Offbeat-Menorah 0x79d980…07baec
whale hot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$14.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.92K
Hit rate
83.7%
Resolved
109
Trades
2,265
lifetime
Volume
$750.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$331
Open exposure
$142.0K
22 positions
First seen
2026-02-02
last 10-03 05:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 57 days
Categories
Politics
49% 86% +$11,985
Other
46% 79% +$9,613
Tech
3% 80% -$5,411
Crypto
2% 80% -$1,463
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 164 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +30,000 $19,800 60¢ $18.1K -$1,650 06-16 10:42
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +15,000 $11,040 92¢ $13.7K +$2,685 08-03 20:16
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +12,000 $9,960 92¢ $11.0K +$1,020 06-12 12:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +13,300 $10,099 82¢ $10.8K +$740 07-08 08:23
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +9,600 $7,442 97¢ $9.3K +$1,851 06-02 22:28
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +9,315 $8,271 96¢ $8.9K +$658 09-24 13:51
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +9,400 $7,486 86¢ $8.1K +$598 08-11 14:58
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +9,000 $7,173 81¢ $7.3K +$148 07-05 18:52
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +6,000 $4,980 94¢ $5.7K +$690 09-14 08:03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +5,800 $5,046 96¢ $5.6K +$525 05-19 07:39
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +5,700 $5,027 97¢ $5.5K +$499 06-09 05:37
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 No +6,000 $5,340 91¢ $5.5K +$120 08-22 22:53
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +6,000 $5,100 87¢ $5.2K +$120 09-11 17:27
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 222 252 No +6,000 $5,100 84¢ $5.1K -$30 09-04 16:07
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +4,400 $3,124 94¢ $4.1K +$990 07-20 15:50
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +4,200 $3,528 94¢ $3.9K +$399 08-18 13:08
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +3,800 $3,116 92¢ $3.5K +$380 09-02 18:34
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +3,800 $2,660 86¢ $3.3K +$627 07-14 18:03
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +3,000 $2,610 96¢ $2.9K +$277 08-07 06:54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +7,000 $4,270 40¢ $2.8K -$1,435 10-03 05:31
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 Yes +3,000 $2,538 37¢ $1.1K -$1,438 08-13 10:26
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +7,000 $4,340 7¢ $490 -$3,850 08-01 19:57