Realized P&L
+$575
Unrealized P&L
+$452
Hit rate
87.1%
Resolved
17
Trades
4,346
lifetime
Volume
$843.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$194
Open exposure
$3.14K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-30 18:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
68% 67% +$549
Other
25% 100% +$13
Tech
5%
Sports
1% 100% +$14
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -2,975 $-2,686 86¢ $-2544 +$142 06-29 02:20
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +312 $229 76¢ $238 +$9 06-24 14:18
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +187 $-333 91¢ $170 +$503 06-30 17:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +467 $448 30¢ $142 $-306 06-30 15:23
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -26 $-24 100¢ $-26 $-3 06-01 04:35
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +8 $2 100¢ $8 +$6 06-19 02:06
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +5 $-33 100¢ $5 +$38 06-20 07:20
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +46 $3 $3 $-0 06-10 22:51
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +10 $8 $0 $-8 06-20 14:10
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +10 $-15 $0 +$15 06-11 18:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -0 $-54 $-0 +$54 06-15 05:25