Defiant-Million — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,516

lifetime

Volume

$504.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$332

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 05:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 71% $-20

Other

6% — —

Politics

4% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026	20	$14.5K	7,807	7,807	+0	open	—	02-25 21:29
will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	7	$7.5K	5,149	3,000	+2,149	open	—	02-26 17:39
ethereum above 3000 on january 5	16	$6.7K	7,467	0	+7,467	open	—	01-04 19:19
will ethereum dip to 2800 in january 2026 835	2	$6.6K	8,412	0	+8,412	open	—	01-15 03:24
bitcoin above 88k on january 5	3	$6.4K	7,193	0	+7,193	open	—	01-04 19:21
will ethereum dip to 2600 in january 2026 489	5	$5.3K	6,085	0	+6,085	open	—	01-12 00:56
will ethereum dip to 1600 in march 2026	2	$5.1K	3,040	3,040	+0	open	—	03-30 03:04
will ethereum dip to 1700 february 16 22	4	$4.0K	4,421	0	+4,421	open	—	02-19 00:19
ethereum above 1900 on march 7	1	$3.9K	4,700	0	+4,700	open	—	03-06 17:42
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-23 22:26
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by march 13 158 957	3	$3.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-12 04:01
bitcoin above 64k on march 31	3	$3.7K	1,938	1,934	+3	open	—	03-31 18:52
will ethereum dip to 1900 april 6 12	2	$3.7K	2,000	1,980	+20	open	—	04-11 18:55
will bitcoin dip to 64k april 6 12	5	$3.7K	3,000	1,200	+1,800	open	—	04-12 05:02
ethereum above 1900 on february 28	2	$3.4K	4,169	0	+4,169	open	—	02-26 17:40
ethereum above 2900 on january 4	3	$3.4K	3,925	0	+3,925	open	—	01-01 21:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	2	$3.0K	3,490	0	+3,490	open	—	05-28 03:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	5	$3.0K	3,509	0	+3,509	open	—	05-14 01:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 18-24?	2	$3.0K	3,000	500	+2,500	open	—	05-25 00:43
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	5	$2.8K	1,806	1,806	+0	open	—	03-16 06:18
Iran leadership change by March 13?	4	$2.8K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	03-16 04:09
will ethereum dip to 1300 in july 2026 715	4	$2.7K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	07-20 18:24
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	4	$2.7K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	04-01 06:35
will ethereum dip to 1900 march 2 8	2	$2.7K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	03-04 21:05
will ethereum dip to 1700 february 9 15	2	$2.7K	2,900	0	+2,900	open	—	02-09 20:42
will ethereum dip to 1400 in july 2026 711 181	2	$2.6K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	07-22 02:18
will ethereum dip to 1800 march 2 8	1	$2.6K	3,017	0	+3,017	open	—	03-02 16:54
ethereum above 2000 on march 6	4	$2.5K	2,888	0	+2,888	open	—	03-05 17:08
ethereum above 2900 on january 17	2	$2.5K	2,735	0	+2,735	open	—	01-13 00:46
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	16	$2.4K	3,131	0	+3,131	open	—	05-24 05:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 05:56:34	will meta dip to 560 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	113	85¢	$96	0x48cc2f…
08-10 05:56:16	will meta reach 630 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	108	80¢	$86	0x5e57c2…
08-10 05:52:54	will mu dip to 780 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	190	70¢	$133	0x30a637…
08-10 05:52:39	will mu dip to 750 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	74	86¢	$64	0x84ea45…
08-10 05:52:00	will msft dip to 480 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	160	66¢	$106	0x54f09b…
08-10 05:51:45	will msft dip to 472 50 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	109	86¢	$94	0xe49cb1…
08-08 06:50:54	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x59b54c…
08-06 01:29:06	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	193	94¢	$182	0x2afdeb…
08-06 01:25:47	will ethereum dip to 1800 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x081fa5…
08-04 02:00:29	will bitcoin dip to 60k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x8ccee5…
08-04 01:59:59	will ethereum dip to 1700 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	120	89¢	$107	0x0c6c06…
08-04 01:59:30	will msft dip to 450 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x811ece…
08-04 01:57:32	amd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 1pt61	Yes	BUY	369	95¢	$350	0xae0e2f…
08-04 01:55:41	will mu dip to 720 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	158	77¢	$122	0x2cc3fa…
08-04 01:55:26	will mu dip to 690 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	233	89¢	$208	0x655290…
08-04 01:54:45	will msft dip to 457 50 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	253	83¢	$210	0x788fc8…
07-30 14:07:33	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	245	93¢	$228	0x5ab141…
07-27 05:51:30	ethereum above 1900 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	38	75¢	$28	0x365f55…
07-27 05:48:57	will mu dip to 810 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	324	84¢	$272	0x4d6f9a…
07-27 05:48:25	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	490	75¢	$367	0x1f3dff…
07-26 22:35:00	will msft dip to 352 50 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	143	78¢	$112	0x7a2640…
07-26 22:34:34	will msft dip to 352 50 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	106	77¢	$82	0x0918ff…
07-26 22:33:54	msft quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 4pt21	Yes	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x08f50e…
07-26 22:33:48	msft quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 4pt21	Yes	BUY	29	91¢	$26	0x89b63a…
07-26 22:33:25	rddt quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 0pt97	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xf371bb…
07-26 22:32:03	will ethereum dip to 1800 in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	80	83¢	$67	0xfa84dc…
07-26 22:29:30	will mu dip to 840 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	216	66¢	$142	0xc593d3…
07-26 22:29:00	will mu dip to 810 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	105	83¢	$87	0x2d03a5…
07-26 22:28:06	will mu dip to 780 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	210	86¢	$181	0xe81265…
07-23 06:16:13	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	234	63¢	$148	0x27ad06…
07-23 06:15:42	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x4aff7d…
07-23 06:15:27	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	60	63¢	$38	0x55b49a…
07-23 06:14:54	will ethereum dip to 1800 in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	200	64¢	$127	0x0ddce1…
07-22 02:22:43	bitcoin above 66k on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	170	61¢	$104	0xa081a4…
07-22 02:21:51	bitcoin above 66k on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x6ced1e…
07-22 02:21:19	bitcoin above 64k on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x34b0de…
07-22 02:20:45	will ethereum dip to 1800 july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x68a7fa…
07-22 02:19:58	will bitcoin dip to 62k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0xca80f6…
07-22 02:19:16	will mu dip to 810 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	315	93¢	$293	0xccf1af…
07-22 02:18:07	will ethereum dip to 1400 in july 2026 711 181	No	SELL	1,500	99¢	$1,479	0xeee27b…
07-21 02:28:57	will rklb reach 78 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	61	86¢	$52	0x8649b0…
07-20 18:28:03	will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	No	BUY	500	82¢	$410	0x04ecb4…
07-20 18:27:33	will mu dip to 750 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0x270722…
07-20 18:27:13	will mu dip to 780 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	132	78¢	$103	0xff4eb8…
07-20 18:26:37	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	490	59¢	$290	0xdf6fd7…
07-20 18:24:46	will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	No	BUY	500	82¢	$410	0x5006b7…
07-20 18:24:25	will ethereum dip to 1300 in july 2026 715	No	SELL	1,300	99¢	$1,290	0x094492…
07-20 18:23:58	will ethereum dip to 1800 july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	80	69¢	$55	0xba023a…
07-20 18:23:16	will mu dip to 780 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	336	74¢	$248	0x673270…
07-20 06:12:25	will mu dip to 720 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	271	82¢	$222	0x2491d1…
07-20 01:35:54	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	300	47¢	$141	0x69679c…
07-20 01:35:22	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x3d77be…
07-19 21:28:49	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xb0851e…
07-19 21:28:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	142	70¢	$100	0xf8ab5f…
07-15 05:46:23	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 15	No	BUY	105	91¢	$95	0x2fbd9d…
07-14 22:58:14	will ethereum dip to 1750 on july 14	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xee52a7…
07-14 22:57:25	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 14	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x951327…
07-14 22:55:49	will spy dip to 745 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xffc4b1…
07-14 22:53:14	ethereum above 1800 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x8941d1…
07-14 22:50:13	will mu dip to 870 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	34	83¢	$28	0x488faf…
07-14 22:49:43	will mu dip to 900 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	35	74¢	$26	0xf9a60e…
07-14 20:16:10	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	Spain	BUY	146	66¢	$96	0x76ef9d…
07-14 20:15:47	will ethereum dip to 1300 in july 2026 715	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xdf9079…
07-14 19:38:43	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	Spain	BUY	150	64¢	$97	0xe076b8…
07-14 19:38:19	will ethereum dip to 1300 in july 2026 715	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x8d700d…
07-13 18:27:11	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	446	83¢	$370	0x710492…
07-13 18:26:41	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	80	86¢	$69	0xc4f660…
07-13 18:26:19	will mu dip to 900 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	170	26¢	$44	0xe6392b…
07-13 18:25:40	will mu dip to 810 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	105	84¢	$88	0xb8e4f6…
07-13 06:26:59	will mu dip to 810 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	32	75¢	$24	0x9a3fac…
07-13 06:26:08	will mu dip to 810 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	144	74¢	$107	0x22f8f6…
07-13 06:25:10	will msft dip to 360 in july 2026	No	BUY	144	58¢	$83	0xb5f174…
07-13 06:23:55	will msft dip to 367 50 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	59	77¢	$45	0x29cf22…
07-11 14:44:44	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	399	62¢	$247	0x0967f0…
07-09 23:36:07	spy closes above 745 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x181797…
07-07 00:34:50	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	76	72¢	$55	0xba23f8…
07-07 00:34:23	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xc27271…
07-06 21:42:20	will ethereum dip to 1700 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	80	71¢	$57	0x1795d5…
07-06 21:41:59	will ethereum dip to 1500 in july 2026 446 668	No	BUY	300	83¢	$249	0x9ab019…
07-06 21:40:44	will ethereum dip to 1700 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x5c7b3f…
07-06 21:40:35	will ethereum dip to 1700 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	160	70¢	$113	0x0f1030…
07-06 21:40:11	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	500	86¢	$430	0x9a338f…
07-06 04:22:16	will ethereum dip to 1500 in july 2026	No	BUY	300	79¢	$237	0xdd1584…
07-06 04:22:07	will ethereum dip to 1500 in july 2026	No	BUY	500	79¢	$395	0x6681c1…
07-06 01:31:23	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	563	71¢	$400	0xe0be95…
07-05 06:42:43	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 5	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x3746cb…
07-05 06:42:19	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 5	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xae6a43…
07-05 06:42:02	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 5	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x8fef2a…
07-05 06:41:41	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x12835e…
07-05 06:41:13	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 5	No	BUY	23	60¢	$14	0x0a011f…
07-05 06:29:55	will msft dip to 345 in july 2026	No	BUY	748	76¢	$569	0x77b7ac…
07-05 06:29:35	will msft dip to 360 in july 2026	No	BUY	88	55¢	$48	0x636c16…
07-05 06:29:31	will msft dip to 360 in july 2026	No	BUY	88	54¢	$48	0x48bf53…
07-05 06:27:29	bitcoin above 62k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xe20b18…
07-02 19:38:26	will ethereum dip to 1400 in july 2026	No	BUY	1,500	78¢	$1,170	0x34e5e7…
07-02 19:37:38	ethereum above 1600 on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x785fd3…
07-02 19:36:22	will msft dip to 345 in july 2026	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x4433ed…
07-02 19:36:08	will msft dip to 360 in july 2026	No	BUY	141	58¢	$82	0xf90bcc…
07-02 05:26:43	ethereum above 1600 on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x065a10…
07-02 05:26:05	bitcoin up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xaa466f…