Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open
Total volume
$743,168
$144,507 in 24h
Trades
27,101
Unique wallets
1,634
Liquidity
$378,706
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-10-27
First seen
2026-07-21
last 10-26 22:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.6¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $491.2K
vs crowd: 3% YES on $678.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 123 | $5.8K | $589.0K | $583.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 115 | $3.4K | $42.8K | $39.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 186 | $3.2K | $18.4K | $15.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1,210 | $5.5K | $9.8K | $4.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 118 | $5.2K | $486.1K | $480.9K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 84 | $2.5K | $50.5K | $48.0K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 76 | $1.2K | $25.9K | $24.7K |
| Median | 282 | $428 | $8.1K | $7.7K |
| Below median | 249 | $1.4K | $9.3K | $8.0K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 63 | $763 | $1.7K | $979 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 54 | $1.2K | $25.8K | $24.6K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 40 | $4.2K | $49.7K | $45.5K |
| unranked | 668 | $1.1K | $2.9K | $1.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xad88…662d | Yes | +259,451 | $70 | $1,147 | 5,334 | 10-24 20:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x9763…3d11 | Yes | +255,854 | $602 | $652 | 5 | 10-14 09:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe3f…512d | Yes | +125,000 | $125 | $125 | 2 | 10-26 22:09 |
| Urban-Nasal 0x6adf…4f5b | Yes | +100,000 | $200 | $200 | 42 | 10-12 07:09 |
| Forthright-Kingfish 0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | +95,277 | $994 | $994 | 2 | 07-27 05:17 |
| Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | +91,461 | $91,183 | $91,183 | 467 | 10-24 20:04 |
| Lonely-Bog 0xe542…0a37 | Yes | +76,066 | $802 | $802 | 247 | 09-17 14:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +68,034 | $67,884 | $67,884 | 471 | 10-24 19:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x2129…7c51 | Yes | +67,380 | $67 | $67 | 1 | 10-26 20:10 |
| Flashy-Class 0x0659…2995 | Yes | +60,000 | $140 | $140 | 3 | 10-02 15:42 |
| Melodic-Eel 0x9842…132b | Yes | +57,816 | $324 | $324 | 7 | 10-01 12:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b99…75a7 | Yes | +57,737 | $106 | $106 | 9 | 10-26 03:57 |
| Arctic-Layout 0x7b17…51b1 | Yes | +56,404 | $642 | $642 | 184 | 09-24 11:39 |
| Dearest-Temperature 0x7072…69ac | Yes | +54,771 | $570 | $977 | 20 | 10-13 14:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +54,000 | $53,892 | $53,892 | 359 | 10-26 13:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x5bf4…e2ee | Yes | +52,000 | $52 | $52 | 2 | 10-26 20:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x0485…5540 | Yes | +50,000 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 10-26 20:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x4660…64ea | Yes | +50,000 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 10-26 18:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd54…fe1b | Yes | +50,000 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 10-26 18:25 |
| Wise-Phenotype 0xe166…8f14 | Yes | +50,000 | $80 | $80 | 3 | 10-26 12:06 |
| Notable-Genetics 0xb5f6…adc3 | Yes | +50,000 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 10-26 15:11 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +46,685 | $46,571 | $46,571 | 330 | 10-24 20:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x14fc…eb72 | Yes | +46,289 | $105 | $105 | 2 | 10-26 17:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xee19…555e | Yes | +44,675 | $584 | $584 | 121 | 09-01 02:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x4247…91c4 | Yes | +43,020 | $43 | $43 | 2 | 10-26 18:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x121a…6272 | Yes | +41,995 | $84 | $84 | 1 | 10-24 00:43 |
| High-Stomach-Silver 0x92f1…4f2d | Yes | +40,000 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 10-26 19:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x2b98…ea2a | Yes | +38,950 | $39 | $39 | 2 | 10-26 20:41 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +37,826 | $37,535 | $37,535 | 435 | 10-17 19:53 |
| True-Counsel 0x44a1…bd21 | Yes | +37,643 | $525 | $1,612 | 78 | 10-05 22:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +33,619 | $33,576 | $33,576 | 196 | 10-26 13:58 |
| Arid-Province 0x3de6…e560 | Yes | +33,036 | $57 | $60 | 47 | 10-26 21:35 |
| Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | +32,569 | $32,502 | $32,502 | 226 | 10-20 02:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x6ee1…9251 | Yes | +31,333 | $84 | $84 | 2 | 10-20 11:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xb94f…6470 | Yes | +30,000 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 10-26 22:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x0498…e5e6 | Yes | +29,970 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 10-26 21:09 |
| Failing-Collection 0x042a…b153 | Yes | +29,875 | $73 | $90 | 45 | 10-26 04:27 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +26,034 | $25,944 | $25,944 | 162 | 10-20 02:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xd32c…a4c2 | No | +23,568 | $23,545 | $23,545 | 588 | 10-24 20:04 |
| Quick-Behaviour 0x1d8c…757a | No | +22,754 | $22,664 | $23,159 | 225 | 10-04 05:48 |
| Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | No | +19,371 | $19,311 | $19,311 | 15 | 10-23 00:34 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 22:50:11 | Failing-Pneumonia 0x22d3…5e3a | Yes | BUY | 2,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x0f1bcb… |
| 10-26 22:50:11 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | Yes | SELL | 2,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x0f1bcb… |
| 10-26 22:49:51 | (anonymous) 0x835f…c8b4 | Yes | BUY | 1,500 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xf05eaa… |
| 10-26 22:49:51 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | Yes | SELL | 1,399 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xf05eaa… |
| 10-26 22:49:51 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | SELL | 101 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf05eaa… |
| 10-26 22:49:29 | (anonymous) 0x9625…c20a | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x046a6e… |
| 10-26 22:49:29 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x046a6e… |
| 10-26 22:48:33 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | SELL | 7,919 | 0¢ | $8 | 0xbb59ea… |
| 10-26 22:48:33 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | SELL | 81 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbb59ea… |
| 10-26 22:48:33 | (anonymous) 0x871a…204f | Yes | BUY | 10,000 | 0¢ | $10 | 0xbb59ea… |
| 10-26 22:48:33 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xbb59ea… |
| 10-26 22:44:54 | (anonymous) 0xccf1…1364 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x1085d6… |
| 10-26 22:44:54 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x1085d6… |
| 10-26 22:42:02 | (anonymous) 0xf042…3413 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x23c3be… |
| 10-26 22:42:02 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x23c3be… |
| 10-26 22:36:56 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | SELL | 7,000 | 0¢ | $7 | 0x643928… |
| 10-26 22:36:56 | (anonymous) 0xd5ad…7e99 | Yes | BUY | 7,000 | 0¢ | $7 | 0x643928… |
| 10-26 22:36:06 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | SELL | 25,000 | 0¢ | $25 | 0x6c9252… |
| 10-26 22:36:06 | (anonymous) 0x765e…36dd | Yes | BUY | 25,000 | 0¢ | $25 | 0x6c9252… |
| 10-26 22:32:26 | (anonymous) 0x2dc0…70a0 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x78f22a… |
| 10-26 22:32:26 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x78f22a… |
| 10-26 22:30:35 | Serious-Hiking 0x52ca…1d63 | Yes | BUY | 2,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x2cc501… |
| 10-26 22:30:35 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | SELL | 2,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x2cc501… |
| 10-26 22:30:29 | (anonymous) 0x1628…8b62 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xb6589b… |
| 10-26 22:30:29 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xb6589b… |
| 10-26 22:23:53 | (anonymous) 0xee94…2a0b | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x4ed366… |
| 10-26 22:23:53 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x4ed366… |
| 10-26 22:20:33 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | SELL | 24,000 | 0¢ | $24 | 0xc8bd33… |
| 10-26 22:20:33 | (anonymous) 0x660d…c365 | Yes | BUY | 24,000 | 0¢ | $24 | 0xc8bd33… |
| 10-26 22:16:06 | (anonymous) 0x7f8a…d724 | Yes | BUY | 2,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x3e4cd2… |
| 10-26 22:16:06 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | SELL | 2,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x3e4cd2… |
| 10-26 22:14:21 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | SELL | 2,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xc9c18a… |
| 10-26 22:14:21 | (anonymous) 0xae60…6888 | Yes | BUY | 2,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xc9c18a… |
| 10-26 22:11:51 | (anonymous) 0x980a…eb16 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x2d05cd… |
| 10-26 22:11:51 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x2d05cd… |
| 10-26 22:10:36 | (anonymous) 0x58b1…415b | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x0737bf… |
| 10-26 22:10:36 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x0737bf… |
| 10-26 22:10:29 | Kindly-Gasket 0x02d4…d26c | Yes | BUY | 10,000 | 0¢ | $10 | 0x1398c6… |
| 10-26 22:10:29 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | SELL | 10,000 | 0¢ | $10 | 0x1398c6… |
| 10-26 22:09:30 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | SELL | 25,000 | 0¢ | $25 | 0xc6d6a9… |
| 10-26 22:09:30 | (anonymous) 0xbe3f…512d | Yes | BUY | 25,000 | 0¢ | $25 | 0xc6d6a9… |
| 10-26 22:08:00 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x1fa1d6… |
| 10-26 22:08:00 | (anonymous) 0x4570…3470 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x1fa1d6… |
| 10-26 22:06:47 | (anonymous) 0xb94f…6470 | Yes | BUY | 30,000 | 0¢ | $30 | 0x9cbf7c… |
| 10-26 22:06:47 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | SELL | 20,481 | 0¢ | $20 | 0x9cbf7c… |
| 10-26 22:05:26 | (anonymous) 0x8dd2…6ba2 | Yes | BUY | 5,000 | 0¢ | $5 | 0xbf496e… |
| 10-26 22:05:26 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | SELL | 5,000 | 0¢ | $5 | 0xbf496e… |
| 10-26 21:55:51 | Agile-Bloomer 0x1060…d28b | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x02df44… |
| 10-26 21:55:51 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x02df44… |
| 10-26 21:55:21 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x726219… |
| 10-26 21:55:21 | (anonymous) 0xbe80…864f | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x726219… |
| 10-26 21:52:42 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb73c60… |
| 10-26 21:52:42 | Thorough-Flu 0x26f4…e110 | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xb73c60… |
| 10-26 21:52:39 | hortikkk 0xb3fe…4a24 | Yes | SELL | 5,762 | 0¢ | $6 | 0xb59bc8… |
| 10-26 21:52:39 | (anonymous) 0xbe3f…512d | Yes | BUY | 100,000 | 0¢ | $100 | 0xb59bc8… |
| 10-26 21:52:39 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | SELL | 91,638 | 0¢ | $92 | 0xb59bc8… |
| 10-26 21:52:39 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb59bc8… |
| 10-26 21:52:39 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb59bc8… |
| 10-26 21:52:39 | Thorough-Flu 0x26f4…e110 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xb59bc8… |
| 10-26 21:49:51 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x58e6f6… |
| 10-26 21:49:51 | (anonymous) 0x5b10…788e | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x58e6f6… |
| 10-26 21:49:51 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 509 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x58e6f6… |
| 10-26 21:44:47 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 609 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xbc4061… |
| 10-26 21:44:47 | (anonymous) 0xb274…4217 | Yes | BUY | 3,000 | 0¢ | $3 | 0xbc4061… |
| 10-26 21:44:47 | hortikkk 0xb3fe…4a24 | Yes | SELL | 2,391 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xbc4061… |
| 10-26 21:35:51 | hortikkk 0xb3fe…4a24 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x8218b3… |
| 10-26 21:35:51 | Arid-Province 0x3de6…e560 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x8218b3… |
| 10-26 21:31:56 | hortikkk 0xb3fe…4a24 | Yes | SELL | 1,100 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x624426… |
| 10-26 21:31:56 | Sarcastic-Termite 0x78ed…ab3a | Yes | BUY | 1,100 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x624426… |
| 10-26 21:17:23 | (anonymous) 0x312a…30c3 | Yes | BUY | 8,000 | 0¢ | $8 | 0x30fabc… |
| 10-26 21:17:23 | Mature-Gherkin 0x1655…08e1 | Yes | SELL | 61 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x30fabc… |
| 10-26 21:17:23 | hortikkk 0xb3fe…4a24 | Yes | SELL | 1,277 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x30fabc… |
| 10-26 21:17:23 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x30fabc… |
| 10-26 21:09:00 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x130e51… |
| 10-26 21:09:00 | hortikkk 0xb3fe…4a24 | Yes | SELL | 5,710 | 0¢ | $6 | 0x130e51… |
| 10-26 21:09:00 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x130e51… |
| 10-26 21:09:00 | (anonymous) 0x0498…e5e6 | Yes | BUY | 29,970 | 0¢ | $30 | 0x130e51… |
| 10-26 21:09:00 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | Yes | SELL | 4,245 | 0¢ | $4 | 0x130e51… |
| 10-26 21:09:00 | (anonymous) 0x8f69…2923 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x130e51… |
| 10-26 21:07:00 | Thorough-Flu 0x26f4…e110 | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x7d734a… |
| 10-26 21:07:00 | hortikkk 0xb3fe…4a24 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7d734a… |
| 10-26 21:06:59 | (anonymous) 0xf949…7c99 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x183368… |
| 10-26 21:06:59 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x183368… |
| 10-26 21:06:59 | Thorough-Flu 0x26f4…e110 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x183368… |
| 10-26 21:06:59 | hortikkk 0xb3fe…4a24 | Yes | SELL | 970 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x183368… |
| 10-26 21:03:38 | Bronze-Daisy 0x0b42…8086 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x5cfb74… |
| 10-26 21:03:38 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x5cfb74… |
| 10-26 20:53:05 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x185dc2… |
| 10-26 20:53:05 | (anonymous) 0x5af1…84c9 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x185dc2… |
| 10-26 20:49:02 | Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | SELL | 5,000 | 0¢ | $5 | 0xe1e7de… |
| 10-26 20:49:02 | (anonymous) 0xfb08…c656 | Yes | BUY | 5,000 | 0¢ | $5 | 0xe1e7de… |
| 10-26 20:48:32 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xead1ce… |
| 10-26 20:48:32 | Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | SELL | 18,186 | 0¢ | $18 | 0xead1ce… |
| 10-26 20:48:32 | (anonymous) 0xe4ec…6a53 | Yes | BUY | 20,000 | 0¢ | $20 | 0xead1ce… |
| 10-26 20:48:32 | (anonymous) 0x8f69…2923 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xead1ce… |
| 10-26 20:48:32 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | SELL | 764 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xead1ce… |
| 10-26 20:48:14 | (anonymous) 0x5170…179c | No | SELL | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xdf1afa… |
| 10-26 20:48:14 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdf1afa… |
| 10-26 20:48:14 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdf1afa… |
| 10-26 20:47:27 | Thorough-Flu 0x26f4…e110 | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x121407… |