Realized P&L
+$21.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$12.2K
Hit rate
94.2%
Resolved
11,351
Trades
338,321
lifetime
Volume
$13.7M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$168.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-04 19:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 275 days
Categories
Other
51% 89% +$30,884
Politics
25% 88% +$4,321
Sports
19% 94% +$19,911
Crypto
3% 82% -$70
Tech
2% 71% -$34,213
Pop-Culture
1% 88% +$211
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 1055 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +16,980 $9,585 100¢ $17.0K +$7,395 10-01 18:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +16,480 $16,353 100¢ $16.5K +$111 10-01 18:45
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +15,932 $15,702 100¢ $15.9K +$206 10-01 18:45
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +6,443 $6,409 100¢ $6.4K +$17 09-15 12:27
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +6,383 $6,368 100¢ $6.4K +$2 09-15 12:27
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +6,443 $6,023 98¢ $6.3K +$317 09-15 15:16
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +6,255 $6,090 100¢ $6.2K +$156 09-15 12:27
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +5,309 $5,270 100¢ $5.3K +$30 09-28 15:35
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +4,988 $4,840 99¢ $5.0K +$120 10-02 15:17
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +4,530 $4,501 100¢ $4.5K +$11 10-01 22:37
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +4,509 $4,502 100¢ $4.5K -$1 09-05 22:43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +4,595 $4,511 98¢ $4.5K -$26 10-04 13:32
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +4,548 $4,531 97¢ $4.4K -$129 09-28 15:35
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +6,221 $3,372 68¢ $4.3K +$890 10-04 15:00
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +5,489 $4,489 77¢ $4.2K -$279 09-28 15:35
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? No +4,109 $4,092 100¢ $4.1K +$11 10-04 02:35
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? No +4,085 $4,069 100¢ $4.1K +$6 10-04 02:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +4,818 $3,154 84¢ $4.1K +$917 10-02 15:17
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? No +4,071 $3,898 99¢ $4.0K +$147 10-04 02:35
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? No +4,061 $4,045 99¢ $4.0K -$9 10-04 02:35
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? No +4,040 $4,034 100¢ $4.0K +$2 09-25 17:20
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +4,121 $3,898 97¢ $4.0K +$118 10-04 14:59
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? No +4,010 $3,994 100¢ $4.0K +$7 10-04 02:35
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? No +4,001 $3,970 99¢ $4.0K -$17 10-04 02:35
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +5,384 $3,228 70¢ $3.7K +$514 09-29 15:59
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +3,682 $2,650 100¢ $3.7K +$1,015 10-04 16:14
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? No +3,643 $3,621 98¢ $3.6K -$38 09-23 15:26
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +4,080 $2,670 84¢ $3.4K +$757 09-29 02:20
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +3,378 $3,367 100¢ $3.4K +$1 09-05 19:47
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +3,312 $3,294 99¢ $3.3K -$5 09-28 15:35