Realized P&L
+$575
Unrealized P&L
+$250
Hit rate
87.1%
Resolved
17
Trades
4,843
lifetime
Volume
$907.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$187
Open exposure
$3.07K
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-20 16:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
66% 67% +$549
Other
24% 100% +$13
Tech
5%
Sports
3% 100% +$14
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -2,975 $-2,546 74¢ $-2216 +$329 07-18 12:02
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +1,000 $370 29¢ $290 $-80 07-08 16:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +200 $146 99¢ $198 +$52 07-03 05:58
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +312 $229 60¢ $185 $-44 06-24 14:18
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +200 $103 45¢ $90 $-12 07-18 12:02
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +98 $85 86¢ $84 $-1 07-11 19:45
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +8 $2 100¢ $8 +$6 06-19 02:06
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +10 $3 34¢ $3 +$0 07-16 16:07