Melodic-Eel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.18K

Unrealized P&L

-$192

Hit rate

32.8%

Resolved

158

Trades

595

lifetime

Volume

$28.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

$159

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-20

last 11-06 18:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

51% 15% -$1,973

Sports

28% 41% -$973

Politics

20% 2% -$1,235

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+6,775	$180	1¢	$81	-$99	11-06 18:36
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+12,297	$25	0¢	$31	+$5	11-06 18:36
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	+3,059	$104	1¢	$29	-$75	11-06 08:34
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	+2,423	$35	1¢	$16	-$19	11-04 23:46
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	+218	$8	1¢	$2	-$5	11-05 11:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	24	$3.1K	15,222	15,222	+0	No	+$914	07-15 14:34
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	29	$2.3K	52,659	31,709	+20,949	No	-$451	07-11 23:36
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	10	$2.2K	3,835	3,835	+0	open	—	10-31 20:57
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	9	$2.0K	6,792	6,792	+0	No	+$1,591	10-26 16:26
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	27	$1.9K	20,340	18,740	+1,600	No	-$161	06-30 03:04
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	30	$1.9K	72,259	48,259	+24,000	No	-$445	07-09 21:32
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	22	$1.5K	311,743	7,752	+303,991	No	-$1,284	10-26 22:46
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	15	$1.4K	13,992	7,924	+6,068	No	+$174	07-11 23:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	11	$1.1K	12,281	7,725	+4,556	No	-$342	10-28 17:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	9	$681	40,039	40,039	+0	No	-$155	06-12 08:46
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	14	$611	51,611	1,000	+50,611	No	-$569	10-26 20:42
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	8	$532	40,838	10,142	+30,696	No	-$228	09-16 08:19
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?	10	$461	7,388	4,624	+2,764	No	-$100	07-13 21:06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	6	$393	2,196	996	+1,200	No	-$174	09-16 08:18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	6	$352	7,292	7,292	+0	open	—	11-02 22:35
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	7	$324	57,816	0	+57,816	No	-$324	10-01 12:02
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	6	$306	2,195	2,195	+0	No	-$2	11-03 22:10
Sullivan flips Peltola for Alaska Senate by November 2?	3	$258	2,959	2,582	+377	No	+$20	10-31 10:31
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	10	$256	3,929	870	+3,059	open	—	11-06 08:34
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	6	$251	54,949	0	+54,949	No	-$251	10-26 20:34
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	6	$224	1,933	1,933	+0	No	-$150	05-25 07:36
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?	6	$211	875	213	+662	No	-$177	07-14 10:35
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	4	$200	552	552	+0	Yes	+$168	07-07 17:03
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$188	8,616	8,616	+0	No	-$33	05-21 16:18
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	10	$183	1,497	1,497	+0	No	-$61	05-31 14:03
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	4	$182	4,347	4,347	+0	open	—	11-06 11:37
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	5	$180	6,775	0	+6,775	open	—	11-06 18:36
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	9	$179	17,026	0	+17,026	Yes	-$179	11-05 11:30
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	3	$165	6,044	5,044	+1,000	No	-$24	10-31 08:22
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?	6	$165	1,226	1,226	+0	No	+$65	06-14 15:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 18:36:51	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	797	0¢	$2	0x0a30de…
11-06 18:36:19	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2,958	2¢	$71	0xb388c2…
11-06 18:35:51	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	11,500	0¢	$23	0xbf1184…
11-06 11:39:18	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	889	2¢	$21	0x0a6d71…
11-06 11:37:40	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,500	2¢	$23	0xba987c…
11-06 11:36:57	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	987	2¢	$23	0x75a52a…
11-06 11:36:34	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,500	2¢	$24	0x8ebfaa…
11-06 08:35:58	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	611	4¢	$22	0x6e56a3…
11-06 08:35:34	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,347	2¢	$24	0x9b60db…
11-06 08:34:45	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	1,510	2¢	$37	0xb51fad…
11-06 08:21:13	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,330	3¢	$43	0xd89cd3…
11-05 23:10:36	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,347	3¢	$111	0x4b0459…
11-05 11:38:12	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	218	3¢	$8	0x7e6c14…
11-05 11:35:37	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	211	4¢	$8	0x629903…
11-05 11:30:49	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	216	1¢	$2	0xbb61cd…
11-05 11:17:39	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	300	1¢	$4	0xe957fe…
11-05 11:17:01	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	422	1¢	$5	0xec2802…
11-05 11:06:28	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	250	5¢	$11	0x004e5e…
11-04 23:50:01	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	159	7¢	$11	0x12b0f9…
11-04 23:46:27	Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	904	2¢	$14	0x2890df…
11-04 23:45:57	Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,159	1¢	$10	0x0880a4…
11-04 23:42:54	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	635	1¢	$9	0xd3db24…
11-04 23:42:00	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	854	1¢	$10	0x8bbb90…
11-04 21:49:12	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8,788	1¢	$89	0xe8d55e…
11-04 20:04:43	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	148	2¢	$3	0x7e6d5c…
11-04 20:04:18	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0xdd4e0f…
11-04 20:01:19	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	403	2¢	$10	0x3c2703…
11-04 13:57:24	Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	360	3¢	$11	0xaaaaeb…
11-04 13:56:03	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$14	0x7fc4aa…
11-04 13:55:37	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	403	1¢	$5	0x377878…
11-04 13:55:09	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4,407	1¢	$37	0xf46ed2…
11-04 13:54:21	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	359	15¢	$53	0x4f90fa…
11-04 08:49:57	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	287	15¢	$43	0x78baff…
11-04 08:49:09	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	217	2¢	$4	0xe90ff2…
11-04 08:48:39	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	473	15¢	$70	0xf8b502…
11-03 22:16:09	Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	2,540	0¢	$5	0xc1c8b9…
11-03 22:15:37	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$7	0x387676…
11-03 22:14:42	Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	6,000	0¢	$12	0x35e7df…
11-03 22:13:09	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x58853f…
11-03 22:12:37	Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x9abdd3…
11-03 22:11:15	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0xe47d99…
11-03 22:10:06	Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	486	8¢	$39	0xec7210…
11-03 07:31:10	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	243	5¢	$13	0xe26b62…
11-03 07:30:46	Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	107	7¢	$7	0x99e71b…
11-03 07:29:43	Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	2¢	$7	0x48be96…
11-03 07:28:30	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	173	5¢	$10	0xe31c5a…
11-03 07:27:49	Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	102	10¢	$10	0x2889ab…
11-03 07:26:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	170	5¢	$9	0xfd88eb…
11-03 07:25:34	Will Republicans win Michigan and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?	Yes	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0xce17bb…
11-03 07:24:36	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	381	5¢	$21	0xce2582…
11-03 07:21:06	Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	1,916	1¢	$21	0xe6d047…
11-02 22:42:12	Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	22,250	0¢	$44	0x6f6100…
11-02 22:40:57	Will Republicans win Maine and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	4,288	0¢	$15	0xf1b519…
11-02 22:40:16	Will Republicans win Alaska and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x045054…
11-02 22:38:57	Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	194	13¢	$26	0x543daa…
11-02 22:38:15	Will the Republican Party win the CA-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	527	7¢	$36	0xbb78fc…
11-02 22:37:49	Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat?	Yes	BUY	312	8¢	$25	0x592edb…
11-02 22:35:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,868	2¢	$34	0xb0051d…
11-02 22:34:54	Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,602	7¢	$106	0xd3aea4…
11-02 22:34:21	Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	602	10¢	$60	0x221da6…
11-02 22:21:48	Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	1,236	3¢	$42	0x298913…
11-02 22:21:31	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	158	33¢	$52	0xc95ab2…
11-02 20:12:40	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	58	33¢	$19	0x461b78…
11-02 20:09:04	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$15	0x78b4e7…
11-02 20:08:27	Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$20	0x3e5cac…
11-02 20:07:58	Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$8	0xf074ff…
11-02 20:06:49	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$18	0x879154…
11-02 20:06:25	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	1,081	1¢	$15	0x1236f4…
11-02 20:06:06	Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	1,083	1¢	$13	0x7ca7a2…
11-02 20:05:37	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	1,063	2¢	$18	0x5106b2…
11-02 20:05:10	Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	1,063	2¢	$18	0xf47003…
11-02 18:42:48	Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	173	7¢	$12	0xc6a0dd…
11-02 18:38:07	Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	521	7¢	$36	0x416093…
11-02 18:37:03	Will Republicans win Maine and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	1,216	0¢	$6	0xfa43ee…
11-02 18:36:36	Will Republicans win Maine and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0xe4bc00…
11-02 18:35:43	Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$7	0x7a2192…
11-02 18:33:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	535	3¢	$16	0x9cfd80…
11-02 18:32:48	Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,500	7¢	$105	0x5141c5…
11-02 12:03:28	Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	257	7¢	$18	0x1619d3…
11-02 12:02:45	Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	795	2¢	$19	0xcc6afc…
11-02 11:59:01	Will Republicans win Alaska and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	2,255	0¢	$10	0xabbd85…
11-02 11:58:19	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0xae87c8…
11-02 11:57:49	Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	364	1¢	$4	0xe93c74…
11-02 11:56:46	Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	2,379	1¢	$14	0x3b6c66…
11-02 11:55:45	Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	264	9¢	$24	0x719a7c…
11-02 10:24:52	Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	8,190	0¢	$16	0x98e34d…
11-02 10:24:25	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	6,000	0¢	$12	0xce270a…
11-02 10:23:22	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	1,143	1¢	$10	0x04efe1…
11-02 10:22:04	Will Republicans win Kansas and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	4,196	0¢	$20	0x5448bf…
11-02 10:21:39	Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	1,012	3¢	$34	0x37816c…
11-02 10:21:10	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	2,025	1¢	$28	0xb81447…
11-02 10:10:18	Will Republicans win Michigan and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x0c4231…
11-02 10:09:51	Will Republicans win Michigan and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0x8911fa…
11-02 10:08:51	Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	1,901	1¢	$18	0x8bda7c…
11-02 07:17:19	Will Republicans win Kansas and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	3,791	0¢	$16	0x971ec1…
11-02 07:16:51	Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$12	0x5b83a6…
11-02 07:16:16	Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	1,960	1¢	$20	0x2eb600…
11-02 06:54:19	Will the Republican Party win the NC-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	188	3¢	$6	0xae11b8…
11-02 06:53:49	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-04 House seat?	No	BUY	54	3¢	$2	0x412c3a…
11-02 06:53:27	Will the Republican Party win the NC-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1,071	3¢	$30	0xae5c17…