Realized P&L (24h)
+$12.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.01K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (24h)
3
Trades (24h)
0
2,265 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$0
$750.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$331
Open exposure
$109.3K
19 positions
First seen
2026-02-02
last 10-03 05:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 58 days
Categories
Politics
49% 87% +$24,898
Other
46% 79% +$9,613
Tech
3% 80% -$5,411
Crypto
2% 80% -$1,463
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +15,000 $11,040 92¢ $13.8K +$2,760 08-03 20:16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +13,300 $10,099 88¢ $11.6K +$1,538 07-08 08:23
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +9,600 $7,442 94¢ $9.0K +$1,587 06-02 22:28
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +9,315 $8,271 96¢ $9.0K +$695 09-24 13:51
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +9,400 $7,486 92¢ $8.6K +$1,115 08-11 14:58
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +9,000 $7,173 89¢ $8.0K +$832 07-05 18:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +5,800 $5,046 98¢ $5.7K +$641 05-19 07:39
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 No +6,000 $5,340 93¢ $5.6K +$240 08-22 22:53
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 222 252 No +6,000 $5,100 92¢ $5.5K +$390 09-04 16:07
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +6,000 $4,980 86¢ $5.2K +$210 09-14 08:03
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +6,000 $5,100 86¢ $5.1K +$30 09-11 17:27
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +4,400 $3,124 96¢ $4.2K +$1,102 07-20 15:50
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +3,800 $3,116 98¢ $3.7K +$589 09-02 18:34
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +4,200 $3,528 87¢ $3.6K +$111 08-18 13:08
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +3,800 $2,660 90¢ $3.4K +$741 07-14 18:03
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +3,000 $2,610 97¢ $2.9K +$304 08-07 06:54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +7,000 $4,270 38¢ $2.7K -$1,610 10-03 05:31
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 Yes +3,000 $2,538 40¢ $1.2K -$1,350 08-13 10:26
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +7,000 $4,340 6¢ $420 -$3,920 08-01 19:57