Calm-Charger — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$8.83K

Unrealized P&L

+$4.96K

Hit rate

52.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

594

6,400 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$113.9K

$1.69M lifetime

Avg / trade

$265

Open exposure

$53.9K

12 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-05 21:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 139 days

Categories

Politics

41% 74% +$37,229

Other

41% 68% +$9,579

Crypto

13% 69% +$18,791

Tech

3% 75% +$6,974

Sports

2% 65% -$140

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+18,148	$16,185	98¢	$17.8K	+$1,646	05-12 15:39
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-9,316	-$7,803	88¢	$-8151	-$349	08-02 21:50
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	+8,245	$6,064	92¢	$7.5K	+$1,481	08-09 12:19
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+6,128	$4,378	90¢	$5.5K	+$1,161	08-09 12:17
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+5,000	$3,700	76¢	$3.8K	+$117	10-27 19:43
will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830	No	+3,047	$2,299	98¢	$3.0K	+$688	07-05 15:26
Tusk out by December 31?	No	+2,727	$2,513	94¢	$2.6K	+$64	11-05 21:46
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	+3,000	$1,530	58¢	$1.8K	+$225	11-05 17:52
Nawrocki out by December 31?	No	+1,460	$1,373	98¢	$1.4K	+$53	10-31 15:21
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	+1,255	$1,067	97¢	$1.2K	+$152	11-04 11:01
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	+1,000	$850	97¢	$966	+$116	11-04 11:01
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+5,000	$485	2¢	$88	-$398	05-08 11:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	180	$82.3K	106,493	54,598	+51,895	No	+$13,065	06-02 10:58
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	181	$75.2K	55,148	32,000	+23,148	open	—	05-12 15:39
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	193	$58.7K	58,575	34,659	+23,915	Yes	+$1,839	03-10 20:25
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	67	$52.9K	59,214	18,214	+41,000	Yes	-$1,016	04-08 11:05
netanyahu out by march 31 854	29	$43.8K	24,678	20,612	+4,066	No	+$880	03-30 15:32
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	83	$40.2K	54,721	33,422	+21,299	Yes	+$1,603	02-03 12:53
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	2	$36.2K	18,500	18,500	+0	Yes	+$0	04-28 12:42
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	89	$35.6K	29,307	19,583	+9,724	Yes	-$1,002	03-01 10:58
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	12	$35.0K	18,000	18,000	+0	No	+$939	04-27 21:32
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	84	$29.2K	29,471	14,010	+15,462	Yes	+$1,651	04-09 11:03
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	47	$26.8K	27,368	3,412	+23,957	No	-$414	04-30 20:51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	8	$24.9K	25,000	0	+25,000	Yes	+$50	04-29 15:08
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	40	$24.3K	20,338	12,000	+8,338	No	+$2,288	01-23 15:30
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	2	$19.9K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$70	01-02 21:28
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	12	$19.6K	15,000	5,000	+10,000	No	+$205	01-07 19:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	29	$19.2K	13,895	9,640	+4,255	No	+$417	04-28 10:59
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	50	$19.2K	14,961	10,836	+4,125	No	+$1,459	03-27 14:38
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	13	$19.1K	19,770	0	+19,770	No	+$662	02-08 00:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	67	$18.9K	19,857	14,857	+5,000	No	-$5,190	09-16 13:57
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	83	$18.0K	13,366	13,366	+0	Yes	+$1,559	03-08 21:17
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	29	$18.0K	10,142	8,676	+1,466	Yes	+$566	06-12 17:52
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	5	$17.9K	10,000	8,000	+2,000	No	+$80	01-28 12:34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	56	$16.0K	17,699	2,000	+15,699	Yes	+$2,788	07-29 16:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$15.1K	5,000	14,316	-9,316	open	—	08-02 21:50
will axiom be accused of insider trading	37	$14.7K	12,090	10,523	+1,567	Yes	-$3,685	02-26 12:48
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	57	$14.1K	11,325	6,110	+5,215	No	+$1,400	03-26 11:09
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	56	$13.7K	20,062	9,600	+10,461	Yes	+$2,291	04-30 15:29
over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632	44	$12.6K	12,180	12,141	+38	Yes	+$1,412	01-10 15:46
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	42	$12.1K	10,880	5,858	+5,022	No	+$1,562	03-04 12:52
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	26	$11.5K	8,683	5,863	+2,820	No	+$1,161	01-03 19:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 21:46:39	Tusk out by December 31?	No	BUY	211	94¢	$199	0xa33782…
11-05 17:52:06	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	217	51¢	$111	0x749952…
11-05 17:51:46	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	726	51¢	$370	0xbb8e73…
11-05 17:51:12	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	102	51¢	$52	0x07d512…
11-05 17:50:12	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x3506d5…
11-05 17:49:22	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x08a165…
11-05 17:48:51	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	1,852	51¢	$944	0x1ae7f7…
11-05 11:52:37	Tusk out by December 31?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x1af886…
11-05 07:18:21	Tusk out by December 31?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x58bbca…
11-04 11:04:42	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	85¢	$52	0x10ef8b…
11-04 11:04:28	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0x045328…
11-04 11:04:15	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	85¢	$94	0xafd845…
11-04 11:03:54	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0x6051fa…
11-04 11:03:36	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	85¢	$88	0xe7a405…
11-04 11:03:15	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	325	85¢	$276	0x7bb771…
11-04 11:01:24	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	521	85¢	$443	0x9fa9c1…
11-04 11:01:22	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	28	85¢	$24	0xced713…
11-04 11:01:22	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	445	85¢	$378	0xb0c41d…
11-04 11:01:03	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	67	85¢	$57	0x433137…
11-04 11:00:25	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	155	85¢	$131	0xc6587e…
11-04 11:00:10	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	85¢	$852	0xf537dd…
11-04 10:59:34	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	401	85¢	$340	0xd523a3…
11-04 10:56:27	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	640	85¢	$544	0x4d171d…
11-03 23:57:46	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	70	37¢	$26	0xc34c0e…
11-03 23:52:13	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	433	37¢	$160	0x30af75…
11-03 23:50:18	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	63¢	$630	0x4ee50d…
11-03 23:48:34	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	64¢	$320	0x1df177…
11-03 23:44:15	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	842	63¢	$530	0x327c01…
11-03 23:22:19	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	29	36¢	$10	0x751e7f…
11-03 23:22:19	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	513	36¢	$185	0x297494…
11-03 23:03:21	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	134	29¢	$39	0xd19626…
11-03 23:03:21	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	400	29¢	$116	0x051e47…
11-03 21:54:33	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	76¢	$760	0xb6ec1d…
11-03 21:20:24	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,136	36¢	$409	0x1f7b5f…
11-03 21:19:31	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x835da2…
11-03 21:18:55	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	36¢	$17	0x937c24…
11-03 21:18:55	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	195	36¢	$70	0x4ad9d0…
11-03 21:18:55	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	36¢	$23	0x2c5f50…
11-03 21:16:18	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x116320…
11-03 21:15:57	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0xeb3d8d…
11-03 21:15:45	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	637	36¢	$229	0x61da2f…
11-03 21:15:43	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0xc9fec4…
11-03 21:15:36	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xf90dcc…
11-03 21:15:13	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	36¢	$17	0x425f07…
11-03 21:13:55	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	2,222	36¢	$800	0x45e0ac…
11-03 14:07:36	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	74¢	$2,220	0xfe86c8…
11-03 14:02:28	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0x32cd58…
11-03 14:02:27	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0x302d25…
11-03 14:00:52	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0xa47374…
11-03 14:00:43	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x842441…
11-03 14:00:12	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	42	77¢	$32	0x126865…
11-03 14:00:09	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xc78ae9…
11-03 13:57:48	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x73c0d1…
11-03 13:57:48	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x48f98b…
11-03 13:57:46	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x5c55bd…
11-03 13:55:01	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x8c0444…
11-03 13:54:40	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	992	77¢	$764	0xa55f86…
11-03 13:54:21	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	173	77¢	$133	0x8f7ba1…
11-03 13:53:45	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x52b16a…
11-03 13:51:04	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	343	77¢	$264	0x1c7535…
11-03 13:50:04	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	48	77¢	$37	0x4e6109…
11-03 13:49:40	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	87	77¢	$67	0xda73e0…
11-03 13:49:12	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	103	77¢	$79	0x618a61…
11-03 13:48:30	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	452	77¢	$348	0x46691d…
11-03 13:47:48	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	2,500	77¢	$1,925	0xae29e2…
11-03 13:47:33	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	247	77¢	$190	0x9bc8a3…
11-03 13:47:19	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	124	77¢	$95	0x0d7d84…
11-03 13:43:25	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	17	77¢	$13	0x48ea5e…
11-03 13:42:06	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	43	77¢	$33	0x63d911…
11-03 13:41:42	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x7ec700…
11-03 13:41:15	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0x4f0727…
11-03 13:40:36	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	330	77¢	$254	0xf51686…
11-03 13:34:58	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,150	37¢	$796	0xd05d2b…
11-03 13:34:58	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,317	37¢	$487	0xba7faa…
11-03 13:33:51	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	165	37¢	$61	0xc8e3e4…
11-03 13:19:09	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2,500	77¢	$1,925	0x3c5b62…
11-03 13:16:45	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	29	77¢	$22	0x4466e9…
11-03 13:14:09	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	87	77¢	$67	0x970c90…
11-03 13:12:00	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	358	53¢	$190	0x135369…
11-03 13:11:30	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	53¢	$13	0x31e2d6…
11-03 13:11:16	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x1054c4…
11-03 13:11:15	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	197	53¢	$104	0x524976…
11-03 13:10:45	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x0d0ca4…
11-03 13:10:39	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	53¢	$31	0x5241ed…
11-03 13:10:22	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,133	53¢	$600	0xae34b7…
11-03 13:09:33	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	43	77¢	$33	0xb2313e…
11-03 13:09:10	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	224	77¢	$172	0x45c56b…
11-03 12:41:16	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0x119085…
11-03 12:40:52	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	61	38¢	$23	0x217877…
11-03 12:40:34	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0xd162ff…
11-03 12:36:58	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	204	38¢	$77	0x848bfd…
11-03 12:34:55	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	664	38¢	$252	0x73209b…
11-03 12:31:40	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,521	73¢	$1,840	0x797385…
11-03 12:28:03	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x78d315…
11-03 12:21:45	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0xc77777…
11-03 12:21:12	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xdf6d32…
11-03 12:21:12	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	277	38¢	$105	0x21b6a7…
11-01 01:23:39	Tusk out by December 31?	No	BUY	62	92¢	$57	0xc9f71e…
11-01 01:10:27	Tusk out by December 31?	No	BUY	418	92¢	$384	0xbba5ef…
11-01 01:03:12	Tusk out by December 31?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x338112…