Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
29.3%
Resolved
3
Trades
4,796
lifetime
Volume
$32.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$51
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 06-26 10:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
66% 0% $-2
Other
32% 100% +$0
Tech
2%
Crypto
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 692 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +28 $22 85¢ $24 +$2 05-31 05:26
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? No +13 $11 84¢ $11 +$0 06-19 15:42
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? Yes -41 $-8 15¢ $-6 +$2 06-06 18:05
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes +27 $5 18¢ $5 $-1 06-26 10:12
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No -3 $-3 99¢ $-3 +$0 06-22 22:15
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +5 $2 36¢ $2 +$0 06-22 20:44
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes -2 $-0 18¢ $-0 +$0 06-06 18:05
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 $-1 06-14 00:23