Calm-Charger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$725

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.6%

Resolved

Trades

4,862

lifetime

Volume

$1.35M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$277

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-20 15:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

43% 67% $-858

Other

36% — —

Crypto

15% 67% +$133

Tech

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 148 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	167	$79.0K	102,993	53,562	+49,431	open	—	06-02 10:58
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	193	$58.7K	58,575	34,659	+23,915	open	—	03-10 20:25
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	67	$52.9K	59,214	18,214	+41,000	open	—	04-08 11:05
netanyahu out by march 31 854	29	$43.8K	24,678	20,612	+4,066	open	—	03-30 15:32
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	83	$40.2K	54,721	33,422	+21,299	open	—	02-03 12:53
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	2	$36.2K	18,500	18,500	+0	open	—	04-28 12:42
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	89	$35.6K	29,307	19,583	+9,724	open	—	03-01 10:58
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	12	$35.0K	18,000	18,000	+0	open	—	04-27 21:32
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	84	$29.2K	29,471	14,010	+15,462	open	—	04-09 11:03
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	47	$26.8K	27,368	3,412	+23,957	open	—	04-30 20:51
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	40	$24.3K	20,338	12,000	+8,338	open	—	01-23 15:30
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	2	$19.9K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	01-02 21:28
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	12	$19.6K	15,000	5,000	+10,000	open	—	01-07 19:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	29	$19.2K	13,895	9,640	+4,255	open	—	04-28 10:59
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	50	$19.2K	14,961	10,836	+4,125	open	—	03-27 14:38
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	13	$19.1K	19,770	0	+19,770	open	—	02-08 00:47
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	83	$18.0K	13,366	13,366	+0	open	—	03-08 21:17
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	5	$17.9K	10,000	8,000	+2,000	open	—	01-28 12:34
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	28	$17.0K	10,142	7,714	+2,428	open	—	06-12 17:52
will axiom be accused of insider trading	37	$14.7K	12,090	10,523	+1,567	open	—	02-26 12:48
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	57	$14.1K	11,325	6,110	+5,215	open	—	03-26 11:09
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	56	$13.7K	20,062	9,600	+10,461	open	—	04-30 15:29
over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632	44	$12.6K	12,180	12,141	+38	open	—	01-10 15:46
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	42	$12.1K	10,880	5,858	+5,022	open	—	03-04 12:52
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	26	$11.5K	8,683	5,863	+2,820	open	—	01-03 19:44
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	40	$11.2K	11,613	4,091	+7,522	open	—	04-22 14:26
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	121	$11.2K	13,502	12,758	+744	open	—	04-22 05:15
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	52	$10.4K	9,727	11,909	-2,182	open	—	03-23 13:27
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	39	$9.7K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	05-03 18:54
iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	3	$9.5K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	07-20 08:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 15:45:34	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	787	62¢	$488	0x830f0e…
07-20 15:45:33	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0xf7c3f3…
07-20 15:45:33	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0xdc28ae…
07-20 15:45:33	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0x4a074b…
07-20 15:45:33	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	63	62¢	$39	0x482e4f…
07-20 15:45:33	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x447d80…
07-20 15:45:33	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0x11821e…
07-20 15:40:52	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,000	66¢	$1,320	0xe4de8b…
07-20 15:33:16	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	740	65¢	$481	0x53e668…
07-20 15:29:42	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	48	63¢	$30	0x18670f…
07-20 15:29:34	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	133	63¢	$83	0x5d3c3e…
07-20 15:27:21	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	920	60¢	$552	0x97ec0f…
07-20 15:22:34	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,177	65¢	$1,415	0xec4112…
07-20 15:22:31	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	300	65¢	$195	0xc0ceb1…
07-20 15:22:31	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	65¢	$12	0xb0353a…
07-20 15:21:19	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0xe31617…
07-20 15:21:18	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0x7145dc…
07-20 15:20:51	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0xbc48fe…
07-20 15:20:46	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	126	66¢	$83	0xb7b548…
07-20 15:10:42	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,222	61¢	$745	0x75cb29…
07-20 15:06:25	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	157	37¢	$58	0xd52f1d…
07-20 08:40:19	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	5,000	95¢	$4,742	0x854df0…
07-19 16:20:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	3,099	51¢	$1,580	0xf66dc5…
07-19 16:15:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	271	51¢	$138	0x33a57c…
07-17 15:34:07	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	No	BUY	71	94¢	$67	0xa519fe…
07-17 11:54:57	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	SELL	419	3¢	$12	0xddb57d…
07-17 11:54:46	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	SELL	669	3¢	$19	0x8d6c7f…
07-17 11:54:36	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	SELL	130	3¢	$4	0xf889aa…
07-17 11:39:57	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	No	BUY	1,691	90¢	$1,522	0xe0d05f…
07-17 11:17:55	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	No	BUY	1,551	90¢	$1,396	0x7db9bc…
07-17 08:42:30	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x2f82df…
07-17 08:39:37	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xff1dd0…
07-17 08:39:01	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x9e7ee8…
07-15 12:45:40	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	5,000	54¢	$2,688	0x5b6df4…
07-14 20:09:16	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xffb999…
07-14 19:59:10	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0xf3b1f8…
07-14 18:55:04	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x85652c…
07-14 18:45:38	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	BUY	203	22¢	$45	0xfc1cd5…
07-14 18:40:23	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	BUY	51	22¢	$11	0x6b7e47…
07-14 18:29:46	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	BUY	51	22¢	$11	0x327365…
07-14 18:20:25	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	BUY	493	22¢	$108	0xc20f34…
07-14 18:11:47	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	BUY	237	22¢	$52	0x1ec2a8…
07-14 18:06:29	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	No	BUY	199	50¢	$100	0x16e2ae…
07-14 18:06:14	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	No	BUY	38	50¢	$19	0x8688fc…
07-14 18:05:52	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	No	BUY	1,507	52¢	$780	0x4446e6…
07-14 18:04:31	over 45m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325655	No	BUY	821	78¢	$645	0xbbb19e…
07-14 13:24:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	1,459	94¢	$1,371	0x4c7581…
07-14 13:24:26	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0x13eb10…
07-13 19:50:26	over 20m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325650	Yes	BUY	1,808	99¢	$1,788	0xaa34e9…
07-13 19:28:43	over 20m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325650	Yes	BUY	75	96¢	$72	0x19aa52…
07-13 19:27:40	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	Yes	BUY	126	60¢	$76	0xcf9dea…
07-13 14:40:28	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	No	BUY	2,013	87¢	$1,751	0x6c0aa4…
07-13 14:29:43	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	No	BUY	987	87¢	$859	0xe457a1…
07-09 18:47:53	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	772	83¢	$641	0x1ac0a3…
07-09 18:43:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0x321d93…
07-09 18:22:55	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	4,994	96¢	$4,800	0xbc1680…
07-09 17:53:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0xb83a0b…
07-09 17:53:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0x39722f…
07-09 17:53:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0x1b8705…
07-09 17:53:38	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	588	83¢	$488	0x925b4e…
07-09 17:51:35	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0xf1e5d9…
07-09 17:32:49	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0x32d1e4…
07-09 17:23:29	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0xb5066e…
07-09 17:23:29	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0x99c0b1…
07-09 17:23:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	88	83¢	$73	0x0e9d41…
07-09 17:06:32	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0xd02b52…
07-09 17:06:29	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0x5db5e9…
07-09 16:16:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x374dc7…
07-09 16:06:29	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0x5dd33c…
07-09 16:06:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0x82b3c1…
07-09 16:06:23	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	453	83¢	$376	0xddc917…
07-09 15:55:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x58eaf3…
07-09 15:13:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	26	83¢	$22	0x46dd5f…
07-09 14:58:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xdcfb6b…
07-09 14:52:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	294	83¢	$244	0xec7c7b…
07-09 14:47:14	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	118	83¢	$98	0x84a085…
07-09 14:12:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0xadb12f…
07-09 14:11:32	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x20b9cd…
07-09 14:10:50	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	50	83¢	$41	0x55d5f9…
07-09 14:08:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	59	83¢	$49	0xe739d1…
07-09 13:44:32	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	29	83¢	$24	0x66d489…
07-09 13:19:29	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x48e1cd…
07-09 13:19:23	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xfc2a2d…
07-09 13:19:22	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x4ba27b…
07-09 13:19:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xef88eb…
07-09 13:19:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc406f6…
07-09 13:19:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x83acfc…
07-09 13:19:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x374ecc…
07-09 13:19:17	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x4447df…
07-09 13:19:17	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x36d99b…
07-09 13:19:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x1181fd…
07-09 13:19:14	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x79d6be…
07-09 13:19:14	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x2ca202…
07-09 13:19:14	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x10f32b…
07-09 13:19:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x58538f…
07-09 13:19:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x486fc6…
07-09 13:19:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xdb86d6…
07-09 13:19:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xbe54a6…
07-09 13:19:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x67d4ad…
07-09 13:19:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x5d4b0b…