Realized P&L
+$1.00K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.52K
Hit rate
57.1%
Resolved
79
Trades
20,440
lifetime
Volume
$2.17M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$106
Open exposure
$10.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 23:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Politics
60% 86% +$102
Other
28% 76% +$926
Crypto
5% 33% $-36
Sports
3% 60% $-6
Tech
3% 100% +$17
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 239 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +2,306 $1,462 76¢ $1.8K +$303 06-29 18:31
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +2,019 $1,398 76¢ $1.5K +$147 06-25 21:17
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1,167 $815 80¢ $928 +$113 06-25 20:57
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? No +754 $586 88¢ $667 +$81 07-06 06:51
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No +730 $439 88¢ $640 +$201 07-02 16:05
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +727 $456 82¢ $592 +$136 06-06 19:02
Spain snap election called in 2026? No +728 $443 76¢ $549 +$106 07-16 16:24
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026? No +602 $281 72¢ $437 +$156 07-12 21:01
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? No +492 $332 76¢ $374 +$42 07-15 00:54
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +440 $330 76¢ $332 +$2 07-14 14:56
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +403 $300 78¢ $312 +$12 07-08 02:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +542 $42 44¢ $241 +$199 06-15 18:37
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +400 $208 60¢ $238 +$30 06-22 19:56
US recession by end of 2026? No -267 $-235 88¢ $-235 +$0 06-29 13:46
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027? Yes -546 $-242 40¢ $-216 +$27 06-10 00:55
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? No +390 $85 47¢ $183 +$99 07-15 05:16
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026? Yes +602 $138 28¢ $166 +$28 07-09 20:43
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +1,883 $99 $153 +$54 07-05 02:04
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -309 $-113 39¢ $-121 $-8 07-10 22:23
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +440 $56 24¢ $108 +$52 07-16 07:45
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? No +212 $-9 36¢ $76 +$86 07-05 05:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +240 $-559 26¢ $64 +$622 06-19 21:24
MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch? No -200 $-71 30¢ $-59 +$12 06-30 01:15
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +70 $48 80¢ $56 +$8 06-25 20:57
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +60 $55 92¢ $55 +$0 07-05 02:05
Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026? No -39 $-30 86¢ $-34 $-3 06-13 07:25
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +39 $22 80¢ $31 +$9 07-13 00:17
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026? No +38 $29 78¢ $30 +$1 05-29 08:52
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -20 $-20 80¢ $-16 +$4 07-15 12:13
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +116 $13 12¢ $15 +$2 07-12 00:01