Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12.0K

Unrealized P&L

-$2.88K

Hit rate

32.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$35.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.84K

Open exposure

$4.72K

8 positions

First seen

2026-10-23

last 10-25 23:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

72% 0% -$15,001

Other

28% 100% +$3,012

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+7,526	$1,500	16¢	$1.2K	-$333	10-23 17:22
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	+17,426	$2,600	5¢	$915	-$1,685	10-25 17:40
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+7,139	$1,000	11¢	$750	-$250	10-23 17:26
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+5,139	$500	11¢	$540	+$40	10-23 17:25
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+7,363	$500	6¢	$409	-$91	10-23 17:25
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+6,189	$500	7¢	$405	-$95	10-23 17:25
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+3,606	$500	11¢	$379	-$121	10-23 17:25
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+13,542	$500	1¢	$156	-$344	10-23 17:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 23:34:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0xe43255…
10-25 20:44:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7,606	66¢	$5,000	0x4a51e8…
10-25 17:40:23	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15,322	16¢	$2,500	0xb16294…
10-25 17:36:59	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	6,254	39¢	$2,439	0x4c1a72…
10-25 17:27:02	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2,406	100¢	$2,403	0x60a72a…
10-25 16:23:12	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	SELL	2,744	97¢	$2,659	0x40130d…
10-23 17:26:09	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3,338	15¢	$500	0x0a10c3…
10-23 17:25:23	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13,542	4¢	$500	0xf3b20d…
10-23 17:25:17	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	7,363	7¢	$500	0xb72b3b…
10-23 17:25:14	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	6,189	8¢	$500	0x20a6c8…
10-23 17:25:11	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5,139	10¢	$500	0x83ba95…
10-23 17:25:06	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3,606	14¢	$500	0x5c7f5b…
10-23 17:24:59	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3,801	13¢	$500	0x69bec1…
10-23 17:22:11	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	7,526	20¢	$1,500	0x0ff75c…
10-23 17:21:36	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	6,254	45¢	$2,810	0x333f23…
10-23 17:08:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	13,027	77¢	$10,000	0x852228…
10-23 16:57:12	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,104	5¢	$100	0xd4cbff…
10-23 16:51:47	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,406	62¢	$1,500	0x00b631…
10-23 16:49:30	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	BUY	2,744	20¢	$550	0x4f72cc…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$15.0K	20,655	0	+20,655	No	-$15,001	10-25 23:34
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	2	$5.2K	6,254	6,254	+0	open	—	10-25 17:36
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	2	$3.9K	2,406	2,406	+0	Yes	+$903	10-25 17:27
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	2	$3.2K	2,744	2,744	+0	Yes	+$2,109	10-25 16:23
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	2	$2.6K	17,426	0	+17,426	open	—	10-25 17:40
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	1	$1.5K	7,526	0	+7,526	open	—	10-23 17:22
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	2	$1.0K	7,139	0	+7,139	open	—	10-23 17:26
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	1	$500	13,542	0	+13,542	open	—	10-23 17:25
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	1	$500	5,139	0	+5,139	open	—	10-23 17:25
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	1	$500	6,189	0	+6,189	open	—	10-23 17:25
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	1	$500	7,363	0	+7,363	open	—	10-23 17:25
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	1	$500	3,606	0	+3,606	open	—	10-23 17:25