Realized P&L
+$71.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.94K
Hit rate
75.7%
Resolved
397
Trades
6,500
lifetime
Volume
$1.72M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$265
Open exposure
$61.7K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-12 10:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 140 days
Categories
Other
41% 67% +$8,859
Politics
41% 74% +$37,229
Crypto
13% 69% +$18,791
Tech
3% 75% +$6,974
Sports
2% 65% -$140
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +18,148 $16,185 99¢ $18.0K +$1,773 05-12 15:39
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +9,846 $7,521 94¢ $9.2K +$1,686 11-06 16:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -9,316 -$7,803 92¢ $-8617 -$814 08-02 21:50
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +6,128 $4,378 94¢ $5.7K +$1,357 08-09 12:17
Tusk out by December 31? No +5,385 $5,032 97¢ $5.2K +$215 11-08 07:20
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5,000 $3,700 80¢ $4.0K +$275 10-27 19:43
will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830 No +3,047 $2,299 99¢ $3.0K +$707 07-05 15:26
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +3,000 $1,530 84¢ $2.5K +$1,005 11-05 17:52
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +2,649 $1,748 84¢ $2.2K +$464 11-06 21:45
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +1,255 $1,067 100¢ $1.3K +$184 11-04 11:01
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +1,000 $850 99¢ $994 +$144 11-04 11:01
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +899 $503 98¢ $879 +$376 11-06 13:58
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +5,000 $485 1¢ $52 -$432 05-08 11:38