Well-Informed-Ischemia — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.81K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.21K

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

799

lifetime

Volume

$1.01M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.26K

Open exposure

$514

1 position

First seen

2026-05-02

last 07-20 16:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

41% 100% +$1,453

Other

32% 86% +$6,354

Crypto

19% — —

Sports

5% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes		+2,506	$1,722	20¢	$514	$-1,209	06-19 18:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	42	$192.3K	189,293	40,136	+149,156	open	—	06-04 00:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$158.6K	80,100	80,100	+0	Yes	+$1,440	05-09 18:40
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	15	$89.9K	90,000	0	+90,000	open	—	06-07 22:09
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	3	$74.9K	74,976	0	+74,976	open	—	05-30 12:28
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	9	$30.9K	16,349	16,349	+0	open	—	05-15 17:04
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	17	$29.7K	34,144	4,958	+29,186	open	—	07-07 19:30
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	5	$26.2K	26,318	0	+26,318	open	—	05-16 20:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$20.7K	10,000	10,773	-773	open	—	05-30 12:15
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	15	$20.2K	20,354	354	+20,000	open	—	07-20 16:01
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	06-17 01:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	2	$19.7K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	05-30 12:15
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	2	$17.5K	17,518	0	+17,518	open	—	05-23 03:41
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	1	$13.8K	13,823	0	+13,823	open	—	05-19 18:05
nvda close above 200 on june 30 2026	2	$12.0K	12,267	0	+12,267	open	—	06-30 20:23
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	1	$10.9K	10,900	0	+10,900	open	—	05-19 18:05
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	5	$10.4K	10,688	688	+10,000	open	—	07-20 00:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 25 2026?	1	$10.0K	9,974	0	+9,974	open	—	05-29 21:27
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?	3	$9.6K	4,801	4,801	+0	open	—	05-29 18:01
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	5	$9.5K	5,095	5,095	+0	open	—	05-23 04:06
will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	1	$9.1K	9,169	0	+9,169	open	—	06-12 20:26
Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 1.5	2	$9.1K	9,472	0	+9,472	open	—	05-16 03:12
Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	8	$8.7K	8,682	0	+8,682	open	—	05-20 22:07
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	18	$7.5K	15,414	0	+15,414	open	—	06-25 15:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	1	$7.4K	7,478	0	+7,478	open	—	05-28 22:00
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	7	$6.1K	10,484	0	+10,484	open	—	05-16 00:04
atp augeral djokovi 2026 07 07	1	$6.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	07-07 12:30
will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 654	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	07-11 16:07
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	07-01 20:19
will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt25t by june 30	1	$5.0K	5,030	0	+5,030	open	—	06-12 20:27
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	1	$4.9K	4,915	0	+4,915	m1x	+$54	05-06 19:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 16:01:10	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8,834	99¢	$8,746	0x8267a6…
07-20 16:01:04	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x10c054…
07-20 16:01:03	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x209f3b…
07-20 16:01:00	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xedba97…
07-20 16:01:00	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe5fe65…
07-20 16:01:00	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x224cc3…
07-20 16:01:00	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x090b4f…
07-20 16:00:57	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb9c4a3…
07-20 16:00:52	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x695533…
07-20 16:00:49	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10,000	99¢	$9,900	0x7451b4…
07-20 16:00:45	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x17e13a…
07-20 16:00:40	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	530	99¢	$525	0xba6d20…
07-20 12:57:24	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	13	59¢	$8	0xd17612…
07-20 12:57:24	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	341	59¢	$201	0x7b9ded…
07-20 12:50:39	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	354	56¢	$198	0xb83f45…
07-20 01:12:48	will anthropic remove paid plan access for fable 5 by july 31 2026 20260713185755112	No	BUY	1,143	90¢	$1,029	0x43891f…
07-20 00:47:07	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0xf8cd89…
07-20 00:47:07	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	9,979	99¢	$9,869	0x39de4f…
07-20 00:47:04	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x60b0a0…
07-19 20:29:25	will pentakill or penta be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915156	Yes	BUY	800	0¢	$4	0x9d3009…
07-18 17:49:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	688	41¢	$282	0x5d54cf…
07-18 15:17:37	r6siege wbg to 2026 07 18 game2	Team Orchid	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0x8199d2…
07-18 02:58:48	will anthropic remove paid plan access for fable 5 by july 31 2026 20260713185755112	No	BUY	365	93¢	$341	0x07ab8b…
07-17 23:21:46	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	688	28¢	$193	0x327281…
07-17 17:41:01	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956884	Yes	BUY	204	51¢	$104	0xf69e70…
07-17 17:36:21	will the announcers say legacy during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956890	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xd5902a…
07-17 17:35:22	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956884	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x2a5aa0…
07-17 17:32:54	will the announcers say legacy during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956890	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x8d1eae…
07-17 17:32:51	will the announcers say legacy during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956890	Yes	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0xc53b50…
07-17 16:49:12	will the announcers say bench or benches 7 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956887	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x0f0316…
07-17 16:47:40	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956884	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x695967…
07-17 16:41:51	will the announcers say tom cruise during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403328	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x72ad81…
07-17 16:40:57	will the announcers say legacy during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956890	Yes	SELL	15	54¢	$8	0x2a2bc3…
07-17 16:12:27	will the announcers say zlatan or ibrahimovic during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403314	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x05f211…
07-17 15:36:00	will the announcers say what a save during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956900	No	BUY	54	54¢	$29	0xda4042…
07-17 14:46:15	will the announcers say what a save during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956900	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd879a6…
07-17 14:43:34	will the announcers say what a save during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956900	No	BUY	63	54¢	$34	0x132a38…
07-17 14:23:37	will the announcers say shakira during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403318	No	BUY	479	28¢	$134	0x244002…
07-17 14:18:58	will the announcers say shakira during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403318	No	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x91b78e…
07-17 13:36:54	will the announcers say shakira during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403318	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$2	0x010b53…
07-17 13:35:36	will the announcers say zohran or mamdani during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403336	No	BUY	500	78¢	$390	0xef8de6…
07-17 13:02:37	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	No	BUY	194	26¢	$51	0xc16105…
07-17 12:48:52	will the announcers say ishowspeed during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403334	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xab9c2a…
07-17 12:37:30	will the announcers say zlatan or ibrahimovic during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403314	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x0426d4…
07-17 12:31:45	will the announcers say zlatan or ibrahimovic during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403314	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x74cdce…
07-17 12:26:28	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956884	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x382440…
07-17 12:25:25	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x8903ef…
07-17 12:24:33	will the announcers say shakira during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403318	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xacd9ce…
07-17 12:23:58	will the announcers say transition during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956891	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xd1fa4b…
07-17 12:11:58	will the announcers say legacy during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956890	Yes	SELL	19	54¢	$10	0x771cbc…
07-17 12:08:27	world cup finals final score even or odd 20260716181904984	Odd	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x8fa957…
07-17 12:01:40	will the announcers say zlatan or ibrahimovic during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403314	Yes	BUY	29	67¢	$20	0xd1c6fe…
07-17 11:41:06	will the announcers say shakira during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403318	Yes	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0xef22a5…
07-17 11:28:54	will the announcers say tom cruise during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403328	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xc483ed…
07-17 11:26:09	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403313	No	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x36e9de…
07-17 11:24:03	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403313	No	SELL	110	10¢	$11	0xf52300…
07-17 11:21:15	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403313	No	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0xaacb97…
07-17 11:20:21	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403313	No	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xd9fc60…
07-17 11:19:31	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403313	No	BUY	180	11¢	$20	0x76d4ad…
07-17 11:19:25	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403313	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xcf85d8…
07-17 11:17:21	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403313	Yes	SELL	500	87¢	$435	0xdd5433…
07-17 11:15:04	will the announcers say transition during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956891	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xbc8242…
07-17 11:14:34	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956884	Yes	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x90df4b…
07-17 11:05:06	will the announcers say shakira during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403318	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x715340…
07-17 11:05:04	will the announcers say shakira during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403318	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x941873…
07-17 11:01:36	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	Yes	BUY	500	94¢	$468	0x1ac5f3…
07-17 10:53:10	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403313	Yes	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0x9b5b83…
07-17 10:32:06	will the announcers say adidas during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403337	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xfd346c…
07-17 10:29:39	will the announcers say adidas during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403337	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8abbf1…
07-17 10:28:34	will the announcers say adidas during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403337	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x529869…
07-17 10:28:33	will the announcers say adidas during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403337	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xffa74b…
07-17 10:28:33	will the announcers say adidas during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403337	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xf0fb10…
07-17 10:28:33	will the announcers say adidas during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403337	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0xd3564a…
07-17 10:28:33	will the announcers say adidas during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403337	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x72361f…
07-17 10:28:33	will the announcers say adidas during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403337	Yes	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0x709510…
07-17 10:03:24	will the announcers say tom cruise during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403328	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0xc7f982…
07-17 10:00:36	will the announcers say transition during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956891	No	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x2c43df…
07-17 09:21:19	will the announcers say tom cruise during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403328	No	BUY	46	68¢	$32	0xebb5e7…
07-17 09:19:57	will the announcers say transition during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956891	No	BUY	92	7¢	$6	0x9f3340…
07-17 08:21:36	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956902	Yes	BUY	168	31¢	$52	0xe15495…
07-17 08:05:55	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	No	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x0468e2…
07-17 08:03:55	will the announcers say var during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956896	No	BUY	49	16¢	$8	0xf79646…
07-17 07:53:06	will the announcers say zlatan or ibrahimovic during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403314	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x7b2dd0…
07-17 07:40:21	will the announcers say giants or jets during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403332	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x10314f…
07-17 07:31:58	will the announcers say giants or jets during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403332	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x6af64c…
07-17 07:31:58	will the announcers say giants or jets during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403332	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x6add41…
07-17 07:21:36	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	No	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x32e957…
07-17 07:12:10	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	No	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x740fe6…
07-17 06:53:07	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	No	BUY	21	26¢	$5	0x4f4443…
07-17 06:52:07	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956884	Yes	BUY	84	51¢	$43	0x1f060e…
07-17 06:51:16	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	No	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0xb5fcac…
07-17 06:51:15	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x376bf1…
07-17 06:51:01	will the announcers say handball during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403316	No	BUY	128	26¢	$33	0xa89390…
07-17 06:47:46	will the announcers say handball during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403316	No	BUY	372	26¢	$97	0xa9d4f1…
07-17 06:47:21	will the announcers say captain during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403322	No	BUY	9	39¢	$4	0x9d9fc3…
07-17 06:47:18	will the announcers say captain during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403322	No	BUY	491	39¢	$191	0x570a95…
07-17 06:44:13	will the announcers say equalizer during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403333	No	BUY	328	76¢	$250	0xfe2365…
07-17 06:44:06	will the announcers say transition during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956891	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x6a0c89…
07-17 06:44:03	will the announcers say transition during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956891	No	BUY	44	7¢	$3	0x75e5f6…
07-17 06:44:01	will the announcers say zlatan or ibrahimovic during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403314	No	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x6f2ba4…