Realized P&L
+$214
Unrealized P&L
+$1.36K
Hit rate
62.6%
Resolved
636
Trades
4,461
lifetime
Volume
$455.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$102
Open exposure
$187.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-14
last 10-26 18:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
47% 67% +$379
Other
46% 87% -$226
Sports
6% 100% +$90
Tech
1% 50% -$25
Crypto
0% 82% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 827 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +24,487 $21,498 92¢ $22.7K +$1,153 10-26 16:36
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +31,805 $22,147 70¢ $22.4K +$276 10-26 17:57
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +20,403 $16,943 95¢ $19.3K +$2,349 10-26 08:59
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +18,671 $18,326 100¢ $18.6K +$280 10-26 08:24
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +19,956 $18,205 82¢ $16.3K -$1,910 10-26 08:59
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +30,140 $9,263 30¢ $9.2K -$71 10-26 17:57
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +7,864 $7,841 100¢ $7.9K +$15 10-26 08:24
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +7,864 $7,847 100¢ $7.9K +$5 10-26 08:24
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +11,050 $6,691 64¢ $7.1K +$398 10-26 19:01
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5,303 $5,286 100¢ $5.3K -$7 10-25 23:52
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +19,956 $5,485 24¢ $4.7K -$765 10-26 08:59
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +4,726 $4,721 100¢ $4.7K -$2 10-24 19:53
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +11,050 $4,326 36¢ $3.9K -$404 10-26 19:01
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +3,067 $3,064 100¢ $3.1K -$1 10-26 01:36
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +3,167 $2,400 92¢ $2.9K +$510 10-23 02:44
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +4,132 $2,893 68¢ $2.8K -$63 10-25 17:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,633 $2,567 97¢ $2.6K -$5 10-22 02:42
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +3,715 $2,402 64¢ $2.4K -$6 10-22 02:37
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +3,577 $2,271 64¢ $2.3K +$36 10-20 19:01
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? No +2,273 $2,101 95¢ $2.2K +$54 10-24 23:15
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +2,116 $2,009 98¢ $2.1K +$70 10-20 18:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,633 $2,112 78¢ $2.1K -$45 10-22 02:42
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +25,231 $3,109 8¢ $2.0K -$1,090 10-26 16:36
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +5,681 $1,985 36¢ $2.0K +$32 10-23 09:16
Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026? No +2,004 $1,915 99¢ $2.0K +$66 10-26 16:22
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +2,004 $1,947 96¢ $1.9K -$13 10-26 16:22
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +2,684 $1,573 70¢ $1.9K +$293 10-21 14:24
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +2,166 $1,656 83¢ $1.8K +$142 10-21 23:28
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +2,004 $1,669 90¢ $1.8K +$125 10-26 16:22
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +2,004 $1,848 89¢ $1.8K -$65 10-26 16:22