Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9a5…b9197f
whale hot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$116.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$20.7K
Hit rate
83.3%
Resolved
5,064
Trades
32,325
lifetime
Volume
$3.91M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$121
Open exposure
$130.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 05:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 300 days
Categories
Politics
55% 78% +$33,239
Other
35% 77% +$58,595
Tech
4% 75% +$7,462
Crypto
3% 72% +$12,602
Sports
3% 60% +$4,412
Pop-Culture
0% 86% +$293
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 169 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? No +12,726 $10,286 84¢ $10.8K +$467 10-27 15:35
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +10,659 $7,654 91¢ $9.7K +$2,045 10-28 04:01
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? Yes +12,348 $6,498 64¢ $8.0K +$1,467 10-19 22:40
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +8,460 $5,285 88¢ $7.4K +$2,160 09-24 23:50
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +9,151 $6,620 78¢ $7.2K +$564 10-19 13:23
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +8,113 $5,635 80¢ $6.5K +$815 10-09 00:43
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? No +11,756 $5,965 52¢ $6.1K +$90 10-03 19:11
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +6,254 $3,166 94¢ $5.9K +$2,744 09-13 09:49
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? No +6,141 $5,319 96¢ $5.9K +$555 10-15 21:30
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? Yes +11,756 $4,570 48¢ $5.7K +$1,132 10-16 13:22
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +7,368 $4,030 66¢ $4.9K +$869 10-16 09:12
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5,000 $4,550 92¢ $4.6K +$75 10-10 18:21
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? No +12,348 $4,742 36¢ $4.4K -$358 10-17 12:42
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No — +4,088 $3,537 91¢ $3.7K +$183 10-20 15:27
US recession by end of 2026? No +3,380 $2,278 94¢ $3.2K +$916 10-20 16:28
will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639 No +3,475 $2,093 88¢ $3.0K +$948 08-18 22:35
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +4,260 $2,741 70¢ $3.0K +$262 10-02 18:06
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +3,255 $2,182 88¢ $2.8K +$666 09-29 02:08
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2,793 $2,645 96¢ $2.7K +$36 10-19 12:44
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +3,332 $2,106 74¢ $2.5K +$376 10-23 00:29
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +7,368 $2,429 34¢ $2.5K +$39 10-16 01:30
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +2,704 $1,586 88¢ $2.4K +$793 09-29 20:01
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,353 $2,301 100¢ $2.4K +$50 10-27 23:45
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +3,453 $1,904 68¢ $2.3K +$427 10-28 09:36
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +3,172 $2,047 72¢ $2.3K +$237 10-24 16:01
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +2,550 $2,061 88¢ $2.2K +$170 09-29 22:24
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day? No +2,146 $1,421 100¢ $2.1K +$717 09-08 17:53
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +2,549 $697 84¢ $2.1K +$1,431 09-20 17:56
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +9,151 $1,442 22¢ $2.0K +$525 10-15 02:13
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +1,896 $1,561 98¢ $1.8K +$287 10-18 14:07