Realized P&L
+$72.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.72K
Hit rate
76.2%
Resolved
394
Trades
6,446
lifetime
Volume
$1.71M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$266
Open exposure
$63.0K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-08 07:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 139 days
Categories
Politics
41% 74% +$37,229
Other
41% 68% +$9,579
Crypto
13% 69% +$18,791
Tech
3% 75% +$6,974
Sports
2% 65% -$140
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +18,148 $16,185 99¢ $18.0K +$1,773 05-12 15:39
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +9,846 $7,521 92¢ $9.1K +$1,587 11-06 16:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -9,316 -$7,803 94¢ $-8710 -$908 08-02 21:50
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +6,128 $4,378 94¢ $5.7K +$1,363 08-09 12:17
Tusk out by December 31? No +5,385 $5,032 96¢ $5.2K +$164 11-08 07:20
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5,000 $3,700 76¢ $3.8K +$105 10-27 19:43
will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830 No +3,047 $2,299 99¢ $3.0K +$707 07-05 15:26
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +3,000 $1,530 88¢ $2.6K +$1,095 11-05 17:52
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +2,649 $1,748 86¢ $2.3K +$543 11-06 21:45
Nawrocki out by December 31? No +1,460 $1,373 98¢ $1.4K +$53 10-31 15:21
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +1,255 $1,067 99¢ $1.2K +$173 11-04 11:01
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +1,000 $850 99¢ $986 +$136 11-04 11:01
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +899 $503 96¢ $867 +$364 11-06 13:58
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +5,000 $485 1¢ $52 -$432 05-08 11:38