Wasteful-Monsoon-Farmer 0x3d7d0b…6510fc
new 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$8
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
84.1%
Resolved (30d)
8
Trades (30d)
79
79 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$1.28K
$1.28K lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$643
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 12:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
78% 50% +$8
Politics
22% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on May 6? No +40 $34 100¢ $40 +$6 05-06 05:00
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 6? No +40 $39 100¢ $40 +$1 05-06 00:49
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on May 6? No +40 $40 100¢ $40 +$0 05-06 05:00
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on May 6? No +40 $40 100¢ $40 +$0 05-06 05:00
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 6? No +40 $40 100¢ $40 +$0 05-06 00:49
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on May 6? No +40 $38 100¢ $40 +$2 05-06 05:00
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia? No +28 $28 100¢ $28 $-0 05-06 12:32
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country? No +28 $28 100¢ $28 $-0 05-06 12:32
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia? No +28 $28 100¢ $28 $-0 05-06 12:32
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE? No +28 $28 100¢ $28 $-0 05-06 12:32
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country? No +28 $28 100¢ $28 $-0 05-06 12:32
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? No +38 $13 66¢ $25 +$12 05-06 08:09
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? No +54 $18 41¢ $22 +$4 05-06 12:32
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 6? No +20 $14 100¢ $20 +$6 05-06 05:20
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more? No +20 $19 100¢ $20 +$1 05-06 01:14
Will Kang Seung-kyu win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 05-06 05:24
Will Chung Jin-suk win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 $-0 05-06 05:24
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 50% and 60%? No +20 $12 99¢ $20 +$8 05-06 01:14
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 6? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 $-0 05-06 05:20
Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election? No +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$1 05-06 05:24
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 6? No +20 $20 98¢ $20 $-0 05-06 05:20
Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election? No +20 $20 97¢ $19 $-0 05-06 05:24
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on May 6? No +20 $18 90¢ $18 $-0 05-06 05:20
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? No +40 $24 34¢ $14 $-10 05-06 08:09
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 6? No +20 $9 16¢ $3 $-6 05-06 05:20
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 6? Yes -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-1 05-06 04:49
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election? No +20 $1 6¢ $1 $-0 05-06 05:24
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 6? Yes -2 $-1 31¢ $-1 $-0 05-06 04:04
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 40% and 50%? Yes -20 $-0 1¢ $-0 $-0 05-06 01:13
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on May 6? Yes -124 $-0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-06 01:03