Calm-Charger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$725

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.6%

Resolved

Trades

5,153

lifetime

Volume

$1.42M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$275

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 12:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

44% 67% $-858

Other

37% — —

Crypto

15% 67% +$133

Tech

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 148 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	167	$79.0K	102,993	53,562	+49,431	open	—	06-02 10:58
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	193	$58.7K	58,575	34,659	+23,915	open	—	03-10 20:25
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	67	$52.9K	59,214	18,214	+41,000	open	—	04-08 11:05
netanyahu out by march 31 854	29	$43.8K	24,678	20,612	+4,066	open	—	03-30 15:32
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	83	$40.2K	54,721	33,422	+21,299	open	—	02-03 12:53
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	2	$36.2K	18,500	18,500	+0	open	—	04-28 12:42
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	89	$35.6K	29,307	19,583	+9,724	open	—	03-01 10:58
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	12	$35.0K	18,000	18,000	+0	open	—	04-27 21:32
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	84	$29.2K	29,471	14,010	+15,462	open	—	04-09 11:03
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	47	$26.8K	27,368	3,412	+23,957	open	—	04-30 20:51
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	40	$24.3K	20,338	12,000	+8,338	open	—	01-23 15:30
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	2	$19.9K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	01-02 21:28
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	12	$19.6K	15,000	5,000	+10,000	open	—	01-07 19:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	29	$19.2K	13,895	9,640	+4,255	open	—	04-28 10:59
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	50	$19.2K	14,961	10,836	+4,125	open	—	03-27 14:38
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	13	$19.1K	19,770	0	+19,770	open	—	02-08 00:47
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	83	$18.0K	13,366	13,366	+0	open	—	03-08 21:17
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	5	$17.9K	10,000	8,000	+2,000	open	—	01-28 12:34
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	28	$17.0K	10,142	7,714	+2,428	open	—	06-12 17:52
will axiom be accused of insider trading	37	$14.7K	12,090	10,523	+1,567	open	—	02-26 12:48
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	57	$14.1K	11,325	6,110	+5,215	open	—	03-26 11:09
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	56	$13.7K	20,062	9,600	+10,461	open	—	04-30 15:29
over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632	44	$12.6K	12,180	12,141	+38	open	—	01-10 15:46
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	42	$12.1K	10,880	5,858	+5,022	open	—	03-04 12:52
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	26	$11.5K	8,683	5,863	+2,820	open	—	01-03 19:44
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	40	$11.2K	11,613	4,091	+7,522	open	—	04-22 14:26
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	121	$11.2K	13,502	12,758	+744	open	—	04-22 05:15
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	52	$10.4K	9,727	11,909	-2,182	open	—	03-23 13:27
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	39	$9.7K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	05-03 18:54
iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	3	$9.5K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	07-20 08:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 20:28:03	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x9c3097…
08-11 12:02:36	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	305	72¢	$220	0x69ffd4…
08-10 18:31:13	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	500	83¢	$415	0x3d0016…
08-10 17:53:18	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	BUY	330	91¢	$300	0xbb932e…
08-10 17:21:09	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	BUY	653	91¢	$594	0x5210fd…
08-10 17:03:00	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	1,039	66¢	$686	0xc6ae25…
08-10 15:50:03	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	1,000	87¢	$870	0x2e2671…
08-10 15:39:36	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	No	BUY	755	96¢	$725	0xc8e978…
08-10 15:39:33	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	No	BUY	1,993	96¢	$1,914	0xf345c7…
08-10 15:18:16	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd0c2c1…
08-10 15:18:10	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0xdc191c…
08-10 14:26:04	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc20b2f…
08-10 14:25:49	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x0b1cef…
08-10 14:25:39	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xce25b0…
08-10 14:25:39	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa8dce8…
08-10 14:14:37	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	479	62¢	$297	0x5d8440…
08-10 14:14:04	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	521	62¢	$323	0xb81622…
08-10 14:12:51	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	532	64¢	$340	0x8e5c94…
08-10 14:00:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	No	BUY	207	96¢	$198	0x7f24f9…
08-10 13:08:27	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	120	92¢	$110	0x0e5508…
08-10 12:31:24	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x70807d…
08-10 12:31:12	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xdad8b6…
08-10 12:12:43	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x03d338…
08-10 12:12:37	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	No	BUY	641	98¢	$625	0x33a28e…
08-10 12:09:34	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x403fdc…
08-10 12:09:33	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xc5bcd6…
08-10 12:09:33	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xa7e003…
08-10 12:09:31	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x210968…
08-10 12:09:31	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x13abda…
08-10 12:09:25	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	No	BUY	1,624	98¢	$1,583	0x9c85c1…
08-10 11:51:54	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x05f474…
08-10 11:51:43	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	109	60¢	$65	0x34d950…
08-10 11:20:25	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc13a74…
08-10 11:20:21	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xccf5f1…
08-10 11:07:43	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xaf68d3…
08-10 11:06:45	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	9	60¢	$6	0x1546dc…
08-10 11:06:43	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x6d9ab1…
08-10 11:01:30	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0xb354c9…
08-10 10:49:46	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	280	60¢	$168	0x889cad…
08-10 10:22:46	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0x720bca…
08-10 09:22:12	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0xfb4ad0…
08-09 22:48:58	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	586	91¢	$533	0x67bf1e…
08-09 22:26:04	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	91	91¢	$83	0x4d13fe…
08-09 22:20:04	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0xf9ff05…
08-09 22:18:27	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	30	91¢	$28	0x9b6370…
08-09 22:11:16	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	31	91¢	$28	0x97b5be…
08-09 22:09:49	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	260	91¢	$237	0x557f43…
08-09 21:08:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	2,000	87¢	$1,740	0x4fc058…
08-09 12:19:58	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	442	84¢	$371	0xf40eca…
08-09 12:19:10	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	3,245	79¢	$2,564	0x8027c1…
08-08 18:21:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	862	85¢	$732	0xe5f628…
08-08 17:39:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	138	85¢	$118	0xb5b60c…
08-08 16:55:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	1,013	8¢	$81	0xf4a14b…
08-08 16:54:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	103	85¢	$87	0x4d139c…
08-08 16:53:16	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	700	85¢	$595	0x364fdd…
08-08 16:50:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xe62d82…
08-08 16:49:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	190	85¢	$161	0xc0e022…
08-08 16:10:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	2,786	86¢	$2,396	0xae6877…
08-08 16:08:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0x38c412…
08-08 16:04:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x303806…
08-08 16:00:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0x703b2f…
08-08 15:56:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4	86¢	$4	0x23c66d…
08-08 15:54:46	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0x679c58…
08-08 09:17:10	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x022753…
08-07 20:44:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	500	16¢	$80	0xc142b4…
08-06 16:29:05	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	1	41¢	$0	0xf3302c…
08-06 16:29:05	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5a3687…
08-06 16:27:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xe65f01…
08-06 16:27:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	81	41¢	$33	0xed1110…
08-06 16:19:20	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x008c17…
08-06 16:19:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0x7c9f69…
08-06 16:17:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	1,013	11¢	$111	0xe56039…
08-06 16:16:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	500	23¢	$115	0x157d42…
08-04 13:39:33	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xa8efb2…
08-04 13:21:14	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	500	41¢	$205	0x86a5b8…
08-04 13:21:09	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	480	41¢	$197	0x566d3b…
08-04 12:08:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	54	40¢	$22	0x1fa4af…
08-04 11:54:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	4,192	40¢	$1,677	0x88ddaa…
08-04 11:54:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	5,000	84¢	$4,200	0x3cb292…
08-04 00:52:59	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x43c99d…
08-03 21:29:56	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xece8b4…
08-03 18:43:38	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0xf131cc…
08-03 18:21:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5,000	86¢	$4,300	0x5bd3f3…
08-03 13:40:29	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	133	20¢	$27	0xd3bbe7…
08-03 13:34:57	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	225	20¢	$45	0x699926…
08-03 13:34:23	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3dc0c2…
08-03 13:12:09	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	53	20¢	$11	0xc1e104…
08-03 13:01:53	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x870d93…
08-03 13:00:39	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x5bd959…
08-03 12:51:18	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	367	86¢	$316	0xd136f8…
08-03 12:12:45	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	79	20¢	$16	0x61f8f1…
08-03 11:58:47	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	168	24¢	$40	0x5c06f2…
08-03 08:54:51	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x732a57…
08-03 08:53:21	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x885e33…
08-03 08:49:45	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	110	53¢	$58	0x53ae23…
08-02 21:50:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6,036	80¢	$4,829	0x07167e…
08-02 21:49:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3,279	80¢	$2,624	0x7f4bcf…
08-02 08:43:48	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	1,274	81¢	$1,032	0xa8ab2b…
08-02 08:40:33	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	127	81¢	$102	0x6ea25e…
08-02 08:15:21	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	978	66¢	$646	0xbdbb74…