Realized P&L
+$1.00K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.12K
Hit rate
57.1%
Resolved
79
Trades
18,080
lifetime
Volume
$1.86M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$103
Open exposure
$13.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 10:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Politics
61% 86% +$102
Other
27% 76% +$926
Crypto
6% 33% $-36
Tech
3% 100% +$17
Sports
3% 60% $-6
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 257 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +5,663 $3,287 94¢ $5.3K +$2,042 06-28 23:27
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +2,306 $1,462 73¢ $1.7K +$222 06-29 18:31
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +2,019 $1,398 72¢ $1.5K +$66 06-25 21:17
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1,167 $815 74¢ $858 +$43 06-25 20:57
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +753 $480 100¢ $751 +$270 06-14 16:31
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No +672 $390 77¢ $520 +$129 06-05 14:41
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +727 $456 70¢ $512 +$56 06-06 19:02
Spain snap election called in 2026? No -600 $-402 58¢ $-348 +$54 06-04 10:43
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +5,663 $5,291 $334 $-4,957 06-29 12:15
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? No +431 $287 74¢ $321 +$34 06-26 03:43
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027? Yes -546 $-242 48¢ $-259 $-17 06-10 00:55
US recession by end of 2026? No -267 $-235 88¢ $-237 $-1 06-29 13:46
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +400 $208 58¢ $234 +$26 06-22 19:56
Another Elon baby by June 30? No -129 $-128 99¢ $-128 +$0 06-30 01:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +542 $42 18¢ $95 +$52 06-15 18:37
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? No +296 $12 31¢ $91 +$78 06-30 00:57
MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch? No -200 $-71 31¢ $-61 +$10 06-30 01:15
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +70 $48 72¢ $50 +$2 06-25 20:57
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +15,832 $841 $40 $-802 06-30 03:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +240 $-559 14¢ $32 +$591 06-19 21:24
Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026? No -39 $-30 82¢ $-32 $-2 06-13 07:25
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026? No +38 $29 80¢ $31 +$2 05-29 08:52
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June? No -17 $-16 100¢ $-17 $-1 06-05 00:06
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +18 $13 82¢ $15 +$1 06-27 23:04
UK Recession in 2026? No +13 $8 72¢ $9 +$2 06-05 03:05
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? Yes +400 $24 $6 $-18 06-21 16:34
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $-0 06-06 00:14
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No +5 $4 90¢ $4 $-0 06-05 16:08
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No +5 $4 87¢ $4 $-0 06-05 22:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -2 $-2 82¢ $-2 +$0 06-15 18:37