Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?
open
Total volume
$1,010
$4,908 in 24h
Trades
32
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$3,373
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 02:37
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $50 | $50 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | — | $113 | $113 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $45 | $642 | $597 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | — | $106 | $106 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 6 | $22 | $29 | $8 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $146 | $146 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $80 | $80 |
| unranked | 3 | $23 | $443 | $420 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Official-Newsletter 0x54f0…225e | No | +500 | $443 | $443 | 1 | 05-12 18:27 |
| polymarketer1 0xb368…9734 | Yes | +315 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-13 06:31 |
| Assured-Rider-Thorn 0x9f29…6a9b | Yes | +250 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-13 16:42 |
| Violent-Reference 0xbd30…685b | Yes | +201 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 15:23 |
| Joyful-Glutamate 0xe9c7…147a | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 05-13 02:12 |
| Defiant-Million 0xc250…8d6e | No | +54 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 05-13 01:43 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +36 | $34 | $34 | 3 | 05-13 22:12 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-13 01:02 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-13 22:12 |
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-14 01:04 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +23 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 05-13 22:21 |
| Spanish-Linguistics 0xf7a6…aed7 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-12 12:42 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +17 | $16 | $16 | 4 | 05-13 21:48 |
| Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 05-13 22:12 |
| Wasteful-Monsoon-Farmer 0x3d7d…10fc | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 22:21 |
| Biodegradable-Teacher 0xbd08…ff3b | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 02:37 |
| Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 20:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x0a71…4a6b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 02:15 |
| Damp-Ligula 0x26d2…ed55 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 21:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 02:37:14 | Biodegradable-Teacher 0xbd08…ff3b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe21c8d… |
| 05-14 02:15:32 | (anonymous) 0x0a71…4a6b | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x45eaea… |
| 05-14 01:04:09 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0xa3db01… |
| 05-13 23:40:44 | Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | SELL | 146 | 92¢ | $135 | 0x1d111f… |
| 05-13 22:21:51 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 15 | 92¢ | $14 | 0x711113… |
| 05-13 22:21:45 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | SELL | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x6074b7… |
| 05-13 22:21:42 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 8 | 93¢ | $7 | 0x958711… |
| 05-13 22:21:42 | Wasteful-Monsoon-Farmer 0x3d7d…10fc | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0xbcaf38… |
| 05-13 22:12:48 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x70da3c… |
| 05-13 22:12:48 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x599dc1… |
| 05-13 22:12:48 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x7beaeb… |
| 05-13 22:03:23 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x3bfffa… |
| 05-13 22:03:23 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x4d6cdc… |
| 05-13 21:48:57 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xf3d1cd… |
| 05-13 21:05:54 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xb06b00… |
| 05-13 21:03:09 | Damp-Ligula 0x26d2…ed55 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x8098c3… |
| 05-13 20:32:25 | Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x2bb123… |
| 05-13 18:38:10 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x3bdf07… |
| 05-13 16:42:38 | Assured-Rider-Thorn 0x9f29…6a9b | Yes | BUY | 250 | 5¢ | $12 | 0x3a8f34… |
| 05-13 15:23:37 | Violent-Reference 0xbd30…685b | Yes | BUY | 201 | 4¢ | $9 | 0x634b84… |
| 05-13 06:31:30 | polymarketer1 0xb368…9734 | Yes | BUY | 315 | 7¢ | $23 | 0x9ad883… |
| 05-13 06:31:30 | (anonymous) 0x7bb0…8a46 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xecc747… |
| 05-13 02:12:25 | Joyful-Glutamate 0xe9c7…147a | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x80063d… |
| 05-13 01:43:34 | Defiant-Million 0xc250…8d6e | No | BUY | 54 | 96¢ | $52 | 0x5935de… |
| 05-13 01:02:39 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0xe29dcf… |
| 05-12 21:41:45 | Ill-Respect 0xf629…bda0 | Yes | SELL | 110 | 5¢ | $6 | 0xf9b654… |
| 05-12 19:07:26 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x60b4eb… |
| 05-12 19:07:15 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xd94ced… |
| 05-12 19:06:46 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $18 | 0x2944aa… |
| 05-12 18:27:30 | Official-Newsletter 0x54f0…225e | No | BUY | 500 | 89¢ | $443 | 0xfbcf01… |
| 05-12 18:27:30 | (anonymous) 0x7bb0…8a46 | No | SELL | 11 | 86¢ | $9 | 0xeac4cc… |
| 05-12 12:42:57 | Spanish-Linguistics 0xf7a6…aed7 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xe05d60… |