07-06 14:49:59 | Untidy-Buzz 0xa289…d95c | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x8141d1… |
| 07-06 14:49:59 | (anonymous) 0x475b…8594 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x8141d1… |
| 07-06 14:49:59 | (anonymous) 0x4d4e…1924 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x580aeb… |
| 07-06 14:49:59 | Untidy-Buzz 0xa289…d95c | No | SELL | 2 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xb63a7c… |
| 07-06 14:49:59 | (anonymous) 0xb765…3b4d | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xef0424… |
| 07-06 14:49:59 | Untidy-Buzz 0xa289…d95c | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xef0424… |
| 07-06 14:49:58 | (anonymous) 0x7318…75b4 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x12fb22… |
| 07-06 14:49:58 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 15 | 86¢ | $13 | 0x12bf0e… |
| 07-06 14:49:58 | Untidy-Buzz 0xa289…d95c | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x12fb22… |
| 07-06 14:49:58 | (anonymous) 0xee63…1130 | No | SELL | 15 | 86¢ | $13 | 0x12bf0e… |
| 07-06 14:26:11 | Untidy-Buzz 0xa289…d95c | No | SELL | 11 | 87¢ | $10 | 0x64a426… |
| 07-06 14:26:11 | (anonymous) 0xcdbf…2bd7 | No | BUY | 11 | 87¢ | $10 | 0x64a426… |
| 07-06 13:44:38 | Untidy-Buzz 0xa289…d95c | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x74a4b4… |
| 07-06 13:44:38 | (anonymous) 0x4174…0340 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x74a4b4… |
| 07-06 11:56:29 | (anonymous) 0x0345…4519 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x715e1a… |
| 07-06 11:56:29 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x715e1a… |
| 07-06 11:31:55 | Excited-Carol 0xf7b3…eeb2 | No | SELL | 100 | 87¢ | $87 | 0xeb152d… |
| 07-06 11:31:55 | Untidy-Buzz 0xa289…d95c | No | SELL | 137 | 87¢ | $119 | 0xeb152d… |
| 07-06 11:31:55 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xeb152d… |
| 07-06 11:31:55 | (anonymous) 0x59c9…567f | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xeb152d… |
| 07-06 11:31:55 | LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | BUY | 261 | 13¢ | $34 | 0xeb152d… |
| 07-06 11:31:55 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 62 | 13¢ | $8 | 0xeb152d… |
| 07-06 11:31:55 | (anonymous) 0xbc14…fb55 | No | BUY | 575 | 87¢ | $500 | 0xeb152d… |
| 07-06 11:31:55 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xeb152d… |
| 07-06 11:31:46 | LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | BUY | 12,000 | 13¢ | $1,560 | 0xd750ab… |
| 07-06 11:31:46 | Smallpeepee 0x333e…369b | No | BUY | 12,000 | 87¢ | $10,440 | 0xd750ab… |
| 07-06 11:19:20 | LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xb6719e… |
| 07-06 11:19:20 | Ill-Informed-Photoreceptor-Leprosy 0x46d2…8e2b | No | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0xb6719e… |
| 07-06 09:17:05 | Flimsy-Farrow 0xa97c…d94a | No | SELL | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0xf7544c… |
| 07-06 09:17:05 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0xf7544c… |
| 07-06 09:15:11 | (anonymous) 0xef65…7249 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 14¢ | $5 | 0x476bf7… |
| 07-06 09:15:11 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | BUY | 33 | 86¢ | $29 | 0x476bf7… |
| 07-06 07:45:10 | (anonymous) 0x413b…4f8d | No | BUY | 143 | 87¢ | $125 | 0x160564… |
| 07-06 07:45:10 | LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | BUY | 143 | 13¢ | $19 | 0x160564… |
| 07-06 07:22:17 | (anonymous) 0xb2eb…650b | No | BUY | 3 | 87¢ | $2 | 0x215ae6… |
| 07-06 07:22:17 | LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x215ae6… |