Wasteful-Monsoon-Farmer 0x3d7d0b…6510fc
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$13.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.26K
Hit rate
80.2%
Resolved
7,200
Trades
24,757
lifetime
Volume
$1.06M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$32.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-17
last 10-28 11:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 194 days
Categories
Other
84% 73% +$11,792
Politics
8% 83% +$918
Sports
8% 88% +$1,341
Crypto
1% 67% +$118
Tech
0% 65% -$816
Pop-Culture
0% 88% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 323 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,937 $1,917 100¢ $3.9K +$2,000 10-27 20:00
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,021 $2,810 99¢ $3.0K +$180 10-28 07:38
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,005 $2,718 98¢ $3.0K +$242 10-28 07:38
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,900 $2,884 100¢ $2.9K +$13 10-28 07:38
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +1,942 $1,299 96¢ $1.9K +$565 10-15 12:30
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +2,740 $1,699 68¢ $1.8K +$150 10-20 23:38
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +1,259 $1,251 100¢ $1.3K +$3 09-30 12:31
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +933 $925 99¢ $925 +$1 10-21 09:58
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +2,741 $1,014 32¢ $891 -$123 10-20 23:38
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +909 $897 98¢ $890 -$7 09-27 00:14
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +909 $894 97¢ $884 -$10 09-27 00:14
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +909 $889 96¢ $870 -$19 09-27 00:14
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +933 $859 92¢ $863 +$4 10-21 09:58
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +837 $828 100¢ $836 +$8 09-27 00:14
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +837 $828 100¢ $835 +$7 09-27 00:14
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +932 $671 74¢ $685 +$14 10-21 09:58
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +684 $661 96¢ $658 -$3 09-27 00:14
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +684 $629 92¢ $633 +$3 09-27 00:14
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +521 $518 100¢ $520 +$2 10-23 06:13
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +603 $285 85¢ $510 +$225 10-28 01:01
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +490 $489 100¢ $489 +$1 09-27 00:14
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +450 $447 100¢ $450 +$2 09-27 00:14
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +450 $448 100¢ $449 +$1 09-27 00:14
Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +450 $448 100¢ $449 +$1 09-27 00:14
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +450 $449 100¢ $449 +$1 09-27 00:14
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +450 $448 100¢ $449 +$1 09-27 00:14
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +450 $448 100¢ $448 +$0 09-27 00:14
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +450 $447 99¢ $448 +$0 09-27 00:14
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +450 $449 99¢ $448 -$1 09-27 00:14
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +450 $446 99¢ $446 $0 09-27 00:14