Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
29.3%
Resolved
3
Trades
4,725
lifetime
Volume
$32.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$45
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 06-09 23:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
66% 0% $-2
Other
32% 100% +$0
Tech
2%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 692 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +28 $22 86¢ $24 +$2 05-31 05:26
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? No +11 $9 76¢ $8 $-1 06-08 09:22
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? Yes -41 $-8 14¢ $-6 +$2 06-06 18:05
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 $-0 06-05 15:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +2 $1 99¢ $2 +$0 05-29 00:31
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes -2 $-0 24¢ $-0 $-0 06-06 18:05