Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd557e…c9f905
whale hot 12W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$21.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.21K
Hit rate
91.9%
Resolved
59,170
Trades
270,699
lifetime
Volume
$5.53M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$61.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 10-31 00:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 190 days
Categories
Other
75% 88% +$20,722
Politics
14% 86% +$2,045
Sports
8% 90% +$741
Tech
2% 79% -$2,041
Crypto
1% 85% +$10
Pop-Culture
0% 92% +$368
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2853 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +3,877 $3,571 98¢ $3.8K +$230 10-04 05:33
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +3,272 $2,743 100¢ $3.3K +$524 08-26 23:29
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +3,357 $3,349 97¢ $3.2K -$101 10-15 22:29
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,165 $2,453 100¢ $3.2K +$705 10-27 21:30
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +2,803 $2,459 99¢ $2.8K +$313 10-01 15:22
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +2,715 $2,674 100¢ $2.7K +$37 09-05 02:50
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,678 $2,675 100¢ $2.7K -$1 09-20 03:27
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,661 $2,648 99¢ $2.6K -$22 09-22 18:06
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +2,585 $2,484 100¢ $2.6K +$89 09-09 14:02
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,498 $1,660 86¢ $2.2K +$501 10-26 19:39
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,118 $2,116 100¢ $2.1K -$1 09-20 18:39
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +2,077 $2,060 100¢ $2.1K +$14 10-05 16:20
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +2,077 $2,025 100¢ $2.1K +$45 10-27 11:08
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +1,870 $1,747 100¢ $1.9K +$122 10-11 10:00
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,866 $1,854 100¢ $1.9K +$9 09-11 23:07
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +1,847 $1,656 97¢ $1.8K +$134 10-27 05:31
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +1,777 $911 100¢ $1.8K +$864 10-27 19:28
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,822 $1,765 97¢ $1.8K -$6 10-27 19:52
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,719 $1,636 100¢ $1.7K +$78 10-29 17:54
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +1,665 $1,640 100¢ $1.7K +$21 10-30 18:45
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,535 $1,507 99¢ $1.5K +$13 10-22 21:29
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +1,494 $1,454 100¢ $1.5K +$38 10-01 15:13
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +1,450 $1,444 100¢ $1.4K +$4 10-27 15:40
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,444 $1,441 99¢ $1.4K -$7 08-27 12:00
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,414 $1,411 100¢ $1.4K -$1 08-27 12:00
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,372 $1,365 100¢ $1.4K +$2 10-28 21:01
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No — +1,355 $1,352 100¢ $1.4K +$1 09-10 01:45
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +1,340 $1,132 99¢ $1.3K +$199 10-21 15:23
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,332 $1,047 100¢ $1.3K +$278 10-27 20:06
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +1,455 $1,186 91¢ $1.3K +$132 07-22 18:19