Buoyant-Compromise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

190

lifetime

Volume

$7.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-03 20:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

46% — —

Politics

37% — —

Sports

9% 0% $-21

Crypto

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	12	$2.3K	2,188	738	+1,450	open	—	04-28 03:04
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	7	$623	0	1,000	-1,000	open	—	03-04 03:51
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	1	$445	487	0	+487	open	—	05-16 05:31
will trump say maga or make america great again during the 2026 state of the union address 742	4	$417	315	192	+123	open	—	02-25 03:11
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$370	238	238	+0	open	—	03-16 23:44
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$227	497	497	+0	open	—	04-14 02:37
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$205	250	0	+250	open	—	06-11 04:37
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	6	$167	177	84	+93	open	—	04-13 02:18
will indiana win the 2026 college football national championship	10	$160	201	59	+142	open	—	01-20 03:44
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 31 2026 849 849 957 245	5	$138	221	221	+0	open	—	01-30 00:21
will trump say mr speaker during the 2026 state of the union address 379	4	$131	125	125	+0	open	—	02-25 03:24
will one person dissent the january fed decision	3	$129	289	0	+289	open	—	01-28 12:47
will trump say epstein during the 2026 state of the union address 269	2	$119	86	49	+37	open	—	02-25 04:20
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	4	$101	164	154	+10	open	—	04-18 21:32
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	2	$101	71	71	+0	open	—	01-28 05:49
btc updown 15m 1770338700	1	$100	370	0	+370	open	—	02-06 00:51
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$98	229	0	+229	open	—	05-30 00:43
ufc son sea1 2026 01 24	2	$96	58	58	+0	open	—	01-25 04:55
will trump say the state of the union is strong during the 2026 state of the union address 924	6	$94	200	200	+0	open	—	02-25 03:12
btc updown 15m 1771103700	4	$89	202	0	+202	open	—	02-14 21:14
btc updown 15m 1770268500	11	$89	400	307	+93	open	—	02-05 05:25
will the state of the union be 110 minutes or longer	2	$88	78	78	+0	open	—	02-25 03:52
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	5	$87	619	100	+519	open	—	01-30 01:53
will james talarico win the texas democratic senate primary by between 5 and 10pt00	3	$84	200	200	+0	open	—	03-04 02:11
will raja krishnamoorthi be the democratic nominee for senate in illinois	1	$78	139	0	+139	open	—	03-04 00:52
spx up or down on march 5 2026	4	$77	128	128	+0	open	—	03-05 16:53
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$73	100	200	-100	open	—	01-16 15:23
ufc jus3 pad 2026 01 24	1	$58	83	0	+83	open	—	01-25 04:55
btc updown 15m 1770270300	4	$56	200	0	+200	open	—	02-05 05:49
will the super bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds 745	3	$49	113	0	+113	open	—	02-08 17:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 20:37:22	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x347319…
06-25 12:47:07	will john healey be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533224	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x8a3647…
06-11 04:37:22	Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	250	82¢	$205	0xcb3537…
06-11 03:29:37	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0xbd7c90…
06-11 01:20:57	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x0809ac…
06-11 01:20:33	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x532e92…
06-11 01:16:13	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x5b70f5…
06-09 05:36:28	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x623a56…
05-30 00:43:26	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	229	43¢	$98	0x527935…
05-16 19:36:01	Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0xa8625e…
05-16 19:30:50	Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xb26b90…
05-16 19:26:01	Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xa4653d…
05-16 19:22:31	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xb6e07a…
05-16 05:31:18	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	487	92¢	$445	0x836350…
05-15 02:11:52	Paris: Katie Volynets vs Yulia Starodubtseva	Yulia Starodubtseva	BUY	70	56¢	$39	0x3fbbcb…
05-15 02:05:13	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x090057…
05-12 06:22:02	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	34	91¢	$31	0xdb6827…
05-12 06:02:37	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x6fa1a5…
05-12 04:27:20	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x9b5037…
05-12 04:24:07	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x448782…
05-06 02:17:52	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Lakers	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xa7c016…
04-28 03:04:44	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0xc359b6…
04-28 03:01:56	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x6aee7f…
04-18 21:32:26	Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	Yes	SELL	144	19¢	$27	0x7da24a…
04-18 21:32:00	Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xfd5236…
04-14 05:35:59	Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	Yes	BUY	88	44¢	$39	0x44d964…
04-14 05:24:51	Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	Yes	BUY	76	44¢	$33	0x0c6567…
04-14 05:23:53	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	48	44¢	$21	0x3c188b…
04-14 05:22:11	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	52	42¢	$22	0x712eaa…
04-14 02:37:37	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	497	16¢	$80	0xe9ca33…
04-13 02:18:21	Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	Yes	SELL	84	40¢	$34	0x1152bc…
04-12 23:09:47	Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xcf7ba2…
04-12 23:09:47	Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	Yes	BUY	41	76¢	$31	0xb800db…
04-12 23:09:47	Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	Yes	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x9958ec…
04-12 23:06:57	Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$0	0x506b80…
04-12 21:52:19	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	497	30¢	$148	0x5ce5f0…
04-12 21:44:23	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	202	99¢	$200	0xa44ec9…
04-12 21:44:23	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa1bc27…
04-12 21:44:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x04f946…
04-12 21:43:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa0e62d…
04-12 21:43:49	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x438d8c…
04-12 21:43:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb2fa04…
04-12 21:43:15	Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xb78a32…
04-12 21:42:23	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe09564…
04-12 21:41:47	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf41097…
04-12 21:41:23	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x78c41a…
04-12 21:27:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	201	99¢	$200	0xc66416…
04-12 19:09:07	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	Yes	SELL	70	1¢	$1	0x6fa24e…
04-11 02:05:49	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	Yes	BUY	70	23¢	$16	0x67a06e…
04-11 01:53:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	2,188	71¢	$1,553	0x10c7d4…
03-16 23:44:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	238	86¢	$205	0xfd2d44…
03-10 02:42:03	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	238	69¢	$165	0x1af37a…
03-05 16:53:59	spx up or down on march 5 2026	Up	SELL	128	10¢	$13	0x9ce82c…
03-05 03:31:29	spx up or down on march 5 2026	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$11	0xfcb9c8…
03-05 03:31:29	spx up or down on march 5 2026	Up	BUY	47	50¢	$24	0xdf1126…
03-05 03:31:15	spx up or down on march 5 2026	Up	BUY	59	50¢	$29	0x53b7c0…
03-04 03:51:09	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	200	46¢	$92	0xa9ea5f…
03-04 02:36:53	will ken paxton win the texas republican senate primary by between 6 and 9pt00	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xf95d0d…
03-04 02:32:37	will ken paxton win the texas republican senate primary by between 6 and 9pt00	Yes	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0x734d4a…
03-04 02:32:13	will ken paxton win the texas republican senate primary by between 6 and 9pt00	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x64f54b…
03-04 02:26:41	will ken paxton win the texas republican senate primary by between 6 and 9pt00	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x8e9d4e…
03-04 02:15:53	will ken paxton win the texas republican senate primary by between 6 and 9pt00	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x30ec73…
03-04 02:14:39	will ken paxton win the texas republican senate primary by between 6 and 9pt00	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xfaf2a9…
03-04 02:11:33	will james talarico win the texas democratic senate primary by between 5 and 10pt00	Yes	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0x696f59…
03-04 02:11:31	will james talarico win the texas democratic senate primary by between 5 and 10pt00	Yes	SELL	170	14¢	$24	0xd3b019…
03-04 01:38:47	will james talarico win the texas democratic senate primary by between 5 and 10pt00	Yes	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0x2f7d66…
03-04 01:05:31	will ken paxton win the texas republican senate primary by between 6 and 9pt00	Yes	BUY	17	22¢	$4	0xe1dbfa…
03-04 00:53:49	will daniel biss be the democratic nominee for il 09	Yes	BUY	16	71¢	$11	0xa29657…
03-04 00:52:51	will raja krishnamoorthi be the democratic nominee for senate in illinois	Yes	BUY	139	56¢	$78	0x17ca53…
02-25 04:20:34	will trump say epstein during the 2026 state of the union address 269	No	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0xe56a21…
02-25 03:52:34	will the state of the union be 110 minutes or longer	Yes	SELL	78	62¢	$48	0xe36101…
02-25 03:24:12	will trump say mr speaker during the 2026 state of the union address 379	Yes	SELL	125	21¢	$26	0x6f5c9e…
02-25 03:12:46	will trump say the state of the union is strong during the 2026 state of the union address 924	Yes	SELL	36	7¢	$3	0xd2622c…
02-25 03:11:40	will trump say maga or make america great again during the 2026 state of the union address 742	Yes	SELL	192	72¢	$138	0x2b8597…
02-25 03:11:24	will trump say the state of the union is strong during the 2026 state of the union address 924	Yes	SELL	16	7¢	$1	0xff04c3…
02-25 03:11:10	will trump say the state of the union is strong during the 2026 state of the union address 924	Yes	SELL	148	7¢	$10	0x986583…
02-25 02:59:42	will trump and jd vance handshake last 26 seconds during the day of the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xe5243d…
02-25 01:09:40	will trump say mr speaker during the 2026 state of the union address 379	Yes	BUY	78	84¢	$66	0x6b664f…
02-25 01:03:12	will trump say mr speaker during the 2026 state of the union address 379	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x328929…
02-25 01:00:20	will trump say mr speaker during the 2026 state of the union address 379	Yes	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0x4bf6ad…
02-25 00:58:16	will trump say the state of the union is strong during the 2026 state of the union address 924	Yes	BUY	54	40¢	$22	0x292e73…
02-25 00:58:08	will trump say the state of the union is strong during the 2026 state of the union address 924	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x657b6b…
02-25 00:58:06	will trump say the state of the union is strong during the 2026 state of the union address 924	Yes	BUY	138	40¢	$55	0x24455d…
02-25 00:51:00	will trump say epstein during the 2026 state of the union address 269	No	BUY	86	82¢	$71	0xc78883…
02-25 00:42:32	will trump say maga or make america great again during the 2026 state of the union address 742	Yes	BUY	117	89¢	$104	0x41fc93…
02-25 00:42:18	will trump say maga or make america great again during the 2026 state of the union address 742	Yes	BUY	189	88¢	$166	0x3c3ef6…
02-25 00:40:14	will trump say black or hispanic during the 2026 state of the union address 716	Yes	BUY	19	71¢	$14	0xbb573d…
02-25 00:36:30	will trump and jd vance handshake last 26 seconds during the day of the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xa9233d…
02-24 22:58:46	will trump say kevin warsh during the state of the union address	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x9f7c57…
02-24 22:57:20	will all of trumps children attend the state of the union	No	BUY	60	49¢	$29	0x020172…
02-24 22:16:38	will all of trumps children attend the state of the union	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x997d5e…
02-24 22:10:10	will trump say maga or make america great again during the 2026 state of the union address 742	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x10f7f7…
02-24 21:59:14	will the state of the union be 110 minutes or longer	Yes	BUY	78	52¢	$40	0x6ef6e2…
02-24 21:30:02	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	166	81¢	$134	0x665fec…
02-14 22:03:03	btc updown 5m 1771106400	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x5fa048…
02-14 22:01:53	btc updown 5m 1771106400	Down	BUY	60	53¢	$32	0x8bc901…
02-14 21:55:23	btc updown 5m 1771106100	Up	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x2cd97b…
02-14 21:51:07	btc updown 5m 1771105800	Up	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xd2b139…
02-14 21:14:43	btc updown 15m 1771103700	Up	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0x2381a2…
02-14 21:14:41	btc updown 15m 1771103700	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xeff2aa…