(anonymous) 0x407d7e…3052fd
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$58
Unrealized P&L
-$44
Hit rate
45.7%
Resolved
466
Trades
9,089
lifetime
Volume
$8.56K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$1.39K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-14
last 09-22 06:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Other
79% 15% +$39
Sports
14% 0% -$99
Politics
5% 19% $0
Crypto
1% 9% $0
Tech
0% 25% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 1781 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes +580 $313 74¢ $432 +$119 09-15 10:58
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +260 $246 96¢ $249 +$4 09-16 19:46
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? Yes +620 $239 24¢ $146 -$93 09-19 03:11
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? Yes +320 $65 38¢ $120 +$55 09-21 14:35
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes +580 $111 18¢ $107 -$4 09-15 10:58
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +95 $24 98¢ $93 +$69 09-22 05:46
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? Yes +320 $159 25¢ $80 -$79 09-21 14:35
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +50 $22 80¢ $40 +$18 09-21 04:42
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? Yes +580 $133 6¢ $32 -$101 09-15 10:58
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +35 $19 53¢ $18 -$1 09-22 00:33
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? Yes +15 $9 98¢ $15 +$5 09-17 09:21
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +15 $8 56¢ $8 +$1 09-17 15:27
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +6 $3 99¢ $6 +$3 09-21 09:15
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +15 $4 37¢ $6 +$2 09-17 15:27
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +5 $3 98¢ $5 +$2 09-17 03:38
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +5 $1 98¢ $5 +$4 09-21 12:28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +5 $3 95¢ $5 +$2 09-16 17:57
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +15 $2 29¢ $4 +$2 09-17 15:27
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +260 $4 1¢ $3 -$1 09-16 19:46
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes +5 $3 55¢ $3 -$1 09-20 15:50
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +95 $34 2¢ $1 -$32 09-22 05:46
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +50 $9 3¢ $1 -$8 09-21 04:42
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? Yes +5 $1 21¢ $1 +$0 09-20 15:50
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +95 $10 1¢ $1 -$9 09-22 05:46
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +15 $1 6¢ $1 +$0 09-17 15:27
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +260 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 09-16 19:46
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +25 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 09-20 14:09
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +260 $1 0¢ $1 $0 09-16 19:46
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Yes +5 $0 9¢ $0 $0 09-20 15:50
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +260 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-16 19:46