Realized P&L (30d)
-$1.16K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.85K
Hit rate
86.2%
Resolved (30d)
468
Trades (30d)
0
338,321 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$0
$13.7M lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$130.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-04 19:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 285 days
Categories
Other
51% 88% +$28,949
Politics
25% 86% +$4,806
Sports
19% 94% +$19,185
Crypto
3% 82% -$10
Tech
2% 72% -$32,948
Pop-Culture
1% 88% +$211
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 1055 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +6,443 $6,409 100¢ $6.4K +$21 09-15 12:27
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +6,393 $6,384 100¢ $6.4K -$1 09-15 12:27
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +6,383 $6,368 100¢ $6.4K +$5 09-15 12:27
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +6,443 $6,023 99¢ $6.4K +$349 09-15 15:16
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +6,255 $6,090 100¢ $6.2K +$150 09-15 12:27
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +5,794 $5,787 100¢ $5.8K -$2 09-09 21:22
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +5,309 $5,270 100¢ $5.3K +$33 09-28 15:35
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +4,988 $4,840 99¢ $5.0K +$115 10-02 15:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +4,595 $4,511 99¢ $4.6K +$59 10-04 13:32
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +4,548 $4,531 99¢ $4.5K -$24 09-28 15:35
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +4,509 $4,502 100¢ $4.5K -$1 09-05 22:43
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +4,530 $4,501 99¢ $4.5K -$1 10-01 22:37
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? No +4,109 $4,092 100¢ $4.1K +$11 10-04 02:35
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? No +4,085 $4,069 100¢ $4.1K +$12 10-04 02:35
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? No +4,061 $4,045 100¢ $4.1K +$6 10-04 02:35
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? No +4,071 $3,898 99¢ $4.0K +$149 10-04 02:35
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? No +4,040 $4,034 100¢ $4.0K +$0 09-25 17:20
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? No +4,010 $3,994 100¢ $4.0K +$7 10-04 02:35
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? No +4,001 $3,970 100¢ $4.0K +$21 10-04 02:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +4,818 $3,154 78¢ $3.8K +$628 10-02 15:17
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +4,080 $2,670 89¢ $3.6K +$961 09-29 02:20
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? No +3,643 $3,621 99¢ $3.6K -$14 09-23 15:26
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +3,763 $2,540 92¢ $3.5K +$940 09-23 15:26
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +5,629 $1,053 60¢ $3.4K +$2,352 09-28 15:35
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +3,378 $3,367 100¢ $3.4K +$6 09-05 19:47
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +3,312 $3,294 100¢ $3.3K +$10 09-28 15:35
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +3,724 $2,238 89¢ $3.3K +$1,062 09-16 11:25
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,774 $2,771 100¢ $2.8K -$1 09-23 15:26
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,774 $2,771 100¢ $2.8K -$1 09-23 15:26
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,774 $2,771 100¢ $2.8K -$1 09-23 15:26