Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
open
Total volume
$1,925
$1,795 in 24h
Trades
28
Unique wallets
7
Liquidity
$25,755
Latest YES mid
18¢
Latest NO mid
82¢
End date
1970-01-01
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 16:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $1.9K | $1.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $31 | $31 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $8 | $5 | +$2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| Median | 1 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $552 | $552 |
| unranked | 1 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +1,611 | $1,322 | $1,322 | 22 | 05-10 16:55 |
| Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | +682 | $552 | $552 | 1 | 05-10 16:55 |
| General-Corruption 0x3a86…dea8 | Yes | +40 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-09 15:49 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-10 16:55 |
| Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 06:27 |
| Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 16:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 16:55:57 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 31 | 81¢ | $25 | 0xa2d187… |
| 05-10 16:55:41 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 3 | 81¢ | $3 | 0x146abe… |
| 05-10 16:55:32 | Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | No | BUY | 7 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x77b49a… |
| 05-10 16:55:30 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 81¢ | $24 | 0xe977ba… |
| 05-10 16:55:30 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 101 | 81¢ | $81 | 0xb8a2f8… |
| 05-10 16:55:30 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 682 | 81¢ | $552 | 0xb56211… |
| 05-10 14:57:46 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 101 | 81¢ | $81 | 0xcf6552… |
| 05-10 14:22:23 | AnEggplant 0xc97d…732b | Yes | SELL | 35 | 19¢ | $7 | 0x56a837… |
| 05-10 06:27:36 | Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | BUY | 8 | 81¢ | $6 | 0x3f0886… |
| 05-09 18:31:27 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 101 | 81¢ | $81 | 0xa876a3… |
| 05-09 15:54:48 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 101 | 82¢ | $82 | 0xa9f3d3… |
| 05-09 15:54:11 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 101 | 82¢ | $82 | 0x22a4ad… |
| 05-09 15:52:42 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 101 | 81¢ | $81 | 0x1933e9… |
| 05-09 15:52:42 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 101 | 81¢ | $81 | 0xf69c95… |
| 05-09 15:52:33 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 101 | 81¢ | $81 | 0xe246d9… |
| 05-09 15:49:17 | General-Corruption 0x3a86…dea8 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 19¢ | $8 | 0x3ccd17… |
| 05-09 15:49:03 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 91 | 81¢ | $74 | 0x3489f9… |
| 05-08 21:41:41 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 19 | 82¢ | $15 | 0x185e8a… |
| 05-08 20:36:44 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 92 | 84¢ | $78 | 0xb59932… |
| 05-08 20:36:33 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 29 | 84¢ | $24 | 0x9d1464… |
| 05-08 20:36:23 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 62 | 84¢ | $52 | 0x7712ec… |
| 05-08 20:36:11 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 101 | 84¢ | $84 | 0x8e4fd4… |
| 05-08 20:11:09 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 101 | 83¢ | $83 | 0x57f24b… |
| 05-08 20:09:28 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 46 | 82¢ | $38 | 0x5d360e… |
| 05-08 20:06:01 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 9 | 82¢ | $7 | 0xc525f8… |
| 05-08 10:59:32 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 98 | 83¢ | $82 | 0xb99724… |
| 05-08 10:39:37 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 29 | 83¢ | $24 | 0x41fca8… |
| 05-08 10:39:21 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 96 | 83¢ | $79 | 0x1ff1df… |