Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 33% and 36% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No won
Total volume
$18,641
Trades
652
Unique wallets
116
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-04
First seen
2026-09-16
last 10-05 01:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.6¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $15.4K
vs crowd: 2% YES on $18.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 60 | $196 | $17.3K | $17.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 22 | $160 | $546 | $386 |
| 🐟 Fish | 17 | $19 | $111 | $91 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $59 | $21 | +$38 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 52 | $123 | $15.2K | $15.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 20 | $128 | $1.2K | $1.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $1 | $115 | $114 |
| Median | 4 | $1 | $36 | $35 |
| Below median | 9 | $37 | $54 | $17 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $6 | $40 | $34 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $17 | $118 | $100 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 16 | $121 | $1.1K | $1.0K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x0fca…90de | Yes | +7,088 | $101 | $101 | 28 | 10-03 21:53 |
| Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | +6,071 | $5,994 | $5,994 | 23 | 10-04 20:11 |
| Noted-Pompom 0x1c51…8001 | Yes | +3,236 | $16 | $16 | 32 | 10-03 18:49 |
| Tense-Precedent 0xfb51…742d | Yes | +3,232 | $84 | $84 | 22 | 09-18 20:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +2,375 | $2,347 | $2,347 | 14 | 10-04 20:11 |
| Repentant-Client 0x60cc…f23f | Yes | +2,259 | $9 | $9 | 4 | 10-03 03:28 |
| Quick-Behaviour 0x1d8c…757a | No | +1,404 | $1,392 | $1,455 | 15 | 10-03 12:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c28…9844 | Yes | +1,240 | $14 | $14 | 18 | 10-03 03:28 |
| Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | No | +1,205 | $1,194 | $1,194 | 5 | 10-03 16:54 |
| Severe-March 0x607e…1cc7 | Yes | +976 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 09-30 07:46 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +972 | $962 | $962 | 8 | 10-03 17:00 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +738 | $16 | $25 | 24 | 10-01 01:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +600 | $585 | $585 | 3 | 10-03 03:24 |
| Rare-Azimuth 0x4868…a1c1 | No | +533 | $526 | $526 | 5 | 10-03 12:36 |
| Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | +508 | $505 | $505 | 3 | 10-02 10:04 |
| Fair-Tan 0x43cb…84df | Yes | +469 | $35 | $35 | 10 | 09-28 13:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x8373…f0bc | No | +370 | $361 | $361 | 2 | 09-18 10:50 |
| Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | +356 | $353 | $353 | 5 | 10-03 03:24 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +331 | $325 | $325 | 7 | 10-03 03:24 |
| Quarrelsome-Filth 0x38f5…6824 | Yes | +300 | $3 | $3 | 4 | 10-02 12:15 |
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +285 | $281 | $281 | 10 | 09-30 22:39 |
| Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | +268 | $3 | $3 | 12 | 09-29 21:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | +233 | -$9 | $42 | 28 | 10-03 16:54 |
| Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat 0x69f0…fb27 | No | +227 | $223 | $223 | 3 | 09-30 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x115a…9d44 | Yes | +206 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 10-01 23:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +201 | $198 | $198 | 4 | 10-02 02:53 |
| Average-Counsellor 0x2bc8…b4da | Yes | +200 | $5 | $5 | 7 | 09-18 01:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x5ad9…22d0 | Yes | +189 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-03 16:14 |
| Unique-Dentist 0xcf00…353f | Yes | +186 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 09-17 01:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +183 | $1 | $1 | 15 | 10-05 00:06 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +178 | $176 | $176 | 10 | 10-02 07:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x9765…a019 | Yes | +154 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 09-22 21:04 |
| Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | +151 | $147 | $147 | 3 | 09-18 01:34 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +150 | $145 | $145 | 5 | 10-02 02:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | +140 | $138 | $138 | 5 | 10-03 16:54 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +135 | $134 | $134 | 5 | 10-04 20:11 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +129 | $5 | $5 | 5 | 09-30 17:04 |
| Shallow-Diadem 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | +128 | $124 | $124 | 4 | 09-30 09:11 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +126 | $1 | $4 | 7 | 10-03 17:00 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +126 | $122 | $122 | 7 | 10-01 22:58 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +117 | $113 | $113 | 7 | 10-02 05:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +114 | $113 | $113 | 13 | 10-04 12:24 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +108 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-04 07:23 |
| Pricey-Million 0x005e…6d8e | No | +108 | $104 | $104 | 2 | 09-17 13:05 |
| YourAnimeGirl 0xad70…4ccf | Yes | +105 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 09-29 04:17 |
| Candid-Encirclement 0x6ae0…b747 | Yes | +103 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 09-18 19:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x50b4…c879 | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-05 01:55 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | +100 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 09-17 03:56 |
| Big-Asparagus 0x6268…6031 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $4 | 6 | 10-02 00:15 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +95 | $92 | $92 | 1 | 09-17 13:05 |
| Pristine-Soul 0x5edc…bbad | No | +80 | $78 | $78 | 1 | 09-17 13:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x6cff…a463 | No | +75 | $74 | $74 | 3 | 10-02 02:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x407d…52fd | Yes | +70 | $2 | $2 | 14 | 09-21 21:53 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +69 | $65 | $65 | 2 | 09-29 15:35 |
| Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | +69 | $67 | $67 | 1 | 09-17 13:05 |
| Focused-Toreador 0xa066…710b | Yes | +59 | -$7 | $27 | 4 | 09-16 19:11 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +44 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 09-18 01:34 |
| Free-Element 0x648f…4b36 | Yes | +40 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 09-30 09:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xa499…2a2b | Yes | +40 | $1 | $1 | 8 | 10-04 12:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +35 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 09-16 23:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 01:55:28 | Kindhearted-Airspace 0x8891…b5fc | No | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x0d1ec0… |
| 10-05 01:55:28 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0d1ec0… |
| 10-05 01:55:28 | (anonymous) 0x48f0…4463 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x0d1ec0… |
| 10-05 01:55:26 | (anonymous) 0x50b4…c879 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x1bb14a… |
| 10-05 01:55:26 | Kindhearted-Airspace 0x8891…b5fc | No | SELL | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x1bb14a… |
| 10-05 01:25:47 | Kindhearted-Airspace 0x8891…b5fc | No | SELL | 71 | 100¢ | $71 | 0xa8cabf… |
| 10-05 01:25:47 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | SELL | 71 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa8cabf… |
| 10-05 00:06:22 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 52 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd887e8… |
| 10-05 00:06:22 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | SELL | 56 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd887e8… |
| 10-05 00:06:22 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd887e8… |
| 10-04 20:11:20 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfc92e4… |
| 10-04 20:11:20 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfc92e4… |
| 10-04 20:11:20 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x76b1ae… |
| 10-04 20:11:20 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 75 | 100¢ | $75 | 0xfc92e4… |
| 10-04 20:11:20 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x76b1ae… |
| 10-04 20:11:20 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfc92e4… |
| 10-04 20:11:20 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfc92e4… |
| 10-04 20:11:20 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfc92e4… |
| 10-04 20:11:19 | (anonymous) 0x8c17…9098 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6084a8… |
| 10-04 20:11:19 | Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x6084a8… |
| 10-04 12:24:13 | (anonymous) 0xa499…2a2b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa795ba… |
| 10-04 12:24:13 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa795ba… |
| 10-04 12:24:08 | (anonymous) 0xa499…2a2b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x61db84… |
| 10-04 12:24:08 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x61db84… |
| 10-04 12:24:02 | (anonymous) 0xa499…2a2b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe58c35… |
| 10-04 12:24:02 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe58c35… |
| 10-04 12:23:55 | (anonymous) 0xa499…2a2b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdbf3e6… |
| 10-04 12:23:55 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xdbf3e6… |
| 10-04 12:23:49 | (anonymous) 0xa499…2a2b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4a7e72… |
| 10-04 12:23:49 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x4a7e72… |
| 10-04 12:23:43 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xd9560a… |
| 10-04 12:23:43 | (anonymous) 0xa499…2a2b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd9560a… |
| 10-04 12:23:40 | (anonymous) 0xa499…2a2b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x70a2e5… |
| 10-04 12:23:40 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x70a2e5… |
| 10-04 12:23:32 | (anonymous) 0xa499…2a2b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf303e5… |
| 10-04 12:23:32 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xf303e5… |
| 10-04 08:30:02 | Quick-Behaviour 0x1d8c…757a | Yes | SELL | 66 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x16fb26… |
| 10-04 08:30:02 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x16fb26… |
| 10-04 08:30:02 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x16fb26… |
| 10-04 08:30:02 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x16fb26… |
| 10-04 08:30:02 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x16fb26… |
| 10-04 07:23:34 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 108 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xd677e7… |
| 10-04 07:23:34 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xd677e7… |
| 10-04 07:23:34 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xd677e7… |
| 10-04 07:23:34 | Kindhearted-Airspace 0x8891…b5fc | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $49 | 0xd677e7… |
| 10-03 21:53:25 | Kindhearted-Airspace 0x8891…b5fc | No | BUY | 38 | 99¢ | $37 | 0x1804db… |
| 10-03 21:53:25 | (anonymous) 0x0fca…90de | Yes | BUY | 38 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1804db… |
| 10-03 21:37:28 | (anonymous) 0x0fca…90de | Yes | BUY | 36 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9d1404… |
| 10-03 21:37:28 | Kindhearted-Airspace 0x8891…b5fc | No | BUY | 36 | 99¢ | $36 | 0x9d1404… |
| 10-03 21:18:58 | Kindhearted-Airspace 0x8891…b5fc | No | BUY | 24 | 99¢ | $24 | 0xd25dfc… |
| 10-03 21:18:58 | (anonymous) 0x0fca…90de | Yes | BUY | 24 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd25dfc… |
| 10-03 18:49:54 | Noted-Pompom 0x1c51…8001 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdc65c6… |
| 10-03 18:49:54 | Kindhearted-Airspace 0x8891…b5fc | No | BUY | 36 | 99¢ | $36 | 0xdc65c6… |
| 10-03 17:00:32 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xfa9644… |
| 10-03 17:00:32 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $39 | 0xfa9644… |
| 10-03 16:54:15 | (anonymous) 0x0fca…90de | Yes | BUY | 1,004 | 1¢ | $11 | 0x4aa948… |
| 10-03 16:54:15 | (anonymous) 0x0fca…90de | Yes | BUY | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x430b71… |
| 10-03 16:54:15 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 114 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4aa948… |
| 10-03 16:54:15 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf8cd2e… |
| 10-03 16:54:15 | (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xf8cd2e… |
| 10-03 16:54:15 | Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | BUY | 1,118 | 99¢ | $1,106 | 0x4aa948… |
| 10-03 16:54:15 | Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | No | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x430b71… |
| 10-03 16:54:15 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf8cd2e… |
| 10-03 16:30:24 | Icy-Pride 0x9317…5a5f | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xbb8988… |
| 10-03 16:30:24 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | SELL | 96 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xbb8988… |
| 10-03 16:30:24 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 101 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xbb8988… |
| 10-03 16:14:53 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | SELL | 189 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x008c44… |
| 10-03 16:14:53 | (anonymous) 0x5ad9…22d0 | Yes | BUY | 189 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x008c44… |
| 10-03 15:03:23 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | SELL | 93 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x20e4e3… |
| 10-03 15:03:23 | (anonymous) 0x0fca…90de | Yes | BUY | 361 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x7b454d… |
| 10-03 15:03:23 | (anonymous) 0x6276…9db5 | Yes | SELL | 361 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x7b454d… |
| 10-03 15:03:23 | (anonymous) 0x0fca…90de | Yes | BUY | 93 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x20e4e3… |
| 10-03 14:42:53 | (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xcb8fe0… |
| 10-03 14:42:53 | (anonymous) 0x0fca…90de | Yes | BUY | 135 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x163b21… |
| 10-03 14:42:53 | (anonymous) 0x0fca…90de | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcb8fe0… |
| 10-03 14:42:53 | Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | BUY | 135 | 99¢ | $134 | 0x163b21… |
| 10-03 12:39:26 | (anonymous) 0x0fca…90de | Yes | BUY | 456 | 1¢ | $5 | 0xfa9be5… |
| 10-03 12:39:26 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 456 | 1¢ | $5 | 0xfa9be5… |
| 10-03 12:36:30 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaec8a4… |
| 10-03 12:36:30 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0x0ec456… |
| 10-03 12:36:30 | (anonymous) 0x0fca…90de | Yes | BUY | 1,375 | 1¢ | $15 | 0x8d6336… |
| 10-03 12:36:30 | (anonymous) 0x0fca…90de | Yes | BUY | 60 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0ec456… |
| 10-03 12:36:30 | (anonymous) 0xa0ae…4a1e | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xaec8a4… |
| 10-03 12:36:30 | Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | BUY | 1,375 | 99¢ | $1,359 | 0x8d6336… |
| 10-03 12:36:29 | Quick-Behaviour 0x1d8c…757a | No | BUY | 70 | 99¢ | $69 | 0x27b45c… |
| 10-03 12:36:29 | (anonymous) 0xa0ae…4a1e | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x09b130… |
| 10-03 12:36:29 | (anonymous) 0x0fca…90de | Yes | BUY | 320 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x2d5b83… |
| 10-03 12:36:29 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 485 | 99¢ | $480 | 0xb10eae… |
| 10-03 12:36:29 | (anonymous) 0x0fca…90de | Yes | BUY | 112 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe1bd5e… |
| 10-03 12:36:29 | (anonymous) 0x0fca…90de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x09b130… |
| 10-03 12:36:29 | (anonymous) 0x0fca…90de | Yes | BUY | 485 | 1¢ | $5 | 0xb10eae… |
| 10-03 12:36:29 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 320 | 99¢ | $316 | 0x2d5b83… |
| 10-03 12:36:29 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xa5cf7f… |
| 10-03 12:36:29 | (anonymous) 0x0fca…90de | Yes | BUY | 70 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x27b45c… |
| 10-03 12:36:29 | Rare-Azimuth 0x4868…a1c1 | No | BUY | 112 | 99¢ | $111 | 0xe1bd5e… |
| 10-03 12:36:29 | (anonymous) 0x0fca…90de | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa5cf7f… |
| 10-03 05:26:23 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 47 | 99¢ | $47 | 0xd2f652… |
| 10-03 05:26:23 | (anonymous) 0x0fca…90de | Yes | BUY | 47 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd2f652… |
| 10-03 03:28:35 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8a164f… |
| 10-03 03:28:35 | Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | Yes | SELL | 2,462 | 0¢ | $11 | 0x8a164f… |