Realized P&L
+$26.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$228
Hit rate
71.6%
Resolved
1,057
Trades
7,036
lifetime
Volume
$1.22M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$173
Open exposure
$5.25K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-30 04:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 228 days
Categories
Politics
57% 71% +$9,440
Other
33% 74% +$14,449
Tech
5% 86% +$4,504
Sports
2% 65% -$2,583
Crypto
1% 59% +$705
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$117
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas? Yes +3,601 $3,523 100¢ $3.6K +$75 10-28 21:56
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +312 $229 94¢ $293 +$64 06-24 14:18
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +200 $166 100¢ $199 +$33 10-02 07:46
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +200 $156 97¢ $194 +$38 07-01 20:30
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +100 $69 99¢ $99 +$30 10-23 19:52
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +100 $87 98¢ $98 +$10 10-12 18:26
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? No +100 $93 97¢ $97 +$4 08-23 20:56
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +100 $92 94¢ $94 +$2 09-26 06:10
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +100 $92 94¢ $94 +$2 09-29 05:10
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +98 $85 92¢ $89 +$4 07-11 19:45
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +100 $70 86¢ $86 +$16 05-31 08:05
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No +87 $71 98¢ $85 +$13 07-07 12:34
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +100 $85 84¢ $84 -$2 10-21 05:21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +100 $66 62¢ $61 -$4 10-20 15:13
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? No +100 $32 40¢ $40 +$8 08-23 07:50
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +20 $15 97¢ $19 +$5 06-01 17:10
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $60 68¢ $7 -$53 10-21 07:50
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +100 $17 7¢ $7 -$10 07-01 17:18
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31 Yes +190 $10 2¢ $4 -$5 07-03 17:03
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +10 $3 8¢ $1 -$2 07-16 16:07
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? Yes +110 $32 0¢ $1 -$31 10-12 05:21
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? Yes +100 $4 0¢ $0 -$3 10-19 21:56
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +0 -$66 86¢ $0 +$66 10-04 07:04
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +0 $30 3¢ $0 -$30 05-19 09:33