Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
open
Total volume
$261,837
$6,512 in 24h
Trades
1,571
Unique wallets
237
Liquidity
$285,295
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
95¢
End date
1970-01-01
First seen
2026-04-29
last 10-26 22:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-5.8¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $260.2K
vs crowd: 7% YES on $285.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 78 | $3.6K | $258.9K | $255.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 40 | $14.0K | $1.5K | +$12.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 44 | $2.1K | $4.1K | $2.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 75 | $186 | $1.4K | $1.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 62 | $3.0K | $257.2K | $254.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 25 | $14.9K | $1.3K | +$13.6K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 12 | $57 | $155 | $98 |
| Median | 50 | $24 | $1.4K | $1.4K |
| Below median | 27 | $52 | $204 | $152 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 14 | $27 | $2.5K | $2.5K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 22 | $560 | $1.1K | $556 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 25 | $1.2K | $2.1K | $831 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | +240,850 | $225,058 | $242,242 | 55 | 10-26 13:49 |
| Unlined-Grandchild 0x6b88…9856 | Yes | +197,493 | $13,558 | $13,558 | 60 | 10-25 18:48 |
| Official-Cement 0xa974…ef79 | Yes | +51,727 | $2,636 | $2,636 | 9 | 10-12 06:32 |
| Semen-Demon 0xf440…2747 | Yes | +16,462 | $906 | $954 | 26 | 10-22 15:48 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +7,849 | $7,570 | $7,570 | 119 | 05-14 13:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x1775…72a2 | Yes | +7,363 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 10-23 17:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xe091…9549 | Yes | +5,735 | $330 | $330 | 2 | 10-18 18:28 |
| Jubilant-Park 0xcbdf…6a49 | Yes | +5,735 | $192 | $192 | 4 | 06-22 03:57 |
| Immense-Stencil 0x02ae…bad5 | Yes | +3,347 | $99 | $99 | 38 | 06-05 02:20 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | No | +3,080 | $2,942 | $2,942 | 21 | 10-13 23:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x371a…ce66 | No | +2,070 | $1,954 | $1,954 | 12 | 10-26 00:10 |
| Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | No | +1,600 | $1,510 | $1,510 | 5 | 10-23 17:25 |
| Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | +1,423 | $1,339 | $1,339 | 23 | 10-26 11:20 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +1,404 | $1,346 | $1,346 | 12 | 10-25 23:41 |
| Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | Yes | +1,157 | $64 | $64 | 5 | 10-20 08:47 |
| Fantastic-Refrigerator 0xea41…1c98 | Yes | +1,046 | $52 | $52 | 6 | 10-23 15:47 |
| Feline-Asparagus 0x814d…b842 | No | +950 | $893 | $987 | 2 | 10-26 22:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +936 | $884 | $884 | 12 | 10-26 13:49 |
| Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | Yes | +888 | $27 | $27 | 12 | 10-23 17:26 |
| Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | +800 | $758 | $758 | 4 | 10-26 03:20 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +753 | $707 | $707 | 7 | 10-26 13:49 |
| Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | +752 | $724 | $724 | 2 | 05-10 16:55 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | +723 | $5 | $15 | 11 | 06-28 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +595 | $561 | $561 | 21 | 10-26 13:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x413b…b488 | Yes | +573 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-01 13:07 |
| Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | +564 | $544 | $544 | 11 | 05-15 13:50 |
| Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | No | +549 | $524 | $1,763 | 25 | 10-25 07:56 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | +474 | $12 | $102 | 36 | 10-26 22:49 |
| Rubbery-Policy 0x2cfe…e4de | Yes | +424 | $18 | $18 | 8 | 09-24 02:39 |
| Glamorous-Regulator 0xaee7…05e9 | Yes | +400 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-19 14:21 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +397 | -$8 | $27 | 10 | 05-24 07:07 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +349 | $333 | $333 | 6 | 10-07 18:02 |
| Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | Yes | +345 | -$1 | $11 | 9 | 06-28 18:57 |
| Muted-Primary 0x9163…82ae | No | +318 | $303 | $303 | 2 | 10-25 02:01 |
| Worn-Word 0xf05f…ed10 | Yes | +274 | $16 | $42 | 7 | 10-18 06:25 |
| Near-Familiar 0x6139…6b7a | No | +250 | $239 | $239 | 2 | 06-22 23:55 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +248 | $240 | $240 | 4 | 10-23 04:07 |
| Spiteful-Yarn 0x1088…b813 | Yes | +200 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 06-27 20:31 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +182 | $171 | $171 | 8 | 10-25 23:39 |
| Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | +178 | $167 | $167 | 9 | 10-26 13:49 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +160 | $152 | $152 | 4 | 10-13 14:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xc433…2937 | Yes | +160 | $6 | $6 | 4 | 05-08 10:39 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +143 | $137 | $137 | 5 | 09-19 00:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b89…ddae | Yes | +127 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-12 21:23 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +120 | $114 | $114 | 4 | 10-22 23:24 |
| Blue-Gelatin 0x0f60…026a | No | +120 | $116 | $116 | 3 | 05-08 20:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | +115 | $109 | $109 | 2 | 10-26 03:20 |
| Knowing-Arthur-Ash 0x3653…ef74 | No | +114 | $107 | $107 | 3 | 10-25 07:56 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 05-09 15:52 |
| Functional-Heartthrob 0x1c14…0869 | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 07-06 15:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x5570…f033 | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 06-22 03:57 |
| Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | +99 | -$14 | $117 | 7 | 09-16 13:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a57…b867 | Yes | +98 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-25 16:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +95 | $90 | $90 | 5 | 10-26 03:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x122c…fbed | Yes | +89 | $5 | $5 | 5 | 10-26 20:17 |
| Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | +78 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-25 02:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xe184…08c5 | Yes | +76 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-02 07:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 22:49:09 | (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x9e6245… |
| 10-26 22:49:09 | Feline-Asparagus 0x814d…b842 | No | SELL | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x9e6245… |
| 10-26 22:49:09 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | SELL | 25 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x9e6245… |
| 10-26 20:19:39 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 44 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x19142e… |
| 10-26 20:19:39 | (anonymous) 0x4a71…183d | No | BUY | 44 | 95¢ | $42 | 0x19142e… |
| 10-26 20:17:18 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | SELL | 125 | 5¢ | $6 | 0xe5f6a9… |
| 10-26 20:17:18 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xe5f6a9… |
| 10-26 20:17:18 | (anonymous) 0x122c…fbed | Yes | BUY | 41 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x5026a2… |
| 10-26 20:17:18 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | SELL | 41 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x5026a2… |
| 10-26 13:51:47 | (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0ee5fb… |
| 10-26 13:51:47 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x0ee5fb… |
| 10-26 13:51:21 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x509269… |
| 10-26 13:51:21 | (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x509269… |
| 10-26 13:51:20 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xece8d3… |
| 10-26 13:51:20 | (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xece8d3… |
| 10-26 13:49:27 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x441ab4… |
| 10-26 13:49:27 | Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x441ab4… |
| 10-26 13:49:17 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x13aa23… |
| 10-26 13:49:17 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | SELL | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x13aa23… |
| 10-26 13:49:15 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x0fe632… |
| 10-26 13:49:15 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xad05bd… |
| 10-26 13:49:15 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x410498… |
| 10-26 13:49:15 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x410498… |
| 10-26 13:49:15 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | SELL | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xad05bd… |
| 10-26 13:49:15 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x0fe632… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 155 | 94¢ | $146 | 0xc2bb27… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x7e7790… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 47 | 94¢ | $44 | 0x69c884… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x402ee6… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 143 | 94¢ | $134 | 0x45303b… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | SELL | 143 | 94¢ | $134 | 0x45303b… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | SELL | 47 | 94¢ | $44 | 0x69c884… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | SELL | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x7e7790… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x95ce7d… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x95ce7d… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | SELL | 155 | 94¢ | $146 | 0xc2bb27… |
| 10-26 13:49:14 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x402ee6… |
| 10-26 13:49:12 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | SELL | 155 | 94¢ | $146 | 0xf30889… |
| 10-26 13:49:12 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 155 | 94¢ | $146 | 0xf30889… |
| 10-26 13:46:47 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 80 | 94¢ | $75 | 0xfd06dd… |
| 10-26 13:46:47 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | SELL | 14 | 94¢ | $13 | 0x75c29b… |
| 10-26 13:46:47 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | SELL | 80 | 94¢ | $75 | 0xfd06dd… |
| 10-26 13:46:47 | Mature-Gherkin 0x1655…08e1 | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $11 | 0xf18189… |
| 10-26 13:46:47 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | SELL | 11 | 94¢ | $11 | 0xf18189… |
| 10-26 13:46:47 | Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | BUY | 14 | 94¢ | $13 | 0x75c29b… |
| 10-26 13:46:45 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 220 | 94¢ | $207 | 0x976051… |
| 10-26 13:46:45 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | SELL | 220 | 94¢ | $207 | 0x976051… |
| 10-26 13:39:12 | (anonymous) 0x4d8a…238f | No | SELL | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0xc57bbf… |
| 10-26 13:39:12 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | BUY | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0xc57bbf… |
| 10-26 13:39:11 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | SELL | 5,623 | 94¢ | $5,280 | 0xece79a… |
| 10-26 13:39:11 | Trustworthy-Crayon 0x6b44…be1e | Yes | SELL | 5,623 | 6¢ | $343 | 0xece79a… |
| 10-26 13:02:02 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | SELL | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x17bef4… |
| 10-26 13:02:02 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | SELL | 12 | 94¢ | $11 | 0x3b5254… |
| 10-26 13:02:02 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 12 | 94¢ | $11 | 0x3b5254… |
| 10-26 13:02:02 | Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x17bef4… |
| 10-26 13:02:02 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x081de1… |
| 10-26 13:02:02 | Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x081de1… |
| 10-26 11:20:33 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 51 | 94¢ | $48 | 0xed25a4… |
| 10-26 11:20:33 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | SELL | 51 | 94¢ | $48 | 0xed25a4… |
| 10-26 11:20:32 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | SELL | 51 | 94¢ | $48 | 0x48e01c… |
| 10-26 11:20:32 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 51 | 94¢ | $48 | 0x48e01c… |
| 10-26 11:20:32 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | SELL | 44 | 94¢ | $41 | 0xc6cc6c… |
| 10-26 11:20:32 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x5ddba2… |
| 10-26 11:20:32 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | SELL | 7 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x5ddba2… |
| 10-26 11:20:32 | (anonymous) 0x004d…109d | No | BUY | 44 | 94¢ | $41 | 0xc6cc6c… |
| 10-26 11:20:26 | Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | BUY | 14 | 94¢ | $13 | 0xdd9acd… |
| 10-26 11:20:26 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | SELL | 14 | 94¢ | $13 | 0xdd9acd… |
| 10-26 11:20:24 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 70 | 94¢ | $66 | 0x3e028c… |
| 10-26 11:20:24 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | SELL | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0x4f8bf8… |
| 10-26 11:20:24 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | SELL | 19 | 94¢ | $18 | 0x08fb5a… |
| 10-26 11:20:24 | (anonymous) 0x71a3…3fb4 | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x08fb5a… |
| 10-26 11:20:24 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x08fb5a… |
| 10-26 11:20:24 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | SELL | 70 | 94¢ | $66 | 0x3e028c… |
| 10-26 11:20:24 | Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0x4f8bf8… |
| 10-26 03:20:35 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | BUY | 95 | 94¢ | $89 | 0x5ef661… |
| 10-26 03:20:35 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 31 | 92¢ | $29 | 0x5ef661… |
| 10-26 03:20:35 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 200 | 6¢ | $12 | 0x5ef661… |
| 10-26 03:20:35 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | SELL | 58 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x5ef661… |
| 10-26 03:20:35 | (anonymous) 0xfbed…a665 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x5ef661… |
| 10-26 03:20:35 | Proud-Infusion 0x7d24…a93f | Yes | SELL | 175 | 6¢ | $11 | 0x5ef661… |
| 10-26 03:20:35 | (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0x5ef661… |
| 10-26 03:20:35 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | SELL | 163 | 6¢ | $10 | 0x5ef661… |
| 10-26 03:20:35 | (anonymous) 0x8f69…2923 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x5ef661… |
| 10-26 03:20:35 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $19 | 0x5ef661… |
| 10-26 03:20:35 | Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | BUY | 105 | 92¢ | $96 | 0x5ef661… |
| 10-26 03:20:35 | (anonymous) 0x1e75…63f1 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x5ef661… |
| 10-26 03:20:35 | (anonymous) 0xc16e…8f62 | No | SELL | 1,671 | 93¢ | $1,558 | 0x5ef661… |
| 10-26 03:20:11 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | SELL | 180 | 94¢ | $169 | 0xf6c1b2… |
| 10-26 03:20:11 | (anonymous) 0xe729…3b10 | Yes | SELL | 180 | 6¢ | $11 | 0xf6c1b2… |
| 10-26 03:00:12 | Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | BUY | 173 | 94¢ | $162 | 0x8d73ac… |
| 10-26 03:00:12 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 150 | 94¢ | $141 | 0xcfe33b… |
| 10-26 03:00:12 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | SELL | 150 | 94¢ | $141 | 0xcfe33b… |
| 10-26 03:00:12 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | SELL | 38 | 94¢ | $35 | 0x850bad… |
| 10-26 03:00:12 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | SELL | 173 | 94¢ | $162 | 0x8d73ac… |
| 10-26 03:00:12 | Radiant-Nonbeliever 0xd717…3b85 | No | BUY | 38 | 94¢ | $35 | 0x850bad… |
| 10-26 03:00:00 | Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c | No | SELL | 357 | 94¢ | $336 | 0x51239a… |
| 10-26 03:00:00 | Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0xa281b0… |
| 10-26 03:00:00 | Radiant-Nonbeliever 0xd717…3b85 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xad0972… |
| 10-26 03:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x227f…a574 | No | BUY | 37 | 94¢ | $34 | 0x40c956… |
| 10-26 03:00:00 | Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | BUY | 357 | 94¢ | $336 | 0x51239a… |