Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
open
Total volume
$72
Trades
41
Unique wallets
7
Liquidity
$1,693
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-10-27
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 15:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $13 | $37 | $24 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 2 | — | $30 | $30 |
| unranked | 3 | $13 | $7 | +$6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Limp-Recollection 0xa8b9…6b7c | Yes | +87 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 05-06 15:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xe316…1766 | No | +17 | $17 | $22 | 17 | 05-06 13:57 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-04 21:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c8d…6cdf | No | +6 | $6 | $8 | 3 | 05-06 13:50 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 15:50:44 | Limp-Recollection 0xa8b9…6b7c | Yes | BUY | 70 | 16¢ | $11 | 0xad7d7a… |
| 05-06 13:57:34 | (anonymous) 0x5795…30fa | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xfddcad… |
| 05-06 13:57:34 | (anonymous) 0x5795…30fa | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x04e2ca… |
| 05-06 13:57:34 | (anonymous) 0x5795…30fa | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xc663ab… |
| 05-06 13:57:32 | (anonymous) 0x5795…30fa | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xbc306e… |
| 05-06 13:57:32 | (anonymous) 0x5795…30fa | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x04e419… |
| 05-06 13:57:30 | (anonymous) 0x5795…30fa | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x85ebcc… |
| 05-06 13:57:28 | (anonymous) 0x5795…30fa | No | SELL | 2 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x569110… |
| 05-06 13:57:28 | (anonymous) 0x5795…30fa | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x27ea4a… |
| 05-06 13:57:28 | (anonymous) 0x5795…30fa | No | SELL | 2 | 76¢ | $2 | 0x10f443… |
| 05-06 13:57:26 | (anonymous) 0x5795…30fa | No | SELL | 2 | 76¢ | $2 | 0xbe446b… |
| 05-06 13:57:26 | (anonymous) 0x5795…30fa | No | SELL | 2 | 77¢ | $2 | 0xed46a6… |
| 05-06 13:57:24 | (anonymous) 0x5795…30fa | No | SELL | 3 | 77¢ | $2 | 0xc4070b… |
| 05-06 13:57:24 | (anonymous) 0x5795…30fa | No | SELL | 2 | 77¢ | $2 | 0x506bb1… |
| 05-06 13:57:18 | (anonymous) 0xe316…1766 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xa1f9be… |
| 05-06 13:50:24 | (anonymous) 0xe316…1766 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xc20601… |
| 05-06 13:50:24 | (anonymous) 0xe316…1766 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xd87b05… |
| 05-06 13:50:22 | (anonymous) 0xe316…1766 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x8686c6… |
| 05-06 13:50:22 | (anonymous) 0xe316…1766 | No | SELL | 2 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x413306… |
| 05-06 13:50:20 | (anonymous) 0xe316…1766 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xdba900… |
| 05-06 13:50:18 | (anonymous) 0xe316…1766 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x488000… |
| 05-06 13:50:18 | (anonymous) 0xe316…1766 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x8f594b… |
| 05-06 13:50:16 | (anonymous) 0xe316…1766 | No | SELL | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x261226… |
| 05-06 13:50:16 | (anonymous) 0xe316…1766 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x265e8b… |
| 05-06 13:50:16 | (anonymous) 0xe316…1766 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xd3127e… |
| 05-06 13:50:14 | (anonymous) 0xe316…1766 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xab855d… |
| 05-06 13:50:14 | (anonymous) 0xe316…1766 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x7deea4… |
| 05-06 13:50:14 | (anonymous) 0x9c8d…6cdf | No | SELL | 0 | 76¢ | $0 | 0x2b864d… |
| 05-06 13:50:12 | (anonymous) 0xe316…1766 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x545152… |
| 05-06 13:50:12 | (anonymous) 0xe316…1766 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xea0d05… |
| 05-06 13:50:12 | (anonymous) 0x22cf…1104 | No | SELL | 0 | 76¢ | $0 | 0xa653f1… |
| 05-06 05:44:20 | (anonymous) 0x5795…30fa | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x7b4284… |
| 05-06 05:44:20 | (anonymous) 0x5795…30fa | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x3d4ded… |
| 05-06 05:44:18 | (anonymous) 0xe316…1766 | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x3fed19… |
| 05-06 05:44:16 | (anonymous) 0xe316…1766 | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x808e84… |
| 05-06 05:39:56 | (anonymous) 0x9c8d…6cdf | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xfc1aed… |
| 05-06 05:39:56 | (anonymous) 0x22cf…1104 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x30c306… |
| 05-06 05:39:56 | Sane-Pan 0x8092…b8a2 | No | SELL | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0x59cdd7… |
| 05-06 05:39:54 | Limp-Recollection 0xa8b9…6b7c | Yes | BUY | 18 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x76ea00… |
| 05-06 05:39:54 | (anonymous) 0x9c8d…6cdf | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x5d172d… |
| 05-04 21:29:14 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x8b34d2… |