Well-Informed-Ischemia — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.81K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

841

lifetime

Volume

$1.03M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.22K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 08-10 14:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

40% 100% +$1,453

Other

33% 86% +$6,354

Crypto

19% — —

Sports

5% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	42	$192.3K	189,293	40,136	+149,156	open	—	06-04 00:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$158.6K	80,100	80,100	+0	Yes	+$1,440	05-09 18:40
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	15	$89.9K	90,000	0	+90,000	open	—	06-07 22:09
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	3	$74.9K	74,976	0	+74,976	open	—	05-30 12:28
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	9	$30.9K	16,349	16,349	+0	open	—	05-15 17:04
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	17	$29.7K	34,144	4,958	+29,186	open	—	07-07 19:30
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	5	$26.2K	26,318	0	+26,318	open	—	05-16 20:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$20.7K	10,000	10,773	-773	open	—	05-30 12:15
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	15	$20.2K	20,354	354	+20,000	open	—	07-20 16:01
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	06-17 01:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	2	$19.7K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	05-30 12:15
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	2	$17.5K	17,518	0	+17,518	open	—	05-23 03:41
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	1	$13.8K	13,823	0	+13,823	open	—	05-19 18:05
nvda close above 200 on june 30 2026	2	$12.0K	12,267	0	+12,267	open	—	06-30 20:23
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	1	$10.9K	10,900	0	+10,900	open	—	05-19 18:05
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	5	$10.4K	10,688	688	+10,000	open	—	07-20 00:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 25 2026?	1	$10.0K	9,974	0	+9,974	open	—	05-29 21:27
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?	3	$9.6K	4,801	4,801	+0	open	—	05-29 18:01
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	5	$9.5K	5,095	5,095	+0	open	—	05-23 04:06
will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	1	$9.1K	9,169	0	+9,169	open	—	06-12 20:26
Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 1.5	2	$9.1K	9,472	0	+9,472	open	—	05-16 03:12
Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	8	$8.7K	8,682	0	+8,682	open	—	05-20 22:07
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	18	$7.5K	15,414	0	+15,414	open	—	06-25 15:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	1	$7.4K	7,478	0	+7,478	open	—	05-28 22:00
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	7	$6.1K	10,484	0	+10,484	open	—	05-16 00:04
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	14	$6.0K	4,380	4,380	+0	open	—	07-31 19:33
atp augeral djokovi 2026 07 07	1	$6.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	07-07 12:30
will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 654	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	07-11 16:07
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	07-01 20:19
will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt25t by june 30	1	$5.0K	5,030	0	+5,030	open	—	06-12 20:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 14:04:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	1,935	40¢	$774	0xff62f8…
08-10 13:44:46	will tony score at least 93 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260806170107430	Yes	BUY	3,102	100¢	$3,093	0x1e56a0…
08-10 13:38:58	will ice cream man score at least 30 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173506612	No	BUY	73	98¢	$71	0x61b277…
08-09 14:31:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	1,497	48¢	$719	0x14acc0…
08-09 14:29:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	38	48¢	$18	0x410b70…
08-09 14:16:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	464	48¢	$223	0x334f99…
08-06 15:30:33	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xb12fe7…
08-06 14:49:03	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	147	95¢	$139	0xdbf928…
08-02 01:57:08	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	155	74¢	$114	0xc736e2…
08-02 01:56:45	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	32	74¢	$23	0x5c59f5…
08-02 01:56:11	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	491	74¢	$363	0xbb27e6…
08-01 23:47:20	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x537513…
08-01 17:01:29	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt15 by july 31 20260629184429517	No	BUY	1,022	89¢	$914	0xa0d822…
08-01 15:39:20	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	1,000	20¢	$200	0x186bba…
08-01 04:09:17	us x cuba diplomatic meeting by july 31 20260616213226435	Yes	BUY	68	0¢	$0	0x5fbeb1…
07-31 22:47:32	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	408	100¢	$408	0x7b4a01…
07-31 22:09:29	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	550	100¢	$549	0xa736db…
07-31 22:05:45	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	1,042	100¢	$1,039	0xd2dc65…
07-31 19:33:38	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	1,380	0¢	$6	0x1e6287…
07-30 23:31:54	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	19	76¢	$14	0x37b767…
07-30 23:28:48	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	35	76¢	$27	0x7f9950…
07-30 23:21:45	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x90201c…
07-30 23:20:47	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	157	76¢	$119	0x928a2c…
07-30 23:20:26	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	1,009	76¢	$767	0x4b6cf6…
07-30 23:20:05	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	105	75¢	$79	0xe5c959…
07-30 23:17:24	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x1166d0…
07-30 23:17:21	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xa8774c…
07-30 19:06:42	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	2,000	85¢	$1,700	0xf3fcaf…
07-30 06:06:50	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	887	75¢	$665	0x2a6da5…
07-30 06:06:47	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	1,113	75¢	$835	0xc671d0…
07-30 03:53:39	setkamemd alexa iuri 2026 07 29	Iurcenco Iuri	SELL	400	87¢	$348	0x02a929…
07-30 03:53:15	setkamemd alexa iuri 2026 07 29	Iurcenco Iuri	BUY	400	78¢	$312	0x2345df…
07-30 03:40:03	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	1,000	95¢	$950	0x72515c…
07-29 21:58:59	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	1,000	80¢	$800	0x3de1e7…
07-28 19:23:41	swe2 hel nou 2026 07 28 corners team home 4pt5	Over	BUY	35	24¢	$8	0xb343c4…
07-28 19:23:35	swe2 hel nou 2026 07 28 corners team home 3pt5	Over	BUY	35	24¢	$8	0x8797dd…
07-28 19:23:26	swe2 hel nou 2026 07 28 corners team home 2pt5	Over	BUY	223	78¢	$173	0x7e801c…
07-28 19:23:13	swe2 hel nou 2026 07 28 corners first half total 3pt5	Over	BUY	223	78¢	$173	0x7a67cd…
07-28 15:53:32	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by december 31 2026 20260715004553752	Yes	BUY	919	99¢	$909	0x065d36…
07-28 15:52:50	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	No	BUY	2,467	98¢	$2,430	0xbe6219…
07-22 21:44:36	googl quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 22 2026 2pt89	Yes	BUY	198	99¢	$197	0xb78956…
07-22 21:41:00	googl quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 22 2026 2pt89	Yes	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0xc08cef…
07-20 16:01:10	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8,834	99¢	$8,746	0x8267a6…
07-20 16:01:04	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x10c054…
07-20 16:01:03	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x209f3b…
07-20 16:01:00	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xedba97…
07-20 16:01:00	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe5fe65…
07-20 16:01:00	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x224cc3…
07-20 16:01:00	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x090b4f…
07-20 16:00:57	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb9c4a3…
07-20 16:00:52	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x695533…
07-20 16:00:49	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10,000	99¢	$9,900	0x7451b4…
07-20 16:00:45	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x17e13a…
07-20 16:00:40	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	530	99¢	$525	0xba6d20…
07-20 12:57:24	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	13	59¢	$8	0xd17612…
07-20 12:57:24	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	341	59¢	$201	0x7b9ded…
07-20 12:50:39	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	354	56¢	$198	0xb83f45…
07-20 01:12:48	will anthropic remove paid plan access for fable 5 by july 31 2026 20260713185755112	No	BUY	1,143	90¢	$1,029	0x43891f…
07-20 00:47:07	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0xf8cd89…
07-20 00:47:07	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	9,979	99¢	$9,869	0x39de4f…
07-20 00:47:04	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x60b0a0…
07-19 20:29:25	will pentakill or penta be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915156	Yes	BUY	800	0¢	$4	0x9d3009…
07-18 17:49:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	688	41¢	$282	0x5d54cf…
07-18 15:17:37	r6siege wbg to 2026 07 18 game2	Team Orchid	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0x8199d2…
07-18 02:58:48	will anthropic remove paid plan access for fable 5 by july 31 2026 20260713185755112	No	BUY	365	93¢	$341	0x07ab8b…
07-17 23:21:46	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	688	28¢	$193	0x327281…
07-17 17:41:01	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956884	Yes	BUY	204	51¢	$104	0xf69e70…
07-17 17:36:21	will the announcers say legacy during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956890	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xd5902a…
07-17 17:35:22	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956884	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x2a5aa0…
07-17 17:32:54	will the announcers say legacy during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956890	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x8d1eae…
07-17 17:32:51	will the announcers say legacy during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956890	Yes	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0xc53b50…
07-17 16:49:12	will the announcers say bench or benches 7 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956887	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x0f0316…
07-17 16:47:40	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956884	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x695967…
07-17 16:41:51	will the announcers say tom cruise during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403328	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x72ad81…
07-17 16:40:57	will the announcers say legacy during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956890	Yes	SELL	15	54¢	$8	0x2a2bc3…
07-17 16:12:27	will the announcers say zlatan or ibrahimovic during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403314	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x05f211…
07-17 15:36:00	will the announcers say what a save during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956900	No	BUY	54	54¢	$29	0xda4042…
07-17 14:46:15	will the announcers say what a save during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956900	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd879a6…
07-17 14:43:34	will the announcers say what a save during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956900	No	BUY	63	54¢	$34	0x132a38…
07-17 14:23:37	will the announcers say shakira during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403318	No	BUY	479	28¢	$134	0x244002…
07-17 14:18:58	will the announcers say shakira during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403318	No	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x91b78e…
07-17 13:36:54	will the announcers say shakira during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403318	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$2	0x010b53…
07-17 13:35:36	will the announcers say zohran or mamdani during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403336	No	BUY	500	78¢	$390	0xef8de6…
07-17 13:02:37	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	No	BUY	194	26¢	$51	0xc16105…
07-17 12:48:52	will the announcers say ishowspeed during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403334	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xab9c2a…
07-17 12:37:30	will the announcers say zlatan or ibrahimovic during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403314	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x0426d4…
07-17 12:31:45	will the announcers say zlatan or ibrahimovic during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403314	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x74cdce…
07-17 12:26:28	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956884	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x382440…
07-17 12:25:25	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x8903ef…
07-17 12:24:33	will the announcers say shakira during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403318	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xacd9ce…
07-17 12:23:58	will the announcers say transition during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956891	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xd1fa4b…
07-17 12:11:58	will the announcers say legacy during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956890	Yes	SELL	19	54¢	$10	0x771cbc…
07-17 12:08:27	world cup finals final score even or odd 20260716181904984	Odd	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x8fa957…
07-17 12:01:40	will the announcers say zlatan or ibrahimovic during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403314	Yes	BUY	29	67¢	$20	0xd1c6fe…
07-17 11:41:06	will the announcers say shakira during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403318	Yes	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0xef22a5…
07-17 11:28:54	will the announcers say tom cruise during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403328	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xc483ed…
07-17 11:26:09	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403313	No	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x36e9de…
07-17 11:24:03	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403313	No	SELL	110	10¢	$11	0xf52300…
07-17 11:21:15	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403313	No	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0xaacb97…
07-17 11:20:21	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403313	No	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xd9fc60…