Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd557e…c9f905
whale hot 12W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$21.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.94K
Hit rate
91.9%
Resolved
58,789
Trades
269,673
lifetime
Volume
$5.50M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$61.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 10-29 09:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 188 days
Categories
Other
75% 88% +$20,572
Politics
14% 86% +$1,978
Sports
8% 90% +$740
Tech
2% 79% -$2,041
Crypto
1% 85% +$34
Pop-Culture
0% 92% +$368
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2853 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +3,877 $3,571 97¢ $3.8K +$203 10-04 05:33
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +3,272 $2,743 100¢ $3.3K +$524 08-26 23:29
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +3,357 $3,349 97¢ $3.2K -$103 10-15 22:29
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,165 $2,453 100¢ $3.2K +$703 10-27 21:30
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +2,803 $2,459 99¢ $2.8K +$323 10-01 15:22
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +2,715 $2,674 100¢ $2.7K +$37 09-05 02:50
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,678 $2,675 100¢ $2.7K -$1 09-20 03:27
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,661 $2,648 98¢ $2.6K -$30 09-22 18:06
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +2,585 $2,484 100¢ $2.6K +$97 09-09 14:02
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,498 $1,660 86¢ $2.1K +$476 10-26 19:39
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,118 $2,116 100¢ $2.1K -$1 09-20 18:39
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +2,077 $2,060 100¢ $2.1K +$14 10-05 16:20
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +2,077 $2,025 99¢ $2.1K +$34 10-27 11:08
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +1,870 $1,747 100¢ $1.9K +$122 10-11 10:00
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,866 $1,854 100¢ $1.9K +$9 09-11 23:07
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +1,847 $1,656 98¢ $1.8K +$147 10-27 05:31
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,822 $1,765 98¢ $1.8K +$14 10-27 19:52
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +1,777 $911 100¢ $1.8K +$859 10-27 19:28
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,554 $1,475 99¢ $1.5K +$61 10-27 20:36
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,535 $1,507 99¢ $1.5K +$13 10-22 21:29
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +1,494 $1,454 100¢ $1.5K +$37 10-01 15:13
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +1,450 $1,425 100¢ $1.4K +$21 10-09 07:38
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +1,450 $1,444 100¢ $1.4K +$1 10-27 15:40
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,444 $1,441 100¢ $1.4K +$1 08-27 12:00
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,414 $1,411 100¢ $1.4K +$1 08-27 12:00
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +1,455 $1,186 94¢ $1.4K +$183 07-22 18:19
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,372 $1,365 100¢ $1.4K +$2 10-28 21:01
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +1,340 $1,132 99¢ $1.3K +$191 10-21 15:23
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,324 $1,322 100¢ $1.3K $0 08-27 12:00
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,324 $1,313 100¢ $1.3K +$5 09-03 06:19