Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
open
Total volume
$44,258
$5,416 in 24h
Trades
1,723
Unique wallets
227
Liquidity
$334,442
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
1970-01-01
First seen
2026-04-29
last 10-27 00:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-17.3¢
(top1%: 13% YES on $18.9K
vs crowd: 30% YES on $33.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 89 | $5.3K | $21.5K | $16.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 53 | $2.8K | $1.7K | +$1.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 40 | $1.1K | $348 | +$790 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 45 | $820 | $34 | +$787 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 67 | $2.4K | $16.5K | $14.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 22 | $335 | $1.3K | $987 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $54 | $183 | $129 |
| Median | 7 | $136 | — | +$136 |
| Below median | 35 | $279 | $297 | $18 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 16 | $204 | $71 | +$134 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 29 | $955 | $2.2K | $1.2K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 38 | $5.4K | $3.1K | +$2.4K |
| unranked | 3 | $304 | — | +$304 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +7,885 | $6,452 | $6,452 | 119 | 05-14 13:13 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | +5,826 | $640 | $640 | 15 | 10-05 18:41 |
| Common-Nitrogen 0x68c2…1711 | Yes | +5,471 | -$658 | $884 | 41 | 09-28 22:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x1775…72a2 | Yes | +3,606 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 10-23 17:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed7…16b2 | Yes | +2,411 | $319 | $383 | 2 | 09-23 10:08 |
| Palatable-Argument 0x08c8…1da2 | Yes | +2,342 | $318 | $318 | 4 | 08-05 19:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | +1,816 | $194 | $194 | 27 | 10-26 13:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xe95e…23b0 | Yes | +1,651 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 10-26 03:00 |
| Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | +1,594 | $1,426 | $1,426 | 24 | 10-26 23:14 |
| Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | +1,470 | $5 | $621 | 10 | 09-28 22:09 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | +1,389 | $151 | $154 | 45 | 10-26 13:46 |
| Clear-Screenwriting 0x011f…1122 | Yes | +1,336 | $137 | $137 | 24 | 10-25 16:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x60b0…d37e | Yes | +1,231 | $149 | $149 | 11 | 10-21 14:30 |
| Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | Yes | +1,163 | $151 | $151 | 5 | 09-13 23:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xc301…66aa | Yes | +1,066 | $109 | $109 | 33 | 10-27 00:03 |
| Buoyant-Compromise 0x5d05…aee5 | Yes | +1,000 | $130 | $130 | 2 | 08-13 10:50 |
| Near-Familiar 0x6139…6b7a | No | +1,000 | $815 | $815 | 4 | 05-08 21:43 |
| Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | No | +955 | $820 | $2,537 | 23 | 10-26 03:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +936 | $837 | $837 | 12 | 10-26 13:49 |
| Immense-Stencil 0x02ae…bad5 | Yes | +920 | $107 | $107 | 13 | 09-26 04:39 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | +816 | $110 | $360 | 34 | 10-21 14:15 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +800 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-19 15:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xeb5f…c111 | Yes | +769 | $108 | $108 | 1 | 10-20 01:38 |
| Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | +763 | $618 | $618 | 2 | 05-10 16:55 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +760 | $652 | $652 | 5 | 10-25 23:39 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +753 | $677 | $677 | 7 | 10-26 13:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xbcdd…44f7 | Yes | +719 | $100 | $100 | 3 | 10-20 11:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf52…b944 | Yes | +667 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-06 20:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +655 | $586 | $586 | 23 | 10-27 00:12 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +618 | $539 | $539 | 17 | 10-22 10:06 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +574 | $516 | $516 | 5 | 10-25 23:41 |
| Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | +564 | $464 | $464 | 11 | 05-15 13:50 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | +545 | $22 | $77 | 10 | 08-19 20:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | +539 | $68 | $76 | 5 | 10-23 17:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | +539 | $473 | $825 | 5 | 10-23 14:45 |
| Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | Yes | +500 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 10-25 23:05 |
| Jubilant-Park 0xcbdf…6a49 | Yes | +489 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 09-14 16:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xd061…d5e4 | Yes | +400 | $44 | $44 | 12 | 10-25 05:43 |
| Rubbery-Policy 0x2cfe…e4de | Yes | +368 | $47 | $47 | 12 | 08-24 20:26 |
| Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | Yes | +347 | $30 | $30 | 7 | 10-27 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +329 | $296 | $296 | 2 | 10-26 11:20 |
| Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | +315 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 09-19 23:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xb36c…1077 | Yes | +300 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 08-19 20:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xb139…0ba0 | Yes | +287 | $34 | $34 | 11 | 10-26 03:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xb139…0ba0 | No | +287 | $255 | $255 | 8 | 10-26 03:00 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | No | +279 | $243 | $243 | 3 | 10-15 15:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | +233 | $205 | $249 | 14 | 10-01 17:21 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +230 | $201 | $201 | 4 | 10-26 03:00 |
| Blue-Gelatin 0x0f60…026a | No | +221 | $180 | $180 | 7 | 05-09 15:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xfbed…a665 | No | +204 | $180 | $180 | 1 | 10-26 03:00 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +199 | $173 | $173 | 7 | 10-27 00:14 |
| Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | +178 | $158 | $158 | 9 | 10-26 13:49 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +165 | $142 | $142 | 4 | 10-26 11:20 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +165 | $136 | $728 | 22 | 10-26 03:20 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +160 | $141 | $141 | 4 | 10-13 14:45 |
| Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | +117 | $103 | $103 | 1 | 08-10 17:00 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +115 | $102 | $102 | 2 | 10-25 07:56 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +107 | $92 | $92 | 9 | 08-11 16:28 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +95 | $85 | $85 | 4 | 10-25 13:33 |
| Classic-Loggia 0x8b8b…2512 | No | +92 | $82 | $82 | 5 | 10-26 03:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 00:14:21 | Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x64bd5f… |
| 10-27 00:14:21 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x64bd5f… |
| 10-27 00:14:12 | Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | Yes | BUY | 4 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xb4629c… |
| 10-27 00:14:12 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 4 | 90¢ | $3 | 0xb4629c… |
| 10-27 00:12:02 | Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x8c695e… |
| 10-27 00:12:02 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0x8c695e… |
| 10-27 00:12:02 | Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x63e43e… |
| 10-27 00:12:02 | Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x4f8ff7… |
| 10-27 00:12:02 | Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x4f8ff7… |
| 10-27 00:12:02 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x63e43e… |
| 10-27 00:03:27 | (anonymous) 0xc301…66aa | Yes | BUY | 70 | 10¢ | $7 | 0x73274b… |
| 10-27 00:03:27 | Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | BUY | 70 | 90¢ | $63 | 0x73274b… |
| 10-26 23:14:15 | (anonymous) 0xc301…66aa | Yes | BUY | 152 | 10¢ | $15 | 0xac22be… |
| 10-26 23:14:15 | Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | BUY | 152 | 90¢ | $137 | 0xac22be… |
| 10-26 14:10:39 | Proud-Infusion 0x7d24…a93f | Yes | SELL | 100 | 11¢ | $11 | 0x85622d… |
| 10-26 14:10:39 | Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 11¢ | $11 | 0x85622d… |
| 10-26 13:51:47 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x15e9e3… |
| 10-26 13:51:47 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0x15e9e3… |
| 10-26 13:51:21 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x59bd36… |
| 10-26 13:51:21 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x59bd36… |
| 10-26 13:51:20 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xa13774… |
| 10-26 13:51:20 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xa13774… |
| 10-26 13:49:27 | Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x0bfc34… |
| 10-26 13:49:27 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x0bfc34… |
| 10-26 13:49:17 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x6c3a22… |
| 10-26 13:49:17 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x150855… |
| 10-26 13:49:17 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x6c3a22… |
| 10-26 13:49:17 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0x150855… |
| 10-26 13:49:15 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0x6b3fa4… |
| 10-26 13:49:15 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xdfb0b8… |
| 10-26 13:49:15 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x6b3fa4… |
| 10-26 13:49:15 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xd888e8… |
| 10-26 13:49:15 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xdfb0b8… |
| 10-26 13:49:15 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xd888e8… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x73e12b… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 47 | 90¢ | $42 | 0xdc2076… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x145e6c… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 47 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xdc2076… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 155 | 90¢ | $140 | 0x2e9354… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x73e12b… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x145e6c… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 155 | 10¢ | $16 | 0x2e9354… |
| 10-26 13:49:12 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 143 | 10¢ | $14 | 0xfb5d6b… |
| 10-26 13:49:12 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 143 | 90¢ | $129 | 0xfb5d6b… |
| 10-26 13:49:12 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 155 | 10¢ | $16 | 0xc62d5a… |
| 10-26 13:49:12 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 155 | 90¢ | $140 | 0xc62d5a… |
| 10-26 13:46:47 | Mature-Gherkin 0x1655…08e1 | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x61576d… |
| 10-26 13:46:47 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x61576d… |
| 10-26 13:46:47 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 80 | 90¢ | $72 | 0x64fa4c… |
| 10-26 13:46:47 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 43 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x64fa4c… |
| 10-26 13:46:47 | Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | BUY | 14 | 90¢ | $13 | 0x7ce5c6… |
| 10-26 13:46:47 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | BUY | 37 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x64fa4c… |
| 10-26 13:46:47 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 14 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x7ce5c6… |
| 10-26 13:46:45 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 220 | 90¢ | $198 | 0x560158… |
| 10-26 13:46:45 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 69 | 10¢ | $7 | 0x560158… |
| 10-26 13:46:45 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | BUY | 151 | 10¢ | $15 | 0x560158… |
| 10-26 13:02:02 | Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | BUY | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0x1c1b7e… |
| 10-26 13:02:02 | Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xa1599e… |
| 10-26 13:02:02 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x1c1b7e… |
| 10-26 13:02:02 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xa1599e… |
| 10-26 13:02:00 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x909141… |
| 10-26 13:02:00 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 12 | 90¢ | $11 | 0x909141… |
| 10-26 11:20:32 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 51 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x79941f… |
| 10-26 11:20:32 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 44 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xae54a8… |
| 10-26 11:20:32 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 51 | 90¢ | $46 | 0x79941f… |
| 10-26 11:20:32 | (anonymous) 0x9e48…45c2 | No | BUY | 44 | 90¢ | $40 | 0xae54a8… |
| 10-26 11:20:32 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 51 | 90¢ | $46 | 0x874d64… |
| 10-26 11:20:32 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x3298fe… |
| 10-26 11:20:32 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 51 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x874d64… |
| 10-26 11:20:32 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0x3298fe… |
| 10-26 11:20:24 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 166 | 10¢ | $17 | 0x2b14fd… |
| 10-26 11:20:24 | Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | BUY | 14 | 90¢ | $13 | 0xc94d36… |
| 10-26 11:20:24 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 70 | 10¢ | $7 | 0x791c6d… |
| 10-26 11:20:24 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 70 | 90¢ | $63 | 0x791c6d… |
| 10-26 11:20:24 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 14 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xc94d36… |
| 10-26 11:20:24 | Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x5ce0bb… |
| 10-26 11:20:24 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | BUY | 166 | 90¢ | $149 | 0x2b14fd… |
| 10-26 11:20:24 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x2f1a2e… |
| 10-26 11:20:24 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x5ce0bb… |
| 10-26 11:20:24 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0x2f1a2e… |
| 10-26 03:20:35 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 31 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x28c712… |
| 10-26 03:20:35 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0xe5bc5d… |
| 10-26 03:20:35 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 26 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x1afbc8… |
| 10-26 03:20:35 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | BUY | 19 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x63cad7… |
| 10-26 03:20:35 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x63cad7… |
| 10-26 03:20:35 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | BUY | 78 | 10¢ | $8 | 0x1afbc8… |
| 10-26 03:20:35 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x63cad7… |
| 10-26 03:20:35 | (anonymous) 0x71a3…3fb4 | No | BUY | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0xe5bc5d… |
| 10-26 03:20:35 | Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | BUY | 105 | 90¢ | $94 | 0x1afbc8… |
| 10-26 03:20:35 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 31 | 90¢ | $28 | 0x28c712… |
| 10-26 03:00:12 | Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | BUY | 173 | 87¢ | $150 | 0x5532ac… |
| 10-26 03:00:12 | (anonymous) 0xe95e…23b0 | Yes | BUY | 1,651 | 12¢ | $200 | 0x5532ac… |
| 10-26 03:00:12 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 31 | 87¢ | $27 | 0x5532ac… |
| 10-26 03:00:12 | Pure-Eyeliner 0x1abc…45e7 | No | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0x5532ac… |
| 10-26 03:00:12 | Radiant-Nonbeliever 0xd717…3b85 | No | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0x5532ac… |
| 10-26 03:00:12 | Proud-Infusion 0x7d24…a93f | Yes | SELL | 343 | 12¢ | $41 | 0x5532ac… |
| 10-26 03:00:12 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 150 | 88¢ | $132 | 0x5532ac… |
| 10-26 03:00:12 | Comfortable-Sandwich 0x1f85…7b02 | No | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x5532ac… |
| 10-26 03:00:12 | (anonymous) 0xfbed…a665 | No | BUY | 204 | 88¢ | $180 | 0x5532ac… |
| 10-26 03:00:12 | Classic-Loggia 0x8b8b…2512 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x5532ac… |