Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
52
lifetime
Volume
$123
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$49
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-12 21:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
54%
Politics
42% 0% $-3
Tech
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? No -12 $-12 95¢ $-11 +$1 05-12 12:27
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -1,103 $-7 $-7 $-0 05-12 00:04
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes +6 $5 82¢ $5 +$0 05-07 15:41
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 05-10 15:20
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? Yes +71 $5 $5 $-0 05-10 20:25
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,071 $7 $4 $-4 05-06 15:46
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes +17 $4 15¢ $3 $-1 05-07 15:41
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No -3 $0 88¢ $-2 $-3 05-06 13:57
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes +100 $3 $2 $-1 05-07 15:41
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? Yes -77 $-9 $-2 +$7 05-10 22:41
Will Belgium come in last place at Eurovision 2026? No -2 $-1 89¢ $-1 +$0 05-12 21:41
Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes -542 $2 $-1 $-3 05-05 20:50
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? Yes +16 $5 $1 $-4 05-11 21:20